Assumptions:
- Taking into account 70s
- Vertical line at the point where a recession start ( SPX500 start to retrace) and M2SL make new low
When Bottom:
- Interest rate start to decline, it's imply easy to borrow money, the stock growth quickly
- Inflation start to decline
In 2022 the market is in similar situation but not identical:
- inflation may be at peak
- Interest rate have to growth more due to prevision (strong economy and low unemployment), in the market there are to much liquidity printed in the last 2 year
- high probable the interest continue to grow, to reduce the dollar supply and inflation.
- Taking into account 70s
- Vertical line at the point where a recession start ( SPX500 start to retrace) and M2SL make new low
When Bottom:
- Interest rate start to decline, it's imply easy to borrow money, the stock growth quickly
- Inflation start to decline
In 2022 the market is in similar situation but not identical:
- inflation may be at peak
- Interest rate have to growth more due to prevision (strong economy and low unemployment), in the market there are to much liquidity printed in the last 2 year
- high probable the interest continue to grow, to reduce the dollar supply and inflation.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.