XAUMO Daily Strategy Execution & Market Outlook (March 20, 2025)

XAUMO Daily Strategy Execution & Market Outlook (March 20, 2025)
Cairo Local Time

1. Market Overview & Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Daily Outlook (D1)
• Trend: Bullish continuation with signs of exhaustion near resistance
• Key Levels:
• VAH (Daily): 3,057.36
• VAL (Daily): 3,025.81
• POC (Daily): 3,046.65
• VWAP High (Daily): 3,058.49
• VWAP Low (Daily): 3,021.27
• Volume Analysis:
• Declining volume as price reaches VWAP High, signaling a potential reversal
• Large liquidity clusters at POC 3,046.65, meaning possible retest zones

4-Hour (H4)
• Trend: Bullish with rejection at resistance zones
• Key Levels:
• VAH (H4): 3,054.32
• VAL (H4): 3,036.44
• POC (H4): 3,048.98
• Volume Analysis:
• High volume rejection at 3,058.49 → Possible liquidity grab & reversal
• Buyers absorbed at VWAP Low (3,021.27) → Market Maker accumulation

1-Hour (H1)
• Trend: Short-term pullback forming; possible range-bound before breakout
• Key Levels:
• VAH (H1): 3,049.55
• VAL (H1): 3,039.87
• POC (H1): 3,047.18
• Volume Analysis:
• Price consolidating around POC 3,047.18 → Market waiting for liquidity
• Rejection at 3,057.36 (VAH H4) → Liquidity trap

15-Minute (M15)
• Trend: Scalping range forming between POC & VWAP Low
• Key Levels:
• VAH (M15): 3,049.18
• VAL (M15): 3,036.44
• POC (M15): 3,048.98
• Volume Analysis:
• Low volume at highs → Price may struggle to break further up
• Watching for VWAP Low (3,021.27) liquidity grab before bounce

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2. Session Breakdown – Market Structure & Liquidity Zones

Asia Session (Tokyo – 03:00-09:00 Cairo Time)
• Expectation: Range-bound between POC (3,048.98) & VAL (3,036.44)
• Scenarios:
1. Bullish: Support at VWAP Low (3,021.27) → Price bounces for a retest of POC
2. Bearish: Failure to hold POC (3,048.98) → Move down to VAL 3,036.44

London Open (09:00-16:00 Cairo Time)
• Expectation: Breakout from Asia range, targeting key liquidity zones
• Scenarios:
1. Bullish: Break above VAH (3,049.18, M15) → Target VWAP High (3,058.49)
2. Bearish: Failure to hold VWAP Mid (3,046.65) → Sell-off to VWAP Low 3,021.27

NYC Premarket (14:00-16:30 Cairo Time)
• Expectation: High volatility before NY session
• Scenarios:
1. Liquidity Grab Below 3,021.27 → NY Pump
2. Break & Hold Above 3,058.49 → Trend Continuation

NYC Session (16:30-23:00 Cairo Time)
• Expectation: Reversal from London move or continuation if volume confirms
• Scenarios:
1. Reversal at 3,058.49 → Target VWAP Low 3,021.27
2. Continuation Above 3,057.36 → Institutional Level 3,072.57

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3. Trade Execution Plan

📌 Buy Setup (Long)
• Entry: 3,022-3,025 (VWAP Low, VAL)
• Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 3,047.18 (POC H1)
• TP2: 3,054.32 (VAH H4)
• TP3: 3,072.57 (Institutional Level)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 3,018.00 (Liquidity Sweep Zone)
• Justification: Market Maker liquidity grab below VWAP Low, anticipating a reversal

📌 Sell Setup (Short)
• Entry: 3,057-3,058 (VAH, VWAP High)
• Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 3,048.98 (POC H1)
• TP2: 3,036.44 (VAL H4)
• TP3: 3,021.27 (VWAP Low)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 3,062.00 (Liquidity Fakeout Above Highs)
• Justification: Price testing resistance with low volume, potential rejection

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4. VSA + Volume Footprint Confirmation
• Low volume on breakouts → Market Makers trapping liquidity before move
• Volume spike at VWAP Low (3,021.27) → Institutional orders accumulating
• Footprint Analysis:
• Imbalance detected at 3,057.36 → Possible stop hunt before reversal
• Absorption at 3,046.65 → POC confirmation for re-entry

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5. Summary & Final Outlook

→ Bullish Bias: If price holds VWAP Low (3,021.27) and reclaims POC (3,048.98)
→ Bearish Bias: If price rejects VWAP High (3,058.49) and breaks below POC (3,046.65)
→ Market Maker Logic: Liquidity sweep expected before the real move → Patience required for optimal entry

🔥 Trade Execution:
• Buy Zone: 3,022-3,025
• Sell Zone: 3,057-3,058
• Key Level to Watch: POC 3,048.98

📌 Wait for volume confirmation & liquidity traps before executing trades