XAUUSD Is this a legitimate correction?

15 Apr

There is no doubt that Gold (XAUUSD) has entered a new Bull Cycle after last month's bullish break-out. Last week though it closed its 1W candle almost on a Doji which can potentially be a trend reversal, at least on the short-term.

As you can see on this 1W chart, which displays the similarities between the previous Cycle and the current, such 1W candles have been on global market tops: May 01 2023, January 16 2023, March 07 2022 etc.

If we are indeed at the phase past the Accumulation (Rectangle pattern) simular to February 2020, then we can expect a short-term correction. Of course the March 2020 price collapse that touched the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) had solely to do with the COVID asset-wide crash. Still though, in February 2020, the market posted a red 1W candle that erased the gains of two weeks in a row.

As a result, if the current week doesn't post a new High, we expect a pull-back towards at least 2250. Beyond that, in order to approach the 1W MA50 again, we need a fundamental catalyst.


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