Gold (XAU/USD) Next Target $1200 per oz

FX:XAUUSD   Emas/Dolar U.S.
Here I have found an opportunity on XAU/USD with two possible scenarios.

Dependent on todays (05/07/2017) Daily candle close on Gold ( XAU/USD ); I have found two seperate possibilities - either option still gives me the same bias on Gold , which is a short to $1200 per Oz.

If we get a Daily candle close as a shooting star , I will automatically enter a Gold short, with stops above 20-30pips above the high of the shooting star . Targets would be just above $1200 (maybe $1201.00). The reasoning behind this is that I think we have a lot of bearish momentum with Gold at the moment, a weak daily close could be enough to push gold lower without a pullback.

However if we see a green bodied close on the daily candle, I still believe we are in consolidation and a pullback (up to retest the trendline we recently broke, which matches with the 61.8% Fibonacci area) could well be on the cards. So if we do see a strong daily close, I will await a pullback to these levels before looking for short opportunities.

I have clearly marked both possibilities on the chart (see the arrows).

I shall update later today, let's see how this plays out.
We did not get a clear shooting star closure on Gold, so I did not enter in short. (Also we have had Non Farm Payroll today 7/7/2017 which is another reason I did not enter).

However we did form a nice consolidation range which we were trading in for the past few days (I drew a box around this area on a hourly chart).

We have just made a strong break below this consolidation area, after NFP news results.

I know I maybe shouldn't enter in a pair right before the weekend, however bullish NFP figures give me an added confluence to my short bias.

I am short $1214.70

Stop Loss: $1219.00

Target $1201.00

Let's see how this plays out!
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