Gold bulls return strongly, can they continue?

The gold market is currently in the mid-term adjustment stage of the bullish trend, and the technical side shows three typical characteristics: first, the price has built a standard shock box in the range of US$2955-3055; second, the daily Bollinger Bands continue to narrow to a bandwidth of US$23, a new low in nearly a month, indicating a significant contraction in volatility; most importantly, the 4-hour level has begun to show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom pattern, with the left shoulder at US$2970, the head at US$2955, and the neckline at US$3055. This technical structure suggests that the market is brewing a breakthrough, but a major catalyst is needed to confirm the direction.
Analysis of key time and space nodes
From the perspective of time, the Asian session on Wednesday (02:00-14:00 GMT) needs to closely observe the breakthrough of the short-term resistance of US$3025, especially in conjunction with the volume analysis to confirm the effectiveness of the breakthrough. Entering the US session (14:00-22:00 GMT), the market focus will shift to the competition for the double top resistance of US$3055, which is often accompanied by increased volatility caused by data shocks. It is particularly noteworthy that the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting will be released early Thursday morning (02:00 GMT), which is likely to become a key catalyst to break the current deadlock.
Key positions for long and short games
Through multi-time frame analysis, we have identified the following key positions:
Short-term level: $3025 is a bullish attack signal, and $2980 is a bearish defense line
Mid-term dimension: $3055 is a trend confirmation level, and $2955 is a bullish and bearish watershed
Long-term perspective: A breakthrough of $3150 will open up new upside space, while a loss of $2900 may trigger a trend reversal

Based on the current technical structure, the following trading strategies are recommended:
Main strategy (long layout):
Position building range: $2990-2995 (Fibonacci 50% retracement level)
Stop loss setting: $2982 (double protection below the previous low + integer level)
Target system:
The first target is $3025 Yuan (short-term profit-taking point)
The second target is $3055 (confirmation point of pattern breakthrough)
The ultimate target is $3100-3150 (trend extension zone)
Auxiliary strategy (breakthrough follow-up):
After breaking through $3025 in the Asian session, wait for a retracement to $3015 to add 2%
When the US session breaks through $3055, you can chase 3% more positions
Use a 30-point moving stop loss to protect existing profits

Risk warning and management should focus on the following risks:
Policy risk: If the Fed minutes release hawkish signals, it may suppress gold prices
Data risk: US economic data exceeding expectations may trigger a technical correction
Liquidity risk: Asian session false breakthrough and US session volatility increase
Technical risk: A breakout of the $2955 low may trigger a programmed sell