GammaLab

4 hikes in 2022? Not so fast.

The implied fed funds rate for December came back 6 basis points today and is telegraphing a fed funds rate of about 0.88 bps, which is suggesting 3 hikes. 1.5 bps of that compression happened in the after markets and I wonder if it was Gundlach that spooked markets with his call for a recession.

Yes, in the big scheme of things (+65 bps since September) a drop of 6 bps is minuscule, but it could point to a further expansion of today's relieve rally if the CPI is playing along tomorrow morning.

Cheers.

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.