FractalTrade_

Kalman Trend

Kalman Filter

The Kalman Filter is a powerful mathematical tool that provides an efficient computational solution to the least-squares method. It was initially developed and used for navigation and control theory but has found its way into numerous applications, including financial market analysis.

In simple terms, a Kalman filter is an algorithm that uses a series of measurements observed over time, containing statistical noise and other inaccuracies, and produces estimates that tend to be more accurate than those based on a single measurement alone.

The basic calculation of a Kalman Filter involves two main steps: Prediction and Update. In the prediction step, the Kalman filter produces estimates of the current state variables, along with their uncertainties. Once the outcome of the next measurement (somewhat corrupted by noise) is observed, these estimates are updated using a weighted average, with more weight being given to estimates with higher certainty.

Indicator Usage

The proposed indicator, in this case, uses a Kalman Filter and applies a Moving Average (MA) to the filter. This creates a sort of "smoothed" version of the Kalman Filter, which then can be utilized in a crossover method for trading.

The indicator generates a cloud between the Kalman Filter and the Moving Average. This cloud can be visualized on a price chart and is used to indicate potential buy and sell signals. When the Kalman Filter crosses above the Moving Average, it is typically a bullish signal (buy), and when it crosses below, it is a bearish signal (sell).

One feature of this indicator is the ability to choose the type of Moving Average applied to the Kalman Filter. The options include:
  • SMA (Simple Moving Average)
  • EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
  • RMA (Running Moving Average)
  • WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
  • HMA (Hull Moving Average)
  • VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average)
  • TMA (Triangular Moving Average)

You also have the ability to customize the colors of the indicator, allowing you to easily visualize and differentiate the bullish and bearish signals on the chart. It helps in enhancing user experience and understanding of the market's state, thereby facilitating better trading decisions.

Remember, as with all trading indicators, the Kalman Filter should not be used in isolation. It is recommended to use it in conjunction with other indicators and methods to confirm signals and prevent false positives.

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