Intelle_city - World Cycle - Ath & Atl - Logarithmic - Strategy.Overview
Indicators: Strategy !
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Strategy - The Pi Cycle Top and Bottom Oscillator is an adaptation of the original Pi Cycle Top chart. It compares the 111-Day Moving Average circle and the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle of Bitcoin’s Price. These two moving averages were selected as 350 / 111 = 3.153; An approximation of the important mathematical number Pi.
When the 111-Day Moving Average circle reaches the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market is becoming overheated. That is because the mid time frame momentum reference of the 111-Day Moving Average has caught up with the long timeframe momentum reference of the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average.
Historically this has occurred within 3 days of the very top of each market cycle.
When the 111 Day Moving Average circle falls back beneath the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market momentum of that cycle is significantly cooling down. The oscillator drops down into the lower green band shown where the 111 Day Moving Average is moving at a 75% discount relative to the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average.
Historically, this has highlighted broad areas of bear market lows.
IMPORTANT: You need to set a LOGARITHMIC graph. (The function is located at the bottom right of the screen)
IMPORTANT: The INTELLECT_city indicator is made for a buy-sell strategy; there is also a signal indicator from INTELLECT_city
IMPORTANT: The Chart shows all cycles, both buying and selling.
IMPORTANT: Suitable timeframes are 1 daily (recommended) and 1 weekly
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Описание на русском:
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Обзор индикатора
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Strategy - Логарифмический - Сигнал - Осциллятор вершины и основания цикла Пи представляет собой адаптацию оригинального графика вершины цикла Пи. Он сравнивает круг 111-дневной скользящей средней и круг 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней цены Биткойна. Эти две скользящие средние были выбраны как 350/111 = 3,153; Приближение важного математического числа Пи.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней достигает круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рынок перегревается. Это происходит потому, что опорный моментум среднего временного интервала 111-дневной скользящей средней догнал опорный момент импульса длинного таймфрейма 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это происходило в течение трех дней после вершины каждого рыночного цикла.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней опускается ниже круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рыночный импульс этого цикла значительно снижается. Осциллятор опускается в нижнюю зеленую полосу, показанную там, где 111-дневная скользящая средняя движется со скидкой 75% относительно 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это высветило широкие области минимумов медвежьего рынка.
ВАЖНО: Выставлять нужно ЛОГАРИФМИЧЕСКИЙ график. (Находиться функция с правой нижней части экрана)
ВАЖНО: Индикатор INTELLECT_city сделан для стратегии покупок продаж, есть также и сигнальный от INTELLECT_сity
ВАЖНО: На Графике видны все циклы, как на покупку так и на продажу.
ВАЖНО: Подходящие таймфреймы 1 дневной (рекомендовано) и 1 недельный
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Beschreibung - Deutsch
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Indikatorübersicht
INTELLECT_city – Weltzyklus – ATH & ATL – Zeitrahmen 1T und 1W – Logarithmisch – Strategy – Der Pi-Zyklus-Top- und Bottom-Oszillator ist eine Anpassung des ursprünglichen Pi-Zyklus-Top-Diagramms. Er vergleicht den 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis und den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis des Bitcoin-Preises. Diese beiden gleitenden Durchschnitte wurden als 350 / 111 = 3,153 ausgewählt; eine Annäherung an die wichtige mathematische Zahl Pi.
Wenn der 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis erreicht, deutet dies darauf hin, dass der Markt überhitzt. Das liegt daran, dass der Momentum-Referenzwert des 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im mittleren Zeitrahmen den Momentum-Referenzwert des 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im langen Zeitrahmen eingeholt hat.
Historisch gesehen geschah dies innerhalb von 3 Tagen nach dem Höhepunkt jedes Marktzyklus.
Wenn der Kreis des 111-Tage-Durchschnitts wieder unter den Kreis des 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitts fällt, deutet dies darauf hin, dass die Marktdynamik dieses Zyklus deutlich nachlässt. Der Oszillator fällt in das untere grüne Band, in dem der 111-Tage-Durchschnitt mit einem Abschlag von 75 % gegenüber dem 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitt verläuft.
Historisch hat dies breite Bereiche mit Tiefstständen in der Baisse hervorgehoben.
WICHTIG: Sie müssen ein logarithmisches Diagramm festlegen. (Die Funktion befindet sich unten rechts auf dem Bildschirm)
WICHTIG: Der INTELLECT_city-Indikator ist für eine Kauf-Verkaufs-Strategie konzipiert; es gibt auch einen Signalindikator von INTELLECT_city
WICHTIG: Das Diagramm zeigt alle Zyklen, sowohl Kauf- als auch Verkaufszyklen.
WICHTIG: Geeignete Zeitrahmen sind 1 täglich (empfohlen) und 1 wöchentlich
Penunjuk dan strategi
BBTrend w SuperTrend decision - Strategy [presentTrading]This strategy aims to improve upon the performance of Traidngview's newly published "BB Trend" indicator by incorporating the SuperTrend for better trade execution and risk management. Enjoy :)
█Introduction and How it is Different
The "BBTrend w SuperTrend decision - Strategy " is a trading strategy designed to identify market trends using Bollinger Bands and SuperTrend indicators. What sets this strategy apart is its use of two Bollinger Bands with different lengths to capture both short-term and long-term market trends, providing a more comprehensive view of market dynamics. Additionally, the strategy includes customizable take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) settings, allowing traders to tailor their risk management according to their preferences.
BTCUSD 4h Long Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The BBTrend strategy employs two key indicators: Bollinger Bands and SuperTrend.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Calculation:
- Short Bollinger Bands**: Calculated using a shorter period (default 20).
- Long Bollinger Bands**: Calculated using a longer period (default 50).
- Bollinger Bands use the standard deviation of price data to create upper and lower bands around a moving average.
Upper Band = Middle Band + (k * Standard Deviation)
Lower Band = Middle Band - (k * Standard Deviation)
🔶 BBTrend Indicator:
- The BBTrend indicator is derived from the absolute differences between the short and long Bollinger Bands' lower and upper values.
BBTrend = (|Short Lower - Long Lower| - |Short Upper - Long Upper|) / Short Middle * 100
🔶 SuperTrend Indicator:
- The SuperTrend indicator is calculated using the average true range (ATR) and a multiplier. It helps identify the market trend direction by plotting levels above and below the price, which act as dynamic support and resistance levels. * @EliCobra makes the SuperTrend Toolkit. He is GOAT.
SuperTrend Upper = HL2 + (Factor * ATR)
SuperTrend Lower = HL2 - (Factor * ATR)
The strategy determines market trends by checking if the close price is above or below the SuperTrend values:
- Uptrend: Close price is above the SuperTrend lower band.
- Downtrend: Close price is below the SuperTrend upper band.
Short: 10 Long: 20 std 2
Short: 20 Long: 40 std 2
Short: 20 Long: 40 std 4
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to choose their trading direction:
- Long: Enter long positions only.
- Short: Enter short positions only.
- Both: Enter both long and short positions based on market conditions.
█ Usage
To use the "BBTrend - Strategy " effectively:
1. Configure Inputs: Adjust the Bollinger Bands lengths, standard deviation multiplier, and SuperTrend settings.
2. Set TPSL Conditions: Choose the take profit and stop loss percentages to manage risk.
3. Choose Trade Direction: Decide whether to trade long, short, or both directions.
4. Apply Strategy: Apply the strategy to your chart and monitor the signals for potential trades.
█ Default Settings
The default settings are designed to provide a balance between sensitivity and stability:
- Short BB Length (20): Captures short-term market trends.
- Long BB Length (50): Captures long-term market trends.
- StdDev (2.0): Determines the width of the Bollinger Bands.
- SuperTrend Length (10): Period for calculating the ATR.
- SuperTrend Factor (12): Multiplier for the ATR to adjust the SuperTrend sensitivity.
- Take Profit (30%): Sets the level at which profits are taken.
- Stop Loss (20%): Sets the level at which losses are cut to manage risk.
Effect on Performance
- Short BB Length: A shorter length makes the strategy more responsive to recent price changes but can generate more false signals.
- Long BB Length: A longer length provides smoother trend signals but may be slower to react to price changes.
- StdDev: Higher values create wider bands, reducing the frequency of signals but increasing their reliability.
- SuperTrend Length and Factor: Shorter lengths and higher factors make the SuperTrend more sensitive, providing quicker signals but potentially more noise.
- Take Profit and Stop Loss: Adjusting these levels affects the risk-reward ratio. Higher take profit percentages can increase gains but may result in fewer closed trades, while higher stop loss percentages can decrease the likelihood of being stopped out but increase potential losses.
Momentum Alligator 4h Bitcoin StrategyOverview
The Momentum Alligator 4h Bitcoin Strategy is a trend-following trading system that operates on dual time frames. It utilizes the 1D Williams Alligator indicator to identify the prevailing major price trend and seeks trading opportunities on the 4-hour (4h) time frame when the momentum is turning up. The strategy is designed to close trades if the trend fails to develop or holding position if price continues increasing without any significant correction. Note that this strategy is specifically tailored for the 4-hour time frame.
Unique Features
2-layers market noise filtering system: Trades are only initiated in the direction of the 1D trend, determined by the Williams Alligator indicator. This higher time frame confirmation filters out minor trade signals, focusing on more substantial opportunities. At the same time, strategy has additional filter on 4h time frame with Awesome Oscillator which is showing the current price momentum.
Flexible Risk Management: The strategy exclusively opens long positions, resulting in fewer trades during bear markets. It incorporates a dynamic stop-loss mechanism, which can either follow the jaw line of the 4h Alligator or a user-defined fixed stop-loss. This flexibility helps manage risk and avoid non-trending markets.
Methodology
The strategy initiates a long position when the d-line of Stochastic RSI crosses up it's k-line. It means that there is a high probability that price momentum reversed from down to up. To avoid overtrading in potentially choppy markets, it skips the next two trades following a winning trade, anticipating sideways movement after a significant price surge.
This strategy has two layers trades filtering system: 4h and 1D time frames. The first one is awesome oscillator. It shall be increasing and value has to be higher than it's 5-period SMA. This is an additional confirmation that long trade is opened in the direction of the current momentum. As it was mentioned above, all entry signals are validated against the 1D Williams Alligator indicator. A trade is only opened if the price is above all three lines of the 1D Alligator, ensuring alignment with the major trend.
A trade is closed if the price hits the 4h jaw line of the Alligator or reaches the user-defined stop-loss level.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a combined approach to risk management:
It allows positions to ride the trend as long as the price continues to move favorably, aiming to capture significant price movements. It features a user-defined stop-loss parameter to mitigate risks based on individual risk tolerance. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 2% drop from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages Stochastic RSI on 4h time frame to open long trade when momentum started reversing to the upside. On the one hand, Stochastic RSI is one of the most sensitive indicator, which allows to react fast on the potential trend reversal. On the other hand, this indicator can be too sensitive and provide a lot of false trend changing signals. To eliminate this weakness we use two-layers trades filtering system.
The first layer is the 4h Awesome oscillator. This is less sensitive momentum indicator. Usually it starts increasing when price has already passed significant distance from the actual reversal point. The strategy opens long trade only is Awesome oscillator is increasing and above it's 5-period SMA. This approach increases the probability to filter the false signals during the choppy market or if the reversal is false.
The second layer filter is the Williams Alligator indicator on 1D time frame. The 1D Alligator serves as a filter for identifying the primary trend and increases probability to avoid the trades with low potential because trading against major trend usually is more risky. It's much better to catch the trend continuation than local bounce.
Last but not least feature of this strategy is close trades condition. It uses the flexible approach. First of all, user can set up the fixed stop-loss according to his own risk-tolerance, by default this value is 2% of price movement. It restricts the potential loss at the moment when trade has just been opened. Moreover strategy utilizes the 4h Williams Alligator's jaw line to exit the trade. If price fell below it trade is closed. This approach helps to not keep open trade if trend is not developing and hold it if price continues going up.
Backtest Results:
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2021.01.01 - 2024.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -3.04%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.67%
Net Profit: +6228.01 USDT (+62.28%)
Total Trades: 118 (24.58% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.71
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1527.69 USDT (-11.52%)
Average Profit per Trade: 52.78 USDT (+0.89%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use:
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the 4h timeframe desired chart (optimal performance observed on the BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Random Entry and ExitStrategy for Researching Whether It Is Possible to Earn Consistently by Opening Random Trades
The essence of the strategy lies in generating random entries and exits based on pseudorandom numbers. The generation of pseudorandom numbers is performed by the function random_number based on the value of the seed variable. The variables entry_threshold and exit_threshold control the frequency of entries and exits. Lower values mean less frequent trades. To increase the number of trades, increase the values of these variables.
The strategy was created as part of research into whether it is possible to earn randomly in financial markets by making chaotic actions of opening and closing trades. However, it adheres to a few rules: open only long positions (in the direction of the global trend) and do not use leverage. Positions are opened with the entire available capital.
100 generations of the strategy on the daily chart of the S&P 500 (seed 1-101) give 100% positive mathematical expectations. Similar results are observed on higher timeframes of assets that are in a global uptrend.
There is also the possibility of opening only short positions for the research. Note that the logic of the strategy is built in such a way that only one trading direction can operate simultaneously (either longs or shorts). On higher timeframes, random shorts show negative results. Positive mathematical expectations for short positions can be found on lower timeframes (1 min, etc.), where a large amount of noise is observed.
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Стратегия для исследования, можно ли стабильно зарабатывать при открытии случайных сделок
Суть стратегии заключается в генерации случайных входов и выходов на основе псевдослучайных чисел. Генерация псевдослучайных чисел происходит функцией random_number на основе значения переменной seed. Переменные entry_threshold и exit_threshold контролируют частоту входов и выходов. Более низкие значения означают менее частые сделки. Для увеличения количества сделок - увеличивайте значения переменных.
Стратегия создавалась в рамках исследования вопроса, можно ли случайным образом зарабатывать на фин. рынках, совершая хаотичные открытия и закрытия сделок. НО, придерживаясь нескольких правил: открывать только длинные позиции (в сторону глобального тренда) и не использовать кредитные плечи. Открытие позиций происходит на весь доступный капитал.
100 генераций стратегии на дневном графике S&P500 (seed 1-101) дают 100% положительных математических ожиданий. Похожие результаты наблюдаются на высоких таймфреймах активов, которые глобально находятся в восходящем тренде.
Также для исследования предусмотрена возможность открытия только коротких позиций. Обратите внимание, что логика стратегии построена таким образом, что одновременно может работать только одно направление торговли (либо лонги, либо шорты). На старших таймфреймах случайные шорты показывают негативные результаты. Положительное математическое ожидание для коротких позиций можно обнаружить на младших таймфреймах (1 min, etc), где наблюдается большое количество шумов.
Bitcoin Futures vs. Spot Tri-Frame - Strategy [presentTrading]Prove idea with a backtest is always true for trading.
I developed and open-sourced it as an educational material for crypto traders to understand that the futures and spot spread may be effective but not be as effective as they might think. It serves as an indicator of sentiment rather than a reliable predictor of market trends over certain periods. It is better suited for specific trading environments, which require further research.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Bitcoin Futures vs. Spot Tri-Frame Strategy" utilizes three different timeframes to calculate the Z-Score of the spread between BTC futures and spot prices on Binance and OKX exchanges. The strategy executes long or short trades based on composite Z-Score conditions across the three timeframes.
The spread refers to the difference in price between BTC futures and BTC spot prices, calculated by taking a weighted average of futures prices from multiple exchanges (Binance and OKX) and subtracting a weighted average of spot prices from the same exchanges.
BTCUSD 1D L/S Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Calculation of the Spread
The spread is the difference in price between BTC futures and BTC spot prices. The strategy calculates the spread by taking a weighted average of futures prices from multiple exchanges (Binance and OKX) and subtracting a weighted average of spot prices from the same exchanges. This spread serves as the primary metric for identifying trading opportunities.
Spread = Weighted Average Futures Price - Weighted Average Spot Price
🔶 Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score measures how many standard deviations the current spread is from its historical mean. This is calculated for each timeframe as follows:
Spread Mean_tf = SMA(Spread_tf, longTermSMA)
Spread StdDev_tf = STDEV(Spread_tf, longTermSMA)
Z-Score_tf = (Spread_tf - Spread Mean_tf) / Spread StdDev_tf
Local performance
🔶 Composite Entry Conditions
The strategy triggers long and short entries based on composite Z-Score conditions across all three timeframes:
- Long Condition: All three Z-Scores must be greater than the long entry threshold.
Long Condition = (Z-Score_tf1 > zScoreLongEntryThreshold) and (Z-Score_tf2 > zScoreLongEntryThreshold) and (Z-Score_tf3 > zScoreLongEntryThreshold)
- Short Condition: All three Z-Scores must be less than the short entry threshold.
Short Condition = (Z-Score_tf1 < zScoreShortEntryThreshold) and (Z-Score_tf2 < zScoreShortEntryThreshold) and (Z-Score_tf3 < zScoreShortEntryThreshold)
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows the user to specify the trading direction:
- Long: Only long trades are executed.
- Short: Only short trades are executed.
- Both: Both long and short trades are executed based on the Z-Score conditions.
█ Usage
The strategy can be applied to BTC or Crypto trading on major exchanges like Binance and OKX. By leveraging discrepancies between futures and spot prices, traders can exploit market inefficiencies. This strategy is suitable for traders who prefer a statistical approach and want to diversify their timeframes to validate signals.
█ Default Settings
- Input TF 1 (60 minutes): Sets the first timeframe for Z-Score calculation.
- Input TF 2 (120 minutes): Sets the second timeframe for Z-Score calculation.
- Input TF 3 (180 minutes): Sets the third timeframe for Z-Score calculation.
- Long Entry Z-Score Threshold (3): Defines the threshold above which a long trade is triggered.
- Short Entry Z-Score Threshold (-3): Defines the threshold below which a short trade is triggered.
- Long-Term SMA Period (100): The period used to calculate the simple moving average for the spread.
- Use Hold Days (true): Enables holding trades for a specified number of days.
- Hold Days (5): Number of days to hold the trade before exiting.
- TPSL Condition (None): Defines the conditions for taking profit and stop loss.
- Take Profit (%) (30.0): The percentage at which the trade will take profit.
- Stop Loss (%) (20.0): The percentage at which the trade will stop loss.
By fine-tuning these settings, traders can optimize the strategy to suit their risk tolerance and trading style, enhancing overall performance.
Double Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy [presentTrading]
█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The "Double Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced" strategy is a sophisticated trading system that combines two Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced. Very Powerful!
Let's celebrate the joy of Children's Day on June 1st! Enjoyyy!
BTCUSD LS performance
The strategy aims to pinpoint market trends with greater accuracy and generate trades that align with the overall market direction.
This approach differentiates itself by integrating volatility adjustments and leveraging the Vegas Channel's width to refine the SuperTrend calculations, resulting in a dynamic and responsive trading system.
Additionally, the strategy incorporates customizable take-profit and stop-loss levels, providing traders with a robust framework for risk management.
-> check Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Vegas Channel and SuperTrend Calculations
The strategy initiates by calculating the Vegas Channel, which is derived from a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation (STD) of the closing prices over a specified window length. This channel helps in measuring market volatility and forms the basis for adjusting the SuperTrend indicator.
Vegas Channel Calculation:
- vegasMovingAverage = SMA(close, vegasWindow)
- vegasChannelStdDev = STD(close, vegasWindow)
- vegasChannelUpper = vegasMovingAverage + vegasChannelStdDev
- vegasChannelLower = vegasMovingAverage - vegasChannelStdDev
SuperTrend Multiplier Adjustment:
- channelVolatilityWidth = vegasChannelUpper - vegasChannelLower
- adjustedMultiplier = superTrendMultiplierBase + volatilityAdjustmentFactor * (channelVolatilityWidth / vegasMovingAverage)
The adjusted multiplier enhances the SuperTrend's sensitivity to market volatility, making it more adaptable to changing market conditions.
BTCUSD Local picture.
🔶 Average True Range (ATR) and SuperTrend Values
The ATR is computed over a specified period to measure market volatility. Using the ATR and the adjusted multiplier, the SuperTrend upper and lower levels are determined.
ATR Calculation:
- averageTrueRange = ATR(atrPeriod)
**SuperTrend Calculation:**
- superTrendUpper = hlc3 - (adjustedMultiplier * averageTrueRange)
- superTrendLower = hlc3 + (adjustedMultiplier * averageTrueRange)
The SuperTrend levels are continuously updated based on the previous values and the current market trend direction. The market trend is determined by comparing the closing prices with the SuperTrend levels.
Trend Direction:
- If close > superTrendLowerPrev, then marketTrend = 1 (bullish)
- If close < superTrendUpperPrev, then marketTrend = -1 (bearish)
🔶 Trade Entry and Exit Conditions
The strategy generates trade signals based on the alignment of both SuperTrends. Trades are executed only when both SuperTrends indicate the same market direction.
Entry Conditions:
- Long Position: Both SuperTrends must signal a bullish trend.
- Short Position: Both SuperTrends must signal a bearish trend.
Exit Conditions:
- Positions are exited if either SuperTrend reverses its trend direction.
- Additional conditions include holding periods and configurable take-profit and stop-loss levels.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to specify the desired trade direction through a customizable input setting. Options include:
- Long: Only enter long positions.
- Short: Only enter short positions.
- Both: Enter both long and short positions based on the market conditions.
█ Usage
To utilize the "Double Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced" strategy, traders need to configure the input settings according to their trading preferences and market conditions. The strategy includes parameters for ATR periods, Vegas Channel window lengths, SuperTrend multipliers, volatility adjustment factors, and risk management settings such as hold days, take-profit, and stop-loss percentages.
█ Default Settings
The strategy comes with default settings that can be adjusted to fit individual trading styles:
- trade Direction: Both (allows trading in both long and short directions for maximum flexibility).
- ATR Periods: 10 for SuperTrend 1 and 5 for SuperTrend 2 (shorter ATR period results in more sensitivity to recent price movements).
- Vegas Window Lengths: 100 for SuperTrend 1 and 200 for SuperTrend 2 (longer window length results in smoother moving averages and less sensitivity to short-term volatility).
- SuperTrend Multipliers: 5 for SuperTrend 1 and 7 for SuperTrend 2 (higher multipliers lead to wider SuperTrend channels, reducing the frequency of trades).
- Volatility Adjustment Factors: 5 for SuperTrend 1 and 7 for SuperTrend 2 (higher adjustment factors increase the responsiveness to changes in market volatility).
- Hold Days: 5 (defines the minimum duration a position is held, ensuring trades are not exited prematurely).
- Take Profit: 30% (sets the target profit level to lock in gains).
- Stop Loss: 20% (sets the maximum acceptable loss level to mitigate risk).
Mateo's Time of Day Analysis LEThis strategy takes a trade every day at a specified time and then closes it at a specified time.
The purpose of this strategy is to help determine if there are better times to day to buy or sell.
I was originally inspired to write this when a YouTuber stated that SPX had been up during the last 30 minutes of the day over 80% of the time the past year. No matter who says it, test it, and in my opinion, TradingView is one of the easiest placed to do that! Unfortunately, that particular claim did not turn out to be accurate, but this tool remains for those who want to optimize timing their entries and exits at specific times of day.
market slayerInput Parameters:
Various input parameters allow customization of the strategy, including options to show trend confirmation, specify trend timeframes and values, set SMA lengths, enable take profit and stop loss, and define their respective values.
Calculations:
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) are calculated based on the specified lengths.
Buy and sell signals are generated based on the crossover and crossunder of the short and long SMAs.
Confirmation Bars:
Functions are defined to determine bullish or bearish confirmation bars based on certain conditions.
These confirmation bars are used to confirm trend direction and generate additional signals.
Plotting:
SMAs are plotted on the chart.
Trend labels and signal markers are plotted based on the calculated conditions.
Trade Signals:
Buy and sell conditions are defined based on the crossover/crossunder of SMAs and confirmation of trend direction.
Strategy entries and exits are executed accordingly.
Take Profit and Stop Loss:
Optional take profit and stop loss functionality is included.
Trades are automatically closed when profit or loss thresholds are reached.
Closing Trades:
Trades are also closed based on changes in trend confirmation bars to ensure alignment with the overall market direction.
Alerts:
Alert conditions are defined for opening and closing trades, providing notifications when certain conditions are met.
Overall, this script aims to provide a systematic approach to trading by combining moving average crossovers with trend confirmation bars, along with options for risk management through take profit and stop loss orders. Users can customize various parameters to adapt the strategy to different market conditions and trading preferences.
The script uses the request.security() function with the lookahead parameter set to barmerge.lookahead_on to access data from a higher timeframe within the Pine Script on TradingView. Let's break down why it's used:
Higher Timeframe Analysis:
By default, Pine Script operates on the timeframe of the chart it's applied to. However, in trading strategies, it's common to incorporate signals or data from higher timeframes to confirm or validate signals generated on lower timeframes. This helps traders to align their trades with the broader market trend.
Trend Confirmation:
In this script, the confirmationTrendTimeframe parameter allows users to specify a higher timeframe for trend confirmation. The request.security() function fetches the data from this higher timeframe and applies the defined conditions to confirm the trend direction.
Lookahead Behavior:
The lookahead parameter set to barmerge.lookahead_on ensures that the script considers the most up-to-date information available on the higher timeframe when making trading decisions on the lower timeframe. This prevents the script from lagging behind or using outdated data, enhancing the accuracy of trend confirmation.
Usage in confirmationTrendBullish and confirmationTrendBearish:
These variables are assigned the values returned by the request.security() function, which represents the bullish or bearish trend confirmation based on the conditions applied to the data from the higher timeframe.
Entry Fragger - Strategy
For basic instructions please visit my other script "Entry Fragger".
The Signal Logic is explained there.
v1.4:
- Added advanced backtesting with fully customizable entries.
- Fully automated Buy Signals (profitable).
- Adjustable timeframes for signal logic. (requested)
Every setting affects the accuracy and profitability greatly now, based on settings applied.
The strategy performs best on high timeframes with larger capital and no leverage.
Useless for Forex, but absolutely smashes stocks and crypto on mid to high timeframes.
Please read through my other scripts description.
Set values as preferred and try your assets.
It does NOT work on low timeframes and forex!
Hint: BTC 4H, Custom Timeframe 1h, Moon Mode and Show Sell Signals enabled, R2R: 2.
KumoTrade Ichimoku StrategyThe KumoTrade Ichimoku Strategy is an advanced trading strategy designed to help users identify market trends and potential trading opportunities using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technical analysis indicator. This strategy leverages the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) along with other crucial indicators such as the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines to generate strong signals.
Main Components of the Strategy:
Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): Indicates the short-term direction of the price, typically calculated as the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 9 periods.
Kijun-sen (Base Line): Indicates the medium-term direction of the price, usually calculated as the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 26 periods.
Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B: These two lines form the cloud (Kumo), which projects future support and resistance levels.
Chikou Span (Lagging Span): Plots the current closing price 26 periods back to measure the market's momentum.
Strategy Rules:
Bullish Bias (Bias Bull): Indicates that the prices are in a long-term uptrend. In this strategy, this is confirmed if the low prices are above the daily EMA (Exponential Moving Average).
Kijun Sen Touch Down: Occurs when prices cross below the Kijun-sen line and then close back above it, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Tenkan-Kijun Cross Up: A bullish signal generated when the Tenkan-sen line crosses above the Kijun-sen line.
Close Over Tenkan and Kijun: A strong bullish signal when the close price crosses above both the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines.
Trading Setups:
Long Setup: Generated when the Kijun-sen is above the highest point of the Kumo (senkou_max) and the closing price is below the lowest point of the Kumo (senkou_min). This setup is checked over the last 21 bars.
Short Setup: Generated when the Kijun-sen is below the lowest point of the Kumo (senkou_min) and the closing price is above the highest point of the Kumo (senkou_max). This setup is also checked over the last 21 bars. (Not avalible yet)
Entry Conditions:
Ultra Long Entry: This condition checks for a bullish bias, the Tenkan-Kijun cross up or Kijun Sen touch down, high volume, and that the price is not within the Kumo cloud.
Main Long Entry: This condition requires the closing price to be above the Kumo cloud, a green Kumo cloud, a bullish bias, the Tenkan rule, and that the price is not within the Kumo cloud.
Exit Conditions:
A trailing stop loss is implemented to protect profits. The stop loss level is dynamically updated based on the highest high of the last 5 bars minus three times the ATR (Average True Range) value.
Visuals on the Chart:
The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are plotted for visual reference.
The Kumo cloud is displayed with different colors indicating bullish (green) or bearish (red) conditions.
Entry points are marked on the chart, and the trailing stop loss levels are plotted as well.
The KumoTrade Ichimoku Strategy aims to provide a comprehensive approach to trading by combining multiple aspects of the Ichimoku indicator to generate reliable trading signals and manage risk effectively.
Korneev Reverse RSIRethinking the Legendary Relative Strength Index by John Welles Wilder
The essence of the new approach lies in the reverse use of the so-called "overbought" and "oversold" zones. In his 1978 book, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems," where the RSI mechanism was thoroughly described, Wilder writes that one way to use the oscillator is to open a long position when the RSI drops into oversold territory (below 30) and to open a short position when the RSI rises to overbought levels (above 70). However, backtesting this strategy with such inputs yields rather mediocre results.
Based on the calculation formula, the RSI calculates the rate of price change over a certain period. Therefore, overbought and oversold zones will have relative significance (relative to the set calculation period). It is no coincidence that the word "relative" was added to the name of the oscillator. It is worth accepting as an axiom the assertion that the price of an asset is fair at every moment in time.
Essentially, the RSI calculates the strength of a trend. If the oscillator value is above 70, it is highly likely that an upward movement is occurring in the market. Therefore, in the current strategy, a long position is opened precisely at the moment of greatest buyer strength (when RSI > 80), i.e., in the direction of the trend, since counter-trend trading with the RSI has proven to be ineffective. The position is closed after the buyers lose their advantage and the RSI drops to 40.
The strategy is recommended to be used only with long positions, as short positions show negative results. The strategy uses a moving average for the RSI with a period of 14 to smooth the oscillator data.
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Переосмысление легендарного осциллятора Relative strength index Джона Уэллса Уайлдера
Суть нового подхода заключается в реверсивном использовании так называемых зон "перекупленности" и "перепроданности". В своей книге от 1978 года "New concepts in tecnical trading systems", в которой был подробно описан механизм работы RSI, Уайлдер пишет, что один из способов использования осциллятора - открытие длинной позиции при снижении RSI в перепроданность (ниже 30) и открытие короткой позиции при повышении RSI до перекупленности (выше 70). Однако бэктест стратегии с такими вводными дает весьма посредственные результаты.
Исходя из формулы расчета, RSI рассчитывает скорость изменения цены за определенный период. Поэтому зоны перекупленности и перепроданности будут иметь относительное значение (относительно установленного периода расчета). Не зря ведь в названии осциллятора было добавлено слово "относительной". Стоит принять за аксиому утверждение, что цена актива справедлива в каждый момент времени.
По сути, RSI рассчитывает силу тренда. Если значение осциллятора выше 70, то на рынке с высокой долей вероятности происходит восходящее движение. Поэтому в текущей стратегии открытие лонга происходит именно в момент наибольшей силы покупателей (когда RSI > 80), то есть в сторону тренда, поскольку контртрендовая торговля по RSI показала свою несостоятельность. Закрытие позиции происходит после того, как покупатели теряют преимущество и RSI снижается до 40.
Стратегию рекомендуется использовать только с длинными позициями, поскольку короткие позиции показывают отрицательный результат. В стратегии используется скользящая средняя для RSI с периодом 14 для сглаживания данных осциллятора.
trend_switch
█ Description
Asset price data was time series data, commonly consisting of trends, seasonality, and noise. Many applicable indicators help traders to determine between trend or momentum to make a better trading decision based on their preferences. In some cases, there is little to no clear market direction, and price range. It feels much more appropriate to use a shorter trend identifier, until clearly defined market trend. The indicator/strategy developed with the notion aims to automatically switch between shorter and longer trend following indicator. There were many methods that can be applied and switched between, however in this indicator/strategy will be limited to the use of predictive moving average and MESA adaptive moving average (Ehlers), by first determining if there is a strong trend identified by calculating the slope, if slope value is between upper and lower threshold assumed there is not much price direction.
█ Formula
// predictive moving average
predict = (2*wma1-wma2)
trigger = (4*predict+3*predict +2*predict *predict)
// MESA adaptive moving average
mama = alpha*src+(1-alpha)*mama
fama = .5*alpha*mama+(1-.5-alpha)*fama
█ Feature
The indicator will have a specified default parameter of:
source = ohlc4
lookback period = 10
threshold = 10
fast limit = 0.5
slow limit = 0.05
Strategy type can be switched between Long/Short only and Long-Short strategy
Strategy backtest period
█ How it works
If slope between the upper (red) and lower (green) threshold line, assume there is little to no clear market direction, thus signal predictive moving average indicator
If slope is above the upper (red) or below the lower (green) threshold line, assume there is a clear trend forming, the signal generated from the MESA adaptive moving average indicator
█ Example 1 - Slope fall between the Threshold - activate shorter trend
█ Example 2 - Slope fall above/below Threshold - activate longer trend
Triple EMA + QQE Trend Following Strategy [TradeDots]The "Triple EMA + QQE Trend Following Strategy" harnesses the power of two sophisticated technical indicators, the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) and the Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE), to generate precise buy and sell signals. This strategy excels in capturing shifts in trends by identifying short-term price momentum and dynamic overbought or oversold conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy integrates two pivotal indicators:
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA): TEMA enhances traditional moving averages by reducing lag and smoothing the data more effectively. It achieves this by applying the EMA formula three times onto the price, as follows:
tema(src, length) =>
ema1 = ta.ema(src, length)
ema2 = ta.ema(ema1, length)
ema3 = ta.ema(ema2, length)
tema = 3*ema1 - 3*ema2 + ema3
This computation helps to sharpen the sensitivity to price movements.
Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE): The QQE indicator improves upon the standard RSI by incorporating a smoothing mechanism. It starts with the standard RSI, overlays a 5-period EMA on this RSI, and then enhances the result using a double application of a 27-period EMA. A slow trailing line is then derived by multiplying the result with a factor number. This approach establishes a more refined and less jittery trend-following signal, complementing the TEMA to enhance overall market timing during fluctuating conditions.
APPLICATION
Referenced from insights on "Trading Tact," the strategy implementation follows:
First of all, we utilize two TEMA lines: one set at a 20-period and the other at a 40-period. Then following the rules below:
40-period TEMA is rising
20-period TEMA is above 40-period TEMA
Price closes above 20-period TEMA
Today is not Monday
RSI MA crosses the Slow trailing line
This strategy does not employ an active take profit mechanism; instead, it utilizes a trailing stop loss to allow the price to reach the stop loss naturally, thereby maximizing potential profit margins.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Reference:
Trading Tact. What Is the QQE Indicator? Retrieved from: tradingtact.com
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy [TradeDots]"The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy" is a trend-following system that leverages the adaptive qualities of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA). This strategy is distinguished by its ability to adjust dynamically to market volatility, enhancing trading accuracy by minimizing the effects of false and delayed signals often associated with the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy is centered around use of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) indicator, which refines the principles of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a superior smoothing technique.
KAMA distinguishes itself by its responsiveness to changes in market prices through an "Efficiency Ratio (ER)." This ratio is computed by dividing the recent absolute net price change by the cumulative sum of the absolute price changes over a specified period. The resulting ER value ranges between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates high market noise and 1 reflects stronger market momentum.
Using ER, we could get the smoothing constant (SC) for the moving average derived using the following formula:
fastest = 2/(fastma_length + 1)
slowest = 2/(slowma_length + 1)
SC = math.pow((ER * (fastest-slowest) + slowest), 2)
The KAMA line is then calculated by applying the SC to the difference between the current price and the previous KAMA.
APPLICATION
For entering long positions, this strategy initializes when there is a sequence of 10 consecutive rising KAMA lines. Conversely, a sequence of 10 consecutive falling KAMA lines triggers sell orders for long positions. The same logic applies inversely for short positions.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Following with 200 EMA Filter - Longs OnlyOverview
This strategy is designed to trade long positions based on multiple timeframe Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and a 200 EMA filter. The strategy ensures that trades are only entered in strong uptrends and aims to capitalize on sustained upward movements while minimizing risk with a defined stop-loss and take-profit mechanism.
Key Components
Initial Capital and Position Sizing
Initial Capital: $1000.
Lot Size: 1 unit per trade.
Inputs
Fast EMA Length (fast_length): The period for the fast EMA.
Slow EMA Length (slow_length): The period for the slow EMA.
200 EMA Length (filter_length_200): Set to 200 periods for the primary trend filter.
Stop Loss Percentage (stop_loss_perc): Set to 1% of the entry price.
Take Profit Percentage (take_profit_perc): Set to 3% of the entry price.
Timeframes and EMAs
EMAs are calculated for the following timeframes using the request.security function:
5-minute: Short-term trend detection.
15-minute: Intermediate-term trend detection.
30-minute: Long-term trend detection.
The strategy also calculates a 200-period EMA on the 5-minute timeframe to serve as a primary trend filter.
Trend Calculation
The strategy determines the trend for each timeframe by comparing the fast and slow EMAs:
If the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, the trend is considered positive (1).
If the fast EMA is below the slow EMA, the trend is considered negative (-1).
Combined Trend Signal
The combined trend signal is derived by summing the individual trends from the 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute timeframes.
A combined trend value of 3 indicates a strong uptrend across all timeframes.
Any combined trend value less than 3 indicates a weakening or negative trend.
Entry and Exit Conditions
Entry Condition:
A long position is entered if:
The combined trend signal is 3 (indicating a strong uptrend across all timeframes).
The current close price is above the 200 EMA on the 5-minute timeframe.
Exit Condition:
The long position is exited if:
The combined trend signal is less than 3 (indicating a weakening trend).
The current close price falls below the 200 EMA on the 5-minute timeframe.
Stop Loss and Take Profit
Stop Loss: Set at 1% below the entry price.
Take Profit: Set at 3% above the entry price.
These levels are automatically set when entering a trade using the strategy.entry function with stop and limit parameters.
Plotting
The strategy plots the fast and slow EMAs for the 5-minute timeframe and the 200 EMA for visual reference on the chart:
Fast EMA (5-min): Plotted in blue.
Slow EMA (5-min): Plotted in red.
200 EMA (5-min): Plotted in green.
Adaptive RSI StrategyThe Adaptive RSI Strategy is designed to give you an edge by adapting to changing market conditions more effectively than the traditional RSI. By adjusting dynamically to recent price movements, this strategy aims to provide more timely and accurate trade signals.
How Does It Work?
You can set the number of periods for the RSI calculation. The default is 14, but feel free to experiment with different lengths to suit your trading style.
Choose the price data to base the RSI on, typically the closing price.
Decide if you want the strategy to visually highlight upward and downward movements of the Adaptive RSI (ARSI) on the chart. This can help you quickly spot trends.
Adaptive Calculation:
Alpha: The strategy uses an adaptive factor called alpha, which changes based on recent RSI values. This makes the RSI more sensitive to recent market conditions.
Adaptive RSI (ARSI): This is the core of our strategy. It calculates the ARSI using the adaptive alpha, making it more responsive to price changes compared to the traditional RSI.
Trade Signals:
Long Entry (Buy Signal): The strategy triggers a buy signal when the ARSI value crosses above its previous value. This indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting it's a good time to enter a long position.
Short Entry (Sell Signal): Conversely, a sell signal is triggered when the ARSI value crosses below its previous value, indicating a potential downward trend and suggesting it's a good time to enter a short position.
Visual Representation:
If you enable the highlight movements feature, the ARSI line on the chart will change color: green for upward movements and red for downward movements. This makes it easier to see potential trade opportunities at a glance.
Why Use the Adaptive RSI Strategy?
Responsiveness: The adaptive nature of this strategy means it's more sensitive to market changes, helping you react quicker to new trends.
Customization: You can tailor the length of the RSI period and decide whether to highlight movements, allowing you to adapt the strategy to your specific needs and preferences.
Visual Clarity: Highlighting the ARSI movements on the chart makes it easier to spot trends and potential entry points, giving you a clearer picture of the market.
Golden Cross VWMA & EMA 4h PinescriptlabsThis strategy combines the 50-period Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) on the current timeframe with a 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour timeframe. This combination of indicators with different characteristics and time horizons aims to identify strong and sustained trends across multiple timeframes.
The VWMA is a variant of the moving average that assigns greater weight to periods of higher volatility, helping to avoid misleading signals. On the other hand, the 4-hour SMA is used as an additional trend filter in a shorter-term horizon. By combining these two indicators, the strategy can leverage the strength of the VWMA to capture the main trend, but only when confirmed by the SMA in the lower timeframe.
Buy signals are generated when the VWMA crosses above the 4-hour SMA, indicating a potential bullish trend aligned in both timeframes. Sell signals occur on a bearish cross, suggesting a possible reversal of the main trend.
The default parameters are a 50-period VWMA and a 200-period 4-hour SMA. It is recommended to adjust these lengths according to the traded instrument and the desired timeframe. It is also crucial to use stop losses and profit targets to properly manage risk.
By combining indicators of different types and timeframes, this strategy aims to provide a more comprehensive view of trend strength.
Español:
Esta estrategia combina la Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) de 50 períodos en el timeframe actual con una Simple Moving Average (SMA) de 200 períodos en el timeframe de 4 horas. Esta combinación de indicadores de distinta naturaleza y horizontes temporales busca identificar tendencias fuertes y sostenidas en múltiples timeframes.
La VWMA es una variante de la media móvil que asigna mayor ponderación a los períodos de mayor volatilidad, lo que ayuda a evitar señales engañosas. Por otro lado, la SMA de 4 horas se utiliza como un filtro adicional de tendencia en un horizonte de corto plazo. Al combinar estos dos indicadores, la estrategia puede aprovechar la fortaleza de la VWMA para capturar la tendencia principal, pero sólo cuando es confirmada por la SMA en el timeframe menor.
Las señales de compra se generan cuando la VWMA cruza al alza la SMA de 4 horas, indicando una potencial tendencia alcista alineada en ambos horizontes temporales. Las señales de venta ocurren en el cruce bajista, sugiriendo una posible reversión de la tendencia principal.
Los parámetros predeterminados son: VWMA de 50 períodos y SMA de 4 horas de 200 períodos. Se recomienda ajustar estas longitudes según el instrumento operado y el horizonte temporal deseado. También es crucial utilizar stops y objetivos de ganancias para controlar adecuadamente el riesgo.
Al combinar indicadores de diferentes tipos y timeframes, esta estrategia busca brindar una visión más completa de la fuerza de la tendencia.
Trend Following Parabolic Buy Sell Strategy [TradeDots]The Trend Following Parabolic Buy-Sell Strategy leverages the Parabolic SAR in combination with moving average crossovers to deliver buy and sell signals within a trend-following framework.
This strategy synthesizes proven methodologies sourced from various trading tutorials available on platforms such as YouTube and blogs, enabling traders to conduct robust backtesting on their selected trading pairs to assess the strategy's effectiveness.
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy employs four key indicators to orchestrate its trading signals:
1. Trend Alignment: It first assesses the relationship between the price and the predominant trendline to determine the directional stance—taking long positions only when the price trends above the moving average, signaling an upward market trajectory.
2. Momentum Confirmation: Subsequent to trend alignment, the strategy looks for moving average crossovers as a confirmation that the price is gaining momentum in the direction of the intended trades.
3. Signal Finalization: Finally, buy or sell signals are validated using the Parabolic SAR indicator. A long order is validated when the closing price is above the Parabolic SAR dots, and similarly, conditions are reversed for short orders.
4. Risk Management: The strategy institutes a fixed stop-loss at the moving average trendline and a take-profit level determinable by a prefixed risk-reward ratio calculated from the moving average trendline. These parameters are customizable by the users within the strategy settings.
APPLICATION
Designed for assets exhibiting pronounced directional momentum, this strategy aims to capitalize on clear trend movements conducive to achieving set take-profit targets.
As a lagging strategy that waits for multiple confirmatory signals, entry into trades might occasionally lag beyond optimal timing.
Furthermore, in periods of consolidation or sideways movement, the strategy may generate several false signals, suggesting the potential need for additional market condition filters to enhance signal accuracy during volatile phases.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 70%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
TASC 2024.06 REIT ETF Trading System█ OVERVIEW
This strategy script demonstrates the application of the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) ETF trading system presented in the article by Markos Katsanos titled "Is The Price REIT?" from TASC's June 2024 edition of Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
REIT stocks and ETFs offer a simplified, diversified approach to real estate investment. They exhibit sensitivity to interest rates, often moving inversely to interest rate and treasury yield changes. Markos Katsanos explores this relationship and the correlation of prices with the broader market to develop a trading strategy for REIT ETFs.
The script employs Bollinger Bands and Donchian channel indicators to identify oversold conditions and trends in REIT ETFs. It incorporates the 10-year treasury yield index (TNX) as a proxy for interest rates and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as a benchmark for the overall market. The system filters trade entries based on their behavior and correlation with the REIT ETF price.
█ CALCULATIONS
The strategy initiates long entries (buy signals) under two conditions:
1. Oversold condition
The weekly ETF low price dips below the 15-week Bollinger Band bottom, the closing price is above the value by at least 0.2 * ATR ( Average True Range ), and the price exceeds the week's median.
Either of the following:
– The TNX index is down over 15% from its 25-week high, and its correlation with the ETF price is less than 0.3.
– The yield is below 2%.
2. Uptrend
The weekly ETF price crosses above the previous week's 30-week Donchian channel high.
The SPY ETF is above its 20-week moving average.
Either of the following:
– Over ten weeks have passed since the TNX index was at its 30-week high.
– The correlation between the TNX value and the ETF price exceeds 0.3.
– The yield is below 2%.
The strategy also includes three exit (sell) rules:
1. Trailing (Chandelier) stop
The weekly close drops below the highest close over the last five weeks by over 1.5 * ATR.
The TNX value rises over the latest 25 weeks, with a yield exceeding 4%, or its value surges over 15% above the 25-week low.
2. Stop-loss
The ETF's price declines by at least 8% of the previous week's close and falls below the 30-week moving average.
The SPY price is down by at least 8%, or its correlation with the ETF's price is negative.
3. Overbought condition
The ETF's value rises above the 100-week low by over 50%.
The ETF's price falls over 1.5 * ATR below the 3-week high.
The ETF's 10-week Stochastic indicator exceeds 90 within the last three weeks.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the system outlined by the TASC article. However, note that its default properties might not fully represent real-world trading conditions for an individual. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script. Additionally, since this strategy utilizes compound conditions on weekly data to trigger orders, it will generate significantly fewer trades than other, higher-frequency strategies.
Dual RSI Differential - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Dual RSI Differential Strategy introduces a nuanced approach to market analysis and trading decisions by utilizing two Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators calculated over different time periods. Unlike traditional strategies that employ a single RSI and may signal premature or delayed entries, this method leverages the differential between a shorter and a longer RSI. This approach pinpoints more precise entry and exit points, providing a refined tool for traders to exploit market conditions effectively, particularly in overbought and oversold scenarios.
Most important: it is a good eductional code for swing trading.
For beginners, this Pine Script provides a complete function that includes crucial elements such as holding days and the option to configure take profit/stop loss settings:
- Hold Days: This feature ensures that trades are not exited too hastily, helping traders to ride out short-term market volatility. It's particularly valuable for swing trading where maintaining positions slightly longer can lead to capturing significant trends.
- TPSL Condition (None by default): This setting allows traders to focus solely on the strategy's robust entry and exit signals without being constrained by preset profit or loss limits. This flexibility is crucial for learning to adjust strategy settings based on personal risk tolerance and market observations.
BTCUSD 6h LS Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 RSI Calculation:
The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It is calculated using the formula:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS))
Where RS (Relative Strength) = Average Gain of up periods / Average Loss of down periods.
🔶 Dual RSI Setup:
This strategy involves two RSI indicators:
RSI_Short (RSI_21): Calculated over a short period (21 days).
RSI_Long (RSI_42): Calculated over a longer period (42 days).
Differential Calculation:
The strategy focuses on the differential between these two RSIs:
RSI Differential = RSI_Long - RSI_Short
This differential helps to identify when the shorter-term sentiment diverges from longer-term trends, signaling potential trading opportunities.
BTCUSD Local picuture
🔶 Signal Triggers:
Entry Signal: A buy (long) signal is triggered when the RSI Differential exceeds -5, suggesting strengthening short-term momentum. Conversely, a sell (short) signal occurs when the RSI Differential falls below +5, indicating weakening short-term momentum.
Exit Signal: Trades are generally exited when the RSI Differential reverses past these thresholds, indicating a potential momentum shift.
█ Trade Direction
This strategy accommodates various trading preferences by allowing selections among long, short, or both directions, thus enabling traders to capitalize on diverse market movements and volatility.
█ Usage
The Dual RSI Differential Strategy is particularly suited for:
Traders who prefer a systematic approach to capture market trends.
Those who seek to minimize risks associated with rapid and unexpected market movements.
Traders who value strategies that can be finely tuned to different market conditions.
█ Default Settings
- Trading Direction: Both — allows capturing of upward and downward market movements.
- Short RSI Period: 21 days — balances sensitivity to market movements.
- Long RSI Period: 42 days — smoothens out longer-term fluctuations to provide a clearer market trend.
- RSI Difference Level: 5 — minimizes false signals by setting a moderate threshold for action.
Use Hold Days: True — introduces a temporal element to trading strategy, holding positions to potentially enhance outcomes.
- Hold Days: 5 — ensures that trades are not exited too hastily, helping to ride out short-term volatility.
- TPSL Condition: None — enables traders to focus solely on the strategy's entry and exit signals without preset profit or loss limits.
- Take Profit Percentage: 15% — aims for significant market moves to lock in profits.
- Stop Loss Percentage: 10% — safeguards against large losses, essential for long-term capital preservation.
Trailing Take Profit - Close Based📝 Description
This script demonstrates a new approach to the trailing take profit.
Trailing Take Profit is a price-following technique. When used, instead of setting a limit order for the take profit target exiting from your position at the specified price, a stop order is conditionally set when the take profit target is reached. Then, the stop price (a.k.a trailing price), is placed below the take profit target at a distance defined by the user percentagewise. On regular time intervals, the stop price gets updated by following the "Trail Barrier" price (high by default) upwards. When the current price hits the stop price you exit the trade. Check the chart for more details.
This script demonstrates how to implement the close-based Trailing Take Profit logic for long positions, but it can also be applied for short positions if the logic is "reversed".
📢 NOTE
To generate some entries and showcase the "Trailing Take Profit" technique, this script uses the crossing of two moving averages. Please keep in mind that you should not relate the Backtesting results you see in the "Strategy Tester" tab with the success of the technique itself.
This is not a complete strategy per se, and the backtest results are affected by many parameters that are outside of the scope of this publication. If you choose to use this new approach of the "Trailing Take Profit" in your logic you have to make sure that you are backtesting the whole strategy.
⚔️ Comparison
In contrast to my older "Trailing Take Profit" publication where the trailing take profit implementation was tick-based, this new approach is close-based, meaning that the update of the stop price occurs at the bar close instead of every tick.
While comparing the real-time results of the two implementations is like comparing apples to oranges, because they have different dynamic behavior, the new approach offers better consistency between the backtesting results and the real-time results.
By updating the stop price on every bar close, you do not rely on the backtester assumptions anymore (check the Reasoning section below for more info).
The new approach resembles the conditional "Trailing Exit" technique, where the condition is true when the current price crosses over the take profit target. Then, the stop order is placed at the trailing price and it gets updated on every bar close to "follow" the barrier price (high). On the other hand, the older tick-based approach had more "tight" dynamics since the trailing price gets updated on every tick leaving less room for price fluctuations by making it more probable to reach the trailing price.
🤔 Reasoning
This new close-based approach addresses several practical issues the older tick-based approach had. Those issues arise mainly from the technicalities of the TV Backtester. More specifically, due to the assumptions the Broker Emulator makes for the price action of the history bars, the backtesting results in the TV Backtester are exaggerated, and depending on the timeframe, the backtesting results look way better than they are in reality.
The effect above, and the inability to reason about the performance of a strategy separated people into two groups. Those who never use this feature, because they couldn't know for sure the actual effect it might have in their strategy, (even if it turned out to be more profitable) and those who abused this type of "repainting" behavior to show off, and hijack some boosts from the community by boasting about the "fake" results of their strategies.
Even if there are ways to evaluate the effectiveness of the tick-based approach that is applied in an existing strategy (this is out of the topic of this publication), it requires extra effort to do the analysis. Using this closed-based approach we can have more predictable results, without surprises.
⚠️ Caveats
Since this approach updates the trailing price on bar close, you must wait for at least one bar to close after the price crosses over the take profit target.
Turn of the Month Strategy [Honestcowboy]The end of month effect is a well known trading strategy in the stock market. Quite simply, most stocks go up at the end of the month. What's even better is that this effect spills over to the next phew days of the next month.
In this script we backtest this theory which should work especially well on SP500 pair.
By default the strategy buys 2 days before the end of each month and exits the position 3 days into the next month.
The strategy is a long only strategy and is extremely simple. The SP500 is one of the #1 assets people use for long term investing due to it's "9.8%" annualised return. However as a trader you want the best deal possible. This strategy is only inside the market for about 25% of the time while delivering a similar return per exposure with a lower drawdown.
Here are some hypothesis why turn of the month effect happens in the stock markets:
Increased inflow from savings accounts to stocks at end of month
Rebalancing of portfolios by fund managers at end of month
The timing of monthly cash flows received by pension funds, which are reinvested in the stock market.
The script also has some inputs to define how many days before end of the month you want to buy the asset and how long you want to hold it into the next month.
It is not possible to buy the asset exactly on this day every month as the market closes on the weekend. I've added some logic where it will check if that day is a friday, saturdady or sunday. If that is the case it will send the buy signal on the end of thursday, this way we enter on the friday and don't lose that months trading opportunity.
The backtest below uses 4% exposure per trade as to show the equity curve more clearly and because of publishing rules. However, most fund managers and investors use 100% exposure. This way you actually risk money to earn money. Feel free to adjust the settings to your risk profile to get a clearer picture of risks and rewards before implementing in your portfolio.
Moving average strategyNAME : Moving average strategy
SUMMARY
Long when Short MA period > Long MA period
Exit when Short MA period < Long MA period
Long only strategy, but you can modify this script.
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This strategy uses a moving average line.
It buys when the short-term moving average crosses the long-term moving average and sells when the long-term moving average crosses the short-term moving average.
You can use different moving average lines by setting the MA type.
You can use SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, WMA, and VWMA.
You can also adjust the period of the moving average line.
Price Type sets the type of price that will be used for the moving average line. The options are Close price, Open price, High price, Low price, Typical price, and center price.
High MDD and long periods of sideways movement make it difficult to use in practice, even though the returns may seem high.
Hopefully, you can combine it with other indicators to create a good strategy.
Thank you.
