BTC Bear Markets typically will take us down -85% before the start of the next cycle. We aren't quite there yet, but we would be if we reached the macro GP pulled from the previous bear market low to our current ATH. It also coincides with the last down candle/order block that broke bearish structure and caused the last macro impulsive move/bull run. This idea has us dropping into the depths for a real capitulation, shaking out all of the weak hands and making everyone lose hope before finally putting in a bottom right before the BTC halving. We should see a real bottom in December of 2023 if this is the case.