BTCUSDT : 3K upgraded to highly probable

Hi guys,

Since a month or so i keep seeing/posting this scenario :

Scenario C
  • Target : 2.5k-3k
  • Pattern : ABCDE correction. MACD 1D centerline crossover.
  • Factors of validation/invalidation : Staying in the bearish log spectrum. Invalidation if MACD 1D cross centerline from bottom
  • Opinion : very high probability
  • Comments : A powerful bearish signal have born few days ago when MACD 1D crossed the center line. A more powerful sell pressure is to be expected once/if the MACD signal (orange line) will cross the center line leading to at least -20% price change. Last time this structure happened BTC             lost 10k (see price fluctuation between B and C)
  • Chart :
    1) original post

    Scenario D
  • Target : 17k
  • Pattern : inverted SHS             or unknown/sideway
  • Factors of validations/invalidation : price sustain over MA 300 (6.9k or so). Probabilities grow if price sustain over 8250
  • Opinion : downgraded to low probability
  • Comments : this scenario exclude indicators and rely on hope (market sentiment)
  • Chart :

    How to be ready :
    Scenario C
  • Stop loss at 6.7k
  • Ladder in : 15% at 4.5k - 15% at 3.8k - 15% at 3.3k - 15% at 3k - 15% at 2.7k - 15% at 2.5k (total of 90%)
  • 10% in fiat

    Scenario D
  • Stop loss at 8250
  • Look to ladder in near 7k
Perdagangan aktif: Update :
Pattern : 5,3,5 zigzag & signal analysis
Chart :

Komen: NOte on the weekly chart : cloud turned green. BUt i would take precaution here. It could be an ebb flow of the current up in price from 6k to 11k. I would give more weight to the conversion line go under base line as they are momentum indicators.
Perdagangan aktif: Prudence must taken here. The bearish zig zag pattern have a point C at fibo 0.618 for 9.5k or so and can be extended 9.7k. The chart is still respecting the rule of a bearish count (zigzag 5,3,5).

If BTC dont go above this level its gonna form good bearish signal as : double top & respecting the ABC of the zigzag.

Im not playing this but if I was in i would look to put my stop loss at 9k
Komen: To picture my words about the zig zag count :
Thanks for your guidende Sir! :)
@djtreacy, its a pleasure if i can help someone with the things i know
Just wondering why not like this :) ?

or this..

Good luck Simon :)
damdamm damdamm
@damdamm, yopu should consider to redraw your trend line becuase the are not consistent. And use log chart for trend, more effectiv
damdamm SimonMercier
@SimonMercier, ok thank you Simon
Sorry to ask but is it your dream to fall to 2350 ? I mean would you be happy ? I think we will not go lower then 7k or 6k and after that will squeeze shit from shorters.

Not saying about targets but nice capital management.
@damdamm, the point is about to stay objective and not wishing any specific targets and to apply te EW theory, chart pattern recognition which you react accordingly to your conclusion (and why you post your comment in 2 different post ?)
damdamm SimonMercier
@SimonMercier, Sorry I wanted to write this under this post originally but made mistake between opened tabs with your different idea ! Sorry ;)
MS Bahasa Melayu
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
DE Deutsch
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
TH ภาษาไทย
VI Tiếng Việt
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 简体中文
ZH 繁體中文
Laman Utama Pengimbas Saham Pengesan Isyarat Forex Pencari isyarat mata wang Crypto Kalendar Ekonomi Bagaimana ia berfungsi Ciri-ciri Carta Peraturan Rumah Moderator Laman web dan Penyelesaian Broker Widget Perpustakaan Carta Stok Permintaan Ciri Blog & Berita Soalan Lazim Bantuan & Wiki Twitter
Profil Pengesetan Profil Akaun dan Bil Tiket Sokongan Saya Hubungi Sokongan Idea-idea yang diterbitkan Pengikut Mengikuti Mesej Peribadi Perbualan Log Keluar