Bears (almost) ready to attack again... getting ready to swing

After the flash crash we have continued to trade within a wide range. An important and very significant point is the recent euro strength after a dovish ECB is corrective following the completion of a large bearish triangle pattern.

Support can be found at 124 and then 123.40. Below here would imply another top is in and add weight to the view that risk is entering back into the room. We are eyeballing a move eventually towards 122.75 which is the 38.2% retracement (not marked on the chart) of this most recent correction.

To the upside, for those who believe in the immediate Euro bull story (not our view) we can see resistance at 124.6 and 125.10. Both of which are necessary to be taken in order to suggest a continuation pattern and imply a deeper recovery.

Summarising, the range 125.10 - 123.40 is crystal clear and we see an opportunity in selling this correction as we believe there is still further downside to come in Europe before bulls come in towards the end of 2019.

Best of luck to all those in positions here.

Komen:

Bears coming in, very interesting pair to trade this weeks TLTRO's with. I will be updating a EURJPY trade idea today.

Komen:

Large Euro outflows, well done anyone who caught this move.