Range-bound EUR/JPY: Is Distribution in Play?

A few days back I discussed UsdJpy, saying that even though there is a high divergence between FED's and BoJ's policy, at the same point the pair could reverse hard.
In EurJpy's case, however, things are not exactly the same and technically, we even have strong signs of topping.
Looking at the h4 posted chart we could see that for a month and a half now the pair is in a range and in fact, it looks like pressing down so it could be in fact, distribution.
That being said, as long as 158.50 is intact, I looking to sell rallies in anticipation of a break under support.
As for the target, 153 is a pretty reasonable one if we have a genuine break