Yuriy_Bishko

NFLX: it was a good movie!

NASDAQ:NFLX   Netflix, Inc.
The earnings season continues in the U.S. stock market. Netflix (NFLX) is down by 35% on a negative quarterly report. Netflix lost 200,000 subscribers in Q1.
Subscriber growth stopped for the first time in 10 years! The company acknowledged that it was becoming harder and harder to grow its subscriber base in many markets. Also, the termination of streaming platforms in russia could have affected this. Closest competitor and streaming giant Disney (DIS) fell by 5.56% after the Netflix report.

Fundamental analysis. Globally, we can already say that against the background of geopolitical instability, rising prices for energy and high inflation - user growth is not expected, because consumers will spend more money on basic products (food, real estate) than on additional luxury products.
Also, the lockdown in China, as one of the world's leading manufacturers, does not help market to grow and the negative news about the worsening economic indicator does not inspire optimism at all. Chinese developer Evergrande is just the beginning of the chain.

Chart analysis. On the chart we marked the accumulation and distribution zones. The trigger for Netflix's price rise was the HYPE (according to G.Trends data) around the newsmaker of the 2021 TV series Squid Game. The hype helped the big player sell stocks even faster.

The low liquidity areas were a great support for the price. Note the increased volume of the first bottom. This is where traders and investors opened longs, expecting this to be the end of the fall. The second bottom liquidated traders who use any leverage, and the panic sell-offs now will only help the big player to buy more.

The liquidity gaps areas:
1. $188-226
2. $389-422
Technically, these levels could give a good clue about the direction of the trend in the future.


Right now the price is down by 73% from the ATH. Here the accumulation phase may begin again in the $200-350 range.

Write in your comments, did the Squid Game HYPE accidentally become a NFLX highs (ATH)?

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P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.

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