ironcondor

USDJPY 15M short | Evening Star Pattern

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FOREXCOM:USDJPY   Dolar A.S. / Yen Jepun
Candle Pattern: Evening Star
Trend: up
Trend Entry: against

TP/SL Ratio Target: 3 to 1
Target TP PIPs: 60
SL PIPS: 20

Fib Entry: 1+
Fib TP: .50
Stochastic: over-bought
MACD Histogram: contracting up
200SMA: above
Inside EMA/SMA zone: no
BB: top
Pivot Point: R2 && R3

Elliot Wave:
Completion of wave 5
final wave 5 completion of the upside wave, terminating in the wave 3/4 zone of the previous wave down
this also completed a giant ABC correction from the previous downtrend wave.
this may be the start of a new long term downtrend. Looking forward to an ABC correction down to the wave 3/4 area of the current wave.


Notes:

Posted late since position was opened while I was asleep waiting for NFP.

morning star formed after a big upswing.
stochastic showing oversold and having trouble moving to the downside to fully correct
macd still showing upside momentum slowing down.

With NFP coming up at 530am, I have placed an entry 10 pips above the highest swing, looking for a downside retracement around the .50 fib level and above the 200sma

What can go wrong:
NFP is a dangerous play and could completely blow past the SL or have such great volatility that it triggers the SL even though it goes in the correct direction.







Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai:
closing at 20 pips so the position is not left open over the weekend
Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.