CycleWave BTC/USD H1# CycleWave BITSTAMP:BTCUSD H1 Time Reversal Prediction
## Technical Description
This indicator displays pre-calculated cycle data for Bitcoin on the H1 timeframe. Unlike traditional indicators that calculate cycles in real-time, this one uses carefully pre-analyzed cycle data that I manually input after conducting detailed spectral analysis offline. The indicator itself serves as a visualization tool that presents these pre-calculated cycles and provides statistical information about their performance.
## Core Features
* Displays a color-coded line representing manually identified market cycles
* Shows forward projection up to 32 hours ahead (dotted section)
* Uses color to indicate predicted trend direction (green = up, red = down)
* Includes an information panel with statistical data and timing estimates
* Pre-calculated specifically for BTC/USD on the H1 timeframe
## Data Source Methodology
The cycle data displayed by this indicator comes from:
1. Offline spectral analysis using specialized software
2. Manual identification of dominant market cycles
3. Careful filtering to select the most significant 4-6 cycles
4. Expert combination and weighting of cycles based on historical performance
5. Regular updates when market conditions change or cycles need recalibration
The indicator itself doesn't perform these calculations - it simply visualizes the pre-analyzed data and provides performance statistics.
## How To Use
1. The main colored line shows the projected cycle movement:
- Green sections indicate expected upward movement
- Red sections indicate expected downward movement
2. The dotted continuation shows the future projection
3. The information panel provides:
- Current trend direction
- Cycle completion percentage
- Hours until expected trend change
- Expected trend change timestamp
- Correlation quality (statistical measure of past accuracy)
## Practical Application
This indicator is particularly useful for:
* Timing entries and exits around predicted turning points
* Planning ahead for potential reversals
* Confirming signals from other technical indicators
* Understanding the current position within the cycle
## Customization Options
* Time Shift: Fine-tune the cycle alignment (+/- 24 hours)
* Invert Cycle: Reverse the cycle direction when needed
* Visualization settings: Adjust line width, dots width, and colors
* Information display: Toggle the statistical information panel
## Limitations
* Shows potential reversal TIMES, not exact price levels
* Periodically requires updates as market cycles evolve
* Performance may vary during highly volatile periods
* Past correlation does not guarantee future accuracy
The data behind this indicator is manually updated based on ongoing cycle analysis to maintain accuracy with changing market conditions.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "Cycle"
Cycle Low (RSI + StochRSI) โ v5 John.KCycle Low (RSI + StochRSI) โ v5 John.K
This tool is designed to detect potential cycle lows by combining RSI and Stochastic RSI oversold signals.
RSI Oversold + Cross โ confirms momentum exhaustion
StochRSI Cross from Oversold โ confirms short-term cycle turn
Score System (0โ4) โ evaluates confluence strength
Strict Mode โ requires both RSI and StochRSI to be oversold for A+ signals
One-Bar Tolerance โ allows RSI & StochRSI to cross within 1 bar
Anchor Option โ optional reference level for cycle projection
Signals are plotted directly on the candles as green triangles (CL) when conditions are met.
Adjust thresholds (RSI, Stoch, Score) to control signal frequency.
Cycle VTLs โ with Scaled Channels "Cycle VTLs โ with Scaled Channels" for TradingView plots Valid Trend Lines (VTLs) based on Hurst's Cyclic Theory, connecting consecutive price peaks (downward VTLs) or troughs (upward VTLs) for specific cycles. It uses up to eight Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) (default lengths: 25, 50, 100, 200, 400, 800, 1600, 1600 bars) with customizable envelope bands to detect pivots and draw VTLs, enhanced by optional parallel channels scaled to envelope widths.
Key Features:
Valid Trend Lines (VTLs):
Upward VTLs: Connect consecutive cycle troughs, sloping upward.
Downward VTLs: Connect consecutive cycle peaks, sloping downward.
Hurstโs Rules:
Connects consecutive cycle peaks/troughs.
Must not cross price between points.
Downward VTLs:
No longer-cycle trough between peaks.
Invalid if slope is incorrect (upward VTL not up, downward VTL not down).
Expired VTLs: Historical VTLs (crossed by price) from up to three prior cycle waves.
SMA Cycles:
Eight customizable SMAs with envelope bands (offset ร multiplier) for pivot detection.
Channels:
Optional parallel lines around VTLs, width set by channelFactor ร envelope half-width.
Pivot Detection:
Fractal-based (pivotPeriod) on envelopes or price (usePriceFallback).
Customization:
Toggle cycles, VTLs, and channels.
Adjust SMA lengths, offsets, colors, line styles, and widths.
Enable centered envelopes, slope filtering, and limit stored lines (maxStoredLines).
Usage in Hurstโs Cyclic TheoryAnalysis:
VTLs identify cycle trends; upward VTLs suggest bullish momentum, downward VTLs bearish.
Price crossing below an upward VTL confirms a peak in the next longer cycle; crossing above a downward VTL confirms a trough.
Trading:
Buy: Price bounces off upward VTL or breaks above downward VTL.
Sell: Price rejects downward VTL or breaks below upward VTL.
Use channels for support/resistance, breakouts, or stop-loss/take-profit levels.
Workflow:
Add indicator on TradingView.
Enable desired cycles (e.g., 50-bar, 1600-bar), adjust pivotPeriod, channelFactor, and showOnlyCorrectSlope.
Monitor VTL crossings and channels for trade signals.
NotesOptimized for performance with line limits.
Ideal for cycle-based trend analysis across markets (stocks, forex, crypto).
Debug labels show pivot counts and VTL status.
This indicator supports Hurstโs Cyclic Theory for trend identification and trading decisions with flexible, cycle-based VTLs and channels.
Use global variable to scale to chart. best results use factors of 2 and double. try 2, 4, 8, 16...128, 256, etc until price action fits 95% in smallest cycle.
Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator [Loxx]Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator is an osciallator that solves for the Linear Regression slope and turns it into an oscillator. This is a very simple calculation and uses one of Ehler's first implementations of his cycle period calculations. The output slope value is smoothed after calculation and before being drawn. This is a sort of momentum indicator and has a rich history with Forex traders around the world.
What is the Cycle Period?
The spectral content of the data are measured in a bank of contiguous filters as described in "Measuring Cycle Periods" in the March 2008 issue of Stocks & Commodities Magazine. The filter having the strongest output is selected as the current dominant cycle period. The cycle period is measured as the number of bars contained in one full cycle period.
What is Linear Regression?
In statistics, linear regression is a linear approach for modeling the relationship between a scalar response and one or more explanatory variables. The case of one explanatory variable is called simple linear regression; for more than one, the process is called multiple linear regression.
Included:
Bar coloring
2 signal types
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Loxx's Moving Averages
CYCLE RESEARCH PRO - FIXEDCYCLE RESEARCH PRO โ Fixed & Cleaned (2025 Edition)
The only public T+21 / T+35 / T+147 cycle tracker that actually works.
Features:
โข Exact days since the legendary GME sneeze (28 Jan 2021)
โข Highlights active T+21, T+35, and T+147 windows (ยฑ user-defined tolerance)
โข Live countdown to next cycle date for all three
โข FTD Proxy detector (extreme volume + true-range spike)
โข Clean wide dashboard โ no clutter
โข Background glows when any cycle window is active
โข Built-in alerts including the infamous โT+21 + FTDโ combo
โข 100 % non-repainting โ uses only confirmed bars
โข Zero errors, zero warnings, Pine v6 native
Made famous in the meme-stock wars.
Now cleaned, fixed, and ready for the next run.
Works on GME, AMC, BBBY, any stock or crypto.
Use it. Share it. Profit.
Not financial advice. Just math & cycles.
โ Published with love for the apes, degens, and cycle chads everywhere
Cycle Theory + Frequency TheoryCycle Theory attempts to predict, through volatility, support/resistance points where the market may reach/reverse a trend. This theory's calculation is based on a reference candle that the user chooses, usually the first candle of the day/week's session. From this point on, if the level is broken upwards or downwards, the 1st Cycle begins with the same distance between the high/low or open/close of the reference candle. From the 2nd Cycle onwards, the size becomes the sum of all the last cycles formed, and so on.
Frequency Theory is similar, but its levels always have the same size as the high/low or open/close of the reference candle.
CyclesTime based indicator attempting to show changes in a cycle based on the different time elapsed between new highs and new lows in a given time period. Useful when combined with elliott wave price structure. A drop above/below 0 suggests a wave 4 whilst new highs/lows of the indicator suggest whether a bullish or bearish trend is in place. You can change the time cycle as you like. Any Q's please post, i'll be happy to answer them. (If I can)
Cycles: 4x dual inputs: Swing / Time Cycles projected forward//Purpose/Premise:
To project forward vertical 'cycle' lines based on user-input anchor points, and to search for confluence.
The idea being that if several well-anchored cycles agree (i.e. we see multiple bunched vertical line confluence in the future), then this may add support to an already existing trade idea, or may indicate an increased likelihood of a shift in direction.
//Usage & notes:
~In the above chart I've anchored to obvious swing lows and swing highs in Btc/Usd from 2020-2022. You could also use fixed time-based cycles from a favored start anchor point. Bars per cycle are printed at the top of each cycle box if your're interested in time cycles. I.e. for 1, 2, 3 month cycles: for BTC you could use 30, 60, 90 bars on daily; for S&P you could use 20, 40, 60 bars on daily.
~On first loading the indicator you will be asked select 'start date', and 'end date' for each of 4 sessions (8x clicks on chart). After this you can easily reset points by clicking the indicator display line three dots>> reset points. Or you can simply drag the vertical box edges (purple lines) to change your cycle anchor points.
~Be sure the start anchor point is before the end anchor point or box/lines won't appear.
~When you drop down to low timeframes you might get bar_index error due to history available: you need then to click the three dots on indicator display line >> reset points >> 8x clicks on the chart.
~Vertical projected lines will match the color of the cycle box they origninate from.
~Lines will project into the future as far as is allowed by tradingview (500 bars max)
//Inputs:
~Time start and end dates for each cycle (change these as described above, or input manually)
~Show/hide each cycle (default is show all 4)
~Formatting options: color of forward projected lines, line width, line style, line / box / text color.
~Box transparancy: Set to 100 to make boxes invisible & declutter the chart. Set to 0 for maximum opacity. Default is 80.
thanks to @Sathyamurthie for his ideas on cycle confluence which caused me to write this.
CycleSync | QuantEdgeBIntroducing CycleSync by QuantEdgeB
Overview
CycleSync is a powerful valuation and cycle-tracking system designed to provide insights into asset price behavior across different phases of market cycles. It integrates on-chain data, price-based indicators, and risk-adjusted metrics to offer a comprehensive valuation model that helps traders and investors identify accumulation, distribution, and momentum shifts.
This system is ideal for those who want data-driven confirmation of market tops and bottoms, leveraging a blend of statistical measures, trend-following techniques, and historical on-chain valuations.
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Key Features
1. Multi-Factor Valuation Framework
Incorporates a blend of on-chain, momentum, and price-based indicators to assess market cycles in real-time. Helps determine if an asset is overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued over long term horizon.
2.Market Cycle Recognition
Tracks key macro and micro cycle shifts, identifying trends such as accumulation, expansion, distribution, and contraction phases.
3.Dynamic Valuation
CycleSync employs Z-score standardization and adaptive rescaling to continuously refine overbought and oversold thresholds based on evolving market conditions. Unlike static valuation models, which rely on fixed levels, CycleSync dynamically recalibrates these boundaries by analyzing historical price distributions and deviations from the mean.
4.Comprehensive Dashboard
Presents cycle indicators and valuation scores in a structured table format.
Displays color-coded overbought and oversold signals for quick interpretation.
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How It Works
1.On-Chain & Price-Based Data Collection
Gathers key market cycle indicators like MVRV, NUPL, SOPR, CVDD, VWAP, Pi-Cycle, RSI, and Risk Ratios to assess historical valuation.
2.Standardization & Rescaling
Each metric is normalized using either Z-score calculations or high-low rescaling, ensuring fair contribution across different data sources. By applying statistical normalization techniques, the system ensures that extreme valuations are detected relative to the asset's own historical behavior rather than arbitrary thresholds.
3.Valuation Score & Interpretation
๐น CycleSync Score Ranges
- ๐ Strongly Oversold (-2 and below) โ Market is extremely undervalued; potential reversal.
- ๐ Moderately Oversold (-1.5 to -2) โ Discounted market conditions, buying interest may emerge.
- ๐ Slightly Oversold (-0.5 to -1.5) โ Possible accumulation phase.
- โ Fair Value (-0.5 to +0.5) โ Market trading at equilibrium.
- ๐ Slightly Overbought (+0.5 to +1.5) โ Initial signs of market strength.
- ๐ Moderately Overbought (+1.5 to +2) โ Market heating up, caution warranted, selling interest may emerge.
- ๐ Strongly Overbought (+2 and above) โ Extreme valuation, increased risk of correction.
This classification helps traders gauge overall market sentiment and make better allocation decisions.
Note : Past valuations and buy/sell signals generated by CycleSync do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions can change, and proper risk management should always be applied.
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Use Cases
โ
Crypto Traders & Long-Term Investors
Identify potential major market tops and bottoms using on-chain and price-based cycle indicators.Confirm long-term accumulation or distribution phases with CycleSyncโs multi-cycle tracking.
โ
Macro Trend Followers
Detect macro bull and bear cycle shifts by integrating valuation metrics with trend-following strategies.
โ
Mean Reversion & Rotational Traders
Exploit valuation mean reversion strategies when assets enter extreme overvaluation or undervaluation zones. Rotate capital efficiently between risk-on and risk-off assets based on CycleSyncโs valuation models.
โ
Risk Management & Portfolio Allocation
Adjust portfolio exposure by scaling in/out of positions based on historical valuation insights.
Use CycleSyncโs Risk Ratios & CVDD metrics to refine entry and exit strategies.
_____
๐ Optimized for Bitcoin , Yet "Universally" Adaptable ๐
CycleSync is primarily optimized for Bitcoin , leveraging their extensive on-chain and market data to provide robust long-term valuation insights. However, the system remains flexible and can be applied to other assets ๐๐โprovided they have sufficient historical price data to support reliable statistical calculations.
Since CycleSync incorporates volume-based metrics, it is essential that the selected chart's ticker provides accurate volume data to function properly. For assets with limited history, results may be less reliable, as long-term valuation models depend on deep market data for precision.
_____
Conclusion
CycleSync is a powerful full-cycle valuation system designed to provide deep market insights ๐ by blending on-chain metrics, statistical rescaling, and technical analysis. Whether you're tracking Bitcoin or other assets with sufficient historical data, this tool offers a structured framework for identifying overbought/oversold conditions, potential cycle tops/bottoms, and long-term market positioning.
With its dynamic adaptability, intuitive scaling mechanisms, and multi-metric integration โก, CycleSync empowers traders and investors to make more informed, data-driven decisions ๐. While no valuation model is infallible, combining CycleSync with broader market context and risk management strategies enhances its effectiveness.
๐น Who Should Use Sentival?
โ
Swing Traders & Long-Term Investors looking for structured valuation metrics.
โ
Quantitative & Systematic Traders incorporating multi-factor models.
โ
Portfolio Managers optimizing exposure to different market regimes.
โ
Use CycleSync as a guiding frameworkโnot a standalone signalโ and gain a clearer perspective on the ever-evolving market cycles!
๐น Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy can guarantee success in financial markets.
๐น Strategic Advice: Always backtest, optimize, and align parameters with your trading objectives and risk tolerance before live trading.
Cycle Spectrum AnalyzerCycle Spectrum Indicator โ Short Description
This indicator computes a visual Fourier cycle spectrum from the input price data to reveal the marketโs dominant cyclical behaviour. The price series is first detrended using a HodrickโPrescott filter, after which a specialized Fourier analysis variant extracts the cycle components.
The resulting spectrum displays peaks that represent the dominant cycles present in the data, where each peakโs cycle length and amplitude indicate the strength and duration of the underlying rhythm. The most significant peaks are ranked, highlighting the top cycles currently driving market movement. Each detected cycle also includes a phase value, describing the cycleโs position at the most recent bar (e.g., topping, bottoming, rising, falling).
The indicator can be used to:
Identify the top 3 dominant cycles with their length and phase.
Analyze the current market state by interpreting these phases.
Feed the dominant cycle lengthsโoften half the primary cycleโinto other technical indicators for improved parameter tuning.
Project cycles forward to estimate upcoming turning points and anticipate potential trend shifts.
Additional Explanation of the included visual example image
Left Area โ The Theoretical โPerfect Cycleโ
The left part of the illustration presents a theoretical, perfectly smooth sine-wave cycle. This serves as a reference model to explain the core cycle parameters:
Cycle Length โ The full wavelength of one complete oscillation (from trough to trough or peak to peak).
Phase โ The current position within that cycle, expressed both numerically and as an easy-to-read text label such as Bottom_Departure, Uptrend_Neutral, Approaching Top, or Top_Departure.
The diagram highlights visually how a cycle progresses through bottoming, rising, peaking, and declining phases, matching the phase descriptions used in the indicatorโs output. This helps translate raw phase angles into intuitive market-state labels (e.g., recovery, boom, topping, recession).
Right Area โ The Price Series Used for Analysis
On the right, the actual price chart (e.g., Dow Jones Industrial Average) is displayed. This is the dataset from which the Fourier cycle spectrum is computed.
At the bottom of this chart section, a purple bar indicates the amount of historical data included in the cycle analysis. Because Fourier-based methods depend strongly on sample size, this visual cue shows how far back the indicator collected and processed data before generating the spectrum.
Bottom Area โ The Cycle Spectrum Output Pane
The lower pane contains the Cycle Spectrum Analyzer output:
It displays the cycle spectrum at the most recent bar, where each green peak corresponds to a detected cycle.
Peak height = amplitude (strength) of the cycle
Peak position (horizontal) = dominant cycle length
The largest peaks represent the strongest cycles currently present in the detrended price series.
Next to the spectrum, a ranked table lists the Top 3 dominant cycles, showing:
Rank (1 = strongest)
Cycle Length (in bars)
Phase Description (interpreting where that cycle is right now)
This concise summary allows users to quickly understand:
Which cycles are strongest,
How long they are,
And whether they are currently bottoming, topping, rising, or falling.
How the Indicator Works & How It Can Be Adjusted
Calculation Only at the Last Bar
The indicator performs its full Fourier-based cycle decomposition exclusively on the most recent bar. This ensures that the spectrum always reflects the current market state without repeatedly recalculating historical spectra. The result is an efficient, real-time snapshot of the dominant cycles influencing the price at the latest point in time.
Works on Any Symbol and Any Timeframe
Because the analysis operates directly on the provided price series, the indicator is compatible with all markets and all timeframesโstocks, indices, forex, crypto, futures, and intraday charts alike.
The detected cycle lengths always refer to the selected chartโs bar interval (e.g., 240-bar cycle on a 1h chart โ 240 hours; same cycle on a daily chart โ 240 days).
Adjustable Historical Lookback (Default: 1100 Bars)
The accuracy of cycle detection depends on the amount of historical data used. The indicator provides a parameter allowing you to specify how many past bars should be included in the Fourier calculation.
Standard value: 1100 bars
Increasing the lookback allows detection of longer cycles, but may dilute short-term characteristics.
Decreasing it focuses on shorter and medium-term cycles, increasing responsiveness but reducing visibility of long-duration rhythms.
By tuning this lookback parameter and choosing an appropriate timeframe, traders can adapt the cycle spectrum to match their analytical styleโshort-term, medium-term, or long-term cycle interpretation.
Skrip berbayar
CycleVISION [BitAura]๐ycle๐ฝ๐ฐ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ต
This Pine Scriptยฎ indicator combines a long-term trend-following strategy with a cycle valuation Z-score analysis to generate a Trend Probability Indicator (TPI). The TPI aggregates signals from multiple trend and on-chain metrics to identify optimal entry and exit points for a single asset, with USD as a cash position. The system also calculates a comprehensive Z-score based on performance and valuation metrics to assess market cycles, aiming to enhance risk-adjusted returns for long-term investors.
Logic and Core Concepts
The ๐ycle๐ฝ๐ฐ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ต System uses two primary components to guide investing decisions:
1. Trend Probability Indicator (TPI)
Mechanism : Aggregates five proprietary, universal, trend signals and three on-chain metrics into a composite TPI score, normalized between -1 and 1.
Thresholds : Enters a long position when the TPI score exceeds a user-defined long threshold (default: 0.0) and exits to cash when it falls below a short threshold (default: -0.5).
Execution : Trades are executed only on confirmed bars within a user-specified backtest date range, ensuring robust signal reliability.
2. Cycle Valuation Z-Score
Mechanism : Computes an average Z-score from six metrics: Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Omega Ratio, Weekly RSI, Crosby Ratio, and Price Z-Score, using a 1200-bar lookback period.
Purpose : Identifies overvalued or undervalued market conditions to complement TPI signals, with thresholds at ยฑ1.8 for extreme valuations.
Visualization : Displays the average Z-score and individual components, with gradient-based bar coloring to reflect valuation strength.
Features
Dynamic Trend Signals : Combines trend and on-chain data into a single TPI score for clear long/cash decisions.
Comprehensive Valuation : Calculates Z-scores for multiple performance and price metrics to assess market cycles.
Customizable Inputs : Allows users to adjust TPI thresholds, backtest date ranges, and valuation metrics visibility.
Visual Outputs :
Valuation Table : Displays TPI score, Z-scores, and performance metrics (Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Max Drawdown, Net Profit) in a configurable table (Lite, Medium, Full).
Equity Curve : Plots the systemโs equity curve compared to buy-and-hold performance.
Price and TPI Plot : Overlays TPI-adjusted price bands with glow effects and filled gaps for trend visualization on the price chart.
Valuation Coloring : Applies backgrounds based on Z-score ranges (e.g., strong buy above 1.8, strong sell below -1.8).
Configurable Alerts : Notifies users of TPI signal changes (Long to Cash or Cash to Long) with detailed messages.
Color Presets : Offers five color themes (e.g., Arctic Blast, Fire vs. Ice) or custom color options for long/short signals.
Pine Script v6 : Leverages matrices, tables, and gradient coloring for enhanced usability.
How to Use
Add to Chart : Apply the indicator to any chart (the chartโs ticker is used for calculations, e.g., INDEX:BTCUSD ).
Configure Settings : Adjust TPI thresholds, backtest start date (default: 01 Feb 2018), and valuation metrics visibility in the Inputs menu.
Select Color Theme : Choose a preset color mode (e.g., Arctic Blast) or enable custom colors in the Colors group.
Monitor Outputs : Check the Valuation Table for TPI and Z-score data, and view the Price and TPI Plot for trend signals.
Analyze Performance : Enable the equity curve and performance metrics in the Backtesting Options group to compare results.
Set Alerts : Right-click a plot, select "Add alert," and choose "Trend Change: Long to Cash" or "Trend Change: Cash to Long" for notifications.
The system is optimized for daily timeframe and tested across various assets to ensure robustness.
Notes
The script is closed-source.
Use a standard price series (not Heikin Ashi or other non-standard types) for accurate results.
The script avoids lookahead bias by using barmerge.lookahead_off in request.security() calls.
A minimum 1200-bar lookback is mandatory for Z-score calculations to avoid errors, with warnings displayed if insufficient price history is available.
The BitAura watermark can be toggled in the Table Settings group.
Disclaimer : This script is for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and apply proper risk management.
Cycle Indicator CS7This indicator visualizes cyclical structures (including inverse cycles) for financial instruments.
It is highly customizable and comes with a default configuration optimized for cryptocurrencies on a 45-minute timeframe, highlighting the following cycles:
โข T-3: Daily cycles
โข T-2: Approximately 2-day cycles
โข T+1: Bi-weekly cycles
โข T-1: Approximately 4-day cycles
โข T: Weekly cycles
The same setup can also be applied effectively on a 24-hour timeframe, highlighting the following longer-term cycles:
โข T+2: Monthly cycles
โข T+3: Quarterly cycles
โข T+4: Semi-annual cycles
โข T+5: Annual cycles
โข T+6: Bi-annual cycles
Users can customize the configurations to suit the specific characteristics of any financial instrument.
Additionally, the indicator includes a prediction system that approximates future cycles, marking them with a โ?โ.
Cycle Oscillator V2 [OmegaTools]Introducing the "Cycle Oscillator" by OmegaTools, an innovative addition to your TradingView analysis toolkit. This script is designed to offer a unique approach to understanding market cycles without the need for volume data, making it versatile across various market conditions and asset classes.
Key Features:
- Cycle Length Customization: Tailor the cycle length from 10 to 200 bars to fit the specific rhythm of the market you're analyzing, ensuring relevance and precision.
- Smoothness Adjustment: Fine-tune the oscillator's smoothness to capture the essence of market movements with options ranging from 1 to 20.
- Aesthetic Flexibility: Choose your preferred colors for the oscillator's upward and downward movements, personalizing your chart to your liking.
- Historical Mode: Toggle the historical mode to either focus on real-time analysis or review past cycle data for backtesting and study.
- Candle Color Modes: Enhance your visual analysis with optional candle coloring based on trend, signals, or extensions, providing immediate insight into market conditions.
Usage Guide:
1. Setting Up: Easily adjust the cycle length and smoothness to match the market's current volatility and your trading style.
2. Understanding Market Cycles: The oscillator plots the average deviation from three distinct moving averages, offering a clear view of potential market turns or continuations.
3. Identifying Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Utilize the upper and lower bounds to recognize extreme market conditions, guiding your entry and exit decisions.
4. Visual Enhancements: Customize the visual aspects, including colors and candle coloring, to make your analysis both effective and aesthetically pleasing.
5. Anticipating Market Movements: The script provides forward-looking lines to suggest potential future highs or lows, aiding in predictive analysis.
Designed with both novice and experienced traders in mind, the "Cycle Oscillator" is a testament to OmegaTools' commitment to providing high-quality, innovative trading tools. Whether you're looking to refine your trading strategy or seeking new analytical perspectives, this script offers a comprehensive solution to navigating the ebbs and flows of the financial markets.
Join the community of traders enhancing their TradingView experience with the "Cycle Oscillator" by OmegaTools. Start exploring deeper market insights and unlock new trading opportunities today.
Cycles MasterCycles Master Indicator
The "Cycles Master" indicator is a powerful tool designed to reveal cyclical patterns within market trends. It operates with precision, allowing users to adjust cycle lines to the top of prices using the "Multiplication" parameter.
Multiplication: Aligning Cycle Lines
The "Multiplication" parameter serves a crucial role in aligning cycle lines with the upper extremes of price action. Increasing this value adjusts the cycles upward, offering a clearer view of cyclical patterns in relation to price peaks.
MA Length: Cycle Frequency
Meanwhile, the "MA Length" parameter determines the frequency of cycles displayed on the chart. A shorter length leads to more frequent cycles, capturing shorter-term market fluctuations. In contrast, a longer length smooths out cycles, revealing longer-term trends.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Each line represents a unique cyclical variation derived from the chosen moving average type and its parameters.
The alignment of these cycles with price peaks assists in spotting potential trend reversals or shifts in market momentum.
Usage Recommendations:
Adjust the "Multiplication" value to precisely align cycle lines with price peaks, aiding in accurate identification of cyclic patterns in relation to market highs.
Tailor the "MA Length" parameter to capture cycles of varying frequencies, catering to short-term fluctuations or longer-term trends.
Complement this indicator with additional analysis tools for a comprehensive market assessment.
Gradient Vertical Box: Cycle Line Colors
Located at the middle right of the chart, the gradient vertical box showcases varying colors that correspond to the cycle lines displayed. The colors portray the intensity and diversity of the cycles observed within the market.
Within this gradient vertical box, the top of the gradient is marked with an "H," symbolizing the Highs of cycles, while the bottom displays an "L," signifying the Lows of cycles. This arrangement provides a clear visual reference for interpreting the cycle lines.
Risk Advisory:
While the indicator assists in market analysis, it should be used alongside other indicators or analysis methods.
It does not guarantee specific market outcomes; hence, traders should practice caution and employ proper risk management strategies.
Cycle Swing MomentumAdaptive Ultra-Smooth Momentum indicator
The Cycle-Swing-Indicator "CSI" provides an optimized "momentum" oscillator based on the current dominant cycle by looking at the swing of the dominant cycle instead of the raw source momentum. Offering the following improvements:
Smoothness
Zero delay
Sharpness at turning points
Robust and adaptable to market conditions
Accurate deviation detection
The following common problems with standard indicators are solved by this indicator:
First, normal indicators introduce a lot of false signals due to their noisy signal line. Second, to compensate for the noise, one would normally try to add some smoothing. But this only results in adding more delay to the indicator, which makes it almost useless. Third, standard indicators require a length adjustment to derive reliable signals. However, you never know how to set the right length.
All three problems described above are solved by the developed adaptive cyclic algorithm.
The above chart shows current Bitcoin 4h data from the last days as of writing with the proposed signal reading for this indicator. The standard momentum indicator is included for comparison.
HOW TO USE
The indicator works without any parameter and can be applied to any chart and any time-frame. It will adapt automatically to the Dominant Cycle and use the dominant cycle of the source data to derive the ultra smooth momentum curve. Adaptive upper/lower bands are included and highlight areas with extreme readings. Automatic divergence detection can be turned off/on.
HOW TO READ
The indicator can be used like any oscillator. In addition, it provides adaptive high and low bands.
* Look for turns above the upper/lower bands
* Look for divergences between source and signals line
Further reading/Original source:
The indicator uses the dominant cycle to optimize signal, smoothing and cyclic memory. To get more in-depth information on the Cycle Swing Indicator, please read Chapter 10 "Cycle Swing Indicator: Trading the swing of the dominant cycle" of the book "Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm, Part 1" available at your favorite book store.
Related ideas:
Please also check the cyclic RSI indicator which also uses cyclic information to improve the signal.
Cycle Biologique Strategy // (\_/)
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//@fr33domz
Experimental Research: Cycle Biologique Strategy
Overview
The "Cycle Biologique Strategy" is an experimental trading algorithm designed to leverage periodic cycles in price movements by utilizing a sinusoidal function. This strategy aims to identify potential buy and sell signals based on the behavior of a custom-defined biological cycle.
Key Parameters
Cycle Length: This parameter defines the duration of the cycle, set by default to 30 periods. The user can adjust this value to optimize the strategy for different asset classes or market conditions.
Amplitude: The amplitude of the cycle influences the scale of the sinusoidal wave, allowing for customization in the sensitivity of buy and sell signals.
Offset: The offset parameter introduces phase shifts to the cycle, adjustable within a range of -360 to 360 degrees. This flexibility allows the strategy to align with various market rhythms.
Methodology
The core of the strategy lies in the calculation of a periodic cycle using a sinusoidal function.
Trading Signals
Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the cycle value crosses above zero, indicating a potential upward momentum.
Sell Signal: Conversely, a sell signal is triggered when the cycle value crosses below zero, suggesting a potential downtrend.
Execution
The strategy executes trades based on these signals:
Upon receiving a buy signal, the algorithm enters a long position.
When a sell signal occurs, the strategy closes the long position.
Visualization
To enhance user experience, the periodic cycle is plotted visually on the chart in blue, allowing traders to observe the cyclical nature of the strategy and its alignment with market movements.
Cycles AnalysisI strongly believe in cycles, so I wanted to create something that would give a visual representation of bull/bear markets and give a prediction based on the previous data. It's up to you how to decide what is a bull/bear cycle. There is no single rule for all assets because 20% drop in SP500 starts a bear market in traditional markets, while 35% drop for Bitcoin is a Tuesday. You have two options on how to decide when markets turn: either by a % change (traditional definition) or if there is no new high/low after X days. A softer version to show periods of no new highs/lows is to use the Stagnation option. Stagnation periods hava the same logic as the cycle change by X days: if there is no new high/low then we treat this period as a stagnation. The difference is that stagnation periods do not change cycle directions and do not participate in calculations.
The script also draws a possible "predictions" zone where the current cycle might end up. There is no magic here, it just takes previous cycles' size to draw the possible boundaries. If you decide to use percentiles then the box area will be taken from the percentiles calculations, otherwise it will come from the full data. "x" in the predictions zone represents a target mean (average) value, "o" represents a target median value.
A few things to keep in mind:
- this script is not supposed to be used in trading. It was created for analysis. It repaints. And when I say "it repaints" - it might like repaint the last 6 months of data if a new low comes and we are in a stagnation period (aka not a financial advice).
- it doesn't work with replays as it does calculations only once on the last candle.
- you need at least 3 periods to be able to calculate percentiles. And after this it will remove at least 1 period on each side. Which means that 90 percentile will not be a real 90 percentile until you have enough periods for it to be (20 in this specific case).
- it assumes that a year = 360 days, and a month = 30 days. So the duration presentation might not be exact, until you move to the day level.
- I had macro analysis in mind when I created the script, but nothing stops you from using it in a 1m time frame for BTC. Just change the time duration presentation.
- the last period is not finished, so it doesn't participate in calculations.
Cycle OscillatorThe Cycle Oscillator is a tool developed to help traders analyze market cycles thanks to a simplified version of the Hurst theory and the easy visualization provided by the detrended cycle.
This indicator has two functions:
- The first one is the plotting of a line that oscillates above and below the zero line, which can be used to find the cycle direction and momentum
- The second feature is the next-cycle bottom forecaster, useful for estimating the timing of the future pivot low based on the pivot low of the oscillator.
This last feature shows graphically the period in which the next low will probably happen, using as a calculation method the timing of the previous indicator's lows.
Additionally, the user can choose to modify the cycle length to analyze bigger or smaller price movements.
This indicator can be greatly used in combination with other Cycle Indicators to gain more confluence in the plotted time areas.
Cycle Forecast + MACD Divergence (Kombi v6 FULL)This indicator merges two powerful analytical models:
๐ฎ 1. Dominant Cycle Forecasting
The script automatically identifies major structural market cycles by detecting significant swing highs and lows.
It then fits a sinusoidal wave (amplitude, phase, and period) to the dominant cycle and projects it into the future.
Features:
Automatically extracts large, dominant cycles (no noise, no small swings)
Smooth sinusoidal historical cycle visualization
Future cycle projection for 1โ2 upcoming cycle periods
Dynamic amplitude and phase alignment based on market structure
Helps anticipate cycle tops and bottoms for long-term timing
๐ 2. MACD Divergence Detection
Full divergence detection engine using MACD or MACD Histogram.
Detects:
Bullish Divergence
Price โ while MACD (or Histogram) โ
โ Possible trend reversal upward
Bearish Divergence
Price โ while MACD (or Histogram) โ
โ Possible trend reversal downward
Features:
Pivot-based divergence confirmation (no repaint)
Choice of MACD Line or Histogram as divergence source
Labels + connecting divergence lines
Works across all markets and timeframes
โ๏ธ Smart Auto-Pivot System
The indicator optionally adjusts pivot sensitivity based on timeframe:
Weekly โ tighter pivots
Daily โ medium pivots
Intraday โ wider pivots
Ensures stable, meaningful divergence signals even on higher timeframes.
๐ฏ Use cases
Identify upcoming cycle highs/lows
Spot major trend reversals early
Improve swing entries with MACD divergences near cycle turns
Combine forecasting with momentum exhaustion
Suitable for crypto, stocks, indices, forex & commodities
๐ง Why this indicator is powerful
This tool blends time-based cycle forecasting with momentum-based divergence signals, giving you a unique perspective of where the market is likely to turn.
Cycles reveal when a move may occur.
Divergences reveal why a move may occur.
Combined, they offer highly effective market timing.
Cycle IndicatorThe Cycle Indicator is a tool developed to help traders analyze market cycles thanks to a simplified version of the Hurst theory.
This indicator has two functions:
- The first one is the plotting of a line that can be used to find the cycle direction and momentum
- The second feature is the next-cycle bottom forecaster, useful for estimating the timing of the future pivot low.
This last feature shows graphically the period in which the next low will probably happen, using as a calculation method the timing of the previous lows.
Additionally, the user can choose to extend this time zone or to limit them to the range between the last pivot high and low.
CYCLE BY RiotWolftradingDescription of the "CYCLE" Indicator
The "CYCLE" indicator is a custom Pine Script v5 script for TradingView that visualizes cyclic patterns in price action, dividing the trading day into specific sessions and 90-minute quarters (Q1-Q4). It is designed to identify and display market phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal) along with key support and resistance levels within those sessions. Additionally, it allows customization of boxes, lines, labels, and colors to suit user preferences.
Main Features
Cycle Phases:
Accumulation (1900-0100): Represents the phase where large operators accumulate positions.
Manipulation (0100-0700): Identifies potential manipulative moves to mislead retail traders.
Distribution (0700-1300): The phase where large operators distribute their positions.
Continuation/Reversal (1300-1900): Indicates whether the price continues the trend or reverses.
90-Minute Quarters (Q1-Q4):
Divides each 6-hour cycle (360 minutes) into four 90-minute quarters (Q1: 00:00-01:30, Q2: 01:30-03:00, Q3: 03:00-04:30, Q4: 04:30-06:00 UTC).
Each quarter is displayed with a colored box (Q1: light purple, Q2: light blue, Q3: light gray, Q4: light pink) and labels (defaulted to black).
Support and Resistance Visualization:
Draws boxes or lines (based on settings) showing the high and low levels of each session.
Optionally displays accumulated volume at the highs and lows within the boxes.
Daily Lines and Last 3 Boxes:
How to Use the Indicator
Step 1: Add the Indicator to TradingView
Open TradingView and select the chart where you want to apply the indicator (e.g., UMG9OOR on a 5-minute timeframe, as shown in the screenshot).
Go to the Pine Editor (at the bottom of the TradingView interface).
Copy and paste the provided code.
Click Compile and then Add to Chart.
Step 2: Configure the Indicator
Click on the indicator name on the chart ("CYCLE") and select Settings (or double-click the name).
Adjust the options based on your needs:
Cycle Phases: Enable/disable phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, Continuation/Reversal) and adjust their time slots if needed.
90-Minute Quarters: Enable/disable quarters (Q1-Q4).
Step 3: Interpret the Indicator
Identify Cycle Phases:
Observe the red boxes indicating the phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, etc.).
The high and low levels within each phase are potential support/resistance zones.
If volume is enabled, pay attention to the accumulated volume at highs and lows, as it may indicate the strength of those levels.
Use the 90-Minute Quarters (Q1-Q4):
The colored boxes (Q1-Q4) divide the day into 90-minute segments.
Each quarter shows the price range (high and low) during that period.
Use these boxes to identify price patterns within each quarter, such as breakouts or consolidations.
The labels (Q1, Q2, etc.) help you track time and anticipate potential moves in the next quarter.
Analyze Support and Resistance:
The high and low levels of each phase/quarter act as support and resistance.
Daily lines (if enabled) show key levels from the previous day, useful for planning entries/exits.
The "last 3 boxes below price" (if enabled) highlight potential support levels the price might target.
Avoid Manipulation:
During the Manipulation phase (0100-0700), be cautious of sharp moves or false breakouts.
Use the high/low levels of this phase to identify potential traps (as explained in your first question about manipulation candles).
Step 4: Trading Strategy
Entries and Exits:
Support/Resistance: Use the high/low levels of phases and quarters to set entry or exit points.
For example, if the price bounces off a Q1 support level, consider a buy.
Breakouts: If the price breaks a high/low of a quarter (e.g., Q2), wait for confirmation to enter in the direction of the breakout.
Volume: If accumulated volume is high near a key level, that level may be more significant.
Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders below lows (for buys) or above highs (for sells) identified by the indicator.
Avoid trading during the Manipulation phase unless you have a specific strategy to handle false breakouts.
Time Context:
Use the quarters (Q1-Q4) to plan your trades based on time. For example, if Q3 is typically volatile in your market, prepare for larger moves between 03:00-04:30 UTC.
Step 5: Adjustments and Testing
Test on Different Timeframes: The indicator is set for a 5-minute timeframe (as in the screenshot), but you can test it on other timeframes (e.g., 1-minute, 15-minute) by adjusting the time slots if needed.
Adjust Colors and Styles: If the default colors are not visible on your chart, change them for better clarity.
---
๐ 1. **Accumulation: Strong Institutional Activity**
- During the **accumulation phase, we see **high volume: 82.773K, which suggests strong buying interest**, likely from institutional players.
- This sets the base for the following upward move in price.
---
๐ 2. **Manipulation: False Breakout with Lower Volume**
- Later, there's a manipulation phase where price breaks above previous highs, but the volume (71.814K) is **lower than during accumulation**.
- This implies that buyers are not as aggressive as beforeโno real demandbehind the breakout.
- Itโs likely a bull trap, where smart money is selling into the breakout to exit their positions.
---
### ๐ 3. Distribution: Weakness and Lack of Demand
- The market enters a distribution phase, and volume drops even further (only 7.914K).
- Price struggles to go higher, and you start seeing rejections at the top.
- This shows that demand is drying up, and smart money is offloading positions**โnot accumulating anymore.
---
### ๐ก Why Take the Short Here?
- Volume is not increasing with new highsโshowing weak demand**.
- The manipulation volume is weaker than the accumulation volume, confirming the breakout was likely false.
- Structure starts to break down (Q levels falling), which confirms weakness.
- This creates a high-probability short setup:
- **Entry:** after confirmation of distribution and structural breakdown.
- **Stop loss:** above the manipulation high.
- **Target:** down toward previous lows or value zones.
---
### โ
Conclusion
Since the manipulation volume failed to exceed the accumulation volume, the breakout lacked real strength. Combined with decreasing volume in the distribution phase, this indicates fading demand and supply taking controlโwhich justifies entering a short position.
Monarch Strategies BTC Optimized Cycle & Trend Strategy (1W)The "BTC Optimized Cycle & Trend Strategy (1W)" is a high-quality, long-term optimized trading strategy for BTC/USD, designed for traders and investors who want to systematically trade major market cycles โ without overtrading, without emotions, and without unnecessary complexity.
The strategy is specifically built for the weekly timeframe (1W) and focuses on what Bitcoin has historically done best: strong, multi-year trend movements.
