Z-Score - AsymmetrikZ-Score-Asymmetrik User Manual
Introduction
The Z-Score Indicator is a powerful tool used in technical analysis to measure how far a data point is from the mean value of a dataset, measured in terms of standard deviations. This indicator helps traders identify potential overbought or oversold conditions in the market.
This user manual provides a comprehensive guide on how to use the Z-Score Indicator in TradingView.
0. Quickstart
- Set the thresholds based on your asset (number of standard deviations that you consider being extreme for this asset / timeframe).
- Red background indicates a possible overbought situation, green background an oversold one.
- The color and direction of the Z-Score Line acts as a confirmation of the trend reversal.
1. Indicator Overview
The Z-Score Indicator, also known as the Z-Score Oscillator, is designed to display the Z-Score of a selected financial instrument on your TradingView chart. The Z-Score measures how many standard deviations an asset's price is from its mean (average) price over a specified period.
The indicator consists of the following components:
- Z-Score Line: This line represents the Z-Score value and is displayed on the indicator panel.
- Background Color: The background color of the indicator panel changes based on user-defined thresholds.
2. Inputs
The indicator provides several customizable inputs to tailor it to your specific trading preferences:
- Number of Periods: This input allows you to define the number of periods over which the Z-Score will be calculated. A longer period will provide a smoother Z-Score line but may be less responsive to recent price changes.
- Z-Score Low Threshold: Sets the lower threshold value for the Z-Score. When the Z-Score crosses below this threshold, the background color of the indicator panel changes accordingly.
- Z-Score High Threshold: Sets the upper threshold value for the Z-Score. When the Z-Score crosses above this threshold, the background color of the indicator panel changes accordingly.
3. How to Use the Indicator
Here are the steps to use the Z-Score Indicator:
- Adjust Parameters: Modify the indicator's inputs as needed. You can change the number of periods for the Z-Score calculation and set your desired low and high thresholds.
- Interpret the Indicator: Observe the Z-Score line on the indicator panel. It fluctuates above and below zero. Pay attention to the background color changes when the Z-Score crosses your specified thresholds.
4. Interpreting the Indicator
- Z-Score Line: The Z-Score line represents the current Z-Score value. When it is above zero, it suggests that the asset's price is above the mean, indicating potential overvaluation. When below zero, it suggests undervaluation.
- Background Color: The background color of the indicator panel changes based on the Z-Score's position relative to the specified thresholds. Green indicates the Z-Score is below the low threshold (potential undervaluation), while red indicates it is above the high threshold (potential overvaluation).
- Z-Score Line Color: The color of the Z-Score line shows that the Z-Score is trending up compared to its moving average. This can be used as a validation of the background color.
5. Customization Options
You can customize the Z-Score Indicator in the following ways:
- Adjust Inputs: Modify the number of periods and the Z-Score thresholds.
- Change Line and Background Colors: You can customize the colors of the Z-Score line and background by editing the indicator's script.
6. Troubleshooting
If you encounter any issues while using the Z-Score Indicator, make sure to check the following:
- Ensure that the indicator is applied correctly to your chart.
- Verify that the indicator's inputs match your intended settings.
- Contact me for more support if needed
7. Conclusion
The Z-Score Indicator is a valuable tool for traders and investors to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. By understanding how the Z-Score works and customizing it to your preferences, you can integrate it into your trading strategy to make informed decisions.
Remember that trading involves risk, and it's essential to combine technical indicators like the Z-Score with other analysis methods and risk management strategies for successful trading.
Sisihan Piawai
Directional Bollinger Bands PredictorThis strategy works on the principal that if Bollinger bands are closer to each other then the price is sideways and if it expands then the market is trending.
The strategy is built with a standard deviation of 2 from the EMA 20 and with a range of 0.25.
Explanation of Input Settings:
1. EMA Length: Set as a standard 20 EMA however the trader can make changes if required
2. Standard Deviation Multiplier: This depicts the value of the bands that are formed in association to the EMA value. The default is set to 2 however the same can be changed by the trader.
3. Threshold Value: The threshold Value is the percentage of squeeze within the bands that show if the market is sideways or not. The standard is set at 0.25 however it can be changed.
Unlike the standard Bollinger Bands this indicator will help the user differentiate between rangebound markets and trending markets as a result of which the user can deploy the following trading systems
A. Small reversal trades from the upper band to the lower band when the area is highlighted and the market is range bound and
B. Trend following trades when the bands start expanding and the highlight is omitted.
Credit Spreads Trend Trading Indicator
This is a credit spreads trend following indicator designed to assist credit spreads traders in identifying trends and exploring trade ideas.
High Level Overview
It is based on a 200 period moving average line and incorporates calculations related to expected moves, which are derived from the stock's historical volatility. These calculations generate bands that may suggest possible ranges and trends. For example, the green band is one standard deviation based on historical volatility above the 200 period moving average while the red band is one standard based on historical volatility below the 200 period moving average. The grey line on the chart is the 200 period moving average. Historical volatility in this instance is calculated by looking at the last 252 candles.
How You Can Use It
You can use these bands to assist in trend analysis. For instance, if the stock is above the green line, the stock typically appears to be bullish. If the stock is below the red line, the stock typically appears to be bearish. When the market is between the red line and green, the stock trends to be sideways. With this information on the trend, it can assist you in coming up with credit spread trade ideas (put credit spread = bullish and call credit spread = bearish). The credit spread trade ideas table on the chart will show case a potential trade idea based on the percentage out of the money you want to place the trade (this is set in your settings).
This indicator has taken me 6 years to build, so I hope you enjoy it :)
Algorithm breakdown
Above the green line: bullish trend
Below the red line: bearish trend
Between the red and green line: sideways market
Above the top yellow line (optional): overbought market
Below the bottom yellow line (optional): oversold market
Understand The Settings
Plot breakout arrows?: shows arrows when the stock crossed one of the major lines
Show standard deviation high and low: shows where the market will top out and bottom out (mathematically)
SMA length: the length of the midline which is a simple moving average indicator
Show credit spreads recommendation: gives you trade ideas based on the stock's trend
Percentage out of the money: how far the recommended trade idea is out of the money
Keep in mind, this indicator may serve as a tool for potential trend identification and generating credit spread trade concepts, but it's essential to conduct your research and exercise due diligence beforehand.
GKD-C STD-Filtered, REMA EMA/RMA [Loxx]The Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-C STD-Filtered, REMA EMA/RMA is a confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System."
█ GKD-C STD-Filtered, REMA EMA/RMA
STD-Filtered, Regularized EMA/RMA calculates and visualizes a standard deviation (STD) filtered, regularized version of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) or Regular Moving Average (RMA) on a trading chart.
Understanding the Regularized Moving Average
The Regularized Moving Average, as conceptualized by Chris Satchwell, offers a more responsive interpretation compared to traditional moving averages. By incorporating a smoothing mechanism using "Lambda", this approach reduces lag without compromising the data's integrity.
In the realm of technical analysis, many regard it as a preferred alternative to the standard Moving Average and Exponential Moving Average.
How Does It Stand Out from Other Moving Averages?
While analysts traditionally shorten an indicator's length or period to minimize lag, the Regularized Moving Average uses a unique approach. By embedding "Regularization" within its computation, this method introduces Lambda (often symbolized as λ-calculus). This mathematical factor tames the moving average's undue fluctuations, offering more stability through its Lambda adjustments.
Pro Tip: For those analyzing smaller intraday timeframes, consider ramping up the Lambda setting to 6.0 or even higher. When tweaking these settings, always remember to backtest and observe how it impacts signal accuracy and noise filtering.
Standard Deviation Filtering:
This filtering mechanism is designed to smoothen price data by eliminating minor fluctuations that might be considered "noise". Here's how the process works:
For every data point, the standard deviation of prices over a specified period is calculated.
This standard deviation is then multiplied by a user-defined value to determine a threshold. This threshold defines the magnitude of change required in the price for it to be considered significant.
For each price, if the absolute difference between its current and previous value is less than this threshold, the price is kept unchanged (considered insignificant and thus filtered). If the difference exceeds the threshold, the price is considered significant and remains as is.
By applying this filter, minor price variations within the threshold are disregarded, resulting in a smoother representation of the price data.
Moving Average Calculation:
The script provides an option to calculate either a regularized Exponential Moving Average (EMA) or a Regular Moving Average (RMA). Here's how these are approached:
If the EMA option is selected: A weighted formula is used where more recent prices have a higher influence on the average than older prices. This is achieved by applying a fraction that's inversely related to the chosen period. The outcome is an average that reacts more quickly to recent price changes.
If the RMA option is selected: The average is computed by giving equal weight to all prices within the chosen period.
Both these averages then undergo a regularization process. Regularization, in this context, refers to adjusting the moving average using a factor to make it potentially more sensitive or responsive to price changes.
This regularized moving average can offer a refined perspective on price trends by being more adaptive to recent changes, potentially highlighting turning points or trend continuations more effectively.
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
8. Metamorphosis - a technical indicator that produces a compound signal from the combination of other GKD indicators*
*(not part of the NNFX algorithm)
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
What is an Metamorphosis indicator?
The concept of a metamorphosis indicator involves the integration of two or more GKD indicators to generate a compound signal. This is achieved by evaluating the accuracy of each indicator and selecting the signal from the indicator with the highest accuracy. As an illustration, let's consider a scenario where we calculate the accuracy of 10 indicators and choose the signal from the indicator that demonstrates the highest accuracy.
The resulting output from the metamorphosis indicator can then be utilized in a GKD-BT backtest by occupying a slot that aligns with the purpose of the metamorphosis indicator. The slot can be a GKD-B, GKD-C, or GKD-E slot, depending on the specific requirements and objectives of the indicator. This allows for seamless integration and utilization of the compound signal within the GKD-BT framework.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
6. GKD-M - Metamorphosis module (Metamorphosis, Number 8 in the NNFX algorithm, but not part of the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Multi-Ticker CC Backtest
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
Confirmation 1: Advance Trend Pressure as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: uf2018
Continuation: Coppock Curve
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Metamorphosis: Baseline Optimizer
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, GKD-M, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2. Baseline agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Standard Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2a. Baseline agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Volatility/Volume agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
1-Candle Baseline Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Baseline agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry
1a. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSVVC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Volatility/Volume agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Baseline agrees
Confirmation 2 Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 2 gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Volatility/Volume agrees
6. Baseline agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation 2 gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSC2C Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Confirmation 2 agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Volatility/Volume agrees
5b. Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle
1b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
2b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, 1-Candle Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, 1-Candle Baseline Entry, Volatility/Volume Entry, 1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry, Confirmation 2 Entry, 1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry, or Pullback entry triggered previously
2. Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
4. Confirmation 1 agrees
5. Baseline agrees
6. Confirmation 2 agrees
STD-Filtered, Regularized EMA/RMA [Loxx]STD-Filtered, Regularized EMA/RMA calculates and visualizes a standard deviation (STD) filtered, regularized version of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) or Regular Moving Average (RMA) on a trading chart.
█ Understanding the Regularized Moving Average
The Regularized Moving Average, as conceptualized by Chris Satchwell, offers a more responsive interpretation compared to traditional moving averages. By incorporating a smoothing mechanism using "Lambda", this approach reduces lag without compromising the data's integrity.
In the realm of technical analysis, many regard it as a preferred alternative to the standard Moving Average and Exponential Moving Average.
█ How Does It Stand Out from Other Moving Averages?
While analysts traditionally shorten an indicator's length or period to minimize lag, the Regularized Moving Average uses a unique approach. By embedding "Regularization" within its computation, this method introduces Lambda (often symbolized as λ-calculus). This mathematical factor tames the moving average's undue fluctuations, offering more stability through its Lambda adjustments.
Pro Tip: For those analyzing smaller intraday timeframes, consider ramping up the Lambda setting to 6.0 or even higher. When tweaking these settings, always remember to backtest and observe how it impacts signal accuracy and noise filtering.
█ Standard Deviation Filtering:
This filtering mechanism is designed to smoothen price data by eliminating minor fluctuations that might be considered "noise". Here's how the process works:
For every data point, the standard deviation of prices over a specified period is calculated.
This standard deviation is then multiplied by a user-defined value to determine a threshold. This threshold defines the magnitude of change required in the price for it to be considered significant.
For each price, if the absolute difference between its current and previous value is less than this threshold, the price is kept unchanged (considered insignificant and thus filtered). If the difference exceeds the threshold, the price is considered significant and remains as is.
By applying this filter, minor price variations within the threshold are disregarded, resulting in a smoother representation of the price data.
█ Moving Average Calculation:
The script provides an option to calculate either a regularized Exponential Moving Average (EMA) or a Regular Moving Average (RMA). Here's how these are approached:
If the EMA option is selected: A weighted formula is used where more recent prices have a higher influence on the average than older prices. This is achieved by applying a fraction that's inversely related to the chosen period. The outcome is an average that reacts more quickly to recent price changes.
If the RMA option is selected: The average is computed by giving equal weight to all prices within the chosen period.
Both these averages then undergo a regularization process. Regularization, in this context, refers to adjusting the moving average using a factor to make it potentially more sensitive or responsive to price changes.
This regularized moving average can offer a refined perspective on price trends by being more adaptive to recent changes, potentially highlighting turning points or trend continuations more effectively.
█ Extras
Signals
Alerts
Bar coloring
Bias of Volume Share inside Std Deviation ChannelThe "Bias of Volume Share inside STD Deviation Channel" indicator is a powerful tool for traders aiming to assess market sentiment within a standard deviation (STD) price channel. This indicator calculates the bullish or bearish bias by analysing the share of volume within the standard deviation channel and provides valuable insights for decision-making.
Usage:
This indicator is a valuable tool for traders seeking to gain in-depth insights into market sentiment within a specified price channel. By focusing on price movements that fall within the standard distribution range and filtering out noise and market manipulations, it provides a clear view of prevailing bullish or bearish biases. Traders can leverage this information to make well-informed trading decisions that align with current market conditions, enhancing their trading strategies and potential for success.
Please ensure you review and adhere to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0, as outlined in the indicator's source code.
Advanced Weighted Residual Arbitrage AnalyzerThe Advanced Weighted Residual Arbitrage Analyzer is a sophisticated tool designed for traders aiming to exploit price deviations between various asset pairs. By examining the differences in normalized price relations and their weighted residuals, this indicator provides insights into potential arbitrage opportunities in the market.
Key Features:
Multiple Relation Analysis: Analyze up to five different asset relations simultaneously, offering a comprehensive view of potential arbitrage setups.
Normalization Functions: Choose from a variety of normalization techniques like SMA, EMA, WMA, and HMA to ensure accurate comparisons between different price series.
Dynamic Weighting: Residuals are weighted based on their correlation, ensuring that stronger correlations have a more pronounced impact on the analysis. Weighting can be adjusted using several functions including square, sigmoid, and logistic.
Regression Flexibility: Incorporate linear, polynomial, or robust regression to calculate residuals, tailoring the analysis to different market conditions.
Customizable Display: Decide which plots to display for clarity and focus, including normalized relations, weighted residuals, and the difference between the screen relation and the average weighted residual.
Usage Guidelines:
Configure the asset pairs you wish to analyze using the Symbol Relations group in the settings.
Adjust the normalization, volatility, regression, and weighting functions based on your preference and the specific characteristics of the asset pairs.
Monitor the weighted residuals for deviations from the mean. Larger deviations suggest stronger arbitrage opportunities.
Use the difference plot (between the screen relation and average weighted residual) as a quick visual cue for potential trade setups. When this plot deviates significantly from zero, it indicates a possible arbitrage opportunity.
Regularly update and adjust the parameters to account for changing market conditions and ensure the most accurate analysis.
In the Advanced Weighted Residual Arbitrage Analyzer , the value set in Alert Threshold plays a crucial role in delineating a normalized band. This band serves as a guide to identify significant deviations and potential trading opportunities.
When we observe the plots of the green line and the purple line, the Alert Threshold provides a boundary for these plots. The following points explain the significance:
Breach of the Band: When either the green or purple line crosses above or below the Alert Threshold , it indicates a significant deviation from the mean. This breach can be interpreted as a potential trading signal, suggesting a possible arbitrage opportunity.
Convergence to the Mean: If the green line converges with the purple line , it denotes that the price relation has reverted to its mean. This convergence typically suggests that the arbitrage opportunity has been exhausted, and the market dynamics are returning to equilibrium.
Trade Execution: A trader can consider entering a trade when the lines breach the Alert Threshold . The return of the green line to align closely with the purple line can be seen as a signal to exit the trade, capitalizing on the reversion to the mean.
By monitoring these plots in conjunction with the Alert Threshold , traders can gain insights into market imbalances and exploit potential arbitrage opportunities. The convergence and divergence of these lines, relative to the normalized band, serve as valuable visual cues for trade initiation and termination.
When you're analyzing relations between two symbols (for instance, BINANCE:SANDUSDT/BINANCE:NEARUSDT ), you're essentially looking at the price relationship between the two underlying assets. This relationship provides insights into potential imbalances between the assets, which arbitrage traders can exploit.
Breach of the Lower Band: If the purple line touches or crosses below the lower Alert Threshold , it indicates that the first symbol (in our example, SANDUSDT ) is undervalued relative to the second symbol ( NEARUSDT ). In practical terms:
Action: You would consider buying the first symbol ( SANDUSDT ) and selling the second symbol ( NEARUSDT ).
Rationale: The expectation is that the price of the first symbol will rise, or the price of the second symbol will fall, or both, thereby converging back to their historical mean relationship.
Breach of the Upper Band: Conversely, if the difference plot touches or crosses above the upper Alert Threshold , it suggests that the first symbol is overvalued compared to the second. This implies:
Action: You'd consider selling the first symbol ( SANDUSDT ) and buying the second symbol ( NEARUSDT ).
Rationale: The anticipation here is that the price of the first symbol will decrease, or the price of the second will increase, or both, bringing the relationship back to its historical average.
Convergence to the Mean: As mentioned earlier, when the green line aligns closely with the purple line, it's an indication that the assets have returned to their typical price relationship. This serves as a signal for traders to consider closing out their positions, locking in the gains from the arbitrage opportunity.
It's important to note that when you're trading based on symbol relations, you're essentially betting on the relative performance of the two assets. This strategy, often referred to as "pairs trading," seeks to capitalize on price imbalances between related financial instruments. By taking opposing positions in the two symbols, traders aim to profit from the eventual reversion of the price difference to the mean.
Opening Range Gap + Std Dev [starclique]The ICT Opening Range Gap is a concept taught by Inner Circle Trader and is discussed in the videos: 'One Trading Setup For Life' and 2023 ICT Mentorship - Opening Range Gap Repricing Macro
ORGs, or Opening Range Gaps, are gaps that form only on the Regular Trading Hours chart.
The Regular Trading Hours gap occurs between 16:15 PM - 9:29 AM EST (UTC-4)
These times are considered overnight trading, so it is useful to filter the PA (price action) formed there.
The RTH option is only available for futures contracts and continuous futures from CME Group.
To change your chart to RTH, first things first, make sure you’re looking at a futures contract for an asset class, then on the bottom right of your chart, you’ll see ETH (by default) - Click on that, and change it to RTH.
Now your charts are filtering the price action that happened overnight.
To draw out your gap, use the Close of the 4:14 PM candle and the open of the 9:30 AM candle.
How is this concept useful?
Well, It can be used in many ways.
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How To Use The ORG
One of the ways you can use the opening range gap is simply as support and resistance
If we extend out the ORG from the example above, we can see that there is a clean retest of the opening range gap high after breaking structure to the upside and showing acceptance outside of the gap after consolidating within it.
The ORG High (4:14 Candle Close in this case) was used as support.
We then see an expansion to the upside.
Another way to implement the ORG is by using it as a draw on liquidity (magnet for price)
In this example, if we looked to the left, there was a huge ORG to the downside, leaving a massive gap.
The market will want to rebalance that gap during the regular trading hours.
The market rallies higher, rejects, comes down to clear the current days ORG low, then closes.
That is one example of how you can combine liquidity & ICT market structure concepts with Opening Range Gaps to create a story in the charts.
Now let’s discuss standard deviations.
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Standard Deviations
Standard Deviations are essentially projection levels for ranges / POIs (Point of Interests)
By this I mean, if you have a range, and you would like to see where it could potentially expand to, you’d place your fibonacci retracement tool on and high and low of the range, then use extension levels to find specific price points where price might reject from.
Since 0 and 1 are your Range High and Low respectively, your projection levels would be something like 1.5, 2, 2.5, and 3, for the extension from your 1 Fib Level, and -0.5, -1, -1.5, and -2 for your 0 Fib level.
The -1 and 2 level produce a 1:1 projection of your range low and high, meaning, if you expect price to expand as much as it did from the range low to range high, then you can project a -1 and 2 on your Fib, and it would show you what ICT calls “symmetrical price”
Now, how are standard deviations relevant here?
Well, if you’ve been paying attention to ICT’s recent videos, you would’ve caught that he’s recently started using Standard Deviation levels on breakers.
So my brain got going while watching his video on ORGs, and I decided to place the fib on the ORG high and low and see what it’d produce.
The results were very interesting.
Using this same example, if we place our fib on the ORG High and Low, and add some projection levels, we can see that we rejected right at the -2 Standard Deviation Level.
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You can see that I also marked out the EQ (Equilibrium, 50%, 0.5 of Fib) of the ORG. This is because we can use this level as a take profit level if we’re using an old ORG as our draw.
In days like these, where the gap formed was within a consolidation, and it continued to consolidate within the ORG zone that we extended, we can use the EQ in the same way we’d use an EQ for a range.
If it’s showing acceptance above the EQ, we are bullish, and expect the high of the ORG to be tapped, and vice versa.
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Using The Indicator
Here’s where our indicator comes in play.
To avoid having to do all this work of zooming in and marking out the close and open of the respective ORG candles, we created the Opening Range Gap + Standard Deviations Indicator, with the help of our dedicated Star Clique coder, a1tmaniac.
With the ORG + STD DEV indicator, you will be able to view ORG’s and their projections on the ETH (Electronic Trading Hours) chart.
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Features
Range Box
- Change the color of your Opening Range Gap to your liking
- Enable or disable the box from appearing using the checkbox
Range Midline
- Change the color of your Opening Range Gap Equilibrium
- Enable or disable the midline from appearing using the checkbox
Std. Dev
- Add whichever standard deviation levels you’d like.
- By default, the indicator comes with 0.5, 1, 1.5, and 2 standard deviation levels.
- Ensure that you add a comma ( , ) in between each standard deviation level
- Enable or disable the standard deviations from appearing using the opacity of the color (change to 0%)
Labels / Offset
- Adjust the offset of the label for the Standard Deviations
- Enable or disable the Labels from appearing using the checkbox
Time
- Adjust the time used for the indicators range
- If you’d like to use this for a Session or ICT Killzone instead, adjust the time
- Adjust the timezone used for the time referenced
- Options are UTC, US (UTC-4, New York Local Time) or UK (UTC+1, London Time)
- By default, the indicator is set to US
Excalibur Trading System [Dare]✦ INTRODUCTION
The core goal in the Excalibur Trading System is attaining an optimal entry - fading the masses, selling others' buys, buying others' sells, and trading along true tops and bottoms where price manipulation commonly occurs. Executions are most successful intraday and when aligned with HTF price action while still maintaining a systematic approach in analysis and risk management. Use of this tool is not recommended for the uninitiated trader; it takes intense focus, dedicated practice, and unwavering confidence to wield this successfully. Please go through the guide I’ve provided which contains comprehensive coverage of all the elements below which, in the context of this post, are meant to depict a general idea of what the indicator is meant to accomplish.
✦ INDICATOR DETAILS
System Overview
System Components
Indicator Settings
Plotting Interpretation
Postscript
✦ SYSTEM OVERVIEW
Type of System
This is a mechanical system which requires zero discretion. While trading with an objective approach offers several advantages, it's important to note that it is not foolproof. Market conditions can change, and indicators can provide false signals. The accuracy is not 100% and even following it perfectly, as with any strategy, one will incur losses.
Objective Decision-making - No emotional bias, no fear.
Consistent - A repeatable approach that eliminates impulsivity.
Easily tested - Strategy performance can be measured universally no matter who is using it, in both forward and backtesting.
No Guesswork - Provides specific entry and exit signals with a systematic procedure.
Predefined Rules - Controls risk and enforces discipline.
Simple and Clear - Reduces complexity and confusion.
Performance in Various Market Conditions
Excalibur is meant to catch reversals and second-stage continuations, but trending days should be avoided. It has been tested and used in live market conditions in Index Futures, during the regular NY Session, on the 1m Timeframe, targeting ≥2.5RR Ratio. Outcomes will vary by trader due to factors such as risk tolerance, entry opportunities taken, human error and psychological barriers. Historical performance is not a guarantee of future results.
✦ SYSTEM COMPONENTS
Setup Schematic
The premise for all setups is the same. We are identifying manipulation above a previous high (bearish) or below a previous low (bullish) in anticipation of a reversal. This indicator is meant to be used as a measuring tool to quantify that manipulation taking place using Hi's and Lo's as identified by the Bar , which is based on a standard deviation calculation. The Fu tag is meant to be used to find Divergence at custom pivots, not predetermined lookback periods - this is similar to SMT - Smart Money Technique, but this Divergence references bodies vs. wicks and the execution of the trade is at the extreme pivot vs. the weak pivot.
Using the Bar as a guide, the trader will set the Hi/Lo tags and the indicator will automatically calculate the Threshold, the point beyond which one’s Entry resides when Divergence is also present. A valid entry plots as a Polaris star below (bullish) and above (bearish) the current bar in their respective scenarios.
Bullish Setup
(1) Place the Lo tag at the current threshold as signified by the Bar.
(2) Search for Divergence with price action below that threshold by using the Fu tag at extreme bodies of recent swing lows.
(3) Wait for a bullish Entry to plot, confirmed at candle close.
Bearish Setup
(1) Place the Hi tag at the current threshold as signified by the Bar.
(2) Search for Divergence with price action above that threshold by using the Fu tag at extreme bodies of recent swing highs.
(3) Wait for a bearish Entry to plot, confirmed at candle close.
The indicator collects the OHLC values of the target asset candles based on the trader’s Hi/Lo placement, compares them to up to two assets, and plots an entry depending on the context of the setup. The entry method, like the setup composition, is based on minute Divergences in price between the assets and other criteria related to how the candles close relative to each other.
✦ INDICATOR SETTINGS
Options
This line controls the colors of the Polaris (✦) and the squares in the Manipulation Bar. Manipulation can be measured using either mathematical calculation (ᴀʟᴘʜᴀ) or OHLC data-points (ʙᴇᴛᴀ). The Polaris denotes a time and price of possible reversal at an extreme low or high - deselect this line to hide it.
⋆ This line controls colors of the Tags and Candles - Bullish, Bearish, and All. To customize, switch to ᴄᴜsᴛᴏᴍ. If the Divergence Candles are not consistently visible, change the Visual Order to Front on the chart by selecting the indicator Title then More. To hide, deselect this line.'
The third and fourth lines controls the visibility of the Manipulation Bar, Matrix Tags, Advisor Arrows and Invalidation Labels.
Time
By default, the times for Hi, Lo and Fu are set to 09:00, 09:30 and 09:15 respectively. The date will need to be manually adjusted at the beginning of each trading day.
Price
By default, the charted Asset is assumed to be ES1! (E-Mini S&P 500 Continuous Contract) . If the trader would like to chart a different Asset, be sure to adjust Assets I and II to valid comparisons so that the indicator can accurately detect price divergences.
Risk
Input the account size and percentage one intends to risk. To pyramid, indicate the quantity the position to be divided into. In MT4 or 5, right-click a symbol then Specification. The Contract Size field contains the Units per Lot. Use the various options to customize the table format and visibility.
The tooltips (i) will be available in the UI in case the trader will ever need to refer to them for the information above.
✦ PLOTTING INTERPRETATION
Matrix Tags
Guided by the manipulation bar, the trader will use Hi and Lo tags to measure the manipulation threshold. The Fu tag measures either bullish or bearish divergences depending on the placement of the Hi/Lo tags.
Manipulation Bar
The squares plotted together form a bar and indicate whether a candle is or isn’t plotting a new manipulation threshold (creating a new Hi or Lo ). The trader should always use the current Hi or Lo .
Advisor Arrows
The arrows are meant to signify a possible valid entry in the temporary period of time between the candle open and close. They give advance notice that the trader should be looking for divergences using the Fu tag to attain a confirmed entry (Polaris) on that particular candle as it is forming.
Entry Signal
The Polaris denotes a time and price of trade execution. As long as the Matrix tags are placed correctly, this is a valid signal to place a position in the direction indicated. Entry price is at the candle close, regardless of the next candle’s open price.
Risk Labels and Table
This is an automatic calculation for Stop placement based on average true range (valid only for indices with a 0.25pt tick value. A future version may allow for customization of this feature for assets not based on ticks, like forex pairs). The table (by default at the bottom right) will display the trader's position size based on the inputs.
Divergence Candles
Using the Fu tag, the trader can select swing highs and lows to determine if divergence is occurring above and below them, respectively. Divergence is maintained as long as the colored candles are printed consecutively. Referring to the charts of Assets I and II in a separate layout window is recommended but not required.
✦ POSTSCRIPT
I forged this sword, Excalibur, in pursuit of my highest aspiration - to create a legacy and provide a gift to my friends, family, and all those burdened by obligations that limit them from living what they would consider to be a fulfilling life. Those free to pursue the ambitions they truly value are the ones who change their communities and even the world for the better.
~Dare.
Z-Score Heikin-Ashi TransformedThe Z-Score Heikin-Ashi Transformed (𝘡 𝘏-𝘈) indicator is a powerful technical tool that combines the principles of Z-Score and Heikin Ashi to provide traders with a smoothed representation of price movements and a standardized measure of market volatility.
The 𝘡 𝘏-𝘈 indicator applies the Z-Score calculation to price data and then transforms the resulting Z-Scores using the Heikin Ashi technique. Understanding the individual components of Z-Score and Heikin Ashi will provide a foundation for comprehending the methodology and unique features of this indicator.
Z-Score:
Z-Score is a statistical measure that quantifies the distance between a data point and the mean, relative to the standard deviation. It provides a standardized value that allows traders to compare different data points on a common scale. In the context of the 𝘡 𝘏-𝘈 indicator, Z-Score is calculated based on price data, enabling the identification of extreme price movements and the assessment of their significance.
Heikin Ashi:
Heikin Ashi is a popular charting technique that aims to filter out market noise and provide a smoother representation of price trends. It involves calculating each candlestick based on the average of the previous candle's open, close, high, and low prices. This approach results in a chart that reduces the impact of short-term price fluctuations and reveals the underlying trend more clearly.
Methodology:
The 𝘡 𝘏-𝘈 indicator starts by calculating the Z-Score of the price data, which provides a standardized measure of how far each price point deviates from the mean. Next, the resulting Z-Scores are transformed using the Heikin Ashi technique. Each Z-Score value is modified according to the Heikin Ashi formula, which incorporates the average of the previous Heikin Ashi candle's open and close prices. This transformation smooths out the Z-Score values and reduces the impact of short-term price fluctuations, providing a clearer view of market trends.
This tool enables traders to identify significant price movements and assess their relative strength compared to historical data. Positive transformed Z-Scores indicate that prices are above the average, suggesting potential overbought conditions, while negative transformed Z-Scores indicate prices below the average, suggesting potential oversold conditions. Traders can utilize this information to identify potential reversals, confirm trend strength, and generate trading signals.
Utility:
The indicator offers valuable insights into price volatility and trend analysis. By combining the standardized measure of Z-Score with the smoothing effect of Heikin Ashi, traders can make more informed trading decisions and improve their understanding of market dynamics. 𝘡 𝘏-𝘈 can be used in various trading strategies, including identifying overbought or oversold conditions, confirming trend reversals, and establishing entry and exit points.
Note that the 𝘡 𝘏-𝘈 should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and analysis tools to validate signals and avoid false positives. Additionally, traders are encouraged to conduct thorough backtesting and experimentation with different parameter settings to optimize the effectiveness of the indicator for their specific trading approach.
Key Features:
Optional Reversion Doritos
Adjustable Reversion Threshold
2 Adjustable EMAs
Example Charts:
See Also:
On Balance Volume Heikin-Ashi Transformed
Regularized-Moving-Average Oscillator SuiteThe Regularized-MA Oscillator Suite is a versatile indicator that transforms any moving average into an oscillator. It comprises up to 13 different moving average types, including KAMA, T3, and ALMA. This indicator serves as a valuable tool for both trend following and mean reversion strategies, providing traders and investors with enhanced insights into market dynamics.
Methodology:
The Regularized MA Oscillator Suite calculates the moving average (MA) based on user-defined parameters such as length, moving average type, and custom smoothing factors. It then derives the mean and standard deviation of the MA using a normalized period. Finally, it computes the Z-Score by subtracting the mean from the MA and dividing it by the standard deviation.
KAMA (Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average):
KAMA is a unique moving average type that dynamically adjusts its smoothing period based on market volatility. It adapts to changing market conditions, providing a smoother response during periods of low volatility and a quicker response during periods of high volatility. This allows traders to capture trends effectively while reducing noise.
T3 (Tillson's Exponential Moving Average):
T3 is an exponential moving average that incorporates additional smoothing techniques to reduce lag and provide a more responsive indicator. It aims to maintain a balance between responsiveness and smoothness, allowing traders to identify trend reversals with greater accuracy.
ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average):
ALMA is a moving average type that utilizes a combination of linear regression and exponential moving average techniques. It offers a unique way of calculating the moving average by providing a smoother and more accurate representation of price trends. ALMA reduces lag and noise, enabling traders to identify trend changes and potential entry or exit points more effectively.
Z-Score:
The Z-Score calculation in the Regularized-MA Oscillator Suite standardizes the values of the moving average. It measures the deviation of each data point from the mean in terms of standard deviations. By normalizing the moving average through the Z-Score, the indicator enables traders to assess the relative position of price in relation to its mean and volatility. This information can be valuable for identifying overbought and oversold conditions, as well as potential trend reversals.
Utility:
The Regularized-MA Oscillator Suite with its unique moving average types and Z-Score calculation offers traders and investors powerful analytical tools. It can be used for trend following strategies by analyzing the oscillator's position relative to the midline. Traders can also employ it as a mean reversion tool by identifying peak values above user-defined deviations. These features assist in identifying potential entry and exit points, enhancing trading decisions and market analysis.
Key Features:
Variety of 13 MA types.
Potential reversal point bubbles.
Bar coloring methods - Trend (Midline cross), Extremities, Reversions, Slope
Example Charts:
Anchored Three Sigma RangeThis indicator serves to display the standard deviation model based on open price from the selected anchored timeframe. Per statistics the price may stay within the three sigma range most of the time, most significantly within first sigma range 68% of the time.
If price breaks the statistical probabilities and out of the three sigma range entirely it could be considered anomalous and perhaps useful for trade planning, use the fib extensions in various ways to have dynamic profit targets, support or resistance.
How is this different
This indicator differs from others in that I've not really seen any others generating solely horizontal levels, anchored from open price and including fib extensions.
How to use
To use this indicator add to the chart, select anchor timeframe, fib display mode and adjust style to liking. Depending on trade plans use the range breaks, consolidations or fib extensions as required.
One could utilize range consolidation for advanced options neutral trades, range breaks for scalping directionally or high fib extensions for rejection based trades. Based on timeframe anchorage there could be some really amazing combinations for any style of trading, comment any unique findings!
What markets
This indicator can be used on anything that has a price :D
Conditions
Any condition is applicable.
VWAP Trendfollow Strategy [wbburgin]This is an experimental strategy that enters long when the instrument crosses over the upper standard deviation band of a VWAP and enters short when the instrument crosses below the bottom standard deviation band of the VWAP. I have added a trend filter as well, which stops entries that are opposite to the current trend of the VWAP. The trend filter will reduce total false breakouts, thus improving the % profitable while maintaining the overall returns of the strategy. Because this is a trend-following breakout strategy, the % profitable will typically be low but the average % return will be higher. As a rule, be sure to look at the average winning trade % compared to the average losing trade %, and compare that to the % profitable to judge the effectiveness of a strategy. Factor in fees and slippage as well.
This strategy appears to work better with the lower timeframes, and I was impressed with its results. It also appears to work on a wide range of asset classes. There isn't a stop loss or take profit built-in (other than the reversal signals, which close the current trade), so I would encourage you to expand on the strategy based on your own trading parameters.
You can toggle off the bar colors and the trend filter if you so desire.
Future updates to this script (or ideas of improving on it) might include a take profit level set at one standard deviation past the current level and a stop loss level set at one standard deviation closer to the vwap from the current level - or applying a multiple to the two based off of your reward/risk ratio.
About the strategy results below: this is with commissions of 0.5 % per trade.
Standard Deviation Buy Sell Signals [UOI]The "Standard Deviation Buy Sell Signals" which is a Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack that includes many additional features is an advanced technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in making well-informed decisions in the financial markets. It incorporates various functions and calculations to provide a comprehensive analysis of price movements, trends, and potential trading opportunities in different timeframes. The Super Pack combines elements of volume-weighted average price (VWAP), mean calculation on multiple time frames, standard deviation signals and bands, overbought and oversold signals, measures of central tendency, and multiple time frame calculations of mean reversion. A truly unique indicator.
Here is the details of the supper pack and what is included:
1. VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): The Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack includes VWAP, which calculates the average price of a security weighted by its trading volume. This helps traders identify the average price at which a significant amount of trading activity has occurred and can serve as a reference point for determining whether the current price is overvalued or undervalued.
2. Standard Deviation Signals and Bands: The Super Pack incorporates standard deviation signals and bands to measure the volatility of price movements. By calculating the standard deviation of price data, it identifies price levels that deviate significantly from the average, indicating potential overbought or oversold conditions. The standard deviation bands provide visual boundaries that help traders assess the likelihood of a price reversal or continuation. The bands are hidden to avoid too many lines but you can enable them in the setting. See image below:
3. Overbought and Oversold Signals: Using the standard deviation calculations, the Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack generates overbought and oversold signals. These signals indicate when a security's price has moved to an extreme level, suggesting a potential reversal or correction in the near future. Traders can use these signals to time their entries or exits in the market. You can change the RSI number in the setting to get more or less signals.
4. Measures of Central Tendency: The Super Pack incorporates measures of central tendency, such as the mean, median, or mode, to provide a sense of the average or typical price behavior. These measures help traders identify the prevailing trend or price direction and assess the likelihood of a trend continuation or reversal. This provide reassurance of whether price is too far from center in multiple time frames.
5. Multiple Time Frame Calculation of Mean Reversion: The Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack employs multiple time frame calculations to identify mean reversion opportunities. It compares the current price with the historical average price over different time periods, allowing traders to identify situations where the price has deviated significantly from its mean and is likely to revert back to its average value. This can be useful for swing trading or short-term trading strategies.
By combining these various functions, the Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack provides traders with a comprehensive analysis of price dynamics, trend strength, potential reversals, and mean reversion opportunities. It aids in making more informed trading decisions and improving overall trading performance.
Why is this super pack indicator an essential trading strategy for every trader:
Standard deviation and mean reversion are valuable tools for traders, especially when the market is in a ranging phase. A ranging market is characterized by price movements that oscillate between defined support and resistance levels, with no clear trend in either direction. In such market conditions, standard deviation and mean reversion strategies can be particularly effective. Here's why:
1. Standard Deviation: Standard deviation is a statistical measure that quantifies the volatility or dispersion of price data around its average. In a ranging market, where prices tend to fluctuate within a certain range, standard deviation can help identify overbought and oversold levels. When the price reaches the upper end of the range, the standard deviation bands widen, indicating higher volatility and a potential selling opportunity. Conversely, when the price reaches the lower end of the range, the bands narrow, suggesting lower volatility and a potential buying opportunity. Traders can use these signals to anticipate price reversals and take advantage of the predictable nature of ranging markets.
2. Mean Reversion: Mean reversion is a concept that suggests prices tend to move back toward their average or mean over time. In a ranging market, where prices repeatedly move between support and resistance levels, mean reversion strategies can be highly effective. By identifying when the price has deviated significantly from its mean, traders can anticipate a potential reversal back toward the average. When the price reaches extreme levels, indicating overbought or oversold conditions, traders can enter positions in the opposite direction, expecting the price to revert to its mean. Mean reversion strategies can be implemented using various indicators, including Bollinger Bands, moving averages, or standard deviation bands.
3. Range Boundaries: In a ranging market, the upper and lower boundaries of the price range serve as reliable reference points for traders. Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies capitalize on the repetitive nature of price movements within these boundaries. Traders can set their entry and exit points based on the standard deviation bands or mean reversion signals to take advantage of price reversals near the range boundaries. By properly identifying and reacting to these levels, traders can profit from the price oscillations within the range.
4. Risk Management: Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies provide traders with clear entry and exit points, allowing for effective risk management. By placing stop-loss orders beyond the range boundaries or the standard deviation bands, traders can limit their potential losses if the price continues to move against their positions. Additionally, by taking profits near the opposite range boundary or when the price reverts back to the mean, traders can secure their gains and maintain a disciplined approach to trading.
Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies offer traders a systematic approach to capitalize on ranging markets. But the cherry on top is the overbought and oversold signals:
The concept of overbought and oversold levels is widely used in technical analysis to identify potential reversals in price trends. Typically, indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are employed to determine when an asset may be overbought or oversold. However, you have developed a unique approach by incorporating an interactive variable with RSI and Average True Range (ATR) to create a distinct overbought and oversold signal. Here's why this approach stands out:
1. Divergence: Your approach introduces a divergence concept by combining RSI and ATR. Traditionally, overbought and oversold signals rely solely on RSI readings. However, by considering the interaction between RSI and ATR, you bring a new dimension to these signals. The divergence occurs when the RSI indicates overbought conditions while simultaneously ATR crosses over into bearish territory, or when the RSI signals oversold conditions along with ATR crossing over into bullish territory. This divergence adds an extra layer of confirmation to the overbought and oversold signals.
2. Reduced False Signals: The incorporation of ATR in conjunction with RSI helps filter out false signals that may occur during trending market conditions or short squeezes. Trend days or periods of increased volatility can cause RSI to remain in overbought or oversold territory for an extended period, generating numerous signals that may not be reliable. By considering the crossing of ATR into bearish or bullish territory, your approach adds a dynamic element to the signal generation process. This interactive variable helps ensure that the overbought and oversold signals are not solely based on RSI getting hot, reducing the likelihood of false signals during trending or volatile periods.
3. Improved Timing: The interaction between RSI and ATR provides a more nuanced approach to timing overbought and oversold signals. By waiting for the ATR to confirm the RSI signal, you introduce an additional condition that enhances the precision of the timing. The bearish or bullish crossover of ATR serves as a confirmation that market conditions align with the overbought or oversold signal indicated by RSI. This combined approach allows for more accurate entry or exit points, increasing the potential profitability of trades.
4. Customization and Adaptability: By creating this interactive variable with RSI and ATR, you have developed a customizable approach that can be adapted to different trading styles and preferences. Traders can adjust the sensitivity of the signals by modifying the parameters of the RSI and ATR. This flexibility allows for a personalized trading experience and enables traders to align the signals with their specific risk tolerance and market conditions.
This approach to overbought and oversold signals utilizing RSI and ATR introduces a unique perspective to technical analysis. By incorporating divergence and interactive variables, you enhance the reliability of these signals while reducing false readings. This approach provides improved timing and adaptability, making it a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential reversals in price trends with greater accuracy and confidence.
HOW to avoid fake signals?
When it comes to trading with standard deviation as a strategy, it's important to note that on extreme trend days, this indicator may generate false signals. This occurs because standard deviation is primarily designed to measure volatility and deviations from the mean in a range-bound market. During strong trending periods, the price tends to move in one direction with minimal deviations, rendering the standard deviation less effective.
To avoid trading based solely on standard deviation during extreme trend days, it is advisable to incorporate additional indicators that can provide insights into the stock's trend or squeeze conditions. These indicators can help determine whether the market is experiencing a strong trend or a squeeze, allowing you to avoid false signals generated by standard deviation.
By utilizing complementary indicators such as trend-following indicators (e.g., moving averages, trendlines) or volatility indicators (e.g., Bollinger Bands), you can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market environment. These indicators can help confirm whether the stock is in a trending phase or experiencing a squeeze, helping you avoid entering trades solely based on standard deviation during these extreme trend days.
In summary, while standard deviation is a valuable tool in range-bound markets, it may produce unreliable signals on extreme trend days. By incorporating other indicators that provide insights into the stock's trend or squeeze conditions, traders can better assess the market environment and avoid false signals generated by standard deviation during these periods. This approach enhances the overall effectiveness and accuracy of trading strategies, leading to more informed and profitable decision-making.
Master Supertrend [Trendoscope]Are you a fan of supertrend? Me too!! Here is a supertrend indicator which provides multiple variation options to chose from.
🎲 Introduction
Supertrend is a popular technical indicator used by traders to identify potential trend reversals and determine entry and exit points in financial markets. It is a trend-following indicator that combines price and volatility to generate its signals. Generally supertrend is calculated based on ATR and multiplier value which is used for calculation of stops. In these adaptions, we look to provide few variations to classical methods.
🎲 Variations
Following variations are provided in the form of settings.
🎯 Range Type
Instead of ATR, different types of ranges can be used for stop calculation. Here is the complete list used in the script.
Plus/Minus Range - Calculates plus range and minus range for each candle and uses them for different sides of stop calculation
Ladder ATR - Based on the existing concept of Ladder ATR defined in Supertrend-Ladder-ATR
True Range - True range derived from standard function ta.tr
Standard Deviation - Standard deviation of close prices
🎯 Applied Calculation
In standard ATR, rma of TR is used for calculations. But, the application calculation provides option to users to use different mechanisms. It can be a type of moving average or few other types of calculations.
Available values are
sma
ema
hma
rma
wma
high
median
medianHigh (Highest of the last N medians)
medianLow (Lowest of the last N medians)
🎯 Other options
Few other options provided are
Use Close Price - If selected stops are calculated based on the close price instead of high/low prices
Wait for Close If selected, change of supertrend direction is calculated based on close price instead of high/low prices
Diminishing Stop Distance - When selected, stop distance for the trend direction can only reduce and cannot increase. This option is useful for keeping the tight stops on strong trends.
🎯 Plus Minus Range
One of the range type used is Plus/Minus Range. What it means and how are these ranges calculated? Let's have a look.
Plus Range is an upward movement of a candle from its last price or open price whichever is lower.
Minus Range is a downward movement of a candle from its last price or open price whichever is higher.
This divides True Range into two separate range for positive and negative side.
Here are the simple settings in nutshell which reflects the same.
L&S Volatility IndexOverview
L&S Volatility Index is a tool designed to helps traders identify overpriced or underpriced moments in the market and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Calculations
This tool calculates how far the price is from the 21-period simple moving average as a ratio of the average historical volatility calculated over the last 21 candles.
How It Works
A L&S Volatility Index with a value greater than 30% may indicate that the asset is overpriced or underpriced relative to its average price.
How To Use
If the L&S Volatility Index > 30, the asset is overpriced or underpriced. This means that there is a good probability of initiating a mean reversion.
If the L&S Volatility Index < 30, the asset is in a fair price region. This means that it is acceptable to buy or sell in that price region.
Where To Use
Mean Reversion Strategy
Breakout Strategy
What Makes it Original
There is already an indicator that use a normalized calculation and a different approach to calculate historical volatility, whereas this script calculation is non-normalized and historical volatility is calculated using Don Fishback's formula. All calculations are used as originally described.
Credits
The L&S Volatility Index indicator was originally written by L&S Educação Financeira.
Historical Volatility calculation is based on the book "Odds: The Key to 90% Winners" written by Don Fishback.
Intraday Mean Reversion Money Performance indicatorThe diagram shows Money Performance when buying stocks for 10 000 at every buy signal from the Intraday Mean Reversion indicator.
The indicator is best used in combination with Intraday Mean Reversion Main Indicator
The rules for trading are: Buy on Open price if the Intraday Mean Reversion Main indicator gives a buy signal. Sell on the daily close price.
According to my knowledge it is not possible to create a PineScript strategy based on these rules, because the indicator is used on Day to Day graph. Therefore this indicator can be used to analyze Money performance of this strategy.
The lines show the performance of the Intraday Mean Reversion Strategy, based on the different levels in the strategy (from 0.5 Standard deviation to 1.1 standard deviation)
Using this indicator it is possible to find stocks that often reverse towards mean after open.
Use this strategy on stocks with high positive performance. Do not use on stocks with negative performance.
Intraday Mean Reversion MainThe Intraday Mean Reversion Indicator works well on certain stocks. It should be used for day trading stocks but need to be applied on the Day to Day timeframe.
The logic behind the indicator is that stocks that opens substantially lower than yesterdays close, very often bounces back during the day and closes higher than the open price, thus the name Intraday Mean reversal. The stock so to speak, reverses to the mean.
The indicator has 7 levels to choose from:
0.5 * standard deviation
0.6 * standard deviation
0.7 * standard deviation
0.8 * standard deviation
0.9 * standard deviation
1.0 * standard deviation
1.1 * standard deviation
The script can easily be modified to test other levels as well, but according to my experience these levels work the best.
The info box shows the performance of one of these levels, chosen by the user.
Every Yellow bar in the graph shows a buy signal. That is: The stocks open is substantially lower (0.5 - 1.1 standard deviations) than yesterdays close. This means we have a buy signal.
The Multiplier shows which multiplier is chosen, the sum shows the profit following the strategy if ONE stock is bought on every buy signal. The Ratio shows the ratio between winning and losing trades if we followed the strategy historically.
We want to find stocks that have a high ratio and a positive sum. That is More Ups than downs. A ratio over 0.5 is good, but of course we want a margin of safety so, 0.75 is a better choice but harder to find.
If we find a stock that meets our criteria then the strategy will be to buy as early as possible on the open, and sell as close as possible on the close!
VWAP Xing D, Prv.D, W, Q, M, & Y + SD [UOI]Introducing the "VWAP Xing D, Prv.D, W, Q, M, & Y + SD" Indicator: A Comprehensive, Multi-Timeframe Trading Tool for the Modern Trader
In today's dynamic and fast-paced financial markets, traders require versatile and powerful tools that can help them navigate the complex world of trading. The "VWAP Xing D, Prv.D, W, Q, M, & Y + SD" indicator is designed to be the ultimate, all-in-one solution for traders seeking a comprehensive and robust trading indicator. This cutting-edge tool combines the power of an extensive VWAP library with the versatility of Bollinger Bands, Donchian Channels, standard deviation multi-timeframe analysis, and an auto boxed range identifier, all to provide traders with the crucial insights needed to identify reversals, breakdowns, and breakups.
Offering the magnetic daily, previous day, weekly, monthly, quarterly, and even yearly VWAP levels, this comprehensive library caters to traders with varying time horizons and strategies. Coupled with the precision of Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels, the indicator allows for accurate tracking of price volatility, enabling traders to make more informed decisions in response to changing market conditions. The integration of multi-timeframe standard deviation analysis further bolsters the indicator's ability to identify potential trading opportunities, ensuring that users can stay ahead of the curve.
Finally, the auto boxed range identifier serves as the cherry on top, automatically detecting critical price levels where reversals, breakdowns, and breakups are most likely to occur. This powerful feature not only helps traders confirm potential entry and exit points but also allows for more effective risk management.
Overall, the "VWAP Xing D, Prv.D, W, Q, M, & Y + SD" indicator is a comprehensive, multi-timeframe trading tool that empowers traders with unparalleled insights, precision, and adaptability. Whether you're a seasoned professional or a novice trader, this powerful indicator is a must-have tool for anyone looking to excel in today's competitive financial markets.
Multi-timeframe Volume Weighted Average
First let's define Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP):
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is a widely-used technical analysis indicator that calculates the average price of a security, taking into account both price and trading volume. In essence, it represents the average price at which a security has been traded throughout a specified time period, giving more weight to transactions with higher volume.
The VWAP is often used by traders and investors to assess the market's trend and gauge the relative value of a security. It serves as a benchmark for institutional investors, who often use it to evaluate their trading performance and determine whether they are buying or selling at favorable prices.
The formula for calculating VWAP is:
VWAP = (Sum of (Price * Volume)) / Total Volume
By incorporating volume into the calculation, the VWAP provides a more accurate representation of a security's true average price, as it takes into consideration the impact of larger trades on the price. This makes it a valuable tool for traders seeking to make more informed decisions in the market and avoid getting caught in unfavorable trading positions.
VWAP is a crucial indicator that provides insights into the average price at which a financial asset, such as a stock or cryptocurrency, has been traded throughout a specific period. It takes into consideration the volume of trades executed at each price level during that period. The VWAP lines included in the " VWAP Xing D, Prv. D, W, Q, M, & Y" indicator offer various timeframe perspectives, allowing traders to analyze different levels of market trends and behaviors.
Here's a detailed explanation of the VWAP lines and their significance:
1. Daily VWAP (D): The daily VWAP line represents the average price at which the asset has been traded throughout the current trading day. It resets at the beginning of each trading session. Traders often use the daily VWAP as a reference point to gauge the fairness of their trade executions relative to the prevailing market prices. Price deviations from the daily VWAP can indicate shifts in market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.
2. Previous Day VWAP (Prv.D): The previous day VWAP line reflects the average price at which the asset was traded during the preceding trading day. It helps traders assess the continuity or deviation of the current day's price action relative to the previous day's trading activity. Traders often observe the previous day VWAP for insights into potential support or resistance levels and to identify whether the current day's price is trading above or below the previous day's average price.
3. Weekly VWAP (W): The weekly VWAP line calculates the average price of the asset over the entire week, taking into account the volume traded at each price level. Traders use the weekly VWAP to gain a broader perspective on the asset's price movement and potential trend directions. It can act as a significant support or resistance level, especially when the price interacts with the weekly VWAP.
4. Monthly VWAP (M): The monthly VWAP line provides a longer-term perspective by averaging the asset's price and volume data over the entire month. It helps traders identify key price levels that are significant within the monthly timeframe. Traders often observe the monthly VWAP to assess the overall trend and to determine whether the current price is trading above or below the monthly average.
5. Quarterly VWAP (Q): The quarterly VWAP line calculates the average price and volume data over a three-month period, representing a longer-term view of market activity. Traders use the quarterly VWAP to identify significant price levels and to analyze the broader trend within the quarterly timeframe. Deviations from the quarterly VWAP can indicate potential shifts in market sentiment and trading opportunities.
6. Yearly VWAP (Y): The yearly VWAP line represents the average price and volume data over the course of a year. It offers a comprehensive long-term perspective on the asset's price behavior and trend. Traders often consider the yearly VWAP as a key reference point for assessing the asset's overall performance and identifying major support or resistance levels.
By observing the VWAP lines, traders can gain insights into the prevailing market sentiment, potential support or resistance levels, and deviations from average prices. These deviations can be useful for identifying potential trading opportunities, such as when the price significantly deviates from the VWAP lines, suggesting potential overbought or oversold conditions. Additionally, VWAP can serve as a benchmark for evaluating trade executions and assessing the fair value of an asset.
It's important to note that while VWAP is a valuable tool, it should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis indicators and strategies to make informed trading decisions. Traders should consider factors like market context, trend analysis, and risk management principles to validate signals and confirm potential trading opportunities.
Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels
In addition to VWAP this indicator also has combined the power of Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels to produce a solid framework. The time frame by default is set to 30 min which is good for intraday trading but you can also change that in the setting to always use chart time frame intervals which works better on longer time frames.
IMPORTANT: You can change the time frame to always use chart or keep the default on 30 min or change it to another timeframe manually. If you allow the chart to always provide the intervals then the default 30 min will be ineffective and it automatically adjust to chart timeframe. Personally I think a fixed timeframe work better so keep in that way if you trade on 30 min or lower time frame.
Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels are two popular technical analysis tools that provide valuable insights into price volatility, potential breakout levels, and support/resistance areas. When used in combination, they offer a comprehensive framework for analyzing market conditions and identifying trading opportunities.
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands consist of two lines plotted above and below a moving average, typically a simple moving average (SMA). The upper band is calculated by adding the standard deviation of price multiplied by a customizable standard deviation factor to the SMA. The lower band is calculated by subtracting the standard deviation multiplied by the same factor from the SMA. The key features of Bollinger Bands are as follows:
1. Volatility Measurement: Bollinger Bands expand and contract based on market volatility. When the bands widen, it indicates higher volatility, and when they narrow, it suggests lower volatility. Traders can observe the width of the bands to gauge the potential for price movements and volatility expansions.
2. Overbought/Oversold Levels: Bollinger Bands can help identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market. When the price reaches or exceeds the upper band, it may indicate that the asset is overbought and due for a potential reversal or pullback. Conversely, when the price reaches or falls below the lower band, it may suggest oversold conditions and a possible bounce or reversal.
Donchian Channels: Donchian Channels consist of two lines representing the highest high and lowest low within a specified period. The key characteristics of Donchian Channels are as follows:
1. Breakout Levels: The upper line of the Donchian Channel represents the highest high within the specified period, while the lower line represents the lowest low. Traders often use Donchian Channels to identify potential breakout levels. When the price breaks above the upper channel line, it may indicate a bullish breakout and the potential for further upward momentum. Conversely, a break below the lower channel line suggests a bearish breakout and the possibility of downward momentum.
2. Support/Resistance Areas: Donchian Channels also act as dynamic support and resistance levels. The upper channel line can act as a resistance level where the price may encounter selling pressure. The lower channel line can act as a support level where the price may find buying interest. Traders can monitor price interactions with these levels to make informed trading decisions.
Advantages of Using Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels Together: By combining Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels, traders can gain a more comprehensive view of market conditions and potential trading opportunities. Here are some advantages of using them together:
1. Volatility Confirmation: Bollinger Bands help identify periods of high or low volatility, while Donchian Channels confirm breakouts and potential trend changes. When the bands widen and a breakout occurs above or below the Donchian Channels, it can provide confirmation of increased volatility and the start of a new trend.
2. Price Extremes and Breakouts: Bollinger Bands assist in identifying overbought and oversold conditions, while Donchian Channels help pinpoint breakout levels. When price reaches an extreme level according to Bollinger Bands and coincides with a breakout from the Donchian Channels, it can signal a significant trading opportunity.
3. Support/Resistance Validation: Donchian Channels act as dynamic support and resistance levels, and Bollinger Bands can validate these levels. When price bounces off the upper or lower Bollinger Band near a Donchian Channel level, it provides additional confirmation of the support or resistance area.
4. Risk Management: The combination of Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels enables traders to set more precise stop-loss levels and define risk. They can place stop-loss orders beyond the support or resistance levels identified.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation bands by default are disabled but you can easily enable them in the setting. The 1 standard deviation bands are made invisible by default to avoid a crowded space. You can reduce the transparency to view them.
In intraday trading, the Daily VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) with 3 standard deviations is a powerful tool that helps traders gauge price movements and potential trading opportunities. Here's how it works and why it is useful:
1. Calculation of Daily VWAP: The Daily VWAP is the average price at which a security has traded throughout the trading day, weighted by the volume of each trade. It provides a measure of the average price that traders have paid for the asset during the day.
2. Standard Deviation: Standard deviation is a statistical measure that quantifies the dispersion or variability of prices around the Daily VWAP. It gives an indication of how much prices deviate from the average. A higher standard deviation suggests greater price volatility.
3. Three Standard Deviations: By adding and subtracting three times the standard deviation from the Daily VWAP, you create bands that represent the potential price range within which the majority of intraday trading activity is expected to occur. These bands act as potential support and resistance levels and help traders identify price extremes.
4. Price Reversals: When the intraday price extends beyond the upper or lower band (three standard deviations), it suggests an overextended move or potential price reversal. Traders interpret this as an opportunity to enter or exit trades. If the price moves beyond the upper band, it may indicate overbought conditions and a possible reversal to the downside. Conversely, if the price moves below the lower band, it may signal oversold conditions and a potential reversal to the upside.
5. Volatility and Breakouts: Intraday traders often look for volatility and breakout opportunities. The three standard deviation bands on the Daily VWAP provide valuable information about price volatility. When the price breaks out of the bands, it suggests a significant increase in volatility and potential opportunities for intraday traders to take advantage of strong momentum moves.
6. Risk Management: The three standard deviation bands help traders define their risk and set stop-loss orders. By placing stop-loss orders outside the bands, traders can protect their positions in case the price moves beyond the expected range. This risk management technique allows traders to limit their potential losses and preserve capital.
7. Confirmation with Other Indicators: Intraday traders often use the three standard deviation bands on the Daily VWAP in conjunction with other technical indicators or chart patterns to strengthen their trading decisions. The bands can validate other signals or provide additional confirmation before entering or exiting a trade.
Overall, the Daily VWAP with three standard deviations is a valuable tool for intraday traders as it helps identify price extremes, potential reversals, volatility, and breakout opportunities. By incorporating this indicator into their trading strategies, traders can make more informed decisions and enhance their intraday trading performance.
Auto Boxed Range Detector
The true innovation in the "VWAP Xing D, Prv.D, W, Q, M, & Y + SD" indicator lies in the integration of the sophisticated 'Auto Boxed Range Detector.' This feature serves as the cornerstone of the tool's enhanced functionality, shedding light on critical price ranges to give traders a distinct advantage when identifying potential breakouts or breakdowns.
Meticulously designed with the needs of traders in mind, the Auto Boxed Range Detector automates the process of pinpointing trading ranges, resulting in increased precision and swiftness in your decision-making. By automating this crucial aspect of technical analysis, traders can now focus on other essential factors, ultimately maximizing their trading efficiency.
Furthermore, the Auto Boxed Range Detector helps traders avoid falling prey to false breakouts. By identifying the top of the boxed range in relation to resistance levels, users can more accurately predict the likelihood of a breakout. For instance, if the top of the boxed range is situated near a resistance line, the chances of a breakout are diminished unless the market is experiencing a trend day.
In essence, the Auto Boxed Range Detector not only streamlines the identification of trading ranges but also provides invaluable insights into the validity of potential breakouts or breakdowns. This innovative feature makes the "VWAP Xing D, Prv.D, W, Q, M, & Y + SD" indicator an indispensable tool for traders seeking to capitalize on opportunities while minimizing risk in today's fast-paced financial markets.
Once you get used to this tool it will be an integral part of your trading.
Z-Score(Slope(OBV(LBC)))Summary : Market price is simply a dance of liquidity to the specific market.
tl;dr: "Cash come-in, market moon; Cash go-out, market doom"
In Simple Language : Large changes in the money flow to an asset often mark local price extremia.
Academic paper:
Title: Z-Score(Slope(OBV)): An Efficient Indicator for Identifying Local Extremes in Asset Prices
Abstract: This paper presents a novel trading indicator, Z-Score(Slope(OBV)), that aims to predict local extremes in asset prices by analyzing the patterns of money flow. The indicator is constructed using the Z-score of the slope of the On Balance Volume (OBV).
Hypothesis: The price levels at which the money flows into and out of an asset often mark local extremes. This notion underpins our exploration of the Z-Score(Slope(OBV)) indicator's potential in identifying these critical points.
1. On Balance Volume (OBV): The OBV is a momentum indicator that leverages the volume flow to forecast potential changes in asset prices. It operates on the premise that changes in volume often presage shifts in price. The OBV algorithm adds a period's volume to the cumulative total when the closing price is up and subtracts it when the closing price is down. Therefore, an ascending OBV suggests positive volume pressure, potentially heralding higher prices, while a declining OBV signifies negative volume pressure, possibly indicating lower prices.
2. Slope: In this context, the slope represents the rate of change of the OBV. It is a measure of the rise-over-run for a linear regression line through the OBV data points. By evaluating the slope of the OBV, we can extract valuable insights into the momentum of the volume. A positive slope indicates increasing volume momentum, suggesting growing interest in the asset, while a negative slope implies declining volume momentum, potentially reflecting dwindling interest.
3. Z-Score: The Z-score is a statistical measure that delineates a data point's relationship to the mean of a group of values, expressed in terms of standard deviations from the mean. For instance, a Z-score of 0 reveals that the data point's score aligns with the mean score. Positive Z-scores indicate values higher than the mean, and negative Z-scores represent values lower than the mean. Applying the Z-score to the slope of the OBV allows us to comprehend the degree of deviation of the current OBV slope from its historical mean.
A Z-score of 1 suggests that the OBV's slope is one standard deviation from the mean, which implies that the slope is within the range of values where approximately 68% (not 67%) of all values lie.
A Z-score of 2 implies that the slope is two standard deviations from the mean, thus within the range where roughly 95% of all values lie.
A Z-score of 3 indicates that the slope is three standard deviations from the mean, putting it within the range where about 99.7% of all values lie.
Z-scores of 4 and 5 and beyond are increasingly rare and represent extreme values.
4. The Z-Score(Slope(OBV)) Indicator and Line Break Chart Synergy: The Z-Score(Slope(OBV)) indicator's efficiency is further amplified when visualized using a Line Break chart. This chart type disregards time, concentrating solely on price changes, thus providing a clear visualization of market trends. When combined with the Line Break chart, the Z-Score(Slope(OBV(LBC))) indicator can help traders identify trend shifts more accurately and promptly, reinforcing the hypothesis that price levels where money flows into and out of an asset often mark local extremes.
In summary, the Z-Score(Slope(OBV)) indicator, combining volume, momentum, and statistical analysis, provides a robust tool for traders to predict local extremes in asset prices.
Regarding Implementation:
- This is implemented using Pinescript V5
- Uses inbuilt ta module
- Very effective and simple and efficient computation in 30 lines of code
Expected VolatilityExpected Volatility
Hello and welcome to my first indicator! I'm publishing this indicator as free to use and modify because I think it's a great place to learn and I hope I can teach you something.
There are some terms which you need to understand before I begin explaining this indicator and what it does for you:
Daily Settlement - The price at which a market closes when the trading day closes (RTH or Regular Trading Hours close)
Standard Deviation - A measure in statistics that declares how far away a data point is from the mean when compared with all the data points before it to an extent
Now for the history behind this indicator:
Rule of 16. This goes back to the VIX, or S&P 500 volatility index. The idea behind the volatility index is to determine what magnitude of movement could be expected from the market the following day based on recent movement. The rule of 16 is an easier way to refer to the square root of the number of trading days in a year. There are 252 trading days in a year and the square root of 252 is approximately 15.87. We estimate it to be 16 because it's easier to talk about when it's easier to say and therefore easier to remember.
The relevance of this rule is that when the VIX is at 16, we can expect a market movement of 1% or so unless some special circumstances overrule this estimate. To get the expected market movement, we take 16 and divide by 16 and get 1, or 1%. If the VIX is trading at 24, we get 24/16 or 1.5 which is 1.5% movement. This indicator seeks to simplify the math and lay it out in a visual way to show the highest probability of range the market is expected to trade.
Thanks for taking the time to read my description, I hope you like my indicator.
Special thanks to my trading friends and coaches for helping me complete this indicator.
GKD-C Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3 [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-C Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3 is a Confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ GKD-C Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3
Adaptive Momentum: Mastering Market Dynamics with Advanced RSI Techniques
The Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3 is a sophisticated technical indicator that combines the concepts of Rapid RSI, Volatility Adaptation, and T3 smoothing. This combination results in a more responsive, accurate, and adaptable momentum oscillator compared to the regular RSI.
The Rapid RSI is a variation of the RSI designed to provide faster and more responsive signals. It does this by modifying the way average gains and losses are calculated, using a simple moving average (SMA) instead of an exponential moving average (EMA). This makes the Rapid RSI more sensitive to recent price changes, allowing traders to identify overbought and oversold conditions more quickly.
Volatility adaptation is a concept that adjusts the parameters of an indicator based on the current market volatility. In the context of the Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3, the volatility is calculated using the standard deviation of price changes over a specified period. This value is then used to adjust the T3 smoothing period, making the indicator more adaptive to changing market conditions. When the market is volatile, the indicator will respond more quickly to price changes, while in less volatile markets, the indicator will be less sensitive, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
T3 smoothing, developed by Tim Tilson, is a powerful and flexible moving average technique that aims to reduce lag and improve the responsiveness of an indicator. It utilizes a combination of multiple exponential moving averages with varying degrees of weighting to create a smoother and more accurate representation of the underlying data. The T3 smoothing method is applied to the price data before the Rapid RSI calculation, enhancing the overall responsiveness of the indicator.
By combining these three concepts, the Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3 offers several advantages over the regular RSI:
1. Faster and more responsive signals: The Rapid RSI and T3 smoothing components allow the indicator to respond more quickly to price changes, potentially leading to earlier entry and exit points.
2. Adaptability to market conditions: The volatility adaptation feature enables the indicator to adjust its sensitivity based on the current market volatility. This helps to reduce false signals in less volatile markets and increase responsiveness in more volatile markets.
2. Smoother representation of price data: The T3 smoothing technique provides a more accurate and smoother representation of the underlying data, making it easier to identify trends and potential reversals.
In conclusion, the Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3 is a powerful technical indicator that offers several improvements over the regular RSI. Its responsiveness, adaptability, and smoothing capabilities make it a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify overbought and oversold conditions more accurately. However, it is essential to remember that no indicator is perfect, and using the Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3 in conjunction with other technical indicators and analysis tools can provide more reliable trading signals.
Additional Features
This indicator allows you to select from 33 source types. They are as follows:
Close
Open
High
Low
Median
Typical
Weighted
Average
Average Median Body
Trend Biased
Trend Biased (Extreme)
HA Close
HA Open
HA High
HA Low
HA Median
HA Typical
HA Weighted
HA Average
HA Average Median Body
HA Trend Biased
HA Trend Biased (Extreme)
HAB Close
HAB Open
HAB High
HAB Low
HAB Median
HAB Typical
HAB Weighted
HAB Average
HAB Average Median Body
HAB Trend Biased
HAB Trend Biased (Extreme)
What are Heiken Ashi "better" candles?
Heiken Ashi "better" candles are a modified version of the standard Heiken Ashi candles, which are a popular charting technique used in technical analysis. Heiken Ashi candles help traders identify trends and potential reversal points by smoothing out price data and reducing market noise. The "better formula" was proposed by Sebastian Schmidt in an article published by BNP Paribas in Warrants & Zertifikate, a German magazine, in August 2004. The aim of this formula is to further improve the smoothing of the Heiken Ashi chart and enhance its effectiveness in identifying trends and reversals.
Standard Heiken Ashi candles are calculated using the following formulas:
Heiken Ashi Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4
Heiken Ashi Open = (Previous Heiken Ashi Open + Previous Heiken Ashi Close) / 2
Heiken Ashi High = Max (High, Heiken Ashi Open, Heiken Ashi Close)
Heiken Ashi Low = Min (Low, Heiken Ashi Open, Heiken Ashi Close)
The "better formula" modifies the standard Heiken Ashi calculation by incorporating additional smoothing, which can help reduce noise and make it easier to identify trends and reversals. The modified formulas for Heiken Ashi "better" candles are as follows:
Better Heiken Ashi Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4
Better Heiken Ashi Open = (Previous Better Heiken Ashi Open + Previous Better Heiken Ashi Close) / 2
Better Heiken Ashi High = Max (High, Better Heiken Ashi Open, Better Heiken Ashi Close)
Better Heiken Ashi Low = Min (Low, Better Heiken Ashi Open, Better Heiken Ashi Close)
Smoothing Factor = 2 / (N + 1), where N is the chosen period for smoothing
Smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Open = (Better Heiken Ashi Open * Smoothing Factor) + (Previous Smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Open * (1 - Smoothing Factor))
Smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Close = (Better Heiken Ashi Close * Smoothing Factor) + (Previous Smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Close * (1 - Smoothing Factor))
The smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Open and Close values are then used to calculate the smoothed Better Heiken Ashi High and Low values, resulting in "better" candles that provide a clearer representation of the market trend and potential reversal points.
It's important to note that, like any other technical analysis tool, Heiken Ashi "better" candles are not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other indicators and analysis techniques to make well-informed trading decisions.
Heiken Ashi "better" candles, as mentioned previously, provide a clearer representation of market trends and potential reversal points by reducing noise and smoothing out price data. When using these candles in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators, traders can gain valuable insights into market behavior and make more informed decisions.
To effectively use Heiken Ashi "better" candles in your trading strategy, consider the following tips:
Trend Identification: Heiken Ashi "better" candles can help you identify the prevailing trend in the market. When the majority of the candles are green (or another color, depending on your chart settings) and there are no or few lower wicks, it may indicate a strong uptrend. Conversely, when the majority of the candles are red (or another color) and there are no or few upper wicks, it may signal a strong downtrend.
Trend Reversals: Look for potential trend reversals when a change in the color of the candles occurs, especially when accompanied by longer wicks. For example, if a green candle with a long lower wick is followed by a red candle, it could indicate a bearish reversal. Similarly, a red candle with a long upper wick followed by a green candle may suggest a bullish reversal.
Support and Resistance: You can use Heiken Ashi "better" candles to identify potential support and resistance levels. When the candles are consistently moving in one direction and then suddenly change color with longer wicks, it could indicate the presence of a support or resistance level.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Using Heiken Ashi "better" candles can help you manage risk by determining optimal stop-loss and take-profit levels. For instance, you can place your stop-loss below the low of the most recent green candle in an uptrend or above the high of the most recent red candle in a downtrend.
Confirming Signals: Heiken Ashi "better" candles should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, oscillators, or chart patterns, to confirm signals and improve the accuracy of your analysis.
In this implementation, you have the choice of AMA, KAMA, or T3 smoothing. These are as follows:
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA)
The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) is a type of adaptive moving average used in technical analysis to smooth out price fluctuations and identify trends. The KAMA adjusts its smoothing factor based on the market's volatility, making it more responsive in volatile markets and smoother in calm markets. The KAMA is calculated using three different efficiency ratios that determine the appropriate smoothing factor for the current market conditions. These ratios are based on the noise level of the market, the speed at which the market is moving, and the length of the moving average. The KAMA is a popular choice among traders who prefer to use adaptive indicators to identify trends and potential reversals.
Adaptive Moving Average
The Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) is a type of moving average that adjusts its sensitivity to price movements based on market conditions. It uses a ratio between the current price and the highest and lowest prices over a certain lookback period to determine its level of smoothing. The AMA can help reduce lag and increase responsiveness to changes in trend direction, making it useful for traders who want to follow trends while avoiding false signals. The AMA is calculated by multiplying a smoothing constant with the difference between the current price and the previous AMA value, then adding the result to the previous AMA value.
T3
The T3 moving average is a type of technical indicator used in financial analysis to identify trends in price movements. It is similar to the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), but uses a different smoothing algorithm.
The T3 moving average is calculated using a series of exponential moving averages that are designed to filter out noise and smooth the data. The resulting smoothed data is then weighted with a non-linear function to produce a final output that is more responsive to changes in trend direction.
The T3 moving average can be customized by adjusting the length of the moving average, as well as the weighting function used to smooth the data. It is commonly used in conjunction with other technical indicators as part of a larger trading strategy.
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v1.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data between modules. Data is passed between each module as described below:
GKD-B => GKD-V => GKD-C(1) => GKD-C(2) => GKD-C(Continuation) => GKD-E => GKD-BT
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Strategy with 1-3 take profits, trailing stop loss, multiple types of PnL volatility, and 2 backtesting styles
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
Confirmation 1: Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3 as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD protocol chain.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
1-Candle Rule Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close)
2. GKD-B Volatility/Volume agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
4. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
]█ Setting up the GKD
The GKD system involves chaining indicators together. These are the steps to set this up.
Use a GKD-C indicator alone on a chart
1. Inside the GKD-C indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Solo Confirmation Simple"
Use a GKD-V indicator alone on a chart
**nothing, it's already useable on the chart without any settings changes
Use a GKD-B indicator alone on a chart
**nothing, it's already useable on the chart without any settings changes
Baseline (Baseline, Backtest)
1. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
2. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "Baseline"
Volatility/Volume (Volatility/Volume, Backte st)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Solo"
2. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Signal Type" setting to "Crossing" (neither traditional nor both can be backtested)
3. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
4. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "Volatility/Volume"
5. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, a) change the setting "Backtest Type" to "Trading" if using a directional GKD-V indicator; or, b) change the setting "Backtest Type" to "Full" if using a directional or non-directional GKD-V indicator (non-directional GKD-V can only test Longs and Shorts separately)
6. If "Backtest Type" is set to "Full": Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Side" to "Long" or "Short
7. If "Backtest Type" is set to "Full": To allow the system to open multiple orders at one time so you test all Longs or Shorts, open the GKD-BT Backtest, click the tab "Properties" and then insert a value of something like 10 orders into the "Pyramiding" settings. This will allow 10 orders to be opened at one time which should be enough to catch all possible Longs or Shorts.
Solo Confirmation Simple (Confirmation, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-C indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Solo Confirmation Simple"
1. Import the GKD-C indicator into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Backtest"
2. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "Solo Confirmation Simple"
Solo Confirmation Complex without Exits (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Confirmation, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Chained"
2. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
3. Inside the GKD-C indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Solo Confirmation Complex"
4. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-C indicator: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
5. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "GKD Full wo/ Exits"
6. Import the GKD-C into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Exit or Backtest"
Solo Confirmation Complex with Exits (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Confirmation, Exit, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Chained"
2. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
3. Inside the GKD-C indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Solo Confirmation Complex"
4. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-C indicator: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
5. Import the GKD-C indicator into the GKD-E indicator: "Input into Exit"
6. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "GKD Full w/ Exits"
7. Import the GKD-E into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Backtest"
Full GKD without Exits (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Confirmation 1, Confirmation 2, Continuation, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Chained"
2. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
3. Inside the GKD-C 1 indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Confirmation 1"
4. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-C 1 indicator: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
5. Inside the GKD-C 2 indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Confirmation 2"
6. Import the GKD-C 1 indicator into the GKD-C 2 indicator: "Input into C2"
7. Inside the GKD-C Continuation indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Continuation"
8. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "GKD Full wo/ Exits"
9. Import the GKD-E into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Exit or Backtest"
Full GKD with Exits (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Confirmation 1, Confirmation 2, Continuation, Exit, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Chained"
2. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
3. Inside the GKD-C 1 indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Confirmation 1"
4. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-C 1 indicator: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
5. Inside the GKD-C 2 indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Confirmation 2"
6. Import the GKD-C 1 indicator into the GKD-C 2 indicator: "Input into C2"
7. Inside the GKD-C Continuation indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Continuation"
8. Import the GKD-C Continuation indicator into the GKD-E indicator: "Input into Exit"
9. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "GKD Full w/ Exits"
10. Import the GKD-E into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Backtest"
Baseline + Volatility/Volume (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Baseline + Volatility/Volume"
2. Inside the GKD-V indicator, make sure the "Signal Type" setting is set to "Traditional"
3. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
4. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "Baseline + Volatility/Volume"
5. Import the GKD-V into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
6. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Type" to "Full". For this backtest, you must test Longs and Shorts separately
7. To allow the system to open multiple orders at one time so you can test all Longs or Shorts, open the GKD-BT Backtest, click the tab "Properties" and then insert a value of something like 10 orders into the "Pyramiding" settings. This will allow 10 orders to be opened at one time which should be enough to catch all possible Longs or Shorts.
Requirements
Inputs
Confirmation 1: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Continuation: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Solo Confirmation Simple: GKD-B Baseline
Solo Confirmation Complex: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Solo Confirmation Super Complex: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Stacked 1: None
Stacked 2+: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 1
Outputs
Confirmation 1: GKD-C Confirmation 2 indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Continuation indicator
Continuation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Solo Confirmation Simple: GKD-BT Backtest
Solo Confirmation Complex: GKD-BT Backtest or GKD-E Exit indicator
Solo Confirmation Super Complex: GKD-C Continuation indicator
Stacked 1: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 2+
Stacked 2+: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 2+ or GKD-BT Backtest
Additional features will be added in future releases.
GKD-C CCI Adaptive Smoother [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-C CCI Adaptive Smoother is a Confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ GKD-C CCI Adaptive Smoother
Commodity Channel Index: History, Calculation, and Advantages
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a versatile technical analysis indicator widely used by traders and analysts to identify potential trends, reversals, and trading opportunities in various financial markets. Developed by Donald Lambert in 1980, the CCI was initially designed to analyze the cyclical behavior of commodities. However, its applications have expanded over time to include stocks, currencies, and other financial instruments. The following provides an overview of the CCI's history, explain its calculation, and discuss its advantages compared to other indicators.
History
Donald Lambert, a commodities trader and technical analyst, created the Commodity Channel Index in response to the unique challenges posed by the cyclical nature of the commodities markets. Lambert aimed to develop an indicator that could help traders identify potential turning points in the market, allowing them to capitalize on price trends and reversals. The CCI quickly gained popularity among traders and analysts due to its ability to adapt to various market conditions and provide valuable insights into price movements.
Calculation
The CCI is calculated through the following steps:
1. Determine the typical price for each period: The typical price is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for each period.
Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
2. Calculate the moving average of the typical price: The moving average is computed over a specified period, typically 14 or 20 days.
3. Calculate the mean deviation: For each period, subtract the moving average from the typical price, and take the absolute value of the result. Then, compute the average of these absolute values over the specified period.
4. Calculate the CCI: Divide the difference between the typical price and its moving average by the product of the mean deviation and a constant, typically 0.015.
CCI = (Typical Price - Moving Average) / (0.015 * Mean Deviation)
Why CCI is Used and Its Advantages over Other Indicators
The CCI offers several advantages over other technical indicators, making it a popular choice among traders and analysts:
1. Versatility: Although initially developed for commodities, the CCI has proven to be effective in analyzing a wide range of financial instruments, including stocks, currencies, and indices. Its adaptability to different markets and timeframes makes it a valuable tool for various trading strategies.
2. Identification of overbought and oversold conditions: The CCI measures the strength of the price movement relative to its historical average. When the CCI reaches extreme values, it can signal overbought or oversold conditions, indicating potential trend reversals or price corrections.
3. Confirmation of price trends: The CCI can help traders confirm the presence of a price trend by identifying periods of strong momentum. A rising CCI indicates increasing positive momentum, while a falling CCI suggests increasing negative momentum.
4. Divergence analysis: Traders can use the CCI to identify divergences between the indicator and price action. For example, if the price reaches a new high, but the CCI fails to reach a corresponding high, it can signal a weakening trend and potential reversal.
5. Independent of price scale: Unlike some other technical indicators, the CCI is not affected by the price scale of the asset being analyzed. This characteristic allows traders to apply the CCI consistently across various instruments and markets.
The Commodity Channel Index is a powerful and versatile technical analysis tool that has stood the test of time. Developed to address the unique challenges of the commodities markets, the CCI has evolved into an essential tool for traders and analysts in various financial markets. Its ability to identify trends, reversals, and trading opportunities, as well as its versatility and adaptability, sets it apart from other technical indicators. By incorporating the CCI into their analytical toolkit, traders can gain valuable insights into market conditions, enabling them to make more informed decisions and improve their overall trading performance.
As financial markets continue to evolve and grow more complex, the importance of reliable and versatile technical analysis tools like the CCI cannot be overstated. In an environment characterized by rapidly changing market conditions, the ability to quickly identify trends, reversals, and potential trading opportunities is crucial for success. The CCI's adaptability to different markets, timeframes, and instruments makes it an indispensable resource for traders seeking to navigate the increasingly dynamic financial landscape.
Additionally, the CCI can be effectively combined with other technical analysis tools, such as moving averages, trend lines, and candlestick patterns, to create a more comprehensive and robust trading strategy. By using the CCI in conjunction with these complementary techniques, traders can develop a more nuanced understanding of market behavior and enhance their ability to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
In conclusion, the Commodity Channel Index is a valuable and versatile tool in the world of technical analysis. Its ability to adapt to various market conditions and provide insights into price trends, reversals, and trading opportunities make it an essential resource for traders and analysts alike. As the financial markets continue to evolve, the CCI's proven track record and adaptability ensure that it will remain a cornerstone of technical analysis for years to come.
What is the Smoother Moving Average?
The smoother function is a custom algorithm designed to smooth the price data of a financial asset using a moving average technique. It takes the price (src) and the period of the rolling window sample (len) to reduce noise in the data and reveal underlying trends.
smoother(float src, int len)=>
wrk = src, wrk2 = src, wrk4 = src
wrk0 = 0., wrk1 = 0., wrk3 = 0.
alpha = 0.45 * (len - 1.0) / (0.45 * (len - 1.0) + 2.0)
wrk0 := src + alpha * (nz(wrk ) - src)
wrk1 := (src - wrk) * (1 - alpha) + alpha * nz(wrk1 )
wrk2 := wrk0 + wrk1
wrk3 := (wrk2 - nz(wrk4 )) * math.pow(1.0 - alpha, 2) + math.pow(alpha, 2) * nz(wrk3 )
wrk4 := wrk3 + nz(wrk4 )
wrk4
Here's a detailed breakdown of the code, explaining each step and its purpose:
1. wrk, wrk2, and wrk4: These variables are assigned the value of src, which represents the source price of the asset. This step initializes the variables with the current price data, serving as a starting point for the smoothing calculations.
wrk0, wrk1, and wrk3: These variables are initialized to 0. They will be used as temporary variables to hold intermediate results during the calculations.
Calculation of the alpha parameter:
2. The alpha parameter is calculated using the formula: 0.45 * (len - 1.0) / (0.45 * (len - 1.0) + 2.0). The purpose of this calculation is to determine the smoothing factor that will be used in the subsequent calculations. This factor will influence the balance between responsiveness to recent price changes and smoothness of the resulting moving average. A higher value of alpha will result in a more responsive moving average, while a lower value will produce a smoother curve.
Calculation of wrk0:
3. wrk0 is updated with the expression: src + alpha * (nz(wrk ) - src). This step calculates the first component of the moving average, which is based on the current price (src) and the previous value of wrk (if it exists, otherwise 0 is used). This calculation applies the alpha parameter to weight the contribution of the previous wrk value, effectively making the moving average more responsive to recent price changes.
Calculation of wrk1:
4. wrk1 is updated with the expression: (src - wrk) * (1 - alpha) + alpha * nz(wrk1 ). This step calculates the second component of the moving average, which is based on the difference between the current price (src) and the current value of wrk. The alpha parameter is used to weight the contribution of the previous wrk1 value, allowing the moving average to be even more responsive to recent price changes.
Calculation of wrk2:
5. wrk2 is updated with the expression: wrk0 + wrk1. This step combines the first and second components of the moving average (wrk0 and wrk1) to produce a preliminary smoothed value.
Calculation of wrk3:
6. wrk3 is updated with the expression: (wrk2 - nz(wrk4 )) * math.pow(1.0 - alpha, 2) + math.pow(alpha, 2) * nz(wrk3 ). This step refines the preliminary smoothed value (wrk2) by accounting for the differences between the current smoothed value and the previous smoothed values (wrk4 and wrk3 ). The alpha parameter is used to weight the contributions of the previous smoothed values, providing a balance between smoothness and responsiveness.
Calculation of wrk4:
7. Calculation of wrk4:
wrk4 is updated with the expression: wrk3 + nz(wrk4 ). This step combines the refined smoothed value (wrk3) with the previous smoothed value (wrk4 , or 0 if it doesn't exist) to produce the final smoothed value. The purpose of this step is to ensure that the resulting moving average incorporates information from past values, making it smoother and more representative of the underlying trend.
8. Return wrk4:
The function returns the final smoothed value wrk4. This value represents the Smoother Moving Average for the given data point in the price series.
In summary, the smoother function calculates a custom moving average by using a series of steps to weight and combine recent price data with past smoothed values. The resulting moving average is more responsive to recent price changes while still maintaining a smooth curve, which helps reveal underlying trends and reduce noise in the data. The alpha parameter plays a key role in balancing the responsiveness and smoothness of the moving average, allowing users to customize the behavior of the algorithm based on their specific needs and preferences.
What is the CCI Adaptive Smoother?
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Adaptive Smoother is an innovative technical analysis tool that combines the benefits of the CCI indicator with a Smoother Moving Average. By adapting the CCI calculation based on the current market volatility, this method offers a more responsive and flexible approach to identifying potential trends and trading signals in financial markets.
The CCI is a momentum-based oscillator designed to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. It measures the difference between the typical price of an asset and its moving average, divided by the mean absolute deviation of the typical price. The traditional CCI calculation relies on a fixed period, which may not be suitable for all market conditions, as volatility can change over time.
The introduction of the Smoother Moving Average to the CCI calculation addresses this limitation. The Smoother Moving Average is a custom smoothing algorithm that combines elements of exponential moving averages with additional calculations to fine-tune the smoothing effect based on a given parameter. This algorithm assigns more importance to recent data points, making it more sensitive to recent changes in the data.
The CCI Adaptive Smoother dynamically adjusts the period of the Smoother Moving Average based on the current market volatility. This is accomplished by calculating the standard deviation of the close prices over a specified period and then computing the simple moving average of the standard deviation. By comparing the average standard deviation with the current standard deviation, the adaptive period for the Smoother Moving Average can be determined.
This adaptive approach allows the CCI Adaptive Smoother to be more responsive to changing market conditions. In periods of high volatility, the adaptive period will be shorter, resulting in a more responsive moving average. Conversely, in periods of low volatility, the adaptive period will be longer, producing a smoother moving average. This flexibility enables the CCI Adaptive Smoother to better identify trends and potential trading signals in a variety of market environments.
Furthermore, the CCI Adaptive Smoother is a prime example of the evolution of technical analysis methodologies. As markets continue to become more complex and dynamic, it is crucial for analysts and traders to adapt and improve their techniques to stay competitive. The incorporation of adaptive algorithms, like the Smoother Moving Average, demonstrates the potential for blending traditional indicators with cutting-edge methods to create more powerful and versatile tools for market analysis.
The versatility of the CCI Adaptive Smoother makes it suitable for various trading strategies, including trend-following, mean-reversion, and breakout systems. By providing a more precise measurement of overbought and oversold conditions, the CCI Adaptive Smoother can help traders identify potential entry and exit points with greater accuracy. Additionally, its responsiveness to changing market conditions allows for more timely adjustments in trading positions, reducing the risk of holding onto losing trades.
While the CCI Adaptive Smoother is a valuable tool, it is essential to remember that no single indicator can provide a complete picture of the market. As seasoned analysts and traders, we must always consider a holistic approach, incorporating multiple indicators and techniques to confirm signals and validate our trading decisions. By combining the CCI Adaptive Smoother with other technical analysis tools, such as trend lines, support and resistance levels, and candlestick patterns, traders can develop a more comprehensive understanding of the market and make more informed decisions.
The development of the CCI Adaptive Smoother also highlights the increasing importance of computational power and advanced algorithms in the field of technical analysis. As financial markets become more interconnected and influenced by various factors, including macroeconomic events, geopolitical developments, and technological innovations, the need for sophisticated tools to analyze and interpret complex data sets becomes even more critical.
Machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) are becoming increasingly relevant in the world of trading and investing. These technologies have the potential to revolutionize how technical analysis is performed, by automating the discovery of patterns, relationships, and trends in the data. By leveraging machine learning algorithms and AI-driven techniques, traders can uncover hidden insights, improve decision-making processes, and optimize trading strategies.
The CCI Adaptive Smoother is just one example of how advanced algorithms can enhance traditional technical indicators. As the adoption of machine learning and AI continues to grow in the financial sector, we can expect to see the emergence of even more sophisticated and powerful analysis tools. These innovations will undoubtedly lead to a new era of technical analysis, where the ability to quickly adapt to changing market conditions and extract meaningful insights from complex data becomes increasingly critical for success.
In conclusion, the CCI Adaptive Smoother is an essential step forward in the evolution of technical analysis. It demonstrates the potential for combining traditional indicators with advanced algorithms to create more responsive and versatile tools for market analysis. As technology continues to advance and reshape the financial landscape, it is crucial for traders and analysts to stay informed and embrace innovation. By integrating cutting-edge tools like the CCI Adaptive Smoother into their arsenal, traders can gain a competitive edge and enhance their ability to navigate the increasingly complex world of financial markets.
Additional Features
This indicator allows you to select from 33 source types. They are as follows:
Close
Open
High
Low
Median
Typical
Weighted
Average
Average Median Body
Trend Biased
Trend Biased (Extreme)
HA Close
HA Open
HA High
HA Low
HA Median
HA Typical
HA Weighted
HA Average
HA Average Median Body
HA Trend Biased
HA Trend Biased (Extreme)
HAB Close
HAB Open
HAB High
HAB Low
HAB Median
HAB Typical
HAB Weighted
HAB Average
HAB Average Median Body
HAB Trend Biased
HAB Trend Biased (Extreme)
What are Heiken Ashi "better" candles?
Heiken Ashi "better" candles are a modified version of the standard Heiken Ashi candles, which are a popular charting technique used in technical analysis. Heiken Ashi candles help traders identify trends and potential reversal points by smoothing out price data and reducing market noise. The "better formula" was proposed by Sebastian Schmidt in an article published by BNP Paribas in Warrants & Zertifikate, a German magazine, in August 2004. The aim of this formula is to further improve the smoothing of the Heiken Ashi chart and enhance its effectiveness in identifying trends and reversals.
Standard Heiken Ashi candles are calculated using the following formulas:
Heiken Ashi Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4
Heiken Ashi Open = (Previous Heiken Ashi Open + Previous Heiken Ashi Close) / 2
Heiken Ashi High = Max (High, Heiken Ashi Open, Heiken Ashi Close)
Heiken Ashi Low = Min (Low, Heiken Ashi Open, Heiken Ashi Close)
The "better formula" modifies the standard Heiken Ashi calculation by incorporating additional smoothing, which can help reduce noise and make it easier to identify trends and reversals. The modified formulas for Heiken Ashi "better" candles are as follows:
Better Heiken Ashi Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4
Better Heiken Ashi Open = (Previous Better Heiken Ashi Open + Previous Better Heiken Ashi Close) / 2
Better Heiken Ashi High = Max (High, Better Heiken Ashi Open, Better Heiken Ashi Close)
Better Heiken Ashi Low = Min (Low, Better Heiken Ashi Open, Better Heiken Ashi Close)
Smoothing Factor = 2 / (N + 1), where N is the chosen period for smoothing
Smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Open = (Better Heiken Ashi Open * Smoothing Factor) + (Previous Smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Open * (1 - Smoothing Factor))
Smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Close = (Better Heiken Ashi Close * Smoothing Factor) + (Previous Smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Close * (1 - Smoothing Factor))
The smoothed Better Heiken Ashi Open and Close values are then used to calculate the smoothed Better Heiken Ashi High and Low values, resulting in "better" candles that provide a clearer representation of the market trend and potential reversal points.
It's important to note that, like any other technical analysis tool, Heiken Ashi "better" candles are not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other indicators and analysis techniques to make well-informed trading decisions.
Heiken Ashi "better" candles, as mentioned previously, provide a clearer representation of market trends and potential reversal points by reducing noise and smoothing out price data. When using these candles in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators, traders can gain valuable insights into market behavior and make more informed decisions.
To effectively use Heiken Ashi "better" candles in your trading strategy, consider the following tips:
Trend Identification: Heiken Ashi "better" candles can help you identify the prevailing trend in the market. When the majority of the candles are green (or another color, depending on your chart settings) and there are no or few lower wicks, it may indicate a strong uptrend. Conversely, when the majority of the candles are red (or another color) and there are no or few upper wicks, it may signal a strong downtrend.
Trend Reversals: Look for potential trend reversals when a change in the color of the candles occurs, especially when accompanied by longer wicks. For example, if a green candle with a long lower wick is followed by a red candle, it could indicate a bearish reversal. Similarly, a red candle with a long upper wick followed by a green candle may suggest a bullish reversal.
Support and Resistance: You can use Heiken Ashi "better" candles to identify potential support and resistance levels. When the candles are consistently moving in one direction and then suddenly change color with longer wicks, it could indicate the presence of a support or resistance level.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Using Heiken Ashi "better" candles can help you manage risk by determining optimal stop-loss and take-profit levels. For instance, you can place your stop-loss below the low of the most recent green candle in an uptrend or above the high of the most recent red candle in a downtrend.
Confirming Signals: Heiken Ashi "better" candles should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, oscillators, or chart patterns, to confirm signals and improve the accuracy of your analysis.
In this implementation, you have the choice of AMA, KAMA, or T3 smoothing. These are as follows:
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA)
The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) is a type of adaptive moving average used in technical analysis to smooth out price fluctuations and identify trends. The KAMA adjusts its smoothing factor based on the market's volatility, making it more responsive in volatile markets and smoother in calm markets. The KAMA is calculated using three different efficiency ratios that determine the appropriate smoothing factor for the current market conditions. These ratios are based on the noise level of the market, the speed at which the market is moving, and the length of the moving average. The KAMA is a popular choice among traders who prefer to use adaptive indicators to identify trends and potential reversals.
Adaptive Moving Average
The Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) is a type of moving average that adjusts its sensitivity to price movements based on market conditions. It uses a ratio between the current price and the highest and lowest prices over a certain lookback period to determine its level of smoothing. The AMA can help reduce lag and increase responsiveness to changes in trend direction, making it useful for traders who want to follow trends while avoiding false signals. The AMA is calculated by multiplying a smoothing constant with the difference between the current price and the previous AMA value, then adding the result to the previous AMA value.
T3
The T3 moving average is a type of technical indicator used in financial analysis to identify trends in price movements. It is similar to the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), but uses a different smoothing algorithm.
The T3 moving average is calculated using a series of exponential moving averages that are designed to filter out noise and smooth the data. The resulting smoothed data is then weighted with a non-linear function to produce a final output that is more responsive to changes in trend direction.
The T3 moving average can be customized by adjusting the length of the moving average, as well as the weighting function used to smooth the data. It is commonly used in conjunction with other technical indicators as part of a larger trading strategy.
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v1.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data between modules. Data is passed between each module as described below:
GKD-B => GKD-V => GKD-C(1) => GKD-C(2) => GKD-C(Continuation) => GKD-E => GKD-BT
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Strategy with 1-3 take profits, trailing stop loss, multiple types of PnL volatility, and 2 backtesting styles
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
Confirmation 1: CCI Adaptive Smoother as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: CCI Adaptive Smoother
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD protocol chain.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
1-Candle Rule Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close)
2. GKD-B Volatility/Volume agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
4. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
]█ Setting up the GKD
The GKD system involves chaining indicators together. These are the steps to set this up.
Use a GKD-C indicator alone on a chart
1. Inside the GKD-C indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Solo Confirmation Simple"
Use a GKD-V indicator alone on a chart
**nothing, it's already useable on the chart without any settings changes
Use a GKD-B indicator alone on a chart
**nothing, it's already useable on the chart without any settings changes
Baseline (Baseline, Backtest)
1. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
2. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "Baseline"
Volatility/Volume (Volatility/Volume, Backte st)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Solo"
2. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Signal Type" setting to "Crossing" (neither traditional nor both can be backtested)
3. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
4. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "Volatility/Volume"
5. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, a) change the setting "Backtest Type" to "Trading" if using a directional GKD-V indicator; or, b) change the setting "Backtest Type" to "Full" if using a directional or non-directional GKD-V indicator (non-directional GKD-V can only test Longs and Shorts separately)
6. If "Backtest Type" is set to "Full": Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Side" to "Long" or "Short
7. If "Backtest Type" is set to "Full": To allow the system to open multiple orders at one time so you test all Longs or Shorts, open the GKD-BT Backtest, click the tab "Properties" and then insert a value of something like 10 orders into the "Pyramiding" settings. This will allow 10 orders to be opened at one time which should be enough to catch all possible Longs or Shorts.
Solo Confirmation Simple (Confirmation, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-C indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Solo Confirmation Simple"
1. Import the GKD-C indicator into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Backtest"
2. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "Solo Confirmation Simple"
Solo Confirmation Complex without Exits (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Confirmation, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Chained"
2. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
3. Inside the GKD-C indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Solo Confirmation Complex"
4. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-C indicator: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
5. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "GKD Full wo/ Exits"
6. Import the GKD-C into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Exit or Backtest"
Solo Confirmation Complex with Exits (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Confirmation, Exit, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Chained"
2. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
3. Inside the GKD-C indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Solo Confirmation Complex"
4. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-C indicator: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
5. Import the GKD-C indicator into the GKD-E indicator: "Input into Exit"
6. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "GKD Full w/ Exits"
7. Import the GKD-E into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Backtest"
Full GKD without Exits (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Confirmation 1, Confirmation 2, Continuation, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Chained"
2. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
3. Inside the GKD-C 1 indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Confirmation 1"
4. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-C 1 indicator: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
5. Inside the GKD-C 2 indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Confirmation 2"
6. Import the GKD-C 1 indicator into the GKD-C 2 indicator: "Input into C2"
7. Inside the GKD-C Continuation indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Continuation"
8. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "GKD Full wo/ Exits"
9. Import the GKD-E into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Exit or Backtest"
Full GKD with Exits (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Confirmation 1, Confirmation 2, Continuation, Exit, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Chained"
2. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
3. Inside the GKD-C 1 indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Confirmation 1"
4. Import the GKD-V indicator into the GKD-C 1 indicator: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
5. Inside the GKD-C 2 indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Confirmation 2"
6. Import the GKD-C 1 indicator into the GKD-C 2 indicator: "Input into C2"
7. Inside the GKD-C Continuation indicator, change the "Confirmation Type" setting to "Continuation"
8. Import the GKD-C Continuation indicator into the GKD-E indicator: "Input into Exit"
9. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "GKD Full w/ Exits"
10. Import the GKD-E into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into Backtest"
Baseline + Volatility/Volume (Baseline, Volatility/Volume, Backtest)
1. Inside the GKD-V indicator, change the "Testing Type" setting to "Baseline + Volatility/Volume"
2. Inside the GKD-V indicator, make sure the "Signal Type" setting is set to "Traditional"
3. Import the GKD-B Baseline into the GKD-V indicator: "Input into Volatility/Volume or Backtest (Baseline testing)"
4. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Special" to "Baseline + Volatility/Volume"
5. Import the GKD-V into the GKD-BT Backtest: "Input into C1 or Backtest"
6. Inside the GKD-BT Backtest, change the setting "Backtest Type" to "Full". For this backtest, you must test Longs and Shorts separately
7. To allow the system to open multiple orders at one time so you can test all Longs or Shorts, open the GKD-BT Backtest, click the tab "Properties" and then insert a value of something like 10 orders into the "Pyramiding" settings. This will allow 10 orders to be opened at one time which should be enough to catch all possible Longs or Shorts.
Requirements
Inputs
Confirmation 1: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Continuation: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Solo Confirmation Simple: GKD-B Baseline
Solo Confirmation Complex: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Solo Confirmation Super Complex: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Stacked 1: None
Stacked 2+: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 1
Outputs
Confirmation 1: GKD-C Confirmation 2 indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Continuation indicator
Continuation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Solo Confirmation Simple: GKD-BT Backtest
Solo Confirmation Complex: GKD-BT Backtest or GKD-E Exit indicator
Solo Confirmation Super Complex: GKD-C Continuation indicator
Stacked 1: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 2+
Stacked 2+: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 2+ or GKD-BT Backtest
Additional features will be added in future releases.
