Periodic Activity Tracker [LuxAlgo]The Periodic Activity Tracker tool periodically tracks the cumulative buy and sell volume in a user-defined period and draws the corresponding matching bars and volume delta for each period.
Users can select a predefined aggregation period from the following options: Hourly, Daily, Weekly, and Monthly.
🔶 USAGE
This tool provides a simple and clear way of analyzing volumes for each aggregated period and is made up of the following elements:
Buy and sell volumes by period as red and green lines with color gradient area
Delta (difference) between buy & sell volume for each period
Buy & sell volume bars for each period
Separator between lines and bars, and period tags below each pair of bars for ease of reading
On the chart above we can see all the elements displayed, the volume level on the lines perfectly matches the volume level on the bars for each period.
In this case, the tool has the default settings so the anchor period is set to Daily and we can see how the period tag (each day of the week) is displayed below each pair of bars.
Users can disable the delta display and adjust the bar size.
🔹 Reading The Tool
In trading, assessing the strength of the bulls (buyers) and bears (sellers) is key to understanding the current trading environment. Which side, if any, has the upper hand? To answer this question, some traders look at volume in relation to price.
This tool provides you with a view of buy volume versus sell volume, allowing you to compare both sides of the market.
As with any volume tool, the key is to understand when the forces of the two groups are balanced or unbalanced.
As we can observe on the chart:
NOV '23: Buy volume greater than sell volume, both moving up close together, flat delta. We can see that the price is in range.
DEC '23: Buy volume bigger than Sell volume, both moving up but with a bigger difference, bigger delta than last month but still flat. We can see the price in the range above last month's range.
JAN '24: Buy and sell volume tied together, no delta whatsoever. We can see the price in range but testing above and below last month's range.
FEB '24: Buy volume explodes higher and sell volume cannot keep up, big growing delta. Price explodes higher above last month's range.
Traders need to understand that there is always an equal number of buyers and sellers in a liquid market, the quality here is how aggressive or passive they are. Who is 'attacking' and who is 'defending', who is using market orders to move prices, and who is using limit orders waiting to be filled?
This tool gives you the following information:
Lines: if the top line is green, the buyers are attacking, if it is red, the sellers are attacking.
Delta: represents the difference in their strength, if it is above 0 the buyers are stronger, if it is below 0 the sellers are stronger.
Bars: help you to see the difference in strength between buyers and sellers for each period at a glance.
🔹 Anchor Period
By default, the tool is set to Hourly. However, users can select from a number of predefined time periods.
Depending on the user's selection, the bars are displayed as follows:
Hourly : hours of the current day
Daily : days of the current week
Weekly : weeks of the current month
Monthly : months of the current year
On the chart above we can see the four periods displayed, starting at the top left and moving clockwise we have hourly, daily, weekly, and monthly.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Chart TimeFrame
The chart timeframe has a direct impact on the visualization of the tool, and the user should select a chart timeframe that is compatible with the Anchor period in the tool's settings panel.
For the chart timeframe to be compatible it must be less than the Anchor period parameter. If the user selects an incompatible chart timeframe, a warning message will be displayed.
As a rule of thumb, the smaller the chart timeframe, the more data the tool will collect, returning indications for longer-term price variations.
These are the recommended chart timeframes for each period:
Hourly : 5m charts or lower
Daily : 1H charts or lower
Weekly : 4H charts or lower
Monthly : 1D charts or lower
🔹 Warnings
This chart shows both types of warnings the user may receive
At the top, we can see the warning that is given when the 'Bar Width' parameter exceeds the allowed value.
At the bottom is the incompatible chart timeframe warning, which prompts the user to select a smaller chart timeframe or a larger "Anchor Period" parameter.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Data Gathering
Anchor period: Time period representing each bar: hours of the day, days of the week, weeks of the month, and months of the year. The timeframe of the chart must be less than this parameter, otherwise a warning will be displayed.
🔹 Style
Bars width: Size of each bar, there is a maximum limit so a warning will be displayed if it is reached.
Volume color
Delta: Enable/Disable Delta Area Display
Trend
LSMA Z-Score [BackQuant]LSMA Z-Score
Main Features and Use in the Trading Strategy
- The indicator normalizes the LSMA into a detrended Z-Score, creating an oscillator with standard deviation levels to indicate trend strength.
- Adaptive coloring highlights the rate of change and potential reversals, with different colors for positive and negative changes above and below the midline.
- Extreme levels with adaptive coloring indicate the probability of a reversion, providing strategic entry or exit points.
- Alert conditions for crossing the midline or significant shifts in trend direction enhance its utility within a trading strategy.
1. What is an LSMA?
The Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) is a technical indicator that smoothens price data to help identify trends. It uses the least squares regression method to fit a straight line through the selected price points over a specified period. This approach minimizes the sum of the squares of the distances between the line and the price points, providing a more statistically grounded moving average that can adapt more smoothly to price changes.
2. What is a Z-Score?
A Z-Score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. If a Z-Score is 0, it indicates that the data point's score is identical to the mean score. A Z-Score helps in understanding if a data point is typical for a given data set or if it is atypical. In finance, a Z-Score is often used to measure how far a piece of data is from the average of a set, which can be helpful in identifying outliers or unusual data points.
3. Why Turning LSMA into a Z-Score is Innovative and Its Benefits
Converting LSMA into a Z-Score is innovative because it combines the trend identification capabilities of the LSMA with the statistical significance testing of Z-Scores. This transformation normalizes the LSMA, creating a detrended oscillator that oscillates around a mean (zero line), with standard deviation levels to show trend strength. This method offers several benefits:
Enhanced Trend Detection:
- By normalizing the LSMA, traders can more easily identify when the price is deviating significantly from its trend, which can signal potential trading opportunities.
Standardization:
- The Z-Score transformation allows for comparisons across different assets or time frames, as the score is standardized.
Objective Measurement of Trend Strength:
- The use of standard deviation levels provides an objective measure of trend strength and volatility.
4. How It Can Be Used in the Context of a Trading System
This indicator can serve as a versatile tool within a trading system for a range of things:
Trend Confirmation:
- A positive Z-Score can confirm an uptrend, while a negative Z-Score can confirm a downtrend, providing traders with signals to enter or exit trades.
Oversold/Overbought Conditions:
- Extreme Z-Score levels can indicate overbought or oversold conditions, suggesting potential reversals or pullbacks.
Volatility Assessment:
- The standard deviation levels can help traders assess market volatility, with wider bands indicating higher volatility.
5. How It Can Be Used for Trend Following
For trend following strategies, this indicator can be particularly useful:
Trend Strength Indicator:
- By monitoring the Z-Score's distance from zero, traders can gauge the strength of the current trend, with larger absolute values indicating stronger trends.
Directional Bias:
- Positive Z-Scores can be used to establish a bullish bias, while negative Z-Scores can establish a bearish bias, guiding trend following entries and exits.
Color-Coding for Trend Changes :
- The adaptive coloring of the indicator based on the rate of change and extreme levels provides visual cues for potential trend reversals or continuations.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
This is using the Midline Crossover:
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Volatility Filter v2VF v2 is a new iteration of my tool designed for traders who wish to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics, specifically to distinguish periods of high volatility, which often correspond to strong market trends. By identifying these periods, traders can make more informed decisions, potentially leading to better trading outcomes.
Understanding Market Volatility:
At the heart of this script lies the concept of market volatility, a statistical measure reflecting the degree of variation in trading prices. Volatility is pivotal for traders; it provides insights into the market's emotional state, indicating periods of uncertainty or confidence. High volatility often correlates with strong trends, making it a critical indicator for trend-followers. By identifying when volatility crosses a certain threshold, traders can discern whether the market is likely to be in a trending phase or a more subdued, range-bound state.
How the Script Works:
The core functionality of the script revolves around a signal line that oscillates around a zero threshold. When the signal line is above zero, it indicates increased market volatility, suggesting the presence of a trend. The farther the oscillator deviates from zero, the stronger the implied trend. This mechanism enables traders to visually gauge market conditions and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Controlling the Indicator:
To cater to diverse trading styles and preferences, the script is equipped with several customizable settings:
Filter Threshold: This 'zero line' acts as the baseline for distinguishing between different volatility regimes. Crossing this threshold is a primary signal for changes in market volatility.
Moving Average Type: With over 30 types of moving averages to choose from, traders can select the one that best fits their analysis style. Each type offers a different perspective on price data, allowing for a tailored approach to trend identification.
Colorize Indicator: This feature enhances the visual representation of the indicator, making it easier to interpret. When enabled, the oscillator's color intensity varies with its proximity to the extremes, providing a quick visual cue about trend strength.
Advanced Settings – Length and Multiplier:
The script introduces an innovative approach to time frame analysis through its length and multiplier settings:
Length: This parameter sets the base period for all metrics within the script, similar to traditional indicators.
Multiplier: This unique feature differentiates the script by incorporating three distinct timeframes into the analysis: a lower timeframe, the main (current) timeframe, and a higher timeframe. The multiplier adjusts these timeframes relative to the main one. For instance, with a daily main timeframe and a multiplier of 2, the lower timeframe would be 12 hours, and the higher timeframe would be 2 days. This tri-timeframe approach aims to provide a more comprehensive volatility assessment.
Volatility Filter Indicators Section:
The script utilizes nine different, undisclosed metrics within its volatility filter. Traders have the flexibility to enable or disable these metrics based on their preferences, allowing for a customizable trading experience. Additionally, the script offers alert functionality for when the indicator crosses the threshold, either upwards or downwards, facilitating timely decision-making.
P.S
With better understanding of markets over time, I designed a new iteration of my volatility filter indicator. The second version provides faster, more precise way to analyze markets, but I also wanted to keep my first version untouched in case if some people find it better for their purposes. As I mentioned above, this version is calculated in a very different way from a previous one, so if you never tried it you can do it here
Dual SMA/EMA BandsThe Dual SMA/EMA Bands indicator provides a clear view of market trends, combining Simple Moving Averages (SMA) and Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) in one customizable tool. Designed for any timeframe, it features Aqua and Purple Bands for 50-period and 200-period averages , respectively, aiding in trend analysis and volatility insights.
Features:
Adaptive Timeframes : Automatically aligns with the chart’s timeframe or can be manually set for cross-timeframe analysis.
Customization : Offers easy adjustments for colors, line thickness, and opacity to suit personal preferences and enhance readability.
Insights : Facilitates trend confirmation and volatility assessment, essential for informed trading decisions.
Usage Tips:
Use the bands to gauge market direction; above the bands suggests bullish conditions, below them indicates bearish trends.
The gap between EMA and SMA within each band can signal market volatility.
Apply customizable timeframes for a comprehensive market overview.
Conclusion:
With its straightforward setup and versatile application, the Dual SMA/EMA Bands indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to deepen their market analysis and uncover trading opportunities.
Trend AngleThe "Trend Angle" indicator serves as a tool for traders to decipher market trends through a methodical lens. It quantifies the inclination of price movements within a specified timeframe, making it easy to understand current trend dynamics.
Conceptual Foundation:
Angle Measurement: The essence of the "Trend Angle" indicator is its ability to compute the angle between the price trajectory over a defined period and the horizontal axis. This is achieved through the calculation of the arctangent of the percentage price change, offering a straightforward measure of market directionality.
Smoothing Mechanisms: The indicator incorporates options for "Moving Average" and "Linear Regression" as smoothing mechanisms. This adaptability allows for refined trend analysis, catering to diverse market conditions and individual preferences.
Functional Versatility:
Source Adaptability: The indicator affords the flexibility to select the desired price source, enabling users to tailor the angle calculation to their analytical framework and other indicators.
Detrending Capability: With the detrending feature, the indicator allows for the subtraction of the smoothing line from the calculated angle, highlighting deviations from the main trend. This is particularly useful for identifying potential trend reversals or significant market shifts.
Customizable Period: The 'Length' parameter empowers traders to define the observation window for both the trend angle calculation and its smoothing, accommodating various trading horizons.
Visual Intuition: The optional colorization enhances interpretability, with the indicator's color shifting based on its relation to the smoothing line, thereby providing an immediate visual cue regarding the trend's direction.
Interpretative Results:
Market Flatness: An angle proximate to 0 suggests a flat market condition, indicating a lack of significant directional movement. This insight can be pivotal for traders in assessing market stagnation.
Trending Market: Conversely, a relatively high angle denotes a trending market, signifying strong directional momentum. This distinction is crucial for traders aiming to capitalize on trend-driven opportunities.
Analytical Nuance vs. Simplicity:
While the "Trend Angle" indicator is underpinned by mathematical principles, its utility lies in its simplicity and interpretative clarity. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that this tool should be employed as part of a comprehensive trading strategy , complemented by other analytical instruments for a holistic market analysis.
In essence, the "Trend Angle" indicator exemplifies the harmonization of simplicity and analytical rigor. Its design respects the complexity of market behaviors while offering straightforward, actionable insights, making it a valuable component in the arsenal of both seasoned and novice traders alike.
Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator [BackQuant]Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator
The Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator is BackQuants new free indicator designed for traders seeking an advanced, empirical approach to trend detection and momentum analysis. By integrating the robustness of a Kalman filter with the adaptability of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), this tool offers a sophisticated method to capture market dynamics. This indicator is crafted to provide a clearer, more responsive insight into price trends and momentum shifts, enabling traders to make informed decisions in fast-moving markets.
Core Principles
Kalman Filter Dynamics:
At its core, the Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator leverages the Kalman filter, renowned for its efficiency in predicting the state of linear dynamic systems amidst uncertainties. By applying it to the RSI calculation, the tool adeptly filters out market noise, offering a smoothed price source that forms the basis for more accurate momentum analysis. The inclusion of customizable parameters like process noise, measurement noise, and filter order allows traders to fine-tune the filter’s sensitivity to market changes, making it a versatile tool for various trading environments.
RSI Adaptation:
The RSI is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. By integrating the RSI with the Kalman filter, the oscillator not only identifies the prevailing trend but also provides a smoothed representation of momentum. This synergy enhances the indicator's ability to signal potential reversals and trend continuations with a higher degree of reliability.
Advanced Smoothing Techniques:
The indicator further offers an optional smoothing feature for the RSI, employing a selection of moving averages (HMA, THMA, EHMA, SMA, EMA, WMA, TEMA, VWMA) for traders seeking to reduce volatility and refine signal clarity. This advanced smoothing mechanism is pivotal for traders looking to mitigate the effects of short-term price fluctuations on the RSI's accuracy.
Empirical Significance:
Empirically, the Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator stands out for its dynamic adjustment to market conditions. Unlike static indicators, the Kalman filter continuously updates its estimates based on incoming price data, making it inherently more responsive to new market information. This dynamic adaptation, combined with the RSI's momentum analysis, offers a powerful approach to understanding market trends and momentum with a depth not available in traditional indicators.
Trend Identification and Momentum Analysis:
Traders can use the Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator to identify strong trends and momentum shifts. The color-coded RSI columns provide immediate visual cues on the market's direction and strength, aiding in quick decision-making.
Optimal for Various Market Conditions:
The flexibility in tuning the Kalman filter parameters makes this indicator suitable for a wide range of assets and market conditions, from volatile to stable markets. Traders can adjust the settings based on empirical testing to find the optimal configuration for their trading strategy.
Complementary to Other Analytical Tools:
While powerful on its own, the Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator is best used in conjunction with other analytical tools and indicators. Combining it with volume analysis, price action patterns, or other trend-following indicators can provide a comprehensive view of the market, allowing for more nuanced and informed trading decisions.
The Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator is a groundbreaking tool that marries empirical precision with advanced trend analysis techniques. Its innovative use of the Kalman filter to enhance the RSI's performance offers traders an unparalleled ability to navigate the complexities of modern financial markets. Whether you're a novice looking to refine your trading approach or a seasoned professional seeking advanced analytical tools, the Kalman Filtered RSI Oscillator represents a significant step forward in technical analysis capabilities.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
MTF TREND-PANEL-(AS)
0). INTRODUCTION: "MTF TREND-PANEL-(AS)" is a technical tool for traders who often perform multi-timeframe analysis.
This simple tool is meant for traders who wish to monitor and keep track of trend directions simultaneously on various timeframes, ranging from 1MIN to 3MONTHS (or other - 'DIFF')
script enhances decision-making efficiency and provides a clearer picture of market condition by integrating multiple timeframe analysis into a single panel.
1). WARNING!:
-script doesn't make any calculations on its own really but is more of a tool for traders to remember what is happening on other time frames
- use tooltips to navigate settings easier
2). MAIN OPTIONS:
- Keeps track of up to 7 timeframes. (NUMBER of TimeFrames setting, from 1-7)
- Customizable Display: Choose to display nothing, upward/downward arrows, or a range indication for each timeframe.
- timeframe options: '1-MIN','5-MIN','15-MIN','30-MIN','1H','4H','1D','1W','1M','3M','DIFF'
- Color Coding: Define your preferred colors for each timeframe
- set position of the table and size of text (Position/text)
- Personal Touch: Add your own trading maxim or motto for inspiration to show up when SHOW TEXT is turned on
3. )OPTIONS:
-NUMBER of TimeFrames setting: from 1-7 - how many rows to show
-SHOW TABLE: Toggle to display or hide the trend table panel.
-SHOW TEXT: Show or hide your personalized trading maxim.
-SHOW TREND: Enable to display trend direction arrows.
-SHOW_CLRS: Turn on to activate color coding for each timeframe.
-position/text size for table
-settings for each timeframe:color,time,trend
-place to type ur own text
5). How to Use the Script:
-After adding the script to your chart, use the 'NUMBER of TimeFrames' setting to select how many timeframes you want to track (1 to 7).
-Customize the appearance of each timeframe row using the color and arrow options.
-For trend analysis, the script offers arrows to indicate upward, downward, or ranging markets.
-decide what trend dominates particular TF (using other tools - script does not calculate trend on its own )
- mark trends on panel to keep track of all TF
-Enable or disable various features like the table panel, trader maxim, and color coding using the ON/OFF options.
6). just in case:
- ask me anything about the code
-don't be shy to report any bugs or offer improvements of any kind.
- originally created for @ict_whiz and made public at his request
Swing Trading Indicators (Improved)This "Swing Trading Indicators" script is a sophisticated trading tool designed for traders who wants to use technical analysis for identifying optimal entry points, safeguarding profits, and protect their capital. With foundations loosely based on the momentum burst strategy by Pradeep Bonde, Kristjan Kullamaggie's trading methodologies, and incorporating automatic stop-losses based on Average Daily Range (ADR) and Average True Range (ATR), this script offers a comprehensive solution if you want to capitalize on short-term market movements.
Key Features:
Indicators and Moving Averages: Includes EMA (5, 10, 20, 50 days), SMA (200 days), and the highest and lowest prices over 200 days to provide a multifaceted view of market trends and momentum.
Thrust Indicator: Central to the script, the thrust indicator signals a buy point when a candlestick bar closes above the highs of the last two days, indicating a momentum burst. This feature is particularly inspired by Pradeep Bonde's 4% breakout strategy, highlighting the script's capability to identify range expansion and upward thrusts as key entry moments.
Automatic Stop-Levels: Utilizes ADR and ATR to set dynamic stop-losses, helping traders to manage risk effectively by adapting to market volatility.
Comprehensive Market Analysis : Through volume analysis, RSI, closing range, and other parameters, the script offers a deep dive into market dynamics, aiding in decision-making.
Who Should Use It:
This tool is ideal for swing traders and momentum traders focused on short to medium-term gains. Its robust set of features makes it suitable for those who prefer a data-driven approach to identify buying opportunities and manage risk.
Trading Style Compatibility:
The thrust indicator shines in momentum trading strategies, providing clear signals for entering trades ahead of potential price jumps. The integration of moving averages and volume analysis supports a variety of trading styles, including day trading and swing trading, by offering insights into trend strength and potential reversals.
How the Thrust Indicator Works:
When you see a thrust indicator (green upwards arrow below a candle) when the price is moving out of a consolidation or low volatility price-range , that's the buy point.
The thrust indicator is NOT indended as an indicator for long term positions or trend reversals, but for entries at a good price while capturing the first day of a potential 5-20% move in the coming 3-5 days.
The thrust indicator pinpoints moments when a stock shows a strong upward momentum, characterized by a candlestick closing above the highs of the preceding two days. This identifies a momentum burst, signaling an optimal entry point for traders looking to profit from a short-term price movement, typically ranging from 5-20% over the following 3-5 days. Such precision in identifying entry points is invaluable for traders focusing on capturing quick gains from market volatility.
"Top / Watch out" Indicator:
In addition to the script's core functionality, the "WatchOut" indicator plays a crucial role in identifying potential reversals after significant price movements. By analyzing conditions such as recent price increases compared to the average daily range, RSI levels, and the opening price distance from the EMA, the "WatchOut" indicator alerts traders to exercise caution. This feature is pivotal for those looking to avoid entering trades that might be on the verge of a pullback or reversal, enhancing the script's utility in managing risk.
Composite Trend Oscillator [ChartPrime]CODE DUELLO:
Have you ever stopped to wonder what the underlying filters contained within complex algorithms are actually providing for you? Wouldn't it be nice to actually visually inspect for that? Those would require some kind of wild west styled quick draw duel or some comparison method as a proper 'code duello'. Then it can be determined which filter can 'draw' the quickest from it's computational holster with the least amount of lag and smoothness.
In Pine we can do so, discovering how beneficial that would be. This can be accomplished by quickly switching from one filter to another by input() back and forth, requiring visual memory. A better way could be done by placing two indicators added to the chart and then eventually placed into one indicator pane on top of each other.
By adding a filter() helper function that calls other moving average functions chosen for comparison, it can put to the test which moving average is the best drawing filter suited to our expected needs. PhiSmoother was formerly debuted and now it is utilized in a more complex environment in a multitude of ways along side other commonly utilized filters. Now, you the reader, get to judge for yourself...
FILTER VERSATILITY:
Having the capability to adjust between various smoothing methods such as PhiSmoother, TEMA, DEMA, WMA, EMA, and SMA on historical market data within the code provides an advantage. Each of these filter methods offers distinct advantages and hinderances. PhiSmoother stands out often by having superb noise rejection, while also being able to manipulate the fine-tuning of the phase or lag of the indicator, enhancing responsiveness to price movements.
The following are more well-known classic filters. TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average) and DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average) offer reduced transient response times to price changes fluctuations. WMA (Weighted Moving Average) assigns more weight to recent data points, making it particularly useful for reduced lag. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) strikes a balance between responsiveness and computational efficiency, making it a popular choice. SMA (Simple Moving Average) provides a straightforward calculation based on the arithmetic mean of the data. VWMA and RMA have both been excluded for varying reasons, both being unworthy of having explanation here.
By allowing for adjustment refinements between these filter methods, traders may garner the flexibility to adapt their analysis to different market dynamics, optimizing their algorithms for improved decision-making and performance on demand.
INDICATOR INTRODUCTION:
ChartPrime's Composite Trend Oscillator operates as an oscillator based on the concept of a moving average ribbon. It utilizes up to 32 filters with progressively longer periods to assess trend direction and strength. Embedded within this indicator is an alternative view that utilizes the separation of the ribbon filaments to assess volatility. Both versions are excellent candidates for trend and momentum, both offering visualization of polarity, directional coloring, and filter crossings. Anyone who has former experience using RSI or stochastics may have ease of understanding applying this to their chart.
COMPOSITE CLUSTER MODES EXPLAINED:
In Trend Strength mode, the oscillator behavior signifies market direction and movement strength. When the oscillator is rising and above zero, the market is within a bullish phase, and visa versa. If the signal filter crosses the composite trend, this indicates a potential dynamic shift signaling a possible reversal. When the oscillator is teetering on its extremities, the market is more inclined to reverse later.
With Volatility mode, the oscillator undergoes a transformation, displaying an unbounded oscillator driven by market volatility. While it still employs the same scoring mechanism, it is now scaled according to the strength of the market move. This can aid with identification of ranging scenarios. However, one side effect is that the oscillator no longer has minimum or maximum boundaries. This can still be advantageous when considering divergences.
NOTEWORTHY SETTINGS FEATURES:
The following input settings described offer comprehensive control over the indicator's behavior and visualization.
Common Controls:
Price Source Selection - The indicator offers flexibility in choosing the price source for analysis. Traders can select from multiple options.
Composite Cluster Mode - Choose between "Trend Strength" and "Volatility" modes, providing insights into trend directionality or volatility weighting.
Cluster Filter and Length - Selects a filter for the cluster composition. This includes a length parameter adjustment.
Cluster Options:
Cluster Dispersion - Users can adjust the separation between moving averages in the cluster, influencing the sensitivity of the analysis.
Cluster Trimming - By modifying upper and lower trim parameters, traders can adjust the sensitivity of the moving averages within the cluster, enhancing its adaptability.
PostSmooth Filter and Length - Choose a filter to refine the composite cluster's post-smoothing with a length parameter adjustment.
Signal Filter and Length - Users can select a filter for the lagging signal plot, also having a length parameter adjustment.
Transition Easing - Sensitivity adjustment to influence the transition between bullish and bearish colors.
Enjoy
Peak and Trough Tracker by Mustafa KAPUZPeak and Trough Tracker
This indicator identifies the highest and lowest prices reached in two user-defined time periods. It then draws two lines connecting these peak and trough points. The purple line represents the connection between the highest prices, while the aqua line represents the relationship between the lowest prices. Both lines extend into the future and past, providing insights into potential support and resistance levels.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Enter two time periods.
Analyze the lines connecting peak and trough points.
This tool helps visually understand the market's key turning points and adjust your investment strategy based on these insights.
Zirve ve Dip Noktaları İzleyici
Bu indikatör, kullanıcı tarafından belirlenen iki zaman periyodunda piyasanın ulaştığı en yüksek ve en düşük fiyatları tespit eder. Ardından, bu zirve ve dip noktalarını birleştiren iki çizgi çizer. Mor çizgi, en yüksek fiyatlar arasındaki bağlantıyı gösterirken; aqua çizgi, en düşük fiyatlar arasındaki ilişkiyi temsil eder. Her iki çizgi de geleceğe ve geçmişe doğru uzanarak, potansiyel destek ve direnç seviyeleri hakkında fikir verir.
Kullanımı:
İndikatörü grafik üzerine ekleyin.
İki zaman periyodu girin.
Zirve ve dip noktalarını birleştiren çizgilerin analizini yapın.
Bu araç, piyasanın önemli dönüm noktalarını görsel olarak anlamanıza ve yatırım stratejinizi bu bilgilere göre ayarlamanıza yardımcı olur.
Trend Reversal Composite Index
Overview
The "Trend Reversal Composite Index" (TRCI) is a comprehensive technical analysis tool that combines several indicators to identify potential trend reversals and assess the overall market pulse. The script integrates a variety of technical indicators, including RSI, Stochastic, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Williams %R, OBV, ADX, ATR, and the Relative Volatility Index, each with adjustable weights to fine-tune their influence on the composite scores.
Key Features
Customization : Users can select the "Standardization Type" (Normalized or Z-Score) to standardize indicator values, catering to different analysis preferences.
Composite Scores : The script calculates two main composite scores: the "Trend Reversal Composite" and the "Market Pulse Composite," each derived from a weighted sum of standardized indicator values.
Indicator Weighting : Each indicator's impact on the composite scores can be adjusted through user-defined weights, enabling personalized sensitivity settings.
Dynamic Visuals : The script plots the composite scores and their exponential moving averages (EMAs) on the chart, offering a clear visualization of the market's condition and trend reversals.
Signal Identification : It provides clear "go long" and "go short" signals based on the crossover and crossunder of the composite score and predefined thresholds, assisting in decision-making.
Utility and Originality
TRCI stands out due to its integrative approach, combining multiple indicators into a single composite index. This not only simplifies the analysis by providing a consolidated view of various signals but also enhances the decision-making process by aggregating the predictive power of individual indicators. Its flexibility in customization through adjustable weights and standardization types allows users to tailor the tool according to their trading style and market conditions.
Implementation and Usage
To utilize the TRCI effectively, traders should first experiment with the weights of different indicators based on their trading strategy and the market's volatility. The composite scores offer a straightforward interpretation: higher values may indicate potential buying opportunities, while lower values could signal selling points. The inclusion of EMAs further aids in smoothing out the signals, providing a more reliable indicator of trend direction.
Conclusion
The "Trend Reversal Composite Index" is a versatile and innovative tool for traders looking to streamline their technical analysis and enhance their decision-making process. Its combination of multiple indicators into composite scores, customizable through user-defined weights, makes it a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit.
Neural Network Synthesis: Trend and Valuation [QuantraSystems]Neural Network Synthesis - Trend and Valuation
Introduction
The Neural Network Synthesis (𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱) indicator is an innovative technical analysis tool which leverages neural network concepts to synthesize market trend and valuation insights.
This indicator uses a bespoke neural network model to process various technical indicator inputs, providing an improved view of market momentum and perceived value.
Legend
The main visual component of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is the Neural Synthesis Line , which dynamically oscillates within the valuation chart, categorizing market conditions as both under or overvalued and trending up or down.
The synthesis line coloring can be set to trend analysis or valuation modes , which can be reflected in the bar coloring.
The sine wave valuation chart oscillates around a central, volatility normalized ‘fair value’ line, visually conveying the natural rhythm and cyclical nature of asset markets.
The positioning of the sine wave in relation to the central line can help traders to visualize transitions from one market phase to another - such as from an undervalued phase to fair value or an overvalued phase.
Case Study 1
The asset in question experiences a sharp, inefficient move upwards. Such movements suggest an overextension of price, and mean reversion is typically expected.
Here, a short position was initiated, but only after the Neural Synthesis line confirmed a negative trend - to mitigate the risk of shorting into a continuing uptrend.
Two take-profit levels were set:
The midline or ‘fair value’ line.
The lower boundary of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicators valuation chart.
Although mean-reversion trades are typically closed when price returns to the mean, under circumstances of extreme overextension price often overcorrects from an overbought condition to an oversold condition.
Case Study 2
In the above study, the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is applied to the 1 Week Bitcoin chart in order to inform long term investment decisions.
Accumulation Zones - Investors can choose to dollar cost average (DCA) into long term positions when the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicates undervaluation
Distribution Zones - Conversely, when overvalued conditions are indicated, investors are able to incrementally sell holdings expecting the market peak to form around the distribution phase.
Note - It is prudent to pay close attention to any change in trend conditions when the market is in an accumulation/distribution phase, as this can increase the likelihood of a full-cycle market peak forming.
In summary, the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is also an effective tool for long term investing, especially for assets like Bitcoin which exhibit prolonged bull and bear cycles.
Special Note
It is prudent to note that because markets often undergo phases of extreme speculation, an asset's price can remain over or undervalued for long periods of time, defying mean-reversion expectations. In these scenarios it is important to use other forms of analysis in confluence, such as the trending component of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator to help inform trading decisions.
A special feature of Quantra’s indicators is that they are probabilistically built - therefore they work well as confluence and can easily be stacked to increase signal accuracy.
Example Settings
As used above.
Swing Trading
Smooth Length = 150
Timeframe = 12h
Long Term Investing
Smooth Length = 30
Timeframe = 1W
Methodology
The 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator draws upon the foundational principles of Neural Networks, particularly the concept of using a network of ‘neurons’ (in this case, various technical indicators). It uses their outputs as features, preprocesses this input data, runs an activation function and in the following creates a dynamic output.
The following features/inputs are used as ‘neurons’:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD)
Bollinger Bands
Stochastic Momentum
Average True Range (ATR)
These base indicators were chosen for their diverse methodologies for capturing market momentum, volatility and trend strength - mirroring how neurons in a Neural Network capture and process varied aspects of the input data.
Preprocessing:
Each technical indicator’s output is normalized to remove bias. Normalization is a standard practice to preprocess data for Neural Networks, to scale input data and allow the model to train more effectively.
Activation Function:
The hyperbolic tangent function serves as the activation function for the neurons. In general, for complete neural networks, activation functions introduce non-linear properties to the models and enable them to learn complex patterns. The tanh() function specifically maps the inputs to a range between -1 and 1.
Dynamic Smoothing:
The composite signal is dynamically smoothed using the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average, which adjusts faster to recent price changes - enhancing the indicator's responsiveness. It mimics the learning rate in neural networks - in this case for the output in a single layer approach - which controls how much new information influences the model, or in this case, our output.
Signal Processing:
The signal line also undergoes processing to adapt to the selected assets volatility. This step ensures the indicator’s flexibility across assets which exhibit different behaviors - similar to how a Neural Network adjusts to various data distributions.
Notes:
While the indicator synthesizes complex market information using methods inspired by neural networks, it is important to note that it does not engage in predictive modeling through the use of backpropagation. Instead, it applies methodologies of neural networks for real-time market analysis that is both dynamic and adaptable to changing market conditions.
Dynamic Momentum GaugeOverview
The Dynamic Momentum Gauge is an indicator designed to provide information and insights into the trend and momentum of a financial asset. While this indicator is not directional , it helps you know when there will be a trend, big move, or when momentum will have a run, and when you should take profits.
How It Works
This indicator calculates momentum and then removes the negative values to focus instead on when the big trend could likely happen and when it could end, or when you should enter a trade based on momentum or exit. Traders can basically use this indicator to time their market entries or exits, and align their strategies with momentum dynamics.
How To Use
As previously mentioned, this is not a directional indicator but more like a timing indicator. This indicator helps you find when the trend moves, and big moves in the markets will occur and its possibly best to exit the trades. For example, if you decide to enter a long trade if the Dynamic Momentum Gauge value is at an extreme low and another momentum indicator that you use has conditions that you would consider to long with, then this indicator is basically telling you that there isn't more space for the momentum to squeeze any longer, can only really expand from that point or stay where it currently is, but this is also a mean reverting process so it does tend to go back up from the low point.
Settings:
Length: This is the length of the momentum, by default its at 100.
Normalization Length: Length of the Normalization which ensures the the values fall within a consistent range.
VSA Volume Spread AnalysisVolume Spread Analysis with Trend Direction is an indicator designed to Identify trend based volume spread.
Volume
Spread
Trend
This is a very simple yet powerful to identify Trend and corresponding volume Breakout. Unlike other Volume Indicators this indicator detects Breakout along with trend direction. One can detect the Early breakout in volume using this indicator. The Buy or Sell Signal is based on zero crossing of the Histogram.
Trend direction is confirmed using the MA of the Histogram which is similar to the Volume MA on volume indicator. One can enter a trade using the indicator when Trend direction and histogram are in same direction. Entry is done when ever histogram crosses the Trend MA line.
Fake entries can be eliminated by changing the indicator to higher Timeframe.
Spread is determined using the difference in open and close of the candle
Volume change is determined using the ratio of change of volume to previous volume
EMA 10 is used to determine the Spread and multiplied by volume change so the
PRICE(ema10), Volume, Spread(close-open) are merged to one indicator.
Direction changes when ever difference of VSA is positive or negative.
[LCS] Bar HeatmapThe script is an overlay aimed at making price action within a range more comprehensible, i.e. what is the “story” that the band range is telling in relation to the price. You’ll see bars become brighter as they come near the upper or lower band, and dimmer around the average/middle of the two bands. This makes it easier to spot when the price is within an oversold or overbought area or when its experiencing a strong trend movement. The color shift from one to the other can also give a sense as to whether the price action is changing character (going from bullish to bearish or vice versa).
Settings are available for customization to the user's liking.
How to use:
1. Add the indicator.
2. Add another indicator to use as the source, such as Bollinger Bands, which provides upper and lower plots for a channel range.
3. Click the gear icon to access the indicator settings.
4. Mandatory: Select the Upper Band and Lower Band settings as the upper and lower plots from your source indicator of choice to define the range.
5. Save settings. You should now see bars on your chart.
6. Access the Chart Settings (not the indicator settings) and hide the Body, Borders, and Wick for the default candle bars to avoid overlap.
You may need to perform additional configuration steps in your source indicator to appropriately size the range of the upper and lower band plots for a meaningful visualization.
Multi VWAP [MW]Introduction
The Multi VWAP tool extends the concept of using the Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price, popularized by its founder, Brian Shannon, founder of AlphaTrends, and creates automatic AVWAPS for multiple anchor points, such as for 2-day, 3-day, 4-day, 5-day, and custom date anchors as well as automagically creating month-to-date and year-to-date anchors. Currently, most standard VWAP tools allow users to place custom anchored VWAPs, but the routine of doing this for every equity being watched can become cumbersome. This tool makes that process multi-times easier. Brian Shannon is also the author of “Maximum Trading Gains With Anchored VWAP: The Perfect Combination of Price, Time, and Volume”. Available at Amazon.
Settings
Daily VWAP : A continuous line of the the daily Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
Weekly VWAP : A continuous line of the weekly VWAP
2-Day AVWAP : The anchored VWAP from 2 trading days ago (holidays and weekends are excluded in this calculation)
3-Day AVWAP : The anchored VWAP from 3 trading days ago
4-Day AVWAP : The anchored VWAP from 4 trading days ago
5-Day AVWAP : The anchored VWAP from 5 trading days ago. The slope of this line and the position of the price relative to this line can be used to determine trend direction.
10-Day AVWAP : The anchored VWAP from 10 trading days ago
Month-to-Date AVWAP : The anchored VWAP from the beginning of the current month
Year-to-Date AVWAP : The anchored VWAP from the beginning of the current year
Custom Date AVWAP : Sets a date to begin an anchored VWAP starting from any time.
Use only the most recent VWAP for Week, Month, and Year: Toggles on and off the continuous weekly, monthly, and yearly VWAPs
Calculations
This indicator does not provide buy or sell signals. It is simply the VWAP calculated starting from an “anchor point”, or start time. It is the calculated by the summation of Price x Volume / Volume for the period starting at the anchor point.
How to Interpret
According to Brian Shannon, VWAP is an objective measure of what the average trader has paid for a particular equity over a given period, and is the value that large institutional investors frequently use as a trade signal. Therefore, by definition, when the price is above an AVWAP, buyers are in control for that period of time. Likewise, if the price is below the AVWAP, sellers are in control for that period of time.
Shannon also distinguishes the importance of an increasing or decreasing 5 day VWAP, which reflects the price sentiment, objectively, for roughly the last trading week, or 5 trading days. Pricing below a decreasing 5-day VWAP is considered very bearish, while pricing above an increasing 5-day VWAP is considered bullish and is recommended before considering long positions.
Additionally, a custom VWAP can be generated to coincide with important events, such as FOMC meetings, CPI reports, earnings reports, etc.
Practically speaking, price action can tend to change direction when a significant VWAP is hit, voiding buy and sell signals. Like moving averages, this indicator can show, in real-time, how a buy or sell signal should be interpreted. A significant AVWAP line is a point of interest, and can serve as strong support or resistance, because large institutions may be using those values for entries or exits. For a great analysis of how to use AVWAP, visit the AlphaTrends channel on Youtube here or you can buy Brian Shannon’s “Anchored VWAP” book on Amazon.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
Additionally, the indicator may take a little longer to load than usual. On the rare occasion where it fails to load, you may need to remove the indicator and add it back to your chart. Also, if you do encounter this problem, avoid redrawing your chart while the indicator is being added to the screen.
Acknowledgements
This script uses the MarketHolidays library by @Protervus. Also, for debugging, the JavaScript-style Debug Console by @algotraderdev and the TimeFormattingLibrary by @twingall were invaluable. And, of course, without Brian Shannon's books, videos, and interviews, this indicator would would not be possible.
ATR TrendTL;DR - An average true range (ATR) based trend
ATR trend uses a (customizable) ATR calculation and highest high & lowest low prices to calculate the actual trend. Basically it determines the trend direction by using highest high & lowest low and calculates (depending on the determined direction) the ATR trend by using a ATR based calculation and comparison method.
The indicator will draw one trendline by default. It is also possible to draw a second trendline which shows a 'negative trend'. This trendline is calculated the same way the primary trendline is calculated but uses a negative (-1 by default) value for the ATR calculation. This trendline can be used to detect early trend changes and/or micro trends.
How to use:
Due to its ATR nature the ATR trend will show trend changes by changing the trendline direction. This means that when the price crosses the trendline it does not automatically mean a trend change. However using the 'negative trend' option ATR trend can show early trend changes and therefore good entry points.
Some notes:
- A (confirmed) trend change is shown by a changing color and/or moving trendline (up/down)
- Unlike other indicators the 'time period' value is not the primary adjustment setting. This value is only used to calculate highest high & lowest low values and has medium impact on trend calculation. The primary adjustment setting is 'ATR weight'
- Every settings has a tooltip with further explanation
- I added additional color coding which uses a different color when the trend attempts to change but the trend change isn't confirmed (yet)
- Default values work fine (at least in my back testing) but the recommendation is to adjust the settings (especially ATR weight) to your trading style
- You can further finetune this indicator by using custom moving average types for the ATR calculation (like linear regression or Hull moving average)
- Both trendlines can be used to determine future support and resistance zones
- ATR trend can be used as a stop loss finder
- Alerts are using buy/sell signals
- You can use fancy color filling ;)
Happy trading!
Daniel
OverbalanceOverbalance script tracks trend moves and biggest corrections in those moves.
Based on last trend extreme value (low or high) it can draw line symbolizing correction equal to
the biggest correction in that trend. It can track up to 20 independent (both up and down) trends on one chart.
Overbalance method works on an assumption that trend continues until we have correction bigger than the biggest existing correction in that trend. Comparing the historically biggest correction with the current one can give a warning signal.
There are markets and instruments for which the size of corrections is repeated, and tracking corrections in the trend can be used to predict the trend change moment. - Just remember that if something happened in the past it is not guaranteed that it will happen again.
This script can be used by ANY user. You DO NOT NEED to have PRO or PREMIUM account to use it.
Script settings:
Trend min change - Filter out price moves smaller than % of current price.
OB up - Showing overbalance in up trends
OB down - Showing overbalance in down trends
Historical with precision - Showing corrections moves that were equal to biggest previous correction in that trend with a given (%) precision.
OB prediction up - Showing overbalance threshold in current up trends
OB prediction down - Showing overbalance threshold in current down trends
OB Exceeded - Showing broken overbalance thresholds
Arrows - Showing overbalance thresholds with an arrows
(with labels) - Showing labels over overbalance threshold arrows
Price line - It draws a line at the price level, under the arrows.
Troubleshooting:
In case of any problems, send error details to the author of the script.
CARNAC Magic DCAThe "CARNAC Magic DCA" indicator is designed for investors looking for the best opportunities for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA).
How it works:
The Carnac Dynamic DCA Threshold calculates a dynamic threshold for DCA entries using Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Average True Range (ATR), and the maximum distance from the EMA over a full lookback period, aiding in identifying optimal buy opportunities. It also only signals a DCA buying opportunity after a bearish candle, which helps lower the average DCA price.
Configurable Inputs:
EMA Start Length: Sets the initial length for the series of EMAs, affecting their sensitivity to price changes.
ATR Length: Determines the period for the ATR calculation, influencing the dynamic DCA threshold's responsiveness to market volatility.
ATR Multiplier: Modifies the impact of the ATR on the DCA threshold, allowing for finer control over the threshold's sensitivity to volatility.
Start Calculation From: Enables setting a specific start date for calculations, tailoring the analysis to a particular trading period.
DCA Buy Signal Alert: Generates an alert when the price is below both the dynamic DCA threshold and the opening price, indicating a potential buy signal based on DCA strategy.
Ten EMAs: Carnac Magic DCA includes a ten EMA plot, which decrease in length from the user-defined starting length, offering a multi-layered trend analysis.
EMA Color Coding: The sequential arrangement of EMAs is visually represented through color coding, facilitating quick trend recognition.
Average Buy Price Analysis: Calculates and displays the average buy price and its percentage difference from the average closing price since the user-defined start date, helping assess the strategy’s effectiveness compared to traditional DCA methods (purchasing at the close of every candle).
Visual Indicators and Labels: Includes visual alerts for buy signals and informative labels showing average buy prices and related statistics.
Bitcoin/Hash Rate Oscillator & MAWhat it does:
Finds the ratio of BTC price to the Hash Rate with an additional MA applied to find changes in volatility with relative context. Best used as a two lines cross indicator.
When the ratio of price to hashrate increases, it may be a sign miners cannot or will not sell as much.
When the ratio decreases, it may indicate miners have more capability and/or incentive to sell.
How it works:
The indicator uses a MA applied to the hashrate(first MA input), then finds the difference between it and the actual hash rate. Then it finds the STD of that to create an oscillating value. BTC is divided by said value. Then a second MA is applied to that ratio(second MA input)
FX DispersionThis script calculates the dispersion of a basket of 5 FX pairs and then calculates the z-score the z-score is then made into a composite using the 30 and 60 ema of the z-score to smooth any noise. It must be used on one of the FX pairs in the basket and on the 1-minute timeframe as it has been hardcoded for 1 min use below.
Interpretation - Dispersion is a component of volatility - the dispersion of the underlying basket increases above 0.5 and decreases below 0.5.
Although increased dispersion is beneficial to momentum and trend-following strategies on the monthly and weekly timeframes. Observe this on the 1-minute timeframe and how dispersion crossing above/ below 0.5 it can signal reversion or momentum for the next period.
Adaptive Trend Finder (log)In the dynamic landscape of financial markets, the Adaptive Trend Finder (log) stands out as an example of precision and professionalism. This advanced tool, equipped with a unique feature, offers traders a sophisticated approach to market trend analysis: the choice between automatic detection of the long-term or short-term trend channel.
Key Features:
1. Choice Between Long-Term or Short-Term Trend Channel Detection: Positioned first, this distinctive feature of the Adaptive Trend Finder (log) allows traders to customize their analysis by choosing between the automatic detection of the long-term or short-term trend channel. This increased flexibility adapts to individual trading preferences and changing market conditions.
2. Autonomous Trend Channel Detection: Leveraging the robust statistical measure of the Pearson coefficient, the Adaptive Trend Finder (log) excels in autonomously locating the optimal trend channel. This data-driven approach ensures objective trend analysis, reducing subjective biases, and enhancing overall precision.
3. Precision of Logarithmic Scale: A distinctive characteristic of our indicator is its strategic use of the logarithmic scale for regression channels. This approach enables nuanced analysis of linear regression channels, capturing the subtleties of trends while accommodating variations in the amplitude of price movements.
4. Length and Strength Visualization: Traders gain a comprehensive view of the selected trend channel, with the revelation of its length and quantification of trend strength. These dual pieces of information empower traders to make informed decisions, providing insights into both the direction and intensity of the prevailing trend.
In the demanding universe of financial markets, the Adaptive Trend Finder (log) asserts itself as an essential tool for traders, offering an unparalleled combination of precision, professionalism, and customization. Highlighting the choice between automatic detection of the long-term or short-term trend channel in the first position, this indicator uniquely caters to the specific needs of each trader, ensuring informed decision-making in an ever-evolving financial environment.
WPO Modified [BackQuant]The Wave Period Oscillator (WPO), developed by Akram El Sherbini, is a sophisticated technical analysis tool that offers traders a dynamic way to interpret market cycles. Its design is inspired by the natural ebb and flow of markets, which often follow cyclical patterns driven by underlying economic, political, and psychological factors. The oscillator's unique contribution to market analysis lies in its ability to smooth out the "noise" inherent in daily price movements, thus providing a clearer view of the market's rhythmic fluctuations over time.
-----> Time Cycle Oscillators' in the IFTA Journal 2018 (page 66 - 77), as found below:
ifta.org
El Sherbini's WPO is grounded in the concept of wave period analysis, which suggests that financial markets move in waves or cycles. The oscillator translates these movements into a visual tool that oscillates above and below a central zero line. Peaks and troughs on the oscillator correspond to the crests and troughs of market price waves, providing a visual representation of the market's heartbeat.
The WPO is not merely a tool for identifying trends but also for detecting shifts in market momentum. It does this through a mathematical model that measures divergence—when the direction of the oscillator deviates from the direction of price movement. Such divergences can be precursors to potential reversals or continuations in the market, offering traders advance notice of significant changes in price direction.
Further refining its utility, the WPO incorporates methods for calculating divergence that are sensitive to the unique conditions of different markets and securities. This includes adjusting for volatility and market velocity, allowing the oscillator to provide relevant signals regardless of the market environment.
In practical terms, traders use the WPO to time their entries and exits with greater precision. When the oscillator shows a high peak or a deep trough, it can signal that a market is potentially overbought or oversold, respectively. The WPO's smoothing property ensures that these signals are not just reactionary to short-term price spikes or drops, but indicative of more substantial, sustained movements.
By providing a more measured and smoothed analysis of market cycles, the WPO helps to filter out insignificant price movements and focus on the ones that matter—those that indicate a significant wave of buying or selling pressure. This can be particularly valuable in the cryptocurrency markets, where volatility is high, and traditional indicators may struggle to provide clear signals.
For traders and analysts alike, the Wave Period Oscillator represents a convergence of technical precision and market psychology. By focusing on the periodic nature of market movements, it aligns traders with the rhythm of the markets, potentially leading to more harmonious trading decisions that are in step with the market's natural waves.
Please see the backtest here:
For more simple terms:
You can use this indicator as a the oscillator
Above 0 for long
Below 0 for short
OR
WPO MA
Above 0 for long
Below 0 for short