Correlation Oscillator - Anomaly AlertsThis script plots the correlation for two symbols as an oscillator:
A correlation of 1 means that both values move in the same direction together.
A correlation of -1 means that both values are perfectly negative correlated.
Parameter:
Length of the Correlation
The two symbols you want to calculate the correlation for
Barcolor: Defines whether Bar-coloring is set on.
The Number of bars lookback for anomaly: Say both are normally positively correlated it is an anomaly when the correlation turns negative and vica-versa.
Alerts: You can also set an Alert when an anomaly is detected.(blue dots on oscillator)
This has many use-cases:
For example VVIX and VIX are normally positive correlated.
When this turns negative, this can mean that we are on a turning point:
--> VVIX is rising while VIX is falling, risk of future Volatility is increasing (Top)
--> VIX is rising while VVIX is falling, risk of future Volatility is decreasing (Bottom)
Another use-case is just checking the correlation of stocks in your portfolio to diversify.
VIX CBOE Volatility Index
Volatility Trend IndicatorThe Volatility Trade Indicator signals bullish / bearish trend based on the volatility of the underlying asset.
During bull markets, volatility is typically low and price moves occur slowly and steadily. During bear markets, volatility is typically high and price movement is much more volatile in both directions.
The Volatility Trade Indicator measures the volatility of the underlying asset in relationship to the historic volatility over a specific timespan.
Low volatility regimes are signaled in green with an indicator value of below 0, high volatility regimes are signaled in red with an indicator value above 0.
During low volatility regime you want to look for long entries, during high volatility regimes you want to look for short entries.
Daily Crypto StrategyThis is a long only strategy.
This strategy measures and creates a signal when an asset is moving out of a correlation with CBOE VIX into an inverse correlation.
It also has a risk management with TP/SL based on percentages.
If you have any questions let me know.
VIX Term StructureThis script allows users to visualize the state of the VIX Futures Term Structure. The user is able to select from five CBOE VIX Indices; VIX, VIX9D, VIX3M, VIX6M, and VIX1Y and the script will color the candles based on the price relationship between selected indices. Visit the CBOE website for more info on how the various VIX indices are calculated.
Velocity To Inverse Correlation to VIX/Bonds Strategy (2020)This strategy measures and creates a signal when an asset is moving out of a correlation with high yield bonds or the CBOE VIX into an inverse correlation, as well as when an asset is losing correlation with a top corporate bonds ETF. When this signal is triggered, the simulation has the portfolio asset go long.
Additionally, exits are based on a 2% stop loss and a 2% take profit for simplicity sake to indicate whether the direct next move in the asset is up or down.
This was originally tested as a descent indicator for Ethereum's 2020 moves as institutional investors moved into the market.
VIX MTF MomentumSweet little momentum gadget to track the VIX Index.
What is the VIX?
The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) is known as the 'Fear Index' which can measure how worried traders are that the S&P 500 might suddenly drop within the next 30 days.
When the VIX starts moving higher, it is telling you that traders are getting nervous. When the VIX starts moving lower, it is telling you that traders are gaining confidence.
VIX calculation?
The Chicago Board of Options Exchange Market Volatility Index (VIX) is a measure of implied volatility (Of the S&P 500 securities options), based on the prices of a basket of S&P 500 Index options with 30 days to expiration.
How to use:
If VIX Momentum is above 0 (RED) traders are getting nervous.
If VIX Momentum is below 0 (GREEN) traders are gaining confidence.
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VIX CorrelationIndicator tracks the 10 day correlation with VIX. I prefer to use this with SPY. Can be a great way to flag tops/melt-ups.
Default settings are set to when the correlation is above 0.2, bars turn red, but you can change this.
Finnie's RSI + 3EMA crossover + MFI + Vix Fix-added a medium and long term rsiEMA, in addition to the previous short term, except this time there's a visual crossover :)
-added CM Williams vix fix
-and finally just a general visual overhaul!
NIFTY VIX Bands1) The script takes current INDIA VIX as input Daily time frame for NIFTY
2) Used a Formula VIX Value / Square root of Time Period
3) Change Timeframe input accordingly 1 Year = 1, Monthly = 12, Weekly = 52, Daily = 365
4) based point 2 formula with 1 standard deviation it creates upper & lower range bands
5) This is generally used for option selling by big traders they go and sell above the band strikes
VIX3M/1M ratioThis script simply calculates and plots the VIX 3 month versus 1 month ratio. Values below 1 indicate a strong panic situation in the market (1 month volatility is higher than the 3 month volatiliy). This might be a good opportunity to sell options.
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
VIX TrendlineThis indicator helps to see the volatility index (VIX) trendline in all stock charts without opening the VIX chart explicitly.
Hope this helps many of you to be more efficient in your chart analysis - have fun!
VIX futures Backwardation/Contango strategyVery basic strategy that goes long on a VIX ETF whenever the futures curve shows signs of backwardation and gets out when it shows signs of contango. Makes no effort whatsoever to avoid getting faked out by monthly futures rollover.
Surprisingly good at not incinerating money while still providing diversification benefits in a long SPY portfolio. Useful for demonstrating the benefits of including VIX futures to hedge an actively managed portfolio.
Can be set to get out if the VIX goes below the lowest value of the last 3 candles, in which case it spends less time in the market but seems to actually make a bit of money over the past decade, though the only intent of this script is to make it not lose money.
Imminence of volatilityWork in progress.
Simple oscillator that takes in implied volatilities at two different timescales for the same security, to determine whether the market expects the next crash to be imminent or "in a few months from now".
Best combined with other IV/VIX-based indicators and visual inspection of the IV charts, but still gives some decent information at a glance.
SPX-VIX Intraday DivergenceAs a long-term buyer/short-seller, you will always find different ways to enter the market , moving average crossovers, breakouts , overbought/oversold conditions being some of the classy methods. However, they are decreasingly effective... 😢
Recently I have realized that analysis beyond the technical indicators will bring trading to the next level because I will be able to confirm my trading signals without relying too much on basic price actions and patterns which are easily manipulated by big banks and institutions. 👍
Today I will introduce you to my divergence indicator making use of SPX and VIX. Unlike MacD or RSI divegence , which would involve normative judgement , it will take account of the unusual move by SPX alongwith the VIX , to the exploit chances that options market, where most experienced investors participated in has a preceding insight into the equity market about the upcoming moves.
I have divided signals into two groups.
Bullish divergence - SPX Down , VIX also Down 👇
Bearish divergence - SPX Up , VIX also Up 👆
I hope this script will enable us to take advantage of the options market activities , to provide a REAL divergence signal, and be used coupled with our own chart patterns or other price signals, and more importantly to score more and more winning trades!!!
If you want more useful scripts from me, please like and share my posts. And don't forget to follow my account to grab the latest ideas and tools! 😘
SPY Expected Move by VIXThis indicator shows 1 and 2 standard deviation price move from the VWAP based on VIX. Implied Volatility (IV) is being used extensively in the Option world to project the Expected Move for the underlying instrument. VIX is used as a proxy for SPY's IV for 30 days.
This indicator is meaningful only for SPY but can be used in any other instrument which has a strong correlation to SPY.
Rate Of Change - Weekly SignalsRate of Change - Weekly Signals
This indicator gives a potential "buy signal" using Rate of Change of SPX and VIX together,
using the following criteria:
SPX Weekly ROC(10) has been BELOW -9 and now rises ABOVE -5
*PLUS*
VIX Weekly ROC(10) has been ABOVE +80 and now falls BELOW +10
The background will turn RED when ROC(SPX) is below -9 and ROC(VIX) is above +80.
The background will turn GREEN when ROC(SPX) is above -5 and ROC(VIX) is below +10.
So the potential "buy signal" is when you start to get GREEN BARS AFTER RED - usually with
some white/empty bars in between...but wait for the green. This indicates that the volatility
has settled down, and the market is starting to turn up.
This indicator gives excellent entry points, but be careful of the occasional false signals.
See Nov. 2001 and Nov. 2008, in both cases the market dropped another 25-30% before the final
bottom was formed. Always have an exit strategy, especially when buying in after a downtrend.
How I use this indicator, pretty much as shown in the preview. Weekly SPX as the main chart with
some medium/long moving averages to identify the trend, VIX added as a "Compare Symbol" in red,
and then the Weekly ROC signals below.
For the ROC graphs, you can show SPX+VIX together, SPX alone, or VIX alone. I prefer to display
them separately because they don't scale well together (VIX crowds out the SPX when it spikes).
Background color is still based on both SPX/VIX together, regardless of which graph is shown.
Note that there is no VIX data available on Trading View prior to 1990, so for those dates the
formula is using only ROC(SPX) and the assigned thresholds (-9 and -5, or whatever you choose).
VIX MonitorSimple VIX Monitor to track spikes.
Spikes in VIX are often followed by big moves up in stocks.
Useful when paired with "Correlation & Beta" Indicator.
For Bitcoin Traders: when Bitcoin is highly correlated to Stocks (such as now) it could be a good opportunity for a short-term long trade.
H/V/Q Volatility Index v2.0This is a standalone version of the volatility calculation used in QuantRsi. It is a relatively complex volatility-specific filtering calculation designed to give deeper insight into volatility trends for any asset class.
Use with Log scaling on the indicator's value scalar.
This tool offers an alternative model for volatility calculation. Experience using this tool proves that it extends the efficacy of volatility prediction techniques, and allows deeper technical analysis within volatility moves.
Use alongside conventional volatility indices to find opportunities within option chains to long or short volatility when HVQ provides evidence for volatility reversal that other options value models have not priced in.
Use as part of a predictive based risk management strategy.
Use alongside QuantRsi and HeffaeClouds as a complete trading suite, sans volume analysis, and gain insight not offered by any other indicator set.
SETTINGS:
TimeFrame settings:
Chart/Custom timeframe inputs are carried over from HeffaeClouds and QuantRsi indicators. Allows you to assign any non-chart timeframe to the indicator:
"ChartTF" follows your chart's selected resolution / TimeFrame
"Non-Chart TimeFrame" is an integer for your custom TimeFrame, the setting below:
"Non-Chart TimeFrame" selects "Minutes, Hours, Days" that corresponds to the above setting for a custom TimeFrame.
More Settings:
"Invert Output switch" will invert the volatility chart scale. Useful for visualizing some trends on assets that regularly correlate large volatility spikes with disorderly selloffs.
"Show High/Low Volt range" switch (experimental) shows the high/low extremes of alternate volatility window calculations. There is insight to be gained from large differences v.s. all ranges trending near the same values.
"Relative value switch" (experimental) divides the HVQ values by the hl2 candle price, per candle. This is a unique way to filter the output, visualize the volatility value per asset value.
"Range Multiplier" adjusts the average window length HVQ uses for calculations. This has been finely tuned so that the value of "10" corresponds to the best average fitting of all assets and timeframes. In most situations TimeFrame should be used to alter the real window periods and this should be left at default. Instead you can change this to find better fitting if you'd like.
If there is a feature you would like, question answered, or a bug to report, visit the TradingView SNOW_CITY public chat-room; link in my signature
Use the pastebin link below for indicator access information and pricing
VIX + moving average low-drawdown SPY strategyAims to be a simple way to avoid recessions by combining two complementary tools that work well together: A simple moving average crossover (death cross & golden cross) to detect a bull markets and run with it, and a crossover between the VIX and a moving average of its previous peaks to get out as quickly as possible during periods of volatility.
The Death cross gets you out of slow drawn-out bear markets. The VIX gets you out of sudden rapid crashes.
Volatility IndexThis is a composite volatility index to show percentile of current volatility compared to that of the last 52 bars. As this is a weekly chart (and this script is intended for usage on weekly charts) we can see the yearly percentile rank of volatility.
As shown when volatility is in the lower 25%tile (viewed on weekly) the market is calm and likes to rise; when the volatility is above the 25%tile you can see that the market tends to have larger and 'choppier' moves.
This is /not/ 'just the vix' this takes into consideration the volatility of all major US indexes including the SPX500, Dow 30, Nasdaq 100, and Russel 2000.
Please remember that this is just plotting:( volatility index - lowest(index,52) )/( highest(index,52)-lowest(index,52) ) so for 'yearly percentile' check the weekly chart (52 weeks = 1yr)
[GM PRO] $EVZCBOE: Euro FX VIX ($EVZ)
A reasonable indicator of overall Forex Market Volume and/or Volatility.
Filters added:
- Filter by Horizontal Level
- Filter by Moving Average
Options to consider the highs or the closing values
This indicator is only for Forex
(JS)S&P 500 Volatility Oscillator For Options 2.0I am going to start taking requests to open source my indicators and they will also be updated to Version 4 of Pinescript.
I added some features to the original code such the ability to smooth the oscillator and select the look back periods for the historical volatility.
Link to original:
Original post:
"The idea for this started here: www.tradingview.com with the user @dime
This should only be used on SPX or SPY (though you could use it on other things for correlation I suppose) given that the instrument used to create this calculation is derived from the S&P 500 (thank you VIX ). There's a lot of moving parts here though, so allow me to explain...
First: The main signal is when Implied Volatility (from VIX ) drops beneath Historical Volatility - which is what you want to see so you aren't purchasing a ton of premium on long options. Green and above 0 means that IV% has dropped lower than Historical Volatility . (this signal, for example, would suggest using a Long Call or Put depending on your sentiment)
Second: The green line running underneath zero is the bottom portion of the "Average True Range" derived from the values used to create the oscillator. the closer the bottom histogram is to the green line, the more "normal" IV% is. Obviously, if this gets far away from the line then it could be setting up nicely to short options and sell the IV premium to someone else. (this signal, for example, would suggest using something like a Bull Put Spread)
Third: The red background along with the white line that drops down below zero signals when (and how far) the IV% from 3 months out (from VIX3M ) is less than the current IV%. This would signal the current environment has IV way too high, a signal to short options once again (and don't take any long option positions!).
Tried to make this simple, yet effective. If you trade options on SPX , SPY , even ES1! futures - this is a tool tailored specifically for you! As I said before, if you want you can use it for correlation on other securities. Any other ideas or suggestions surrounding this, please let me know! Enjoy!
Feb 17, 2019
Release Notes: Cosmetic update for a much cleaner look:
-Replaced the "HIGH IV" with a simlple "H"
-Now the white line is constantly showing you the relationship between VIX and VIX3M - when VIX is greater than VIX3M the background still goes red
-However, now when VIX drops below Historical Volatility, the background is bright green
-When both above are true - it's dark green
-The Average True Range on the bottom is now a series of crosses"