Flashtrader´s Statistical BandwidthsThe vast majority of traders exclusively concern
themselves with trend-following in all its facets. Scoring
points with trends on a regular basis is a difficult task
since prices do not constantly move in one direction
or another. In the case of the DAX future, for example,
only about 30 per cent of all trading days in a year are
trend days. And of these, there are x percent long ones
and x per cent short ones. Catching the very days when
prices rise or fall from the opening to the close is a major
challenge for a trader who also needs to have previously
recognised the corresponding direction.
However, there are also other ways of profit-taking
every day – for example, by using the mean reversion
strategy. The idea behind this is the fact that prices reach
a high and a low every day – but very rarely close at the
high or the low. This means that prices always move
away from these extreme points and the closing price is
somewhere in between. A profitable trading strategy can
be developed out of this.
But how can you know where the high and the low
will be tomorrow? Is it possible for you to know this in
advance? No – because no one can predict the future. Or
can they? At least it can be statistically determined how
high or low prices could go tomorrow. There is a high
degree of probability that one of the two possibilities
will materialise. It will then be necessary to act.
Calculation
Classic pivot points for the following day are calculated
from the high, low and closing price. But does it really
make sense to use such a mix? I don’t think so and
use a different calculation for this strategy. In a first step,
only the differences between the start and the high or low
are calculated on a daily basis. To avoid being dependent
on individual days and outliers, it is advisable to calculate,
in a second step, the average of these differences over
the past five days. Finally, this average will then be added
at the opening price of the current trading day for the
upper statistical bandwidth and subtracted for the lower
bandwidth.
upper bandwidth = oSTB (violet dashed line in the chart)
lower bandwidth = uSTB (violet dashedline in the chart)
The second interesting question is, if the previous day's high has been exceeded, how much further can the price rise from a mathematical/statistical point of view?
These calculated previous day highs expansions are shown as red dashed lines
Previous day's high expansion = VTHA
Previous day's low expansion = VTTA
For further orientation, the previous day's high (VTH) and the previous day's low (VTT) are shown in light blue dashed lines
And as a supplement, the previous day's close in the DAX Future at 10:00 p.m. VTSA in violet solid lines and the previous day's close in the cash register at 5:30 p.m. VTSN in yellow solid lines
Reaching the calculated extreme values does not mean that the trend has to change immediately, but there is at least temporary exhaustion potential with which you can earn a few points every day in the area of scalping.
Example for cheap entry long:
Example for cheap entry short:
Deutsch:
Die Masse der Trader beschäftigt sich ausschließlich mit Trendfolge in all ihren Facetten. Mit Trends regelmäßig zu punkten ist ein schwieriges Unterfangen, da die Kurse nicht ständig in die eine oder andere Richtung laufen. Beim DAX-Future zum Beispiel sind von allen Börsentagen im Jahr lediglich zirka 30 Prozent Trendtage. Davon sind dann auch noch x Prozent Long und x Prozent Short. Hier genau die Tage abzupassen, an denen die Kurse von Börsenbeginn bis zum Schluss steigen beziehungsweise fallen, ist eine große Herausforderung – wobei der Trader zuvor noch die entsprechende Richtung erkannt haben muss. Es gibt jedoch auch noch andere Methoden täglich Gewinne mitzunehmen, zum Beispiel mit der Mean-Reversion-Strategie (Mittelwertumkehr).
Hintergrund ist die Tatsache, dass die Kurse jeden Tag ein Hoch und ein Tief erreichen – aber sehr selten am Hoch oder am Tief schließen. Das bedeutet, dass die Preise sich immer wie der von diesen Extrempunkten wegbewegen und der Schlusskurs irgendwo dazwischen liegt. Hieraus lässt sich eine profitable Handelsstrategie entwickeln. Aber woher kannst Du wissen, wo morgen das Hoch und das Tief sein wird? Kannst Du das vorher schon wissen? Nein – denn niemand kann die Zukunft vorhersagen. Oder doch? Statistisch lässt sich zumindest bestimmen, wie hoch und wie tief die Kurse morgen steigen oder fallen könnten. Eine Seite wird mit sehr hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit ein treffen. Dann gilt es zu handeln.
Berechnung Klassischer Pivot-Punkte für den folgenden Tag werden aus Hoch, Tief und Schlusskurs berechnet. Aber ist es wirklich sinnvoll, einen solchen Mix zu verwenden? Ich finde das nicht und verwenden für diese Strategie eine andere Berechnung. Im ersten Schritt werden täglich die Differenzen nur vom Start bis zum Hoch beziehungsweise Tief errechnet. Um nicht von einzelnen Tagen und Ausreißern abhängig zu sein, empfiehlt es sich, in einem zweiten Schritt den Durchschnitt dieser Differenzen über die letzten fünf Tage zu errechnen. Zuletzt wird dann dieser Durchschnitt zum Eröffnungskurs des aktuellen Handelstages für die obere statistische Bandbreite addiert und für die untere Bandbreite subtrahiert.
Obere statistische Bandbreite = oSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Untere statistische Bandbreite = uSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Die zweite interessante Frage ist, wenn das Vortageshoch überschritten wurde, wie weit kann der Kurs dann noch steigen aus mathematisch/statistischer Sicht?
Diese berechneten Vortagesextremausdehnungen sind als rote gestrichelte Linien dargestellt
Vortageshochausdehnung = VTHA
Vortagestiefausdehnung = VTTA
Für die weitere Orientierung sind die Vortageshochs (VTH) und die Vortagestiefs (VTT) als hellblaue gestrichelte Linien abgebildet.
Als Ergänzung wird noch der Vortages Schluss im Dax Future um 22:00 Uhr VTSA mit einer violetten durchgezogenen Linie und der Kassamarktschluss um 17:30 Uhr mit einer gelben durchgezogenen Linie gezeigt.
Das Erreichen der berechneten Extremwerte bedeutet nicht, das der Trend sofort drehen muss, aber es sind zumindest temporäre Erschöpfungspotentiale mit denen sich im Bereich scalping täglich einige Punkte verdienen lassen.
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Long:
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Short:
Cari dalam skrip untuk "entry"
Smart Money Concepts IndicatorBEST ICT AND SMC INDICATOR
The **Smart Money Concepts Indicator** is designed to enhance trading decisions by incorporating key principles from Smart Money Concepts (SMC), focusing on the detection of market structure changes, liquidity zones, order flow, and order blocks. This indicator is particularly useful for traders looking to understand market dynamics and make informed trading decisions based on advanced market analysis.
#### Key Features:
1. **Break of Structure (BOS)**:
- Identifies upward and downward breaks in market structure, indicating potential trend reversals.
- Visual markers on the chart help traders spot these critical levels.
2. **Change of Character (CHOCH)**:
- Detects significant changes in market direction, highlighting potential shifts in momentum.
- Clearly labeled signals indicate when the market may be changing its character.
3. **Order Blocks**:
- Highlights order blocks, which are key areas where significant buying or selling has occurred.
- Provides visual cues for potential support and resistance zones.
4. **Liquidity Zones**:
- Marks liquidity zones, indicating areas where buy-side or sell-side liquidity may be targeted.
- Helps traders understand where the market might draw liquidity.
5. **Dynamic Take Profit and Stop Loss Levels**:
- Calculates and plots take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels based on the Average True Range (ATR) for adaptive risk management.
- Customizable multipliers allow traders to adjust levels based on their risk tolerance.
6. **Order Flow Analysis**:
- Displays bullish and bearish order flow signals based on candle close relative to open.
- Provides insights into market sentiment and potential future price action.
#### How to Use:
- **Identifying Entry and Exit Points**: Use BOS and CHOCH signals to find potential entry points, while leveraging TP and SL levels for risk management.
- **Market Analysis**: Analyze order blocks and liquidity zones to make informed decisions on market behavior.
- **Visual Confirmation**: The clear visual cues provided by the indicator make it easier to interpret market movements and align trades with institutional behavior.
#### Conclusion:
The Smart Money Concepts Indicator is an invaluable tool for traders looking to enhance their understanding of market structure and make more informed trading decisions. By integrating advanced concepts like BOS, CHOCH, and liquidity analysis, this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with greater confidence.
Trend indicatorThe Trend Indicator script is a custom oscillator-based tool designed for identifying potential entry and exit points in the market. Using a combination of Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Relative Moving Average (RMA) calculations, it captures the trend direction and signals market momentum shifts. The indicator visually presents buy and sell signals and color-codes background conditions based on potential trend reversals, offering a clear and structured approach for trend-based trading strategies.
Key Components
1. User Inputs
Smoothing Length (smoothLength): The script allows the trader to input a smoothing length for adjusting the EMA and RMA calculations. This parameter fine-tunes the indicator's sensitivity to price movements, where lower values result in a more responsive oscillator, while higher values make it smoother and less reactive to minor fluctuations.
Source (source): This is the price data input for the script, defaulting to the close price but customizable to other price points (e.g., open, high, or low) based on user preference.
2. Smoothed Price Calculation
Using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the script smooths the selected source price to reduce noise and make trends clearer. The EMA’s calculation length is determined by the smoothLength input, and this moving average forms the baseline from which other components derive.
3. Oscillator Calculation
The oscillator value represents the relative strength or weakness of price momentum. Here, the oscillator is computed using Relative Moving Average (RMA), applied to the difference between the smoothed price and the SMA of the source price. The RMA further filters short-term fluctuations to identify the core trend direction.
This oscillator measures the divergence between the smoothed price and the SMA, providing insight into whether the market is experiencing bullish or bearish pressure.
4. Signal Line
The Signal Line is a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the oscillator, using the same smoothLength parameter. The SMA smooths the oscillator’s values, offering a secondary reference that traders can use to identify changes in momentum when it crosses the oscillator line.
5. Buy and Sell Signals
Buy Signal (bullSignal): The script triggers a buy signal when the oscillator crosses above zero. This indicates that momentum may be shifting in favor of buyers, potentially signaling an uptrend.
Sell Signal (bearSignal): The script triggers a sell signal when the oscillator crosses below zero, suggesting a shift in momentum to the downside, potentially initiating a downtrend.
Visualization
1. Plotting the Oscillator and Signal Line
The oscillator line is plotted in blue, representing the current momentum of the price. The signal line, plotted in red, serves as a smoother baseline.
When the oscillator crosses the signal line, it hints at a potential trend shift, which can be a signal for cautious traders to pay attention to trend reversals.
2. Buy/Sell Signal Markers
Buy Signal Marker: A green label appears below the bar whenever the oscillator crosses above zero, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Sell Signal Marker: A red label appears above the bar whenever the oscillator crosses below zero, marking a potential selling opportunity.
These visual cues make it easy for traders to spot signals directly on the chart without needing to watch the oscillator values closely.
3. Background Coloring for Trend Direction
To further aid in trend identification, the background color changes to green when a bullish signal is active and red during bearish signals. This coloring helps visually reinforce the current trend direction, allowing traders to spot prolonged uptrends or downtrends easily.
Trading Strategy Suggestions
This indicator can be adapted to various trading strategies. Here are a few practical suggestions:
Trend-Following Strategy:
When the oscillator crosses above zero (green background), it could indicate the start of a potential uptrend. Consider entering a long position on this signal and holding it until the oscillator crosses back below zero.
Conversely, a cross below zero (red background) may signal a downtrend, making it suitable for short positions or exiting long trades.
Cross-Confirmation with Signal Line:
Use the crossover of the oscillator and signal line to confirm trends. For example, when the oscillator is above zero and crosses above the signal line, it could reinforce a strong buy signal. Similarly, a cross below the signal line when the oscillator is below zero could strengthen a sell signal.
Combining with Other Indicators:
For added accuracy, combine this indicator with other trend-confirming tools like Moving Averages or Bollinger Bands to confirm the validity of buy/sell signals.
Risk Management:
Always set stop-losses below recent lows in uptrends or above recent highs in downtrends. This indicator is useful for entry and exit points but should always be paired with solid risk management practices.
The Trend Indicator is a comprehensive tool for identifying market momentum and potential reversal points. By smoothing out price data and using an oscillator to track momentum shifts, it offers traders a structured approach to trading trends. Its built-in buy/sell markers and background coloring make it visually accessible and easy to interpret at a glance. However, as with any indicator, it's most effective when combined with other strategies and a disciplined approach to risk management.
SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves[FibonacciFlux]SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves
Overview
The SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves script is designed for traders who seek to blend simplicity with complexity in their trading strategies. By leveraging multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) weighted by Fibonacci numbers, this indicator provides a nuanced view of price action, allowing traders to capture essential market dynamics while filtering out unnecessary noise.
Key Features
1. Multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMA)
- The indicator employs a series of SMAs to represent both short-term and long-term trends, providing a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
- Each SMA helps identify critical price levels that serve as support and resistance, particularly the purple Fibonacci SMA, which can be pivotal for limit entries. Traders positioned at this level can initiate stop-loss hunts at the institutional level, potentially achieving risk-reward ratios exceeding 30.
2. Fibonacci Weighting
- By applying Fibonacci principles to the SMAs, the indicator enhances adaptability to market conditions.
- This unique approach allows traders to pinpoint significant support and resistance levels within Fibonacci layers, enabling them to anticipate market movements effectively.
3. Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels
- The SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves indicator identifies key price levels that act as support and resistance based on Fibonacci layers.
- For instance, on the hourly chart, these levels function as reliable zones for traders to watch for potential reversals, while on the 15-minute chart, a consolidation within the rainbow pocket followed by expansion can signal lucrative trading opportunities.
4. Visual Clarity with Color Coding
- Each SMA is assigned a distinct color, making it easy to differentiate between the various levels on the chart.
- Fills between SMAs visually represent zones of confluence, enhancing the analysis of potential trading opportunities.
Signal Generation and Alerts
- The indicator generates buy and sell signals based on the interactions of the SMAs, providing clear entry and exit points.
- Customizable alerts notify traders of significant market changes, allowing for timely reactions to evolving conditions.
Benefits
1. Simplified Trading Approach
- Traders can focus on significant market trends without distraction, enhancing decision-making efficiency and reducing emotional trading.
2. Flexibility Across Timeframes
- The indicator operates effectively across multiple timeframes, allowing traders to apply its principles in various scenarios, from scalping to longer-term strategies.
3. Enhanced Market Insights
- The combination of multiple SMAs and Fibonacci weighting offers a comprehensive view of market trends, helping traders identify lucrative opportunities that may be overlooked.
4. Bridging Simplicity and Complexity
- This indicator elegantly addresses the contradictions in trading psychology, allowing traders to maintain clarity while navigating complex market dynamics.
Conclusion
The SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves script is an essential tool for traders seeking to streamline their analysis while effectively capturing market movements. By integrating Fibonacci principles with multiple SMAs, this indicator empowers traders to follow trends confidently. Its design makes it invaluable for both novice and experienced traders, revealing entry points often missed by traditional indicators.
Open Source Collaboration
This script is available as an open-source project on TradingView, inviting contributions from the global trading community to enhance its functionality. Collaboration ensures it remains a valuable resource for market participants.
Important Note
As with any trading tool, thorough analysis and risk management are crucial when using this indicator. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and traders should always prepare for potential market fluctuations.
Smart Money Setup 07 [TradingFinder] Liquidity Hunts & Minor OB🔵 Introduction
The Smart Money Concept relies on analyzing market structure, tracking liquidity flows, and identifying order blocks. Research indicates that traders who apply these methods can improve their accuracy in predicting market movements by up to 30%.
These elements allow traders to understand the behavior of market makers, including banks and large financial institutions, which have the ability to influence price movements and shape major market trends. By recognizing how these entities operate, traders can align their strategies with Smart Money actions and better anticipate shifts in the market.
Smart Money typically enters the market at points of high liquidity where trading opportunities are more attractive. By following these liquidity flows, professional traders can position themselves at market reversal points, leading to profitable trades.
The Smart Money Setup 07 indicator has been specifically designed to detect these complex patterns. Using advanced algorithms, this indicator automatically identifies both bullish and bearish trading setups, assisting traders in discovering hidden market opportunities.
As a powerful technical analysis tool, the Smart Money Setup indicator helps predict the actions of major market participants and highlights optimal entry and exit points. Essentially, this tool enables traders to act like institutional investors and market makers, making the most of price fluctuations in their favor.
Ultimately, the Smart Money Setup 07 indicator transforms complex technical analysis into a simple and practical tool. By detecting order blocks and liquidity zones, this tool helps traders execute their strategies with greater precision, leading to more informed and successful trading decisions.
🟣 Bullish Setup
🟣 Bearish Setup
🔵 How to Use
One of the key strengths of the Smart Money Setup 07 indicator is its ability to accurately identify order blocks and analyze liquidity flows. Order blocks represent areas where large buy or sell orders are placed by Smart Money investors, which often indicate key reversal points in the market. Traders can use these order blocks to pinpoint potential entry and exit opportunities.
The Smart Money Setup indicator detects and visually displays these order blocks on the chart, helping traders identify the best zones to enter or exit trades. Since these zones are frequently used by large institutional investors, following these blocks allows traders to capitalize on price fluctuations and trade with confidence.
🟣 Bullish Smart Money Setup
A Bullish Smart Money Setup forms when the market creates Higher Lows and Higher Highs. In this situation, the indicator analyzes pivot points, liquidity flows, and order blocks to identify buy opportunities. Liquidity points in these setups indicate areas where Smart Money is likely to enter long positions.
In the bullish setup image, multiple Higher Lows and Higher Highs are formed. The green zone represents a Bullish Order Block, signaling traders to enter a long trade. The Smart Money Setup indicator displays a green arrow, indicating a high-probability upward price movement from this liquidity zone.
🟣 Bearish Smart Money Setup
A Bearish Smart Money Setup occurs when the market structure shows Lower Highs and Lower Lows, indicating weakness in price. The indicator identifies these patterns and highlights potential sell opportunities. Liquidity points in this setup mark areas where Smart Money enters sell positions.
In the bearish setup image, a Lower High is followed by a Lower Low, with the red liquidity zone acting as a Bearish Order Block. The Smart Money Setup indicator shows a red arrow, signaling a likely downward move, offering traders an opportunity to enter short positions.
🔵 Settings
Pivot Period : This setting determines how many candles are needed to form a pivot point. A default value of 2 is optimal for quickly identifying key pivot points in price action.
Order Block Validity Period : This parameter defines the lifespan of an order block. Traders can adjust how long each order block remains valid. For instance, setting it to 500 means that an order block will be valid for 500 bars after its formation.
Mitigation Level OB : This setting allows traders to select whether order blocks should be based on the "Proximal," "50% OB," or "Distal" levels, helping traders manage risk more effectively.
Order Block Refinement : Traders can refine the order blocks with precision. The indicator offers two refinement modes: Defensive and Aggressive. The Defensive mode identifies safer order blocks, while the Aggressive mode targets higher-risk blocks with the potential for larger reversals.
🔵 Conclusion
The Smart Money Setup 07 indicator is a powerful tool for identifying key Smart Money movements in the market. It provides traders with essential insights for making informed trading decisions, particularly when combined with technical analysis and liquidity flow analysis. This indicator allows traders to accurately pinpoint entry and exit points, helping them maximize profits and minimize risk.
By offering a range of customizable settings, the Smart Money Setup indicator adapts to different trading styles and strategies. Furthermore, its ability to detect order blocks and identify supply and demand zones makes it an indispensable tool for any trader looking to enhance their strategy.
In conclusion, the Smart Money Setup 07 is a crucial tool for traders aiming to optimize their trading performance. By utilizing the concepts of Smart Money in technical analysis, traders can make more precise decisions and take advantage of market fluctuations.
Trend Magic Enhanced [AlgoAlpha]🔥✨ Trend Magic Enhanced - Boost Your Trend Analysis! 🚀📈
Introducing the Trend Magic Enhanced indicator by AlgoAlpha, a powerful tool designed to help you identify market trends with greater accuracy. This advanced indicator combines the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and Average True Range (ATR) to calculate dynamic support and resistance levels, known as the Trend Magic. By smoothing the Trend Magic with various moving average types, this indicator provides clearer trend signals and helps you make more informed trading decisions.
Key Features :
🎯 Unique Trend Identification : Combines CCI and ATR to detect market trends and potential reversals.
🔄 Customizable Smoothing : Choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, or VWMA to smooth the Magic Trend for clearer signals.
🎨 Flexible Appearance Settings : Customize colors for bullish and bearish trends to suit your charting preferences.
⚙️ Adjustable Parameters : Modify CCI period, ATR period, ATR multiplier, and smoothing length to align with your trading strategy.
🔔 Alert Notifications : Set alerts for trend shifts to stay ahead of market movements.
📈 Visual Signals : Displays trend direction changes directly on the chart with up and down arrows.
Quick Guide to Using the Trend Magic Enhanced Indicator
🛠 Add the Indicator : Add the indicator to your chart by pressing the star icon to add it to favorites. Customize settings such as CCI period, ATR multiplier, ATR period, smoothing options, and colors to match your trading style.
📊 Analyze the Chart : Observe the Trend Magic line and the color-coded trend signals. When the Trend Magic line turns bullish (e.g., green), it indicates an upward trend, and when it turns bearish (e.g., red), it indicates a downward trend. Use the visual arrows to spot trend direction changes.
🔔 Set Alerts : Enable alerts to receive notifications when a trend shift is detected, so you can act promptly on trading opportunities without constantly monitoring the chart.
How It Works:
The Trend Magic Enhanced indicator integrates the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and Average True Range (ATR) to calculate a dynamic Trend Magic line. By adjusting price levels based on CCI values—upward when CCI is positive and downward when negative—and factoring in ATR for market volatility, it creates adaptive support and resistance levels. Optionally smoothed with various moving averages to reduce noise, the indicator changes line color based on trend direction, highlights trend changes with arrows, and provides alerts for significant shifts, aiding traders in identifying potential entry and exit points.
Enhancements Over the Original Trend Magic Indicator
The Trend Magic Enhanced indicator significantly refines the trend identification method of the original Trend Magic script by introducing customizable smoothing options and additional analytical features. While the original indicator determines trend direction solely based on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) crossing above or below zero and adjusts the Magic Trend line using the Average True Range (ATR), the enhanced version allows users to smooth the Magic Trend line with various moving average types (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA). This smoothing reduces market noise and provides clearer trend signals. Additionally, the enhanced indicator incorporates price action analysis by detecting crossovers and crossunders of price with the Magic Trend line, and it visually marks trend changes with up and down arrows on the chart. These improvements offer a more responsive and accurate trend detection compared to the original method, enabling traders to identify potential entry and exit points more effectively.
Enhance your trading strategy with the Trend Magic Enhanced indicator by AlgoAlpha and gain a clearer perspective on market trends! 🌟📈
$TUBR: 7-25-99 Moving Average7, 25, and 99 Period Moving Averages
This indicator plots three moving averages: the 7-period, 25-period, and 99-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA). These moving averages are widely used to smooth out price action and help traders identify trends over different time frames. Let's break down the significance of these specific moving averages from both supply and demand perspectives and a price action perspective.
1. Supply and Demand Perspective:
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term) :
The 7-period moving average represents the short-term sentiment in the market. It captures the rapid fluctuations in price and is heavily influenced by recent supply and demand changes. Traders often look to the 7-period SMA for immediate price momentum, with price moving above or below this line signaling short-term strength or weakness.
- Bullish Supply/Demand : When price is above the 7-period SMA, it suggests that buyers are currently in control and demand is higher than supply. Conversely, price falling below this line indicates that supply is overpowering demand, leading to a short-term downtrend.
Is current price > average price in past 7 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in short term.
- Key Supply/Demand Zones : The 7-period SMA often acts as dynamic support or resistance in a trending market, where traders might use it to enter or exit positions based on how price interacts with this level.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term) :
The 25-period SMA smooths out more of the noise compared to the 7-period, providing a more stable indication of intermediate trends. This moving average is often used to gauge the market's supply and demand balance over a broader timeframe than the short-term 7-period SMA.
- Supply/Demand Balance : The 25-period SMA reflects the medium-term equilibrium between supply and demand. A crossover between the price and the 25-period SMA may indicate a shift in this balance. When price sustains above the 25-period SMA, it shows that demand is strong enough to maintain an upward trend. Conversely, if the price stays below it, supply is likely exceeding demand.
Is current price > average price in past 25 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in mid term.
- Momentum Shift : Crossovers between the 7-period and 25-period SMAs can indicate momentum shifts between short-term and medium-term demand. For example, if the 7-period crosses above the 25-period, it often signifies growing short-term demand relative to the medium-term trend, signaling potential buy opportunities. What this crossover means is that if 7MA > 25MA that means in past 7 candles average price is more than past 25 candles.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term):
The 99-period SMA represents the long-term trend and reflects the market's supply and demand over an extended period. This moving average filters out short-term fluctuations and highlights the market's overall trajectory.
- Long-Term Supply/Demand Dynamics : The 99-period SMA is slower to react to changes in supply and demand, providing a more stable view of the market's overall trend. Price staying above this line shows sustained demand dominance, while price consistently staying below reflects ongoing supply pressure.
Is current price > average price in past 99 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in long term.
- Market Trend Confirmation : When both the 7-period and 25-period SMAs are above the 99-period SMA, it signals a strong bullish trend with demand outweighing supply across all timeframes. If all three SMAs are below the 99-period SMA, it points to a bear market where supply is overpowering demand in both the short and long term.
2. Price Action Perspective :
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term Trends):
The 7-period moving average closely tracks price action, making it highly responsive to quick shifts in price. Traders often use it to confirm short-term reversals or continuations in price action. In an uptrend, price typically stays above the 7-period SMA, whereas in a downtrend, price stays below it.
- Short-Term Price Reversals : Crossovers between the price and the 7-period SMA often indicate short-term reversals. When price breaks above the 7-period SMA after staying below it, it suggests a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a price breakdown below the 7-period SMA could signal a bearish reversal.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term Trends) :
The 25-period SMA helps identify the medium-term price action trend. It balances short-term volatility and longer-term stability, providing insight into the more persistent trend. Price pullbacks to the 25-period SMA during an uptrend can act as a buying opportunity for trend traders, while pullbacks during a downtrend may offer shorting opportunities.
- Pullback and Continuation: In trending markets, price often retraces to the 25-period SMA before continuing in the direction of the trend. For instance, if the price is in a bullish trend, traders may look for support at the 25-period SMA for potential continuation trades.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term Trend and Market Sentiment ):
The 99-period SMA is the most critical for identifying the overall market trend. Price consistently trading above the 99-period SMA indicates long-term bullish momentum, while price staying below the 99-period SMA suggests bearish sentiment.
- Trend Confirmation : Price action above the 99-period SMA confirms long-term upward momentum, while price action below it confirms a downtrend. The space between the shorter moving averages (7 and 25) and the 99-period SMA gives a sense of the strength or weakness of the trend. Larger gaps between the 7 and 99 SMAs suggest strong bullish momentum, while close proximity indicates consolidation or potential reversals.
- Price Action in Trending Markets : Traders often use the 99-period SMA as a dynamic support/resistance level. In strong trends, price tends to stay on one side of the 99-period SMA for extended periods, with breaks above or below signaling major changes in market sentiment.
Why These Numbers Matter:
7-Period MA : The 7-period moving average is a popular choice among short-term traders who want to capture quick momentum changes. It helps visualize immediate market sentiment and is often used in conjunction with price action to time entries or exits.
- 25-Period MA: The 25-period MA is a key indicator for swing traders. It balances sensitivity and stability, providing a clearer picture of the intermediate trend. It helps traders stay in trades longer by filtering out short-term noise, while still being reactive enough to detect reversals.
- 99-Period MA : The 99-period moving average provides a broad view of the market's direction, filtering out much of the short- and medium-term noise. It is crucial for identifying long-term trends and assessing whether the market is bullish or bearish overall. It acts as a key reference point for longer-term trend followers, helping them stay with the broader market sentiment.
Conclusion:
From a supply and demand perspective, the 7, 25, and 99-period moving averages help traders visualize shifts in the balance between buyers and sellers over different time horizons. The price action interaction with these moving averages provides valuable insight into short-term momentum, intermediate trends, and long-term market sentiment. Using these three MAs together gives a more comprehensive understanding of market conditions, helping traders align their strategies with prevailing trends across various timeframes.
------------- RULE BASED SYSTEM ---------------
Overview of the Rule-Based System:
This system will use the following moving averages:
7-period MA: Represents short-term price action.
25-period MA: Represents medium-term price action.
99-period MA: Represents long-term price action.
1. Trend Identification Rules:
Bullish Trend:
The 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This structure shows that short, medium, and long-term trends are aligned in an upward direction, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bearish Trend:
The 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This suggests that the market is in a downtrend, with bearish momentum dominating across timeframes.
Neutral/Consolidation:
The 7-period MA and 25-period MA are flat or crossing frequently with the 99-period MA, and they are close to each other.
This indicates a sideways or consolidating market where there’s no strong trend direction.
2. Entry Rules:
Bullish Entry (Buy Signals):
Primary Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new upward trend, with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Buy Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains above the 25-period MA.
This indica
tes that the pullback is a temporary correction in an uptrend, and buyers may re-enter the market as price approaches the 25-period MA.
You can further confirm the signal by waiting for price action (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns) at the 25-period MA level.
Breakout Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also both above the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bullish breakout after consolidation or a long-term downtrend.
Bearish Entry (Sell Signals):
Primary Sell Signal:
The price crosses below the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new downtrend with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Sell Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains below the 25-period MA.
This indicates that the pullback is a temporary retracement in a downtrend, providing an opportunity to sell as price meets resistance at the 25-period MA.
Breakdown Sell Signal:
The price breaks below the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also below the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bearish breakdown after consolidation or a long-term uptrend reversal.
3. Exit Rules:
Bullish Exit (for long positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes below the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing below the 25-period MA.
This indicates weakening momentum in the uptrend, suggesting an exit from the long position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price falls below the 99-period MA, signaling the breakdown of the long-term trend.
This can act as a final exit signal to minimize losses if the long-term uptrend is invalidated.
Bearish Exit (for short positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes above the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing above the 25-period MA.
This indicates a potential weakening of the downtrend and signals an exit from the short position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price breaks above the 99-period MA, invalidating the bearish trend.
This signals that the market may be reversing to the upside, and exiting short positions would be prudent.
Wave Anchor IndicatorThe Wave Anchor Indicator is designed to mark the crossing of overbought and oversold levels of higher time frame momentum waves, based on the VuManChu Cipher B+Divergences Wave Trend Indicator. This tool is inspired by the TP Mint trading strategy, which relies heavily on the momentum waves of Market Cipher B or VuManChu Cipher B for identifying optimal entry and exit points.
Key Concept: Anchored Waves
In the TP Mint strategy, momentum waves in overbought (above 60) or oversold (below -60) conditions on higher time frames are considered "anchored." These anchored waves provide strong signals for entries and take-profit points when viewed on lower time frames. The Wave Anchor Indicator focuses on these anchor conditions to help traders make informed decisions by seeing higher time frame anchor states directly on the entry time frame chart.
How It Works
Labeling Signals:
- On lower time frames, such as the 15-minute chart, the indicator shows labels when higher
time frame momentum waves (1-hour and 4-hour) cross the overbought or oversold levels.
- Labels above price indicate overbought conditions, with green labels when the wave crosses
upward and red labels when crossing downward.
- Labels below price signal oversold conditions, with red for a downward cross and green for an
upward cross.
- Each label displays the time frame of the crossing momentum wave, providing context for
traders at a glance.
Time Frame Pairings:
- On the 15-minute time frame, the indicator tracks anchor conditions from the 1-hour and 4-
hour time frames.
- On the 1-hour chart, it monitors 4-hour and daily time frame anchor conditions.
Customization and Alerts
Flexible Display Options : Users can choose to display none, one, or both of the grouped higher time frame labels, depending on their strategy and preferences.
Alerts : The indicator also allows for custom alerts when a label appears, helping traders stay on top of key market movements without constantly monitoring the chart.
Use Cases
This indicator is ideal for traders who use momentum-based strategies across multiple time frames. It simplifies the process of identifying key entry and exit points by focusing on the anchor conditions from higher time frames, making it easier to execute the TP Mint strategy or similar methods.
Thank you to VuManChu and LazyBear for mamking the momentum wave code open source and allowing it’s use in this indicator.
Bitcoin 100 Pips Indicator 5Bitcoin 100 Pips Indicator
Description: The Bitcoin 100 Pips Indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders who seek to capitalize on rapid price movements in the Bitcoin market. This indicator provides clear entry and exit signals based on a combination of price action analysis and pre-defined profit targets.
Key Features:
Quick Entry and Exit Signals: The indicator generates buy and sell signals in real-time, allowing traders to enter and exit positions quickly and effectively.
Targeting 100 Pips: Specifically designed to target 100 pips of profit for each trade, this indicator sets clear take profit and stop loss levels, helping traders manage their risk and reward effectively.
User-Friendly Interface: With easily visible signals and annotations directly on the chart, the indicator enhances your trading experience without cluttering your view.
Adjustable Settings: Traders can customize the pip target and stop loss levels according to their individual strategies, providing flexibility to accommodate different trading styles.
Ideal for Short-Term Trading: Whether you are a scalper or a day trader, this indicator is optimized for M5 and M15 timeframes, making it ideal for capturing quick price movements in the volatile Bitcoin market.
How to Use:
Apply the Bitcoin 100 Pips Indicator to your chart and select your preferred trading timeframe (M5 or M15).
Look for buy signals indicated by green labels when market conditions favor upward movement.
Conversely, watch for sell signals marked by red labels during downward trends.
Use the provided take profit and stop loss levels to manage your trades effectively.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for informational purposes only and does not guarantee profits. Always practice proper risk management and conduct your own analysis before trading.
The Exact IndicatorStruggling to get in on a trade? Don't know where to take profits? This indicator might help - it only displays the Buy, Stop Loss and Take profit points when certain conditions are met.
The indicator combines a moving average crossover strategy with trend analysis to identify potential buy opportunities in the market. It utilises a short-term and long-term Simple Moving Average (SMA) to generate buy signals when the short-term SMA crosses above the long-term SMA. Additionally, it displays take profit and stop loss levels, along with a background colour indicating the overall trend strength.
Pros :
Clear Signals : Provides straightforward buy signals based on a well-known crossover strategy, making it easy for traders to identify entry points.
Visual Aids : The inclusion of take profit and stop loss levels, along with background trend colors, enhances decision-making and risk management.
Trend Awareness : The background colour changes based on trend strength, allowing traders to quickly assess market conditions.
Cons :
Lagging Indicator : Moving averages are inherently lagging, which can result in delayed signals, especially in volatile markets.
False Signals : Crossover strategies can produce false signals during sideways or choppy market conditions, leading to potential losses.
Limited Scope : The indicator focuses primarily on buy signals, potentially missing out on other trading opportunities (like short-selling) in a bearish market.
Overall, while this indicator can be a useful tool for identifying bullish trends and potential entry points, traders should use it in conjunction with other analysis methods and risk management strategies to mitigate its limitations.
Dynamic Range EvaluatorThe Dynamic Range Evaluator script or indicator analyzes the dynamic movement of price ranges in the market, offering several key advantages:
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1. Identifies Market Volatility
It detects when price ranges expand or contract, helping traders gauge the market's current volatility—whether it is highly volatile (wide range) or calm (narrow range).
2. Adapts Strategies Based on Market Conditions
The script allows traders to implement suitable strategies:
Use Breakout strategies when the range expands.
Use Mean Reversion strategies when the price moves within a tight range.
3. Accurate Entry and Exit Points
By identifying dynamic price zones, it helps spot potential reversals or areas near key support/resistance levels, reducing the risk of poor entry decisions in unclear market phases.
4. Versatile Across Market Phases
Whether in a bullish, bearish, or sideways market, the Dynamic Range Evaluator adjusts smoothly to shifting conditions, minimizing the need for frequent modifications.
5. Effective Across Multiple Time Frames
It works well on both lower and higher time frames. For instance:
On lower time frames, it helps identify short-term trade entries/exits.
On higher time frames, it assists with analyzing broader trends.
6. Customizable Dynamic Parameters
Traders can modify range thresholds or evaluation criteria to suit specific asset classes or currency pairs, providing flexibility and improved accuracy.
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Use Cases
Combine with ATR (Average True Range) to identify optimal average ranges.
Align Take Profit / Stop Loss levels with current market ranges.
Integrate with Breakout Strategies by monitoring for range expansion and waiting for key support/resistance breakouts.
[3Commas] Signal BuilderSignal Builder is a tool designed to help traders create custom buy and sell signals by combining multiple technical indicators. Its flexibility allows traders to set conditions based on their specific strategy, whether they’re into scalping, swing trading, or long-term investing. Additionally, its integration with 3Commas bots makes it a powerful choice for those looking to automate their trades, though it’s also ideal for traders who prefer receiving alerts and making manual decisions.
🔵 How does Signal Builder work?
Signal Builder allows users to define custom conditions using popular technical indicators, which, when met, generate clear buy or sell signals. These signals can be used to trigger TradingView alerts, ensuring that you never miss a market opportunity. Additionally, all conditions are evaluated using "AND" logic, meaning signals are only activated when all user-defined conditions are met. This increases precision and helps avoid false signals.
🔵 Available indicators and recommended settings:
Signal Builder provides access to a wide range of technical indicators, each customizable to popular settings that maximize effectiveness:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): An oscillator that measures the relative strength of price over a specific period. Traders typically configure it with 14 periods, using levels of 30 (oversold) and 70 (overbought) to identify potential reversals.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A key indicator tracking the crossover between two moving averages. Common settings include 12 and 26 periods for the moving averages, with a 9-period signal line to detect trend changes.
Ultimate Oscillator: Combines three different time frames to offer a comprehensive view of buying and selling pressure. Popular settings are 7, 14, and 28 periods.
Bollinger Bands %B: Provides insight into where the price is relative to its upper and lower bands. Standard settings include a 20-period moving average and a standard deviation of 2.
ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures the strength of a trend. Values above 25 typically indicate a strong trend, while values below suggest weak or sideways movement.
Stochastic Oscillator: A momentum indicator comparing the closing price to its range over a defined period. Popular configurations include 14 periods for %K and 3 for %D smoothing.
Parabolic SAR: Ideal for identifying trend reversals and entry/exit points. Commonly configured with a 0.02 step and a 0.2 maximum.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Similar to RSI but incorporates volume into the calculation. Standard settings use 14 periods, with levels of 20 and 80 as oversold and overbought thresholds.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): Measures the deviation of price from its average. Traders often use a 20-period setting with levels of +100 and -100 to identify extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
Heikin Ashi Candles: These candles smooth out price fluctuations to show clearer trends. Commonly used in trend-following strategies to filter market noise.
🔵 How to use Signal Builder:
Configure indicators: Select the indicators that best fit your strategy and adjust their settings as needed. You can combine multiple indicators to define precise entry and exit conditions.
Define custom signals: Create buy or sell conditions that trigger when your selected indicators meet the criteria you’ve set. For example, configure a buy signal when RSI crosses above 30 and MACD confirms with a bullish crossover.
TradingView alerts: Set up alerts in TradingView to receive real-time notifications when the conditions you’ve defined are met, allowing you to react quickly to market opportunities without constantly monitoring charts.
Monitor with the panel: Signal Builder includes a visual panel that shows active conditions for each indicator in real time, helping you keep track of signals without manually checking each indicator.
🔵 3Commas integration:
In addition to being a valuable tool for any trader, Signal Builder is optimized to work seamlessly with 3Commas bots through Webhooks. This allows you to automate your trades based on the signals you’ve configured, ensuring that no opportunity is missed when your defined conditions are met. If you prefer automation, Signal Builder can send buy or sell signals to your 3Commas bots, enhancing your trading process and helping you manage multiple trades more efficiently.
🔵 Example of use:
Imagine you trade in volatile markets and want to trigger a sell signal when:
Stochastic Oscillator indicates overbought conditions with the %K value crossing below 80.
Bollinger Bands %B shows the price has surpassed the upper band, suggesting a potential reversal.
ADX is below 20, indicating that the trend is weak and could be about to change.
With Signal Builder , you can configure these conditions to trigger a sell signal only when all are met simultaneously. Then, you can set up a TradingView alert to notify you as soon as the signal is activated, giving you the opportunity to react quickly and adjust your strategy accordingly.
👨🏻💻💭 If this tool helps your trading strategy, don’t forget to give it a boost! Feel free to share in the comments how you're using it or if you have any questions.
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Time Based 3 Candle Model CRT FrameworkThe 3 Candle Model Overview:
The 3 Candle Model serves as a sophisticated framework for traders to navigate the complexities of financial markets, particularly within futures and forex trading. This guide not only elaborates on the model's key features but also emphasizes its originality and practical usefulness in the TradingView community. The core principle of the 3 Candle Model revolves around understanding how candle patterns can represent significant price ranges, offering valuable insights into potential market movements. By integrating the model with other critical trading concepts such as the Power of Three (PO3), Open-High-Low-Close (OHLC), and Turtle Soup setups, traders can enhance their ability to identify high-probability trades and achieve better trading outcomes.
Indicator includes:
3 Customizable Timeframe choices to fractally frame 3 candle models for precision
Live Timers for each timeframe to always be aware of the models timing
Parent Candle tracking on every preffered timeframe until new models parent candle is printed
Key Features of the 3 Candle Model
The 3 Candle Model primarily utilizes a three-candle structure, where the first candle establishes a price range, the second candle may act as a confirmation (often termed a "turtle soup"), and the third candle provides the breakout or continuation. This structure is pivotal in determining entry and exit points for trades, ensuring that each trading decision is backed by solid price action analysis.
OHLC Principle:
The Open-High-Low-Close (OHLC) concept is integral to the 3 Candle Model, allowing traders to analyze price action more effectively. Understanding the relationship between these four price points helps traders gauge market sentiment and potential reversals. By incorporating OHLC into the model, traders can develop a deeper understanding of market structure and its implications for future price movements.
Delivery States:
The 3 Candle Model emphasizes the importance of delivery states, which refer to the market's phase during specific time frames. Recognizing these states aids traders in determining the appropriate conditions for entering trades, particularly when combined with the power of three and candle range patterns. This understanding is crucial for positioning trades in alignment with market momentum.
High Probability Setups:
By aligning the 3 Candle Model with inside bar setups, traders can optimize their strategies for high-probability outcomes. This approach capitalizes on the inherent fractal nature of price movements, where previous patterns repeat at different scales. The combination of the model and inside bar setups enhances the trader's toolkit, allowing for more strategic trade placements.
Turtle Soup Formation:
The 3 Candle Model intricately connects with the Turtle Soup concept, which focuses on false breakouts. Identifying these formations at critical levels enhances the trader's ability to anticipate reversals or continuation patterns. The timing of these setups, particularly during specified times like 3:00 AM, 6:00 AM, 9:00 AM, and 1:00 PM, is crucial for maximizing trade success.
Using the 3 Candle Model in Trading
Integration with PO3:
The Power of Three (PO3) is a fundamental aspect of the 3 Candle Model that emphasizes the significance of three distinct stages of price delivery. Traders can leverage this principle by observing the initial range, confirming patterns, and executing trades during the third phase, leading to higher risk-to-reward ratios. This three-stage approach enhances a trader's ability to make informed decisions based on market behavior.
Targeting Midpoints:
Successful application of the 3 Candle Model involves targeting the midpoints of identified ranges. This practice not only provides strategic entry points but also enhances the probability of reaching desired profit levels. By targeting these midpoints, traders can refine their exit strategies and manage risk more effectively.
Aligning with Market Timing:
Timing is everything in trading. By synchronizing the 3 Candle Model setups with the aforementioned key timeframes, traders can better position themselves to exploit market dynamics. This alignment also facilitates the identification of high-quality trades that exhibit strong potential for profitability.
Prioritizing A+ Setups:
By focusing on the 3 Candle Model and its associated concepts, traders can prioritize A+ setups that exhibit a strong alignment of factors. This methodical approach enhances the quality of trades taken, leading to improved overall performance. By cultivating a strategy centered on high-probability setups, traders can maximize their return on investment.
Ensuring Originality and Usefulness
To meet the TradingView community guidelines, it is essential that this script is both original and useful. The 3 Candle Model, in its essence, is designed to provide traders with a unique perspective on market movements, free from generic or rehashed strategies. This tool integrates unique interpretations of the three-candle model and the associated strategies that are distinctly articulated and innovative.
Practical Applications: there are many practical applications of the 3 Candle Model in various trading contexts. This model in conjunction with other strategies to cultivate high-probability trade setups that can enhance performance across diverse market conditions.
Educational Value: This script is crafted with educational value in mind, providing insights that extend beyond mere trading signals. It encourages users to develop a deeper understanding of market mechanics and the interplay between price action, time, and trader psychology.
Conclusion
The 3 Candle Model provides a comprehensive framework for traders to enhance their trading strategies in the futures and forex markets. By understanding and applying the principles of this model alongside the Power of Three, OHLC concepts, and Turtle Soup formations, traders can significantly improve their ability to identify high-probability trades. The emphasis on timing, delivery states, and alignment of ranges ensures that traders are well-equipped to navigate the complexities of market movements, ultimately leading to more consistent and rewarding trading outcomes.
As trading involves risk, it is essential for traders to utilize these principles judiciously and maintain a disciplined approach to their trading strategies. By adhering to the TradingView community guidelines and emphasizing originality, usefulness, and detailed descriptions, this 3 Candle Model script stands as a valuable resource for traders seeking to refine their skills and achieve greater success in the financial markets.
Through this detailed exploration of the 3 Candle Model, traders will not only learn to recognize and exploit key patterns in price action but also appreciate the interconnectedness of various trading strategies that can significantly enhance their performance and profitability.
Judas Swing ICT 01 [TradingFinder] New York Midnight Opening M15🔵 Introduction
The Judas Swing (ICT Judas Swing) is a trading strategy developed by Michael Huddleston, also known as Inner Circle Trader (ICT). This strategy allows traders to identify fake market moves designed by smart money to deceive retail traders.
By concentrating on market structure, price action patterns, and liquidity flows, traders can align their trades with institutional movements and avoid common pitfalls. It is particularly useful in FOREX and stock markets, helping traders identify optimal entry and exit points while minimizing risks from false breakouts.
In today's volatile markets, understanding how smart money manipulates price action across sessions such as Asia, London, and New York is essential for success. The ICT Judas Swing strategy helps traders avoid common pitfalls by focusing on key movements during the opening time and range of each session, identifying breakouts and false breakouts.
By utilizing various time frames and improving risk management, this strategy enables traders to make more informed decisions and take advantage of significant market movements.
In the Judas Swing strategy, for a bullish setup, the price first touches the high of the 15-minute range of New York midnight and then the low. After that, the price returns upward, breaks the high, and if there’s a candlestick confirmation during the pullback, a buy signal is generated.
bearish setup, the price first touches the low of the range, then the high. With the price returning downward and breaking the low, if there’s a candlestick confirmation during the pullback to the low, a sell signal is generated.
🔵 How to Use
To effectively implement the Judas Swing strategy (ICT Judas Swing) in trading, traders must first identify the price range of the 15-minute window following New York midnight. This range, consisting of highs and lows, sets the stage for the upcoming movements in the London and New York sessions.
🟣 Bullish Setup
For a bullish setup, the price first moves to touch the high of the range, then the low, before returning upward to break the high. Following this, a pullback occurs, and if a valid candlestick confirmation (such as a reversal pattern) is observed, a buy signal is generated. This confirmation could indicate the presence of smart money supporting the bullish movement.
🟣 Bearish Setup
For a bearish setup, the process is the reverse. The price first touches the low of the range, then the high. Afterward, the price moves downward again and breaks the low. A pullback follows to the broken low, and if a bearish candlestick confirmation is seen, a sell signal is generated. This confirmation signals the continuation of the downward price movement.
Using the Judas Swing strategy enables traders to avoid fake breakouts and focus on strong market confirmations. The strategy is versatile, applying to FOREX, stocks, and other financial instruments, offering optimal trading opportunities through market structure analysis and time frame synchronization.
To execute this strategy successfully, traders must combine it with effective risk management techniques such as setting appropriate stop losses and employing optimal risk-to-reward ratios. While the Judas Swing is a powerful tool for predicting price movements, traders should remember that no strategy is entirely risk-free. Proper capital management remains a critical element of long-term success.
By mastering the ICT Judas Swing strategy, traders can better identify entry and exit points and avoid common traps from fake market movements, ultimately improving their trading performance.
🔵 Setting
Opening Range : High and Low identification time range.
Extend : The time span of the dashed line.
Permit : Signal emission time range.
🔵 Conclusion
The Judas Swing strategy (ICT Judas Swing) is a powerful tool in technical analysis that helps traders identify fake moves and align their trades with institutional actions, reducing risk and enhancing their ability to capitalize on market opportunities.
By leveraging key levels such as range highs and lows, fake breakouts, and candlestick confirmations, traders can enter trades with more precision. This strategy is applicable in forex, stocks, and other financial markets and, with proper risk management, can lead to consistent trading success.
Fibonacci Cloud MTF [TrendX_]The Fibonacci Cloud MTF Indicator is an innovative trading tool crafted to assist traders in dynamically identifying key Fibonacci retracement levels. Unlike traditional methods that depend on static pivot points, this indicator effectively plots the Fibonacci golden zone - ranging from 0.382 to 0.618 - using the most recent highs and lows. This dynamic approach provides a more nuanced and responsive analysis of price movements, allowing traders to observe real-time reactions to significant Fibonacci levels. Furthermore, the indicator functions as a trend-following mechanism, signaling potential uptrends when the price crosses above the 0.618 fibonacci retracement level and indicating downtrends when it dips below.
💎 KEY FEATURES
Dynamic Fibonacci Levels: The indicator calculates Fibonacci retracement levels based on the latest highs and lows, providing a more relevant framework for current market conditions.
Golden Zone Focus: It emphasizes the Fibonacci golden zone (0.382 - 0.618), which is widely regarded as a critical area for potential reversals or continuations.
Multi-timeframe Analysis: The ability to view Fibonacci levels across multiple timeframes allows traders to identify trends and potential entry points more effectively.
Trend-Following Signals: Clear trend directions relative to the 0.618 level.
⚙️ USAGES
Identifying Key Retracement Levels: Traders can use the plotted Fibonacci levels to determine potential pullback or throwback at the key Fibonacci areas.
Trend Confirmation: By observing price interactions with the 0.618 level, traders can confirm ongoing trends and make more informed decisions about entering or exiting positions.
Multi-timeframe Strategies: The indicator allows traders to align strategies across different timeframes, improving overall trading effectiveness.
🔎 BREAKDOWN
Dynamic Fibonacci Levels: By calculating Fibonacci retracement levels from the latest highs and lows, traders receive a more accurate representation of current market sentiment. This dynamic approach ensures that the levels adapt to changing market conditions, making them more relevant for decision-making.
Golden Zone Focus: This highlights the Fibonacci golden zone, particularly the range between 0.382 and 0.618. This zone is widely regarded as a pivotal area for potential price reversals or continuations, serving as key support and resistance levels. Prices often react strongly at these points, making them crucial for pinpointing potential entry and exit opportunities in your trading strategy.
Multi-timeframe Analysis: Incorporating multi-timeframe analysis allows traders to observe how Fibonacci levels behave across different timeframes. This feature helps traders identify broader trends while also pinpointing short-term opportunities.
Trend-Following Strategies: Uptrend trigger - When the price crosses above the 0.618 level, it triggers uptrend, conversely, when the price crosses below the 0.618 level, it triggers a downtrend.
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is not financial advice, it can only help traders make better decisions. There are many factors and uncertainties that can affect the outcome of any endeavor, and no one can guarantee or predict with certainty what will occur. Therefore, one should always exercise caution and judgment when making decisions based on past performance.
Momentum Nexus Oscillator [UAlgo]The "Momentum Nexus Oscillator " indicator is a comprehensive momentum-based tool designed to provide traders with visual cues on market conditions using multiple oscillators. By combining four popular technical indicators—RSI (Relative Strength Index), VZO (Volume Zone Oscillator), MFI (Money Flow Index), and CCI (Commodity Channel Index)—this heatmap offers a holistic view of the market's momentum.
The indicator plots two lines: one representing the current chart’s combined momentum score and the other representing a higher timeframe’s (HTF) score, if enabled. Through smooth gradient color transitions and easy-to-read signals, the Momentum Nexus Heatmap allows traders to easily identify potential trend reversals or continuation patterns.
Traders can use this tool to detect overbought or oversold conditions, helping them anticipate possible long or short trade opportunities. The option to use a higher timeframe enhances the flexibility of the indicator for longer-term trend analysis.
🔶 Key Features
Multi-Oscillator Approach: Combines four popular momentum oscillators (RSI, VZO, MFI, and CCI) to generate a weighted score, providing a comprehensive picture of market momentum.
Dynamic Color Heatmap: Utilizes a smooth gradient transition between bullish and bearish colors, reflecting market momentum across different thresholds.
Higher Timeframe (HTF) Compatibility: Includes an optional higher timeframe input that displays a separate score line based on the same momentum metrics, allowing for multi-timeframe analysis.
Customizable Parameters: Adjustable RSI, VZO, MFI, and CCI lengths, as well as overbought and oversold levels, to match the trader’s strategy or preference.
Signal Alerts: Built-in alert conditions for both the current chart and higher timeframe scores, notifying traders when long or short entry signals are triggered.
Buy/Sell Signals: Displays visual signals (▲ and ▼) on the chart when combined scores reach overbought or oversold levels, providing clear entry cues.
User-Friendly Visualization: The heatmap is separated into four sections representing each indicator, providing a transparent view of how each contributes to the overall momentum score.
🔶 Interpreting Indicator:
Combined Score
The indicator generates a combined score by weighing the individual contributions of RSI, VZO, MFI, and CCI. This score ranges from 0 to 100 and is plotted as a line on the chart. Lower values suggest potential oversold conditions, while higher values indicate overbought conditions.
Color Heatmap
The indicator divides the combined score into four distinct sections, each representing one of the underlying momentum oscillators (RSI, VZO, MFI, and CCI). Bullish (greenish) colors indicate upward momentum, while bearish (grayish) colors suggest downward momentum.
Long/Short Signals
When the combined score drops below the oversold threshold (default is 26), a long signal (▲) is displayed on the chart, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
When the combined score exceeds the overbought threshold (default is 74), a short signal (▼) is shown, signaling a potential sell or short opportunity.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
If enabled, the indicator also plots a line representing the combined score for a higher timeframe. This can be used to align lower timeframe trades with the broader trend of a higher timeframe, providing added confirmation.
Signals for long and short entries are also plotted for the higher timeframe when its combined score reaches overbought or oversold levels.
🔶Purpose of Using Multiple Technical Indicators
The combination of RSI, VZO, MFI, and CCI in the Momentum Nexus Heatmap provides a comprehensive approach to analyzing market momentum by leveraging the unique strengths of each indicator. This multi-indicator method minimizes the limitations of using just one tool, resulting in more reliable signals and a clearer understanding of market conditions.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI contributes by measuring the strength and speed of recent price movements. It helps identify overbought or oversold levels, signaling potential trend reversals or corrections. Its simplicity and effectiveness make it one of the most widely used indicators in technical analysis, contributing to momentum assessment in a straightforward manner.
VZO (Volume Zone Oscillator)
VZO adds the critical element of volume to the analysis. By assessing whether price movements are supported by significant volume, VZO distinguishes between price changes that are driven by real market conviction and those that might be short-lived. It helps validate the strength of a trend or alert the trader to potential weakness when price moves are unsupported by volume.
MFI (Money Flow Index)
MFI enhances the analysis by combining price and volume to gauge money flow into and out of an asset. This indicator provides insight into the participation of large players in the market, showing if money is pouring into or exiting the asset. MFI acts as a volume-weighted version of RSI, giving more weight to volume shifts and helping traders understand the sustainability of price trends.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
CCI contributes by measuring how far the price deviates from its statistical average. This helps in identifying extreme conditions where the market might be overextended in either direction. CCI is especially useful for spotting trend reversals or continuations, particularly during market extremes, and for identifying divergence signals.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
