Digit Sum Mark (3/6/9 + Price ~33 ±15)This indicator highlights the price bars where the digit sum of high or low equals 3, 6, or 9, and the closing price is within a specific range (around ₹33 ±15, i.e., mod 100 ∈ ).
✨ Key Features:
Calculates digit sum of high and low values.
Adds +1 if the decimal portion > 0.50 (smart rounding logic).
Only activates when close price mod 100 is between 18 to 48, a zone inspired by the resonance around 33.
Marks the chart with green downward arrows (for high) and red upward arrows (for low) when digit sum = 3, 6, or 9.
📌 Inspired by Gann numerology and price vibration logic – especially the powerful influence of 3, 6, and 9 as noted by Nikola Tesla.
🚨 Best used on intraday or positional charts where price oscillates frequently around round figures.
🧠 Try pairing this with support/resistance tools for better accuracy!
Statistics
ICT - Quit Job in 90 daysThis indicator is designed to help traders identify potential intraday reversals during the New York session, using key liquidity zones and structural shifts. It’s especially suited for 1-minute and 5-minute timeframes.
🔍 Core Concept
The tool focuses on liquidity grabs followed by structure breaks, a concept often used in smart money or institutional trading strategies. It plots liquidity levels during the London session (customizable, default: 2AM–7AM), identifying the high and low of that range. These levels act as key zones where price may reverse once liquidity is taken.
When price sweeps one of these liquidity levels during the New York session, the script looks for a change of structure (ChoCH) to confirm a potential reversal in the opposite direction.
📈 Change of Structure Logic
The CoS logic is based on price action:
For a short setup, the script waits for a series of bullish (up-close) candles into a liquidity level, followed by a bearish candle closing below the last up-close candle's body.
For a long setup, the opposite applies (a series of down-close candles, followed by a bullish close above).
This method helps confirm that the market has reacted to liquidity and is shifting direction.
⚙️ Customization
Liquidity window: You can adjust the time range for plotting liquidity levels to fit your session of interest.
Levels: In addition to intraday liquidity, the script also includes yesterday's high and low, which many traders use as reversal zones.
📌 Usage Notes
Recommended on 1-minute timeframe for optimal precision, though it can also work on 5-minute charts.
Designed to be used standalone—no additional indicators required.
The chart should be kept clean to best visualize the plotted zones and structure shifts.
🔒 Closed-Source
While the script is closed-source, the logic is transparently explained above. The core idea is original and not based on combining existing indicators but on a specific, rule-based approach to intraday structure shifts around liquidity.
I also want to say, that just base on a CoS Alert, you are not supposed to take a trade directly. Altough it may work, but on strong continuation days the code will create false signals.
Advanced Profit/Loss and Risk Calculator for Trading [Alex Ko]
📊 Advanced Profit/Loss and Risk Calculator for Trading (R:R Tool)
This indicator helps traders calculate all key trade parameters:
Entry price, Take-Profit (TP), Stop-Loss (SL)
Liquidation price (based on leverage)
Profit in $ or custom target exit price
Automatic deposit size calculation (if both profit $ and exit price are given)
All data displayed in an on-chart table
Fully supports both Long and Short trades.
Perfect for visual planning and trade preparation.
Premium/Discount with Candle Open stats [Herman]Premium/Discount with Stats
This indicator is designed to help traders identify and analyze premium/discount zones on any timeframe while automatically tracking statistics on price behavior relative to these zones. It is especially valuable for traders looking to structure entries, manage targets, and quantify market reactions to prior session ranges.
What it draws on the chart
✅ Range High and Low Lines
For each selected timeframe period (15min, 30min 1H, 4H, Daily), the indicator plots the high and low of the completed previous period.
These lines are color-coded dynamically based on sweep detection:
If the high was swept (price broke the previous high), the high line is marked as Premium.
If the low was swept, the low line is marked as Discount.
If both were swept or neither, it uses the default color settings.
✅ Midline
An optional midline at the 50% level of the previous period’s high-low range.
Helpful for mean-reversion traders or anyone watching for retests of equilibrium.
✅ Quartile Lines (25%–75%)
Optional additional lines at 25% and 75% of the previous range, helping traders visualize inner range subdivisions.
✅ Open Price Line
Marks the open price of the previous period as a horizontal reference.
✅ Background Fills
The region between low and midline is shaded with the Discount color.
The region between high and midline is shaded with the Premium color.
These optional fills help highlight the premium and discount zones visually.
✅ Current Incomplete Period Lines (optional)
You can choose to display provisional high, low, midline, quartiles, and open for the current forming period.
These update in real-time until the period closes.
Sweep Detection Logic
The indicator automatically tracks if the current period price sweeps above the previous period’s high or below the low.
A "sweep" is simply defined as price exceeding the previous high/low while tracking is active.
The sweep status affects the colors of the premium/discount lines, helping traders see potential liquidity grabs or stop hunts.
What it counts and tracks (Statistics)
The script automatically compiles statistics over time:
✅ Total Touches
Counts how many times the price in a new period touches either the previous period’s high or low.
A “touch” is registered once per side per period.
✅ Midline Returns
Counts how often, after touching the previous high/low, price returns to the previous period’s midline.
Gives you a measure of mean-reversion success.
✅ Open Returns
Similarly, tracks how often price returns to the previous period’s open after touching the previous high/low.
✅ Return Percentages
Displays the percentage of touches that result in a return to midline or open.
These percentages are calculated live on your chart and updated after each period closes.
✅ Stats Table
A customizable on-chart table summarizing all of these stats in real-time.
Helps traders evaluate the effectiveness of range-based trading setups over time.
How it Works (Technical details)
On each new bar, the script checks if a new period (as defined by your timeframe selection) has begun.
When a new period starts, the previous period’s high, low, open, midline, quartiles are recorded and drawn on the chart.
The script then “watches” the current period:
Updates provisional high and low.
Detects sweeps of previous highs/lows.
Tracks if price returns to the previous period’s midline or open after those sweeps.
Increments statistical counters if conditions are met.
Background fills and lines update dynamically based on real-time data.
Intended Use Cases
This indicator is ideal for:
✅ Identifying premium/discount zones for swing or intraday trades.
✅ Spotting liquidity sweeps and possible manipulation zones.
✅ Structuring trades with logical, data-driven target zones (midline, open).
✅ Quantifying the probability of mean-reversion moves after liquidity events.
✅ Developing and backtesting range-based trading models with live stats.
Highly Customizable
Choose any timeframe for defining the premium/discount range.
Toggle visibility of midline, quartiles, open line, current period preview.
Full control over colors, line styles, line widths, and background shading.
Optional real-time statistical table with total counts and return percentages.
ShadowStats vs Official CPI YoY%This chart visualizes and compares the year-over-year (YoY) percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as calculated by the U.S. government versus the alternative methodology used by ShadowStats, which reflects pre-1980 inflation measurement techniques. The red line represents ShadowStats' CPI YoY% estimates, while the blue line shows the official CPI YoY% reported by government sources. This side-by-side view highlights the divergence in reported inflation rates over time, particularly from the 1980s onward, offering a visual representation of how different calculation methods can lead to vastly different interpretations of inflation and purchasing power loss.
Trading CalculatorTrading Calculator Indicator
VIBE CODED WITH GROK 3
The Trading Calculator is a Pine Script indicator designed to perform quick and useful trading-related calculations directly on your chart. It allows traders to execute basic arithmetic operations—such as addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division—as well as calculate percent change and average using either numerical values or trading variables (e.g., close, open, high, low, volume). The indicator displays its results in a table that resembles a calculator interface, making it both functional and visually intuitive. Unlike typical indicators, it does not overlay on the price chart but instead appears in a separate pane.
Inputs
Formula (new | old): First value or variable (e.g., 100, close, close ). Example: close uses the current closing price.
Operator: Mathematical operation (e.g., Plus, Minus, Multiply). Example: Plus adds the two inputs.
Second Input: Second value or variable (e.g., 50, open, close ). Example: open uses the current opening price.
Risk Distribution HistogramStatistical risk visualization and analysis tool for any ticker 📊
The Risk Distribution Histogram visualizes the statistical distribution of different risk metrics for any financial instrument. It converts risk data into histograms with quartile-based color coding, so that traders can understand their risk, tail-risks, exposure patterns and make data-driven decisions based on empirical evidence rather than assumptions.
The indicator supports multiple risk calculation methods, each designed for different aspects of market analysis, from general volatility assessment to tail risk analysis.
Risk Measurement Methods
Standard Deviation
Captures raw daily price volatility by measuring the dispersion of price movements. Ideal for understanding overall market conditions and timing volatility-based strategies.
Use case: Options trading and volatility analysis.
Average True Range (ATR)
Measures true range as a percentage of price, accounting for gaps and limit moves. Valuable for position sizing across different price levels.
Use case: Position sizing and stop-loss placement.
The chart above illustrates how ATR statistical distribution can be used by looking at the ATR % of price distribution. For example, 90% of the movements are below 5%.
Downside Deviation
Only considers negative price movements, making it ideal for checking downside risk and capital protection rather than capturing upside volatility.
Use case: Downside protection strategies and stop losses.
Drawdown Analysis
Tracks peak-to-trough declines, providing insight into maximum loss potential during different market conditions.
Use case: Risk management and capital preservation.
The chart above illustrates tale risk for the asset (TQQQ), showing that it is possible to have drawdowns higher than 20%.
Entropy-Based Risk (EVaR)
Uses information theory to quantify market uncertainty. Higher entropy values indicate more unpredictable price action, valuable for detecting regime changes.
Use case: Advanced risk modeling and tail-risk.
VIX Histogram
Incorporates the market's fear index directly into analysis, showing how current volatility expectations compare to historical patterns. The CAPITALCOM:VIX histogram is independent from the ticker on the chart.
Use case: Volatility trading and market timing.
Visual Features
The histogram uses quartile-based color coding that immediately shows where current risk levels stand relative to historical patterns:
Green (Q1): Low Risk (0-25th percentile)
Yellow (Q2): Medium-Low Risk (25-50th percentile)
Orange (Q3): Medium-High Risk (50-75th percentile)
Red (Q4): High Risk (75-100th percentile)
The data table provides detailed statistics, including:
Count Distribution: Historical observations in each bin
PMF: Percentage probability for each risk level
CDF: Cumulative probability up to each level
Current Risk Marker: Shows your current position in the distribution
Trading Applications
When current risk falls into upper quartiles (Q3 or Q4), it signals conditions are riskier than 50-75% of historical observations. This guides position sizing and portfolio adjustments.
Key applications:
Position sizing based on empirical risk distributions
Monitoring risk regime changes over time
Comparing risk patterns across timeframes
Risk distribution analysis improves trade timing by identifying when market conditions favor specific strategies.
Enter positions during low-risk periods (Q1)
Reduce exposure in high-risk periods (Q4)
Use percentile rankings for dynamic stop-loss placement
Time volatility strategies using distribution patterns
Detect regime shifts through distribution changes
Compare current conditions to historical benchmarks
Identify outlier events in tail regions
Validate quantitative models with empirical data
Configuration Options
Data Collection
Lookback Period: Control amount of historical data analyzed
Date Range Filtering: Focus on specific market periods
Sample Size Validation: Automatic reliability warnings
Histogram Customization
Bin Count: 10-50 bins for different detail levels
Auto/Manual Bin Width: Optimize for your data range
Visual Preferences: Custom colors and font sizes
Implementation Guide
Start with Standard Deviation on daily charts for the most intuitive introduction to distribution-based risk analysis.
Method Selection: Begin with Standard Deviation
Setup: Use daily charts with 20-30 bins
Interpretation: Focus on quartile transitions as signals
Monitoring: Track distribution changes for regime detection
The tool provides comprehensive statistics including mean, standard deviation, quartiles, and current position metrics like Z-score and percentile ranking.
Enjoy, and please let me know your feedback! 😊🥂
Griglia BTC V12 OPTIMIZER PUBBLICA - maxBudgetLong"Test strategy for automatic optimization of BTC Grid Pro parameters. For educational purposes only. Not financial advice."
Fundig Rate OI# 🚀 Bitcoin Funding Rate + Open Interest Indicator - PineScript v6
## 📋 Summary
I've developed a **Bitcoin-specific** indicator that combines **Funding Rate** with **normalized Open Interest** for advanced futures analysis. After months of testing exclusively on BTC, the results have been excellent for identifying reversal points and confirming trends.
---
## 🎯 Why Bitcoin Only?
**Technical reasons:**
- BTC has the highest volume and liquidity in futures
- More consistent and reliable data
- Less manipulation than altcoins
- More stable correlation between FR and OI
**Problem it solves:**
- Traditional indicators only show one metric
- Difficult to correlate FR with BTC market volume/interest
- Lack of normalization makes OI hard to interpret
- Need for a tool specific to the king of cryptos
**Solution:**
✅ **Dynamic Funding Rate** optimized for BTC
✅ **Normalized Open Interest** (3 different methods)
✅ **Binance BTCUSDTPERP data** exclusively
✅ **Alert system** calibrated for BTC volatility
✅ **Real-time info table**
---
## 🔧 Technical Features
### Main Configurations:
- **Fixed symbol:** BTCUSDTPERP (Binance)
- **Lower timeframe:** 1m, 5m, 15m for precise calculations
- **OI normalization methods:**
- Min-Max (0-1 range)
- RSI (momentum-based)
- Z-Score (statistical distribution)
- **Optimized lookback:** 100 bars (ideal for BTC)
- **Alert system:** Thresholds calibrated for BTC
### Data Sources:
🔸 **Premium Index:** BINANCE:BTCUSDT_PREMIUM
🔸 **Open Interest:** BINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP_OI
🔸 **Timeframes:** From 1m to Daily
🔸 **Precision:** 4 decimals for FR
---
## 📊 How to Interpret Bitcoin Signals
### Funding Rate (Histogram):
- **FR > 0.1%:** BTC longs paying high → Possible short
- **FR < -0.1%:** BTC shorts paying high → Possible long
- **FR extreme (>0.5%):** High probability of BTC reversal
- **FR neutral (±0.05%):** Balanced market
### Open Interest (Blue line):
- **OI > 0.8 + high FR:** Many BTC longs trapped → Bearish
- **OI < 0.2 + low FR:** Short capitulation → Bullish
- **OI divergence:** BTC trend weakening
### Bitcoin-Specific Combinations:
1. **FR > 0.3% + OI > 0.85:** Imminent bearish reversal
2. **FR < -0.2% + OI < 0.15:** Probable bullish reversal
3. **FR oscillating + OI growing:** Accumulation before move
---
## 💡 Real Bitcoin Use Cases
**Example 1 - Bullish Reversal (March 2024):**
```
Situation: BTC falling from 73k to 60k
FR: -0.18% (shorts paying high premium)
OI: 0.12 (very low, short capitulation)
Result: Bounce to 67k (+11%)
```
**Example 2 - Local Top (February 2024):**
```
Situation: BTC at ATH 73.8k
FR: +0.42% (desperate longs paying)
OI: 0.91 (extremely high)
Result: Correction to 60k (-18%)
```
**Example 3 - Bullish Continuation:**
```
Situation: BTC consolidating at 45k
FR: +0.05% (neutral)
OI: 0.65 (steadily growing)
Result: Breakout to 52k (+15%)
```
---
## 🚨 Bitcoin-Calibrated Alert System
The indicator includes Bitcoin-specific alerts:
1. **BTC FR Spike Up:** FR > 0.15% (adjusted to BTC volatility)
2. **BTC FR Spike Down:** FR < -0.15%
3. **BTC OI Extreme High:** Normalized OI > 0.88
4. **BTC OI Extreme Low:** Normalized OI < 0.12
**Recommended BTC configuration:**
- **Scalping:** 5m and 15m
- **Swing Trading:** 1h and 4h
- **Position Trading:** Daily
- Always combine with BTC support/resistance
---
## 📈 Bitcoin Backtesting Results
**Testing period:** 12 months (July 2023 - July 2024)
**Exclusive pair:** BTCUSDTPERP
**Timeframes:** 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D
**BTC-specific results:**
- **Reversal accuracy:** ~78% (better than altcoins)
- **False signals:** Reduced 45% vs FR alone
- **Best timeframe:** 1h for swing, 15m for scalping
- **Worst period:** Sideways market (Nov-Dec 2023)
- **Best period:** Strong trends (Oct 2023, Mar 2024)
**Key statistics:**
- **23 major reversal signals:** 18 successful
- **Average gain:** +8.3% per successful trade
- **Average loss:** -2.1% per failed trade
- **Risk/reward ratio:** 1:3.9
OI BTC Profile# 🚀 Bitcoin Open Interest Profile
## 📊 **What is this indicator?**
The **Bitcoin Open Interest Profile** is an advanced indicator developed in Pine Script v6 that visualizes the distribution of Bitcoin's Open Interest (OI) across different price levels, similar to a Volume Profile but using Open Interest data.
## 🎯 **Key Features**
### **Open Interest Analysis**
- **Dual Mode**: Visualizes both absolute OI value and net changes
- **Data Source**: Uses Open Interest data from BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P-OI
- **Configurable Lookback**: Up to 1000 historical bars for analysis
### **Professional Visualization**
- **Horizontal Profile**: Horizontal bars showing OI concentration by price level
- **Point of Control (POC)**: Automatically identifies the level with highest OI concentration
- **Rolling POC**: Option to display dynamic POC in real-time
### **Advanced Customization**
- **3 Color Schemes**:
- **OI Gradient**: Colors by Open Interest intensity
- **Bull/Bear**: Green for increases, red for decreases
- **Custom**: Customizable color
- **Adjustable Histogram**: Width, position, and orientation configurable
- **Up to 500 levels**: Ultra-high resolution for detailed analysis
## 🔧 **Configurable Parameters**
### **Basic Settings**
- `Lookback`: Number of bars to analyze (1-1000)
- `Row Size`: Profile resolution (1-500 levels)
- `Rolling POC`: Show dynamic POC
- `OI Calculation`: Absolute value or net change
### **Style Settings**
- `Width`: Histogram width (% of range)
- `Bar Width`: Bar thickness
- `Flip Histogram`: Invert orientation
- `Color Schemes`: Multiple coloring options
## 📈 **Trading Applications**
### **Support and Resistance Analysis**
- Identifies levels with highest concentration of open positions
- POC acts as a magnetic price attractor
### **Liquidity Zone Detection**
- High OI levels may indicate potential liquidation zones
- Useful for identifying stop-loss clusters
### **Sentiment Analysis**
- OI changes reveal accumulation or distribution patterns
- Difference between absolute value and net changes provides context
### **Entry Timing**
- Rolling POC can act as dynamic support/resistance
- Confluence with traditional technical analysis
## 💡 **Competitive Advantages**
### **Optimized Performance**
- Maximum 500 simultaneous lines for smooth operation
- Efficient calculations with native arrays
- Compatible with multiple timeframes
### **Total Flexibility**
- Adaptable to different trading strategies
- Granular configuration for each trader
- Overlay that doesn't interfere with price analysis
### **Institutional Data**
- Access to market-moving metrics
- Information not available in traditional indicators
- Informational advantage over retail traders
## 🚨 **Recommended Use Cases**
### **Scalping and Day Trading**
- Use high resolution (300-500 rows) with short lookback (50-100 bars)
- Rolling POC as intraday reference
### **Swing Trading**
- Medium resolution (100-200 rows) with extended lookback (200-500 bars)
- Focus on high OI levels for targets
### **Positional Analysis**
- Maximum lookback (500-1000 bars) for historical context
- Identification of accumulation/distribution zones
## 🎨 **Visual Examples**
The indicator generates a horizontal profile showing:
- **Longer bars**: Higher Open Interest concentration
- **POC (dotted line)**: Level of maximum interest
- **Color gradient**: OI intensity or bull/bear sentiment
## 🔥 **Why is it unique?**
1. **First of its kind**: Combines volume analysis with derivatives metrics
2. **Institutional precision**: Real-time Open Interest data
3. **Extreme versatility**: Adaptable to any trading style
4. **Optimized performance**: Efficient code for professional use
## 📞 **Feedback and Improvements**
Would you like to see any additional functionality? Any specific parameters for your strategy?
---
*Developed by an experienced trader for experienced traders. Compatible with Pine Script v6 and optimized for Bitcoin, but adaptable to other instruments with available OI data.*
Noon Curve Box with Quadrants & 1st FVGOverview 📜
The Noon Curve Box with Quadrants & 1st FVG is a comprehensive analysis tool built for intraday traders. It automates the process of identifying and visualizing key time-based concepts popularized by ICT (Inner Circle Trader) and other price action methodologies.
While the concepts themselves are public, this script's value lies in its unique automation and clear presentation. It saves you the manual effort of marking session ranges, quadrants, and searching for critical imbalances every single day, allowing you to focus purely on execution.
Underlying Concepts Explained 🧠
This script is built on a few core price action principles:
Time-Based Profiling: The idea that different times of the trading day have different characteristics. The script visually separates the main session into 2-hour quadrants to help you track momentum shifts.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): An FVG is a three-bar pattern that indicates a price imbalance or inefficiency. It's a foundational concept in many institutional trading methods.
A Bullish FVG (or BISI) forms when there is a gap between the first candle's high and the third candle's low:
Candle 1 HighCandle 3 High
"Silver Bullet" Time Windows: This indicator specifically targets the first FVG formed during the high-impact AM session (9:30-10:00 NY Time) and a corresponding PM session (13:30-14:00 NY Time), as these are often considered high-probability reversal or continuation zones.
Key Features & How It Works ✨
Automated Session Box: The script automatically draws a box around the high and low of your specified trading session (default is 8:00 AM - 4:00 PM New York time). This provides an instant view of the day's operating range.
Dynamic Quadrant Analysis: The session is automatically divided into 2-hour quadrants. Each box is colored based on its internal momentum (close vs. open), providing an at-a-glance summary of buying or selling pressure throughout the day.
Precision FVG Detection:
The script's core logic scans for the very first FVG within the AM (9:30-10:00) and PM (13:30-14:00) windows.
It identifies the exact 3-bar pattern and immediately draws a box marking the imbalance zone. Once the first FVG is found for a window, the script stops searching, ensuring your chart remains clean and focused on the most significant, initial imbalance.
The FVG boxes extend to the current bar, keeping these key levels of interest visible all day.
How to Use This Indicator 🎯
Context: Use the Session Box high and low as your primary intraday support and resistance levels.
Momentum: Use the Quadrant Box colors to gauge the flow of the market. A switch from red to green, for example, can signal a potential shift in control.
High-Probability Setups: The AM and PM First FVG boxes are your key points of interest. These imbalances often act as price magnets. Look for price to return to these zones to find potential entries, as they may act as support (bullish FVG) or resistance (bearish FVG).
Settings and Customization ⚙️
You have full control over all visual elements.
Session Control: Adjust the session time and timezone.
Visual Toggles: Enable or disable the Session Box, Quadrants, and AM/PM FVGs.
Color Customization: Match all elements to your personal chart theme.
History: Limit the number of historical FVG boxes displayed to keep your chart clean.
Range & Consolidation DetectorHello friends,
I’m excited to share my latest discovery with you — the Range & Consolidation Detector. This script is built on a unique methodology I’m truly proud of. It uses no traditional indicators like ADX, RSI, or ATR — just pure statistics and mathematics under the hood. No parameters to tweak, no settings to guess — it just works, right out of the box.
🛠️ How It Works
At its core is a proprietary formula that reliably identifies ranging conditions across all tickers and timeframes. It’s simple, robust, and consistent — exactly what traders need to spot sideways markets without noise or lag.
🔥 Key Features
Pine Script v6 – Uses the latest version for maximum performance
Zero configuration – No inputs to adjust, no hidden settings — the algorithm works automatically
Optimized performance – Runs efficiently for smooth charting
Universal compatibility – Works flawlessly on any asset and timeframe, in every market condition — from euphoric peaks to choppy ranges
📸 Visual Examples
If you’d like access or have any questions, feel free to reach out to me directly via DM.
👋 Good luck and happy trading!
Alpha - Combined BreakoutThis Pine Script indicator, "Alpha - Combined Breakout," is a combination between Smart Money Breakout Signals and UT Bot Alert, The UT Bot Alert indicator was initially developer by Yo_adriiiiaan
The idea of original code belongs HPotter.
This Indicator helps you identify potential trading opportunities by combining two distinct strategies: Smart Money Breakout and a modified UT Bot (likely a variation of the Ultimate Trend Bot). It provides visual signals, draws lines for potential take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels, and includes a dashboard to track performance metrics.
Tutorial:
Understanding and Using the "Alpha - Combined Breakout" Indicator
This indicator is designed for traders looking for confirmation of market direction and potential entry/exit points by blending structural analysis with a trend-following oscillator.
How it Works (General Concept)
The indicator combines two main components:
Smart Money Breakout: This part identifies significant breaks in market structure, which "smart money" traders often use to gauge shifts in supply and demand. It looks for higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows and flags when these structural points are broken.
UT Bot: This is a trend-following component that generates buy and sell signals based on price action relative to an Average True Range (ATR) based trailing stop.
You can choose to use these signals independently or combined to generate trading alerts and visual cues on your chart. The dashboard provides a quick overview of how well the signals are performing based on your chosen settings and display mode.
Parameters and What They Do
Let's break down each input parameter:
1. Smart Money Inputs
These settings control how the indicator identifies market structure and breakouts.
swingSize (Market Structure Time-Horizon):
What it does: This integer value defines the number of candles used to identify significant "swing" (pivot) points—highs and lows.
Effect: A larger swingSize creates a smoother market structure, focusing on longer-term trends. This means signals might appear less frequently and with some delay but could be more reliable for higher timeframes or broader market movements. A smaller swingSize will pick up more minor market structure changes, leading to more frequent but potentially noisier signals, suitable for lower timeframes or scalping.
Analogy: Think of it like a zoom level on your market structure map. Higher values zoom out, showing only major mountain ranges. Lower values zoom in, showing every hill and bump.
bosConfType (BOS Confirmation Type):
What it does: This string input determines how a Break of Structure (BOS) is confirmed. You have two options:
'Candle Close': A breakout is confirmed only if a candle's closing price surpasses the previous swing high (for bullish) or swing low (for bearish).
'Wicks': A breakout is confirmed if any part of the candle (including its wick) surpasses the previous swing high or low.
Effect: 'Candle Close' provides stronger, more conservative confirmation, as it implies sustained price movement beyond the structure. 'Wicks' provides earlier, more aggressive signals, as it captures momentary breaches of the structure.
Analogy: Imagine a wall. 'Candle Close' means the whole person must get over the wall. 'Wicks' means even a finger touching over the top counts as a breach.
choch (Show CHoCH):
What it does: A boolean (true/false) input to enable or disable the display of "Change of Character" (CHoCH) labels. CHoCH indicates the first structural break against the current dominant trend.
Effect: When true, it helps identify early signs of a potential trend reversal, as it marks where the market's "character" (its tendency to make higher highs/lows or lower lows/highs) first changes.
BULL (Bullish Color) & BEAR (Bearish Color):
What they do: These color inputs allow you to customize the visual appearance of bullish and bearish signals and lines drawn by the Smart Money component.
Effect: Purely cosmetic, helps with visual identification on the chart.
sm_tp_sl_multiplier (SM TP/SL Multiplier (ATR)):
What it does: A float value that acts as a multiplier for the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels specifically when you're in "Smart Money Only" mode. It uses the ATR calculated by the UT Bot's nLoss_ut as its base.
Effect: A higher multiplier creates wider TP/SL levels, potentially leading to fewer trades but larger wins/losses. A lower multiplier creates tighter TP/SL levels, potentially leading to more frequent but smaller wins/losses.
2. UT Bot Alerts Inputs
These parameters control the behavior and sensitivity of the UT Bot component.
a_ut (UT Key Value (Sensitivity)):
What it does: This integer value adjusts the sensitivity of the UT Bot.
Effect: A higher value makes the UT Bot less sensitive to price fluctuations, resulting in fewer and potentially more reliable signals. A lower value makes it more sensitive, generating more signals, which can include more false signals.
Analogy: Like a noise filter. Higher values filter out more noise, keeping only strong signals.
c_ut (UT ATR Period):
What it does: This integer sets the look-back period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation used by the UT Bot. ATR measures market volatility.
Effect: This period directly influences the calculation of the nLoss_ut (which is a_ut * xATR_ut), thus defining the distance of the trailing stop loss and take profit levels. A longer period makes the ATR smoother and less reactive to sudden price spikes. A shorter period makes it more responsive.
h_ut (UT Signals from Heikin Ashi Candles):
What it does: A boolean (true/false) input to determine if the UT Bot calculations should use standard candlestick data or Heikin Ashi candlestick data.
Effect: Heikin Ashi candles smooth out price action, often making trends clearer and reducing noise. Using them for UT Bot signals can lead to smoother, potentially delayed signals that stay with a trend longer. Standard candles are more reactive to raw price changes.
3. Line Drawing Control Buttons
These crucial boolean inputs determine which type of signals will trigger the drawing of TP/SL/Entry lines and flags on your chart. They act as a priority system.
drawLinesUtOnly (Draw Lines: UT Only):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when the UT Bot generates a buy/sell signal.
Effect: Isolates UT Bot signals for visual analysis.
drawLinesSmartMoneyOnly (Draw Lines: Smart Money Only):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when the Smart Money Breakout logic generates a bullish/bearish breakout.
Effect: Overrides drawLinesUtOnly if both are checked. Isolates Smart Money signals.
drawLinesCombined (Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when both a UT Bot signal AND a Smart Money Breakout signal occur on the same bar.
Effect: Overrides both drawLinesUtOnly and drawLinesSmartMoneyOnly if checked. Provides the strictest entry criteria for line drawing, looking for strong confluence.
Dashboard Metrics Explained
The dashboard provides performance statistics based on the lines drawing control button selected. For example, if "Draw Lines: UT Only" is active, the dashboard will show stats only for UT Bot signals.
Total Signals: The total number of buy or sell signals generated by the selected drawing mode.
TP1 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 1 (TP1) before hitting the Stop Loss.
TP2 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 2 (TP2) before hitting the Stop Loss.
TP3 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 3 (TP3) before hitting the Stop Loss. (Note: TP1, TP2, TP3 are in order of distance from entry, with TP3 being furthest.)
SL before any TP rate: This crucial metric shows the number of times the Stop Loss was hit / the percentage of total signals where the stop loss was triggered before any of the three Take Profit levels were reached. This gives you a clear picture of how often a trade resulted in a loss without ever moving into profit target territory.
Short Tutorial: How to Use the Indicator
Add to Chart: Open your TradingView chart, go to "Indicators," search for "Alpha - Combined Breakout," and add it to your chart.
Access Settings: Once added, click the gear icon next to the indicator name on your chart to open its settings.
Choose Your Signal Mode:
For UT Bot only: Uncheck "Draw Lines: Smart Money Only" and "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". Ensure "Draw Lines: UT Only" is checked.
For Smart Money only: Uncheck "Draw Lines: UT Only" and "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". Ensure "Draw Lines: Smart Money Only" is checked.
For Combined Signals: Check "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". This will override the other two.
Adjust Parameters:
Start with default settings. Observe how the signals appear on your chosen asset and timeframe.
Refine Smart Money: If you see too many "noisy" market structure breaks, increase swingSize. If you want earlier breakouts, try "Wicks" for bosConfType.
Refine UT Bot: Adjust a_ut (Sensitivity) to get more or fewer UT Bot signals. Change c_ut (ATR Period) if you want larger or smaller TP/SL distances. Experiment with h_ut to see if Heikin Ashi smoothing suits your trading style.
Adjust TP/SL Multiplier: If using "Smart Money Only" mode, fine-tune sm_tp_sl_multiplier to set appropriate risk/reward levels.
Interpret Signals & Lines:
Buy/Sell Flags: These indicate the presence of a signal based on your selected drawing mode.
Entry Line (Blue Solid): This is where the signal was generated (usually the close price of the signal candle).
SL Line (Red/Green Solid): Your calculated stop loss level.
TP Lines (Dashed): Your three calculated take profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, where TP3 is the furthest target).
Smart Money Lines (BOS/CHoCH): These lines indicate horizontal levels where market structure breaks occurred. CHoCH labels might appear at the first structural break against the prior trend.
Monitor Dashboard: Pay attention to the dashboard in the top right corner. This dynamically updates to show the win rates for each TP and, crucially, the "SL before any TP rate." Use these statistics to evaluate the effectiveness of the indicator's signals under your current settings and chosen mode.
*
Set Alerts (Optional): You can set up alerts for any of the specific signals (UT Bot Long/Short, Smart Money Bullish/Bearish, or the "Line Draw" combined signals) to notify you when they occur, even if you're not actively watching the chart.
By following this tutorial, you'll be able to effectively use and customize the "Alpha - Combined Breakout" indicator to suit your trading strategy.
Floor and Roof Indicator with SignalsFloor and Roof Indicator with Trading Signals
A comprehensive support and resistance indicator that identifies premium and discount zones with automated signal generation.
Key Features:
Dynamic Support/Resistance Zones: Calculates floor (support) and roof (resistance) levels using price action and volatility
Premium/Discount Zone Identification: Highlights areas where price may find resistance or support
Customizable Signal Frequency: Control how often signals are displayed (every Nth occurrence)
Visual Signal Table: Optional table showing the last 5 long and short signal prices
Multiple Timeframe Compatibility: Works across all timeframes
Technical Details:
Uses ATR-based calculations for dynamic zone width adjustment
Combines Bollinger Bands with highest/lowest price analysis
Smoothing options for cleaner signal generation
Fully customizable colors and display options
How to Use:
Floor Zones (Blue): Potential support areas where long positions may be considered
Roof Zones (Pink): Potential resistance areas where short positions may be considered
Signal Crosses: Visual markers when price interacts with key levels
Signal Table: Track recent signal prices for analysis
Settings:
Length: Period for calculations (default: 200)
Smooth: Smoothing factor for cleaner signals
Zone Width: Adjust the thickness of support/resistance zones
Signal Frequency: Control signal display frequency
Visual Options: Customize colors and table position
Alerts Available:
Long signal alerts when price touches discount zones
Short signal alerts when price reaches premium zones
Educational Purpose: This indicator is designed to help traders identify potential support and resistance areas. Always combine with proper risk management and additional analysis.
This description focuses on the technical aspects and educational value while avoiding any language that could be interpreted as financial advice or guaranteed profits.
Jumping watermark# Jumping watermark
## Function description
- Dynamic watermark: Mainly used to add dynamic watermarks to prevent theft and transfer when recording videos.
- Static watermark: Sharing opinions can easily include information such as trading pairs, cycles, current time, and individual signatures.
### Static watermark:
Display the watermark related to the current trading pair in the center of the chart.
- Configuration items:
- You can choose to configure the display content: current trading pair code and name, cycle, date, time, and individual signature content
### Dynamic watermark
Display the configured watermark content in a dynamic random position.
- Configuration items:
- Turn on or off the display of watermark jumping
- Modify the display text content and style by yourself
----- 中文简介-----
# 跳动水印
## 功能描述
- 动态水印： 主要可用于视频录制时添加动态水印防盗、防搬运。
- 静态水印：观点分享是可方便的带上交易对、周期、当前时间、个签等信息。
### 静态水印：
在图表中心位置显示当前交易对相关信息水印。
- 配置项：
- 可选择配置显示内容：当前交易对代码及名称、周期、日期、时间、个签内容
### 动态水印
动态随机位置显示配置水印内容。
- 配置项：
- 开启或关闭显示水印跳动
- 自行修改配置显示文字内容和样式
Kelly Optimal Leverage IndicatorThe Kelly Optimal Leverage Indicator mathematically applies Kelly Criterion to determine optimal position sizing based on market conditions.
This indicator helps traders answer the critical question: "How much capital should I allocate to this trade?"
Note that "optimal position sizing" does not equal the position sizing that you should have. The Optima position sizing given by the indicator is based on historical data and cannot predict a crash, in which case, high leverage could be devastating.
Originally developed for gambling scenarios with known probabilities, the Kelly formula has been adapted here for financial markets to dynamically calculate the optimal leverage ratio that maximizes long-term capital growth while managing risk.
Key Features
Kelly Position Sizing: Uses historical returns and volatility to calculate mathematically optimal position sizes
Multiple Risk Profiles: Displays Full Kelly (aggressive), 3/4 Kelly (moderate), 1/2 Kelly (conservative), and 1/4 Kelly (very conservative) leverage levels
Volatility Adjustment: Automatically recommends appropriate Kelly fraction based on current market volatility
Return Smoothing: Option to use log returns and smoothed calculations for more stable signals
Comprehensive Table: Displays key metrics including annualized return, volatility, and recommended exposure levels
How to Use
Interpret the Lines: Each colored line represents a different Kelly fraction (risk tolerance level). When above zero, positive exposure is suggested; when below zero, reduce exposure. Note that this is based on historical returns. I personally like to increase my exposure during market downturns, but this is hard to illustrate in the indicator.
Monitor the Table: The information panel provides precise leverage recommendations and exposure guidance based on current market conditions.
Follow Recommended Position: Use the "Recommended Position" guidance in the table to determine appropriate exposure level.
Select Your Risk Profile: Conservative traders should follow the Half Kelly or Quarter Kelly lines, while more aggressive traders might consider the Three-Quarter or Full Kelly lines.
Adjust with Volatility: During high volatility periods, consider using more conservative Kelly fractions as recommended by the indicator.
Mathematical Foundation
The indicator calculates the optimal leverage (f*) using the formula:
f* = μ/σ²
Where:
μ is the annualized expected return
σ² is the annualized variance of returns
This approach balances potential gains against risk of ruin, offering a scientific framework for position sizing that maximizes long-term growth rate.
Notes
The Full Kelly is theoretically optimal for maximizing long-term growth but can experience significant drawdowns. You should almost never use full kelly.
Most practitioners use fractional Kelly strategies (1/2 or 1/4 Kelly) to reduce volatility while capturing most of the growth benefits
This indicator works best on daily timeframes but can be applied to any timeframe
Negative Kelly values suggest reducing or eliminating market exposure
The indicator should be used as part of a complete trading system, not in isolation
Enjoy the indicator! :)
P.S. If you are really geeky about the Kelly Criterion, I recommend the book The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion by Edward O. Thorp and others.
Crypto Risk-Weighted Allocation SuiteCrypto Risk-Weighted Allocation Suite
This indicator is designed to help users explore dynamic portfolio allocation frameworks for the crypto market. It calculates risk-adjusted allocation weights across major crypto sectors and cash based on multi-factor momentum and volatility signals. Best viewed on INDEX:BTCUSD 1D chart. Other charts and timeframes may give mixed signals and incoherent allocations.
🎯 How It Works
This model systematically evaluates the relative strength of:
BTC Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D)
Represents Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market. Rising dominance typically indicates defensive market phases or BTC-led trends.
ETH/BTC Ratio (BINANCE:ETHBTC)
Gauges Ethereum’s relative performance versus Bitcoin. This provides insight into whether ETH is leading risk appetite.
SOL/BTC Ratio (BINANCE:SOLBTC)
Measures Solana’s performance relative to Bitcoin, capturing mid-cap layer-1 strength.
Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3ES)
Represents Altcoins as a broad category, reflecting appetite for higher-risk assets.
Each of these series is:
✅ Converted to a momentum slope over a configurable lookback period.
✅ Standardized into Z-scores to normalize changes relative to recent behavior.
✅ Smoothed optionally using a Hull Moving Average for cleaner signals.
✅ Divided by ATR-based volatility to create a risk-weighted score.
✅ Scaled to proportionally allocate exposure, applying user-configured minimum and maximum constraints.
🪙 Dynamic Allocation Logic
All signals are normalized to sum to 100% if fully confident.
An overall confidence factor (based on total signal strength) scales the allocation up or down.
Any residual is allocated to cash (unallocated capital) for conservative exposure.
The script automatically avoids “all-in” bias and prevents negative allocations.
📊 Outputs
The indicator displays:
Market Phase Detection (which asset class is currently leading)
Risk Mode (Risk On, Neutral, Risk Off)
Dynamic Allocations for BTC, ETH, SOL, Alts, and Cash
Optional momentum plots for transparency
🧠 Why This Is Unique
Unlike simple dominance indicators or crossovers, this model:
Integrates multiple cross-asset signals (BTC, ETH, SOL, Alts)
Adjusts exposure proportionally to signal strength
Normalizes by volatility, dynamically scaling risk
Includes configurable constraints to reflect your own risk tolerance
Provides a cash fallback allocation when conviction is low
Is entirely non-repainting and based on daily closing data
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not financial advice and should not be relied upon to make investment decisions.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Always consult a qualified financial advisor before acting on any information derived from this tool.
🛠 Recommended Use
As a framework to visualize relative momentum and risk-adjusted allocations
For research and backtesting ideas on portfolio allocation across crypto sectors
To help build your own risk management process
This script is not a turnkey strategy and should be customized to fit your goals.
✅ Enjoy exploring dynamic crypto allocations responsibly!
Logistic Regression ICT FVG🚀 OVERVIEW
Welcome to the Logistic Regression Fair Value Gap (FVG) System — a next-gen trading tool that blends precision gap detection with machine learning intelligence.
Unlike traditional FVG indicators, this one evolves with each bar of price action, scoring and filtering gaps based on real market behavior.
🔧 CORE FEATURES
✨ Smart Gap Detection
Automatically identifies bullish and bearish Fair Value Gaps using volatility-aware candle logic.
📊 Probability-Based Filtering
Uses logistic regression to assign each gap a confidence score (0 to 1), showing only high-probability setups.
🔁 Real-Time Retest Tracking
Continuously watches how price interacts with each gap to determine if it deserves respect.
📈 Multi-Factor Assessment
Evaluates RSI, MACD, and body size at gap formation to build a full context snapshot.
🧠 Self-Learning Engine
The logistic regression model updates on each bar using gradient descent, refining its predictions over time.
📢 Built-In Alerts
Get instant alerts when a gap forms, gets retested, or breaks.
🎨 Custom Display Options
Control the color of bullish/bearish zones, and toggle on/off probability labels for cleaner charts.
🚩 WHAT MAKES IT DIFFERENT
This isn’t just another box-drawing indicator.
While others mark every imbalance, this system thinks before it draws — using statistical modeling to filter out noise and prioritize high-impact zones.
By learning from how price behaves around gaps (not just how they form), it helps you trade only what matters — not what clutters.
⚙️ HOW IT WORKS
1️⃣ Detection
FVGs are identified using ATR-based thresholds and sharp wick imbalances.
2️⃣ Behavior Monitoring
Every gap is tracked — and if respected enough times, it becomes part of the elite training set.
3️⃣ Context Capture
Each new FVG logs RSI, MACD, and body size to provide a feature-rich context for prediction.
4️⃣ Prediction (Logistic Regression)
The model predicts how likely the gap is to be respected and assigns it a probability score.
5️⃣ Classification & Alerts
Gaps above the threshold are plotted with score labels, and alerts trigger for entry/respect/break.
⚙️ CONFIGURATION PANEL
🔧 System Inputs
• Max Retests – How many times a gap must be respected to train the model
• Prediction Threshold – Minimum score to show a gap on the chart
• Learning Rate – Controls how fast the model adapts (default: 0.009)
• Max FVG Lifetime – Expiration duration for unused gaps
• Show Historic Gaps – Show/hide expired or invalidated gaps
🎨 Visual Options
• Bullish/Bearish Colors – Set gap colors to fit your chart style
• Confidence Labels – Show probability scores next to FVGs
• Alert Toggles – Enable alerts for:
– New FVG detected
– FVG respected (entry)
– FVG invalidated (break)
💡 WHY LOGISTIC REGRESSION?
Traditional FVG tools rely on candle shapes.
This system relies on probability — by training on RSI, MACD, and price behavior, it predicts whether a gap will act as a true liquidity zone.
Logistic regression lets the system continuously adapt using new data, making it more accurate the longer it runs.
That means smarter signals, fewer false positives, and a clearer view of where real opportunities lie.
EVaR Indicator and Position SizingThe Problem:
Financial markets consistently show "fat-tailed" distributions where extreme events occur with higher frequency than predicted by normal distributions (Gaussian or even log-normal). These fat tails manifest in sudden price crashes, volatility spikes, and black swan events that traditional risk measures like volatility can underestimate. Standard deviation and conventional VaR calculations assume normally distributed returns, leaving traders vulnerable to severe drawdowns during market stress.
Cryptocurrencies and volatile instruments display particularly pronounced fat-tailed behavior, with extreme moves occurring 5-10 times more frequently than normal distribution models would predict. This reality demands a more sophisticated approach to risk measurement and position sizing.
The Solution: Entropic Value at Risk (EVAR)
EVaR addresses these limitations by incorporating principles from statistical mechanics and information theory through Tsallis entropy. This advanced approach captures the non-linear dependencies and power-law distributions characteristic of real financial markets.
Entropy is more adaptive than standard deviations and volatility measures.
I was inspired to create this indicator after reading the paper " The End of Mean-Variance? Tsallis Entropy Revolutionises Portfolio Optimisation in Cryptocurrencies " by by Sana Gaied Chortane and Kamel Naoui.
Key advantages of EVAR over traditional risk measures:
Superior tail risk capture: More accurately quantifies the probability of extreme market moves
Adaptability to market regimes: Self-calibrates to changing volatility environments
Non-parametric flexibility: Makes less assumptions about the underlying return distribution
Forward-looking risk assessment: Better anticipates potential market changes (just look at the charts :)
Mathematically, EVAR is defined as:
EVAR_α(X) = inf_{z>0} {z * log(1/α * M_X(1/z))}
Where the moment-generating function is calculated using q-exponentials rather than conventional exponentials, allowing precise modeling of fat-tailed behavior.
Technical Implementation
This indicator implements EVAR through a q-exponential approach from Tsallis statistics:
Returns Calculation: Price returns are calculated over the lookback period
Moment Generating Function: Approximated using q-exponentials to account for fat tails
EVAR Computation: Derived from the MGF and confidence parameter
Normalization: Scaled to for intuitive visualization
Position Sizing: Inversely modulated based on normalized EVAR
The q-parameter controls tail sensitivity—higher values (1.5-2.0) increase the weighting of extreme events in the calculation, making the model more conservative during potentially turbulent conditions.
Indicator Components
1. EVAR Risk Visualization
Dynamic EVAR Plot: Color-coded from red to green normalized risk measurement (0-1)
Risk Thresholds: Reference lines at 0.3, 0.5, and 0.7 delineating risk zones
2. Position Sizing Matrix
Risk Assessment: Current risk level and raw EVAR value
Position Recommendations: Percentage allocation, dollar value, and quantity
Stop Parameters: Mathematically derived stop price with percentage distance
Drawdown Projection: Maximum theoretical loss if stop is triggered
Interpretation and Application
The normalized EVAR reading provides a probabilistic risk assessment:
< 0.3: Low risk environment with minimal tail concerns
0.3-0.5: Moderate risk with standard tail behavior
0.5-0.7: Elevated risk with increased probability of significant moves
> 0.7: High risk environment with substantial tail risk present
Position sizing is automatically calculated using an inverse relationship to EVAR, contracting during high-risk periods and expanding during low-risk conditions. This is a counter-cyclical approach that ensures consistent risk exposure across varying market regimes, especially when the market is hyped or overheated.
Parameter Optimization
For optimal risk assessment across market conditions:
Lookback Period: Determines the historical window for risk calculation
Q Parameter: Controls tail sensitivity (higher values increase conservatism)
Confidence Level: Sets the statistical threshold for risk assessment
For cryptocurrencies and highly volatile instruments, a q-parameter between 1.5-2.0 typically provides the most accurate risk assessment because it helps capturing the fat-tailed behavior characteristic of these markets. You can also increase the q-parameter for more conservative approaches.
Practical Applications
Adaptive Risk Management: Quantify and respond to changing tail risk conditions
Volatility-Normalized Positioning: Maintain consistent exposure across market regimes
Black Swan Detection: Early identification of potential extreme market conditions
Portfolio Construction: Apply consistent risk-based sizing across diverse instruments
This indicator is my own approach to entropy-based risk measures as an alterative to volatility and standard deviations and it helps with fat-tailed markets.
Enjoy!
Hour-Stats v2cHour-Stats Indicator
The Hour-Stats indicator is a powerful, data-driven tool designed specifically for NQ futures traders who rely on statistically significant hourly price action probabilities. While traditional indicators typically focus only on the likelihood of prices returning to the opening price, Hour-Stats distinguishes itself by offering detailed statistical analysis across multiple critical price points.
Leveraging over 15 years of historical data, this indicator provides traders with robust probabilities for three unique hourly metrics:
Return to Hourly Open – The percentage likelihood of price revisiting the hourly open after breaking the high or low.
Return to Previous Hour Midpoint (PHM) – Offers clear probabilities of price returning to the midpoint (50%) of the previous hour’s range, a valuable metric for gauging reversals and continuations.
Opposite Extreme Targeting – Calculates the statistical likelihood of price moving to the opposite end (high or low) of the previous hour’s candle range, offering actionable insights for range trading strategies.
Additionally, Hour-Stats presents the historical probabilities of hourly highs and lows forming within three distinct 20-minute segments of each trading hour. This breakdown gives traders a precise understanding of when peaks or troughs are most likely, enhancing entry and exit timing.
The indicator’s settings are highly customizable, allowing traders to personalize visuals such as vertical and horizontal line colors, line styles (dotted, dashed, solid), and line thickness. Further customization includes label sizing, label positioning, and the ability to adjust visual dimming of swept price levels, providing clarity and ease of use during live market conditions.
Inspired by NQ Stats' concept (details available at nqstats, Hour-Stats expands significantly upon the original idea, delivering a uniquely comprehensive suite of hourly probability analytics for informed decision-making in futures trading.
Disclaimer: Futures trading involves significant risk. Traders should conduct their own due diligence and are responsible for their trading outcomes. Historical probabilities do not guarantee future results.
CM EMA Crossover Price Probabilities customCM EMA Crossover Price Probabilities
This indicator combines Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossovers with swing high/low detection to calculate and display the historical probability of price movements exceeding user-defined percentage thresholds. Unlike standard EMA crossover indicators, it quantifies the likelihood of specific price changes following bullish (fast EMA crossing above slow EMA) or bearish (fast EMA crossing below slow EMA) crossovers, providing traders with data-driven insights into potential price behavior.
How It Works:EMA Crossovers: Detects when the fast EMA crosses above (bullish) or below (bearish) the slow EMA, marking these events with chart labels.
Price Change Measurement: Measures the percentage price change from the crossover point to the next swing high (for bullish crossovers) or swing low (for bearish crossovers), using pivot point detection.
Probability Calculation: Analyses historical crossover data to compute the probability of price changes meeting or exceeding customizable percentage thresholds (e.g., 2.5%, 5%). Probabilities are displayed as labels on the last bar, showing both bullish and bearish outcomes.
Customization: Allows users to adjust EMA lengths, pivot lookback, historical data limit, and probability thresholds via inputs.
Inputs:Fast EMA Length (default: 20): Period for the fast EMA.
Slow EMA Length (default: 50): Period for the slow EMA.
Pivot Lookback (default: 15): Bars used to detect swing highs/lows.
Max Historical Crossovers (default: 100): Limits stored crossovers for performance.
Bin Thresholds (defaults: 2.5%, 4.6%, 8.4%, 21.0%, 100.0%): Five customizable percentage thresholds for probability calculations.
Usage:
Add the indicator to your chart and adjust inputs to match your trading style. Bullish and bearish crossover points are labeled on the chart, and probability labels appear in the top-right corner when sufficient data is available. Use these probabilities to assess the historical likelihood of price movements after EMA crossovers, aiding in trade planning or risk assessment.
Why It’s Useful:
By combining EMA crossovers with swing-based price change analysis, this indicator offers a unique perspective on market behaviour post-crossover. The customizable probability thresholds allow traders to focus on specific price movement targets, making it a versatile tool for studying trend strength and potential outcomes.
Notes:
Probabilities are based on historical data and do not predict future performance.
Set bin thresholds in ascending order for accurate probability calculations.
Designed for educational purposes to analyze EMA crossover patterns.
xGhozt Wickless Candle Streak ProbabilityThe xGhozt Wickless Candle Streak Probability is a custom Pine Script indicator designed to identify and quantify the occurrence of consecutive "wickless" candles of the same trend (either bullish or bearish).
Key Features:
Wickless Candle Detection: It first identifies candles that lack an upper or lower wick (meaning their open/close is equal to their high/low, respectively).
Consecutive Streak Tracking: The indicator tracks how many wickless bullish candles occur in a row, and similarly for wickless bearish candles.
User-Defined Streak Length: You can specify a Streak Length in the indicator's settings. This defines how many consecutive wickless candles are needed to register a "streak."
Probability Calculation: For the chosen Streak Length, the indicator calculates the historical probability (as a percentage) of encountering such a streak for both bullish and bearish wickless candles. This is done by dividing the number of times a streak of that length has occurred by the total number of candles scanned.
On-Chart Display: The results, including the total wickless candles, total scanned candles, and the calculated streak probabilities, are displayed in a convenient table directly on your chart.
Purpose:
This indicator helps traders and analysts understand the historical likelihood of sustained, strong directional moves as indicated by consecutive wickless candles. By quantifying these probabilities, it can provide insights into potential continuation patterns or extreme market conditions, which might be useful for developing trading strategies or confirming market biases.
