EMASARPLEASE READ THE FULL DESCRIPTION BEFORE BUYING OR USING THIS INDICATOR
EMASAR (pronounced Emma-sar) is a strategy based on Exponential Moving Averages and the Parabolic SAR . This is a position trading approach that is derived from Tyler Jenks’ Consensio.
This strategy was developed with four objectives in mind: (1) managing risk (2) protecting from missing out on major moves (3) maximizing risk:reward (4) staying in a trending market and taking profit before it fully reverses.
EMASAR does a great job at accomplishing all of the above through the buy and sell signals that are generated. The data provided below is from the signals that occurred on Bitcoin (Bitstamp) from January 1, 2015 to present (November 11, 2019).
(1) Risk is tightly managed, relative to the winners, and losing positions will be exited before the market moves too far against.
The biggest losing trade on Bitcoin, for the time period outlined above, is -18.47%.
(2) Following the EMASAR buy and sell signals guarantees that one will not miss out on a major trend. As a result of the indicators used for this system it is mathematically impossible for a major trend to occur without providing a buy or sell signal. This system isn't meant to catch exact tops or bottoms but it will do a great job of capturing ~85% of a trend.
(3) On average the winning trades will be 5.55 times the losing trades. There will be stretches where the losers are bigger than the winners and this could last for many months, maybe even a year. However, over the long run the average reward is expected to be 5.55 times the average risk*.
*Past performance does not guarantee future results!
(4) This indicator was designed to capitalize on parabolic markets, specifically Bitcoin and alt coins. Crypto markets have a tendency to get moving so fast that many indicators become all but useless.
Entries can get signaled too late and exits will get signaled way too early. This is specifically true when using oscillators that are designed to identify overbought or oversold environments. EMASAR does a great job of keeping us in a position for the duration of a trend and this includes the major parabolic runs that Bitcoin has a tendency to go on.
Take a look at the two charts below which illustrates the buy and sell signals that occurred at the beginning and end of the 2017 and 2019 parabolic moves. Green = Buy | Blue = Exit | Red = Short
Long signaled at $4,190.27 on September 29th, 2017
Exit signaled at $13,647 on January 14th, 2018
Short signaled at $12,050 on January 16th, 2018
Close Short signaled at $3,684 on February 18th, 2019
Long signaled at $3,684 on February 18th, 2019
Exit signaled at $9,614 on July 16th, 2019
Short signaled at $10,328 on July 22nd, 2019
When Bitcoin, or other alts, really get moving it can be very difficult to distinguish between a correction and a full reversal. We do not want to be exiting during a minor correction, instead this is a time when we want to be holding on or looking to buy the dip.
This is a very fragile balance. The market has a very strong tendency to make corrections looks like reversals and to make reversals look like corrections. Therefore it is very important to have a tool(s) that you trust to distinguish in between the two.
I believe that EMASAR is the best way to find that balance - if I knew of a better way then I would be using it instead!
Following these signals will help us to hold onto positions while the market is still trending in our favor when most think that it has moved too far / too fast, and it will also get us out before a market fully reverses.
Keep in mind that there will be times when we exit a market that is in danger of reversing, only to buy back higher later on. That is okay because it enables us to properly manage risk during times of uncertainty and buying back in at a higher price is more than worth the opportunity cost.
Lets look at the signals above in chronological order:
1) Close Long: $2,274
2) Open Short: $2,347
3) Exit Short: $2,934
4) Open Long: $2,766
5) Close Long: $3,124
6) Enter Long: $4,190
A long was closed at $2,274 after Signal #1 and was re-entered after Signal #4 at $2,766. Additionally a long was closed at $3,124 after Signal #5 and was re-entered on the following signal at $4,190. These are examples of some of the bad signals that will occur. Something to pay attention to is the ratio of the risk to the reward. When the market turns against us EMASAR will quickly signal an exit or a re entry.
EMASAR also works great in traditional markets. The S&P 500 has been on a tear lately after creating new all time highs in October of 2019. It has resumed it's strong bull trend and therefore it is a great market to have long exposure to. That being said we are well overdue for a correction and most people, including myself, expect the next bear market to be much more severe than the last two. Therefore I would not want to have long exposure unless equipped with a very reliable method for taking profit before it fully reverses.
Let's take a look at the S&P 500 weekly EMASAR signals using the preferred settings outlined below:
In August of 1990 EMASAR signaled a 'Close Long' at $308. At that time the market was in danger of fully reversing. When that didn't happen EMASAR gave a signal to re enter at $369 which resulted in losing 19.8% in opportunity cost. That is quite okay because it would have allowed us to properly protect ourselves in the event that the market proceeded to crash. Instead we entered a massive bull market that culminated in the dot com bubble. Notice how EMASAR kept us in for the entire duration of that bull run and then signaled an exit very close to the top at $1,294. It got us back in by the end of 2004 after the market had bottomed. Yet again it kept us in for the following multi year bull market before signaling an exit very close to the top at $1,270.
The action that followed in 2016 looks very similar to what happened in 1990 - 1991. An exit was signaled when the market was in danger of fully reversing. When that didn't happen a re entry was signaled 14% higher. Now the market appears to be taking off in another parabolic advance. There is no way to know how far this next run will go or how long it will last. Nevertheless I feel highly confident that I will be able to hold on for the majority of the trend and then get fully out before it reverses thanks to the signals provided by EMASAR.
When looking at the signals on Gold we will notice striking similarities to the signals in the S&P 500 as well as Bitcoin.
Notice how an entry was signaled very close to the bottom at $323 in June of 2002. An exit was also signaled very close to the top at $1,441 in April of 2013. Throughout that runup there was one bad signal that cost some opportunity. It's very important to understand that missing out on opportunity is well worth the price because it allows us to effectively manage risk. EMASAR also recently provided a long signal at $1,401 which preceded this recent runup.
Settings
Default settings work best for crypto, however the time multiplier should be adjusted for markets that are not open 24/7. For commodities and FOREX my default is 40 and for stocks I use 24. The Moving Averages can be adjusted as well. The period can be changed and you can also select SMA or EMA. I always use the EMA's and strongly prefer the 50 and 200. We have noticed good results with the 9 and 54 EMA's as well. The shorter the period that the Moving Average is set to the more frequent the signals will be. This will generally improve risk:reward while decreasing strike rate. For crypto the best time frames are the 4h and 6h. For traditional markets the best time frames are the Daily, 3D and Weekly. EMASAR can be used on smaller time frames as well, specifically in crypto. The 15m and 1h have shown good results.
Risks
The biggest risks with trading EMASAR revolve around disobeying the signals. Risk management is built into this system with the exit signals that will occur, however it is up to the individual to execute those signals. Passing on an exit signal could lead to a big loss which would have a dramatic impact on the ROI. Most trading systems will have small and medium losses with small, medium and large wins. That is exactly how this works. The small - medium losses and wins will mostly be a wash and will account for roughly 80% of the trades. The large wins will happen about 20% of the time and will make up 80% - 90% of the profits.
Therefore the two biggest risks are passing on signals entirely, or exiting preemptively. Getting chopped in and out of a market can be quite frustrating. If you become overwhelmed with negative emotions then it could cause you to pass up on the next signal. That signal will often be the one that more than makes up for the small - medium losses that preceded.
On average EMASAR will provide one signal every 6 weeks when using the default settings on the 4h chart. Therefore missing one entry could turn an otherwise profitable year into a loser. If electing to trade a system, whether it is EMASAR or another, it is crucial to commit to taking every signal regardless of outside variables (namely your personal bias about market direction or frustration that follows a losing stretch).
Another major risk with this system is taking too much profit too soon. When getting into a trade that has the potential to be a big winner it can be challenging to continue holding through the swings. Anyone that has watched paper profits vanish will be inclined to start exiting after the market makes a big move in his or her favor. While this is better than watching profits completely evaporate, this mistake can be enough to turn a profitable system into one that loses to the market. If 80% - 90% of our profits come from 10% - 20% of our trades then it is vital we do not cut those positions off at the knees.
If taking too much profit too soon then you will consistently turn potential large winners into medium winners. This may lead to making money over the long run which will make it very difficult to realize that anything is wrong. However making money and beating the market are two very different things. Exiting early and making money is nearly as big of a risk as missing entries entirely.
If you have the discipline to execute signals in a timely manner after they are triggered and the emotional control to let the winners run despite the appearance of a vastly overbought / oversold market, then you should have what it takes to beat the market with EMASAR.
If you are not an experienced trader then it is very important to start out small. The only way to learn is to trade in a live environment and the only way to succeed is to risk much less than you can afford to lose. If you have $2,000 to trade with then start with a maximum position size of $20 - $50 and don’t be shy about scaling that down even further. Focus on ROI instead of actual dollars made. If you can return 100% on a $20 roll then you should be able to do the same with a $2,000 roll.
Important Notes
Make sure that you read / understand the risks outlined above. If you jump into this without understanding the unique risks that this system entails then you are going to have a bad time.
This indicator was developed around the 4h and that is where it works best. For crypto adjusting to higher TF’s will cause for bad results as the entries / exits will be late to the party. For traditional markets the Daily - Weekly time frames are preferred. It was not originally intended for smaller TF's but we have seen some good results on the 15m and 1h. The RSI can be a great compliment when using on smaller TF's. Adding a rule for not entering when RSI > 75 or < 25 and instead entering when RSI retests 50 will help to avoid some bad signals.
Alerts can be set for this indicator. Simply make sure that it is visible on the chart, then click the alert icon on the top panel. In the first dropdown set 'Condition' to 'EMASAR' and the second 'Condition' for the upcoming signal. For example if just entered long then set the second condition to 'Close Long' and you will be notified as soon as that signal occurs. If waiting for the next long entry then set the second condition to 'Open Long' so on and so forth. There is an 'All in One' alert that is also available. If you select that then you will be alerted any time that a signal occurs. The message will tell you to check the chart to see which signal caused the alert.
How to Buy
The EMASAR Indicator is available for purchase on my website. The link can be found in my signature or in the tagline of my Trading View profile.
The price is $500 per year which is only payable in Bitcoin. That also includes access to a private Telegram group.
Ethereum (Mata Wang Kripto)
EVWMA VWAP Cross Strategy [QuantNomad]Continue to experiement with VWAP and EVWMA.
It seems that just simple crosses between VWAP and EVWMA can be pretty good signals. VWAP is a bit choppy so you can use VWAP smoothing input to smoth it a bit.
Here are few other strategies based on EVWMA:
EVWMA VWAP MACD Strategy
QuantNomad - EVWMA MACD Strategy
Trend KingIntroducing “Trend King”.
The alpha generating strategy built for Crypto.
“Trend King” combines 4 proprietary indicators. It buys and sells based on:
Short-term momentum
Long-term momentum
Volume compression
Volatility breakouts
The strategy was built on 2 years of BitMEX data (XBTUSD) and backtested on 9 years of Bitcoin data (BLX). Finally, the strategy was validated on multiple large market cap cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETHUSD), without parameter adjustment.
Strategy backtesting checks include:
Used 0.12% fees. 60% more than the actual BitMex/Binance fees of 0.075%.
No Heikin-Ashi Candles (to avoid fake results)
No Stop-losses (to avoid fake order execution)
Market Orders Only (to avoid fake order execution)
The results speak for them self.
See the positive excess return from the “Trend King” strategy returns versus a simple Bitcoin “Buy-and-Hold” strategy. Best functionality on the Daily and 4HR timeframes.
**For Access: Contact me on TradingView or Twitter.
OracleWhere to use?
Oracle gives the best performance on ETH/USD but also works for BTC/USD and some other charts like XAU/USD ( Gold ). Fails for almost all other cryptocurrencies.
Use 1d or 4h time frames only. 2h and 3h also work in some cases. Use Heikin Ashi candles for the best results.
The strategy is still being tested. Use at your own risk.
How to use?
Arrows start pointing upwards and candle closes above the Orange line - Price is likely to go up
Arrows start pointing downwards and candle closes below the Orange line - Price is likely to go down
Also, the orange line can be used as a mental stop loss point.
Bybit SHORT ETHUSD SCALPER - M15ETHUSD ByBit Scalping System detects trends. System opens only SHORT positions on 15 Minute Timeframe only.
Dont use it on any other coins or any other timeframes or any other direction.
Coin : ETHUSD
Exchange : ByBit
Direction : Short
Timeframe : M15
This System is developed for our institutional client who may further retail it.
ANN MACD ETHEREUM
This script is trained with Ethereum (Timeframe : 4 hours ).
Details :
Input columns: 19
Output columns: 1
Excluded columns: 0
Training example rows: 300
Validating example rows: 0
Querying example rows: 0
Excluded example rows: 0
Duplicated example rows: 0
Input nodes connected: 19
Hidden layer 1 nodes: 8
Hidden layer 2 nodes: 1
Hidden layer 3 nodes: 0
Output nodes: 1
Learning rate: 0.7000
Momentum: 0.8000
Training error: 0.009378 ( That's a very good error coefficient. )
Many thanks to wroclai for help.
Deep learning series will continue!
Pivot Point Reversal + RSI AlertsThese are alerts for previously published strategy:
This strategy joins the Pivot Reversal strategy with the RSI indicator.
We check RSI level at the pivot point level and only if RSI condition is satisfied we update levels for stop orders.
Pivot Point Reversal + RSI StrategyThis strategy joins the Pivot Reversal strategy with the RSI indicator.
We check RSI level at the pivot point level and only if RSI condition is satisfied we update levels for stop orders.
The strategy works pretty good for crypto, 30m, 1h, 2h timeframes.
IWIN Long & Short strategyWelcome to the IWIN LS!
This is a trend identification indicator.
Setup:
Chart Historical Price must be set to "bars"
Time Range: 8hr
How to use:
Long = buy
Close Long = sell
Short = short
Close Short = cover
* this is a tool not intended to be used as financial advice or to make any investment decisions.
* invest at your own risk
Crypto Market BreadthThis is the "Crypto Market Breadth" indicator from
I updated it to latest symbol so that it resolves again:
removed: BINANCE:NPXSUSD
added: BITFINEX:LEOUSD
Also helpful for automatic trading with WolfBot.org and TradingView Integration
CS Trading Bot Study - Crypto EditionWhat is this Study about?
The CS Trading Bot Study is for getting Open Long (Buy) and Close Long signals (Sell) that you can use to get alerts in various ways (Webhooks, Emails, etc).
The Study is very profitable for a vast amount of Crypto assets and the algorithm behind is not overfitted.
How to use it?
Make sure to start your research and find your favorite Crypto assets using the corresponding strategy:
The research process is very important as you can see beforehand how well the alerts for this Study would perform.
Make sure to read the Strategy's description, as well!
After you found your Crypto assets of interest using the corresponding Strategy...
Open a new chart for each asset and add the Study from your favorite indicators.
Click on the alert symbol on your chart and from "Condition" choose the "CS Bot" Strategy.
Then below choose "CS Bot Buy Alert" and "CS Bot Sell Alert" (each separate alerts).
Under "options" check "Once per bar" (very important) .
Pick your desired way of getting the alerts (app, popup, email, webhook).
The webhooks for setting alerts are very interesting as you can forward your signals to your own trading bot or simply wait until my trading bot is available (currently in development)
Since I develop myself, rest assured it will be available soon. Look out for comments below as soon as it is available!
How to access?
If you are interested to get access to the complete package, please don't hesitate to send me a private message for a quote.
The amount of concurrent users using the package (=licenses) is limited to max. 500 a month (more we cannot manually handle has Tradingview has no automation for this yet).
Access to the bot package is based on a monthly basis. If you get access, you will asked in person at the end of the month if you want to continue or not.
The monthly fee depends on the demand, but for as long as you continue using the package your initial price stays the same!
CS Trading Bot Strategy - Crypto EditionWhat is this strategy about?
The CS Trading Bot Strategy is for researching the most lucrative Crypto assets to be selected for in the corresponding Study (that actually generates alerts/signals).
The Strategy is very profitable for a vast amount of Crypto assets and the algorithm behind is not overfitted.
How to use it?
As a rule of thumb, the best time-frames are the 4h, 3h, 2h and 1h (sometimes 30M and 45M).
For many high profile/volume assets such as BTC, ETH and XRP the Daily is very profitable, as well. Weekly and Monthly time-frames should be avoided.
It is not recommended to apply this strategy to new assets with only a few weeks of history. I recommend a history of at least 6 months and 5 trades in the Strategy stats.
In the Strategy settings, you can adjust the time-span to see how the Strategy performs in certain conditions like bear-markets (see for example 4H on BTCUSDT from Jan 2018 - March 2019).
What to look for on researching?
If you are researching, make sure to look for these metrics in the Strategy overview:
Linear equity growth (especially over a larger period of time)
Low drawdown
Profitability above 50%
Average gain per trade of 5%
A satisfying profit for your selected time-span
Min. 5 trades, better 10
Min. 6 Months time-span
As a head-start, I suggest to research on the following assets, so you get a feeling about what to look for based on the list above:
POLONIEX:BTCUSDT
POLONIEX:ETHUSDT
POLONIEX:XRPUSDT
Why Poloniex? Because it has a long history for these assets...
Once you determined your favorite assets, you are ready to add the corresponding Study and within, set alerts for them.
Here the Webhooks are very interesting as you can forward your signals to your own trading bot or simply wait until my trading bot is available (currently in development)
Since I develop myself, rest assured it will be available soon. Look out for comments below as soon as it is available!
The bot is a commercial package including:
This Strategy for finding the best assets
The Study for setting alerts based on the best assets (webhooks, emails, popups, etc)
Access to our automated trading bot (separate download, as soon as available)
How to access?
If you are interested to get access to the complete package, please don't hesitate to send me a private message for a quote.
The amount of concurrent users using the package (=licenses) is limited to max. 500 a month (more we cannot manually handle has Tradingview has no automation for this yet).
Access to the bot package is based on a monthly basis. If you get access, you will asked in person at the end of the month if you want to continue or not.
Market Sentiment - CryptoMarket Sentiment - Crypto
This is a market sentiment indicator.
When there is greed - it is good to go Short , when there is fear - go Long .
- The indicator can be used as a trend detection tool, greatly increasing the chance of being on the right side of the market.
- It directly shows the change in trend with Buy and Sell marks on the chart.
- Using it as a standalone is possible, but don't forget about Risk Management .
- Alerts are available.
- It works for Crypto only, showing the change in market sentiment for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
The same results are shown on all timeframes.
Higher timeframes may miss some small changes in trend because they may happen intra-bar. Lower timeframes are good for higher precision.
The indicator can be used on any chart, but it will show data relevant only to Crypto (Bitcoin and Ethereum).
Express XYZExpress XYZ allows you to set the parameters that best fit your needs.
You can select the range of candles you want the indicator to lock in on.
You can select if you want more or less signals to appear on the indicator to fit your trading style.
You can set alerts for buy/sell which is labeled as BULL (buy) and BEAR (sell).
Enjoy the experience to customize the Express XYZ to fit your needs!
Welles Wilder MAHow to trade:
Recommended for longer timeframes at least 4H.
Buy when the green dot appears.
Sell when the yellow dot appears.
Welles Wilder moving average by XOOOOOO
RSI Fibonacci Levels StrategyRSI with Fibonacci Levels
Visually can be used as:
- Countertrend indicator at extreme green/red lines
- Follow trend indicator
- Fibonacci supports and resistantes zones
The strategy works as a follow trend
How to trade:
The indicator is more reliable in longer time frames, at least 4H
Choose a fibonacci level as reference
Buy when the RSI line turns green
Sell when the RSI line turns red
Borsaca Demo Limited Time OnlyThis indicator does NOT REPAINT. If the signal occurs it will be forever. Easy and profitable strategy optimized for Crypto, Foreks and Stock Markets...
This indicator gives you Long and Exit signals all timeframes...
BORSACA TRADER is optimized to catch trend movements as soon as possible and maximize profitability.
Strategy tester results. 96% Profitable on BTCUSD Daily scale. Test other markets you want.
WE RELY ON OUR INDICATOR TO THE END. AND WE ASSURE YOU THERE IS NOTHING BETTER THAN THE BORSACA TRADER INDICATOR.
Best regards and happy trading.
Herif's winning strategy option. Check the strategy tester results success than %96
Safe Mode as optional parameter. You can enable this to prevent some riskier trades to happen at the cost of some profitability. Use it if you are more conservative in trading.
Normal Mode signals for Buy and Sell. Trade Mode signals for buy and sell use with support and resistance levels.
Auto Support And Resistance ..
Auto Fibonacci Levels...
BORSACA TRADER indicator is the best option for everybody in financial markets. Check my Profile Page for more information and follow me, like and favorite my indicator and support your positive response and take a message for 10 days trial.
Happy trading. Good luck :)
BORSACA TRADER LIMITED TIME USE ONLYThis indicator does NOT REPAINT. If the signal occurs it will be forever. Easy and profitable strategy optimized for Crypto, Foreks and Stock Markets...
This indicator gives you Long and Exit signals all timeframes...
BORSACA TRADER is optimized to catch trend movements as soon as possible and maximize profitability.
Strategy tester results. 96% Profitable on BTCUSD Daily scale. Test other markets you want.
WE RELY ON OUR INDICATOR TO THE END. AND WE ASSURE YOU THERE IS NOTHING BETTER THAN THE BORSACA TRADER INDICATOR.
Best regards and happy trading.
Herif's winning strategy option. Check the strategy tester results success than %96
Safe Mode as optional parameter. You can enable this to prevent some riskier trades to happen at the cost of some profitability. Use it if you are more conservative in trading.
Normal Mode signals for Buy and Sell.
Trade Mode signals for buy and sell use with support and resistance levels.
Auto Support And Resistance..
Auto Fibonacci Levels...
BORSACA TRADER indicator is the best option for everybody in financial markets. Check my Profile Page for more information and follow me, like and favorite my indicator and support your positive response and take a message for 10 days trial.
Happy trading. Good luck :)
₿OARWelcome to the ₿OAR!
This indicator is very simple to use. Simply apply it to any chart and you will see ₿ULL and ₿EAR signals! A ₿ULL signal is a buy and a ₿EAR signal is a sell.
Heikin ashi is recommended with this indicator.
You can also set alerts with this indicator. DM for access.
Borsaca StrategyThis indicator uses contrarian investment style. You can use Buy/Sell indicator and trade hibryd mentality. What do you say? Dont hear before what is mean?
Ok. Good Luck.
MoneyBible ETHUSD AlertMoneybible BITMEX:ETHUSD alert on 15m candlestick . It will be re-optimized monthly.
The script is written in PineScript V.3, makes no use of the security() function and does not use the Trailing Stop-Loss function from TradingView. No repainting issue.
Backtester here :