Breadth-Driven Swing StrategyWhat it does
This script trades the S&P 500 purely on market breadth extremes:
• Data source : INDEX:S5TH = % of S&P 500 stocks above their own 200-day SMA (range 0–100).
• Buy when breadth is washed-out.
• Sell when breadth is overheated.
It is long-only by design; shorting and ATR trailing stops have been removed to keep the logic minimal and transparent.
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Signals in plain English
1. Long entry
A. A 200-EMA trough in breadth is printed and the trough value is ≤ 40 %.
or
B. A 5-EMA trough appears, its prominence passes the user threshold, and the lowest breadth reading in the last 20 bars is ≤ 20 %.
(Toggle this secondary trigger on/off with “ Enter also on 5-EMA trough ”.)
2. Exit (close long)
First 200-EMA peak whose breadth value is ≥ 70 %.
3. Risk control
A fixed stop-loss (% of entry price, default 8 %) is attached to every long trade.
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Key parameters (defaults shown)
• Long EMA length 200 • Short EMA length 5
• Peak prominence 0.5 pct-pts • Trough prominence 3 pct-pts
• Peak level 70 % • Trough level 40 % • 5-EMA trough level 20 %
• Fixed stop-loss 8 %
• “Enter also on 5-EMA trough” = true (allows additional entries on extreme momentum reversals)
Feel free to tighten or relax any of these thresholds to match your risk profile or account for different market regimes.
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How to use it
1. Load the script on a daily SPX / SPY chart.
(The price chart drives order execution; the breadth series is pulled internally and does not need to be on the chart.)
2. Verify the breadth feed.
INDEX:S5TH is updated after each session; your broker must provide it.
3. Back-test across several cycles.
Two decades of daily data is recommended to see how the rules behave in bear markets, range markets, and bull trends.
4. Adjust position sizing in the Properties tab.
The default is “100 % of equity”; change it if you prefer smaller allocations or pyramiding caps.
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Why it can help
• Breadth signals often lead price, allowing entries before index-level momentum turns.
• Simple, rule-based exits prevent “waiting for confirmation” paralysis.
• Only one input series—easy to audit, no black-box math.
Trade-offs
• Relies on a single breadth metric; other internals (advance/decline, equal-weight returns, etc.) are ignored.
• May sit in cash during shallow pullbacks that never push breadth ≤ 40 %.
• Signals arrive at the end of the session (breadth is EoD data).
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Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Markets are risky; test thoroughly and use your own judgment before trading real money.
ストラテジー概要
本スクリプトは S&P500 のマーケットブレッド（内部需給） だけを手がかりに、指数をスイングトレードします。
• ブレッドデータ : INDEX:S5TH
（S&P500 採用銘柄のうち、それぞれの 200 日移動平均線を上回っている銘柄比率。0–100 %）
• 買い : ブレッドが極端に売られたタイミング。
• 売り : ブレッドが過熱状態に達したタイミング。
余計な機能を削り、ロングオンリー & 固定ストップ のシンプル設計にしています。
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シグナルの流れ
1. ロングエントリー
• 条件 A : 200-EMA がトラフを付け、その値が 40 % 以下
• 条件 B : 5-EMA がトラフを付け、
・プロミネンス条件を満たし
・直近 20 本のブレッドス最小値が 20 % 以下
• B 条件は「5-EMA トラフでもエントリー」を ON にすると有効
2. ロング決済
最初に出現した 200-EMA ピーク で、かつ値が 70 % 以上 のバーで手仕舞い。
3. リスク管理
各トレードに 固定ストップ（初期価格から 8 %）を設定。
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主なパラメータ（デフォルト値）
• 長期 EMA 長さ : 200 • 短期 EMA 長さ : 5
• ピーク判定プロミネンス : 0.5 %pt • トラフ判定プロミネンス : 3 %pt
• ピーク水準 : 70 % • トラフ水準 : 40 % • 5-EMA トラフ水準 : 20 %
• 固定ストップ : 8 %
• 「5-EMA トラフでもエントリー」 : ON
相場環境やリスク許容度に合わせて閾値を調整してください。
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使い方
1. 日足の SPX / SPY チャート にスクリプトを適用。
2. ブレッドデータの供給 (INDEX:S5TH) がブローカーで利用可能か確認。
3. 20 年以上の期間でバックテスト し、強気相場・弱気相場・レンジ局面での挙動を確認。
4. 資金配分 は プロパティ → 戦略実行 で調整可能（初期値は「資金の 100 %」）。
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強み
• ブレッドは 価格より先行 することが多く、天底を早期に捉えやすい。
• ルールベースの出口で「もう少し待とう」と迷わずに済む。
• 入力 series は 1 本のみ、ブラックボックス要素なし。
注意点・弱み
• 単一指標に依存。他の内部需給（A/D ライン等）は考慮しない。
• 40 % を割らない浅い押し目では機会損失が起こる。
• ブレッドは終値ベースの更新。ザラ場中の変化は捉えられない。
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免責事項
本スクリプトは 学習目的 で提供しています。投資助言ではありません。
実取引の前に必ず自己責任で十分な検証とリスク管理を行ってください。
Cari dalam skrip untuk "spx"
Session Times + Strenght M7This Script Aims to Define Session Times, and Rank those. It can help to adjust your Strategy to Higher Volatility, if you choose to use the Session Volatility and Strenght Index from 1-10. Your timezone on Trading View should be NY. You can customize the Following in Settings: Weight of Volatility & Narrative Regarding the ranking + Transparency of the Lines. SP:SPX FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD CAPITALCOM:USDJPY AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:USDJPY CME_MINI:NQ1! OANDA:XAUUSD FX:GBPUSD
Daily Volatility Range (DVR) [GIF]VIX as a Volatility Indicator:
The VIX is a measure of the market's expectation of volatility in the S&P 500 over the next 30 days, based on the prices of S&P 500 options.
The Rule of 16:
A VIX of 16 implies that the market expects the SPX to move up or down by roughly 1% on any given day.
If the VIX is 24, the expected daily move is around 1.5%, and with a VIX of 32, the expected move is around 2%.
The rationale for the rule is that the square root of the number of trading days in a year (approximately 252) is roughly 16.
Example:
If the VIX is at 20, the rule suggests that the SPX might see daily moves of around 1.25%.
Practical Application:
The rule of 16 can be used as a quick and easy way to estimate the potential daily volatility of the S&P 500 based on the VIX.
The Daily Volatility Range:
This indicator cross references the ticker on the chart with it's own volatility index (assuming it has one). Below are the indexes and stocks that have their own volatility index:
S&P 500
Nasdaq 100
Russell 2000
Dow Jones
TLT
Bitcoin
Gold
Crude Oil
Apple
Amazon
Google
IBM
Goldman Sachs
How I use the DVR:
Historic probabilities show that you will close the day within the DVR. However, there are times when those probabilities diminish greatly. One of those times is when you open in the RTH session outside of the DVR. If you open outside the DVR, you can look for the DVR to becomes support/resistance and stay extended outside the DVR. These days can often become muted as most of the most has happened before the market open. However, if we open outside the DVR and break back into range, it is highly probable that we will not break back into those extended ranges.
Indicator Options:
There are 2x and 3x DVR levels that can be plotted. During times of extreme volatility, it will become important to have these plotted.
There is the option to plot calculated pivot points. These are fib ranges that have historically been areas of consolidation or trend reversal. These are projections based on my own research and are not as important as the DVR levels themselves.
There is also an option to color the candles a specific color if the candle closes outside the DVR. This is to highlight the fact that price action has exceeded the range and caution should be taken.
If you have suggestions how to make this indicator better, please let me know in the comments and I will look into it. Thank you!
JPMorgan Collar LevelsJPMorgan Collar Levels – SPX/SPY Auto-Responsive (Quarterly Logic)
This script tracks the JPMorgan Hedged Equity Fund collar strategy, one of the most watched institutional positioning tools on SPX/SPY. The strategy rolls quarterly and often acts as a magnet or resistance/support zone for price.
Nasan Ultimate Health Index (NUHI)The Nasan Ultimate Health Index (NUHI) is a technical indicator designed to measure the relative health of a stock compared to a benchmark index or sector. By incorporating price action, volume dynamics, and volatility, NUHI provides traders with a clearer picture of a stock’s performance relative to the broader market.
The NUHI is based on the idea that a stock’s relative strength and momentum can be assessed more effectively when adjusted for volume behavior and benchmark comparison. Instead of looking at price movement alone, this indicator factors in:
The stock’s price trend (via EMA)
Volume participation (green vs. red volume) and volume ratio - SMA(volume, 21)/ SMA(volume, 252)
Volatility-adjusted performance (ATR-based scaling)
Comparison with a selected benchmark (e.g., SPX, NDX, sector ETFs)
This results in a normalized and comparative score that helps traders identify outperforming, neutral, and underperforming stocks within a specific market environment.
The NUHI is constructed using the following elements:
1️⃣ Stock Raw Score (Unadjusted Momentum)
The exponential moving average (EMA) of the hlc3 (average of high, low, close) is used to define the price trend.
The difference between the current EMA and the EMA from n bars ago shows whether the stock is gaining or losing momentum.
This difference is divided by the ATR (Average True Range) to adjust for volatility.
2️⃣ Volume Behavior Adjustment
Volume is split into green volume (up candles) and red volume (down candles).
The ratio of green to red volume determines whether buyers or sellers dominate over the selected period (n bars).
If the stock is in an uptrend, green volume is weighted higher; if in a downtrend, red volume is weighted higher.
The stock’s Volume Ratio (short-term SMA divided by long-term SMA) is adjusted based on this weight.
3️⃣ Benchmark Comparison
A similar Raw Score calculation is performed on the selected benchmark (SPX, NDX, or sector ETF).
Benchmark price movements, volume behavior, and ATR adjustments mirror the stock’s calculations.
This provides a reference point for evaluating the stock’s relative strength.
4️⃣ Normalization Process
Both the stock and benchmark raw scores are min-max normalized over the past 252 bars (1-year lookback).
This scales values between 0 and 1, ensuring fair comparisons regardless of absolute price differences.
5️⃣ NUHI Calculation
The final NUHI value is computed using a logarithmic ratio between the normalized stock score and the normalized benchmark score:
This transformation ensures a more symmetrical representation of overperformance and underperformance.
Performance Zones
Strong Outperforming (NUHI between >0.41 and 0.69)
Leading (NUHI between >0.10 and 0.41)
Transitioning Outperformance (NUHI between 0.10 and 0)
Equilibrium (NUHI 0)
Transitioning Underperformance (NUHI between -0.10 and 0)
Lagging (NUHI between < -0.1 and -0.41)
Strong Underperforming (NUHI between< -0.41 and -0.69 )
How to Use NUHI
✅ Identifying Strong Stocks
If NUHI > 0, the stock is outperforming its benchmark.
If NUHI < 0, the stock is underperforming the benchmark.
✅ Trend Confirmation
A steadily rising NUHI and raw score (colored green) suggests sustained strength bullish conditions.
A falling NUHI and raw score (colored orange) indicates weakness and possible rotation into other assets.
✅ Finding Reversals
Bullish Divergence: If NUHI is improving while the stock’s raw score is negative, it may signal a bottoming opportunity.
Bearish Signs: If NUHI is dropping despite price strength, it could hint at underlying weakness.
Why a Stock in a Downtrend Can Have NUHI > 0 (and Vice Versa )
NUHI measures performance relative to both its own history and the benchmark.
A stock’s recent movement is compared to how it usually behaves and how the benchmark is performing.
Example Scenarios:
Stock in a Downtrend but NUHI > 0
The stock may still be in a downtrend (negative raw score), but it’s performing better relative to its past downtrend behavior and better than the benchmark over the same period.
This could mean it’s showing relative strength compared to the broader market or sector.
Stock in an Uptrend but NUHI < 0
Even in a uptrend (positive raw score), the stock might be underperforming relative to its past uptrend behavior and underperforming the benchmark.
What This Means:
NUHI > 0 in a downtrend → The stock is falling less aggressively than usual and/or holding up better than the benchmark.
NUHI < 0 in an uptrend → The stock is gaining less than expected based on its history and/or lagging behind the benchmark.
NUHI helps identify relative strength or weakness .
THE Bucknut test PARI (SPY)📌 THE Bucknut Test PARI – Market Momentum & Volatility Gauge
🔹 Description
THE Bucknut Test PARI Indicator is a momentum and volatility-based market gauge designed to provide clear, actionable insights on price movement. This indicator calculates a Price Action Relative Index (PARI) score to help traders evaluate risk and potential market reversals.
It utilizes exponential moving average (EMA)-based momentum, standard deviation volatility, and SPY correlation to generate a PARI score between 1-100. The score is then categorized into risk zones, helping traders identify when conditions are favorable for entries or caution is needed.
Ideal for intraday traders, options traders (including SPX 0DTE), and swing traders looking to gauge volatility-driven market shifts.
🔥 Features & Functionality
✅ Momentum Calculation via EMA Filtering – Ensures smooth, responsive signals.
✅ Volatility-Based Adjustments – Uses standard deviation-based volatility scaling.
✅ SPY Correlation Filtering – Helps align momentum signals with market sentiment.
✅ User-Defined Timeframe Settings – Adjusts dynamically based on selected time intervals.
✅ Customizable Risk Thresholds – Allows traders to define high-risk, neutral, and low-risk zones.
✅ Non-Repainting Algorithm – Ensures reliable, static signals without revision.
⚙️ Settings & Adjustments
Setting Default Value Description
Time Frame Mode "5m-15m" Choose between 1m-3m, 5m-15m, or 1H-Daily. Affects smoothing values.
Scaling Factor 10 Adjusts PARI score sensitivity. Higher values amplify movement.
Background Color Black Custom background for the indicator panel.
Background Transparency 85 Controls indicator panel opacity (0 = solid, 100 = invisible).
High-Risk Threshold 80 Above this level, market is in overbought/high-risk conditions.
Low-Risk Threshold 20 Below this level, market is oversold/low-risk for potential reversals.
Neutral Level 50 Middle ground where price action is balanced.
📈 How to Use THE Bucknut Test PARI
🔴 Above 80 (High-Risk Zone)
Market may be overheated, strong momentum may fade or reverse soon.
Caution with calls; potential put opportunities.
🟢 Below 20 (Low-Risk Zone)
Market is oversold, potential reversal or bounce incoming.
Consider long entries or avoiding shorts.
⚪ Between 20-80 (Neutral Zone)
Market is in equilibrium; follow primary trend direction.
No extreme risk, trend-following strategies preferred.
🔍 Example Use Cases
✔ Intraday Traders → Gauge market strength on short-term charts (1m-15m).
✔ SPX 0DTE Options Traders → Time high-confidence call/put setups.
✔ Swing Traders → Identify periods of excessive momentum or exhaustion.
IronCondor 10am 30TF by RMThe IronCondor 10am 30TF indicator shows Iron Condor trades win rate over a large number of days.
The default ETFs in this indicators are "QQQ", "SPY", "RUT" , "CBTX" and "SPX", other entries have not been tested.
Iron Condor quick explanation:
- Iron Condors trades have four options, generally, are based around a Midpoint price (Current Market Price Strike) and
- Two equally distances Strikes for the SELL components (called the Body of the Iron Condor)
- Further away from the two SELLs, another Two BUYs for protection (not considered in this indicator)
- Iron Condors are used for Passive Income based on small gains most of the time.
The IronCondor 10am 30TF has its logic created based on the premises that:
- Most days the market prices stay within a range.
- As example the S&P market prices would stay within 1% on about 80% of the time
- The moving markets (bullish or bearish) occur about 20% of the time
- The biggest market price volatility generally occurs before market opens and then around the first hour or so of trade in the day.
- After the first hour or so of the market the prices would be most likely to stay within a range.
The operation is simple:
- At the Trade Star time in the day (say 10:30 Hrs.) draws a vertical yellow line, then
- Creates two blue horizontal lines for the SELL limits in the Iron Condor Body, at +/- 1% price boundary (check Ticker list below for values)
- At the Trade End time (say 16:00 Hrs.) checks that none of the SELL limits have been broken by highs or lows during the trade day
(The check is done calculating at Trade End time the high/lows 10 bars back for 30 min TF - timeframe)
- There is a label at each Trade End time with Win/Loss and Body value.
- There is one final label with overall calculated past performance in Win percentage out of 'n' trades
Defaults and User Entries:
- The User can modify the Midpoint price called 'IronCondor Midpoint STRIKE' (default is the Candle Close at the selected time)
- The User can modify the Body value called 'IronCondor Body' (default is the Ticker's selected value as per list below)
"QQQ" or "SPY" Body = 5
"RUT" or "CBTX" Body = 20
"SPX" Body = 60
* Disclaimer: This is not a Financial tool, it cannot used as any kind of advice to invest or risk moneys in any market,
Markets are volatile in nature - with little or no warning - and will drain your account if you are not careful.
Use only as an academic demonstrator => * Use at your own risk *
Integrated Market Analysis IndicatorThe Integrated Market Analysis Indicator is designed to provide traders with a macro perspective on market conditions, focusing on the S&P 500 (SPX) and market volatility (VIX), to assist in swing trading decisions. This script integrates various technical indicators and market health metrics to generate scores that help in assessing the overall market trend, potential breakout opportunities, and mean reversion scenarios. It is tailored for traders who wish to align their individual stock or index trades with broader market movements.
Functionality:
Trend Analysis: The script analyzes the trend of the S&P 500 using moving averages (5-day SMA, 10-day EMA, 20-day EMA) to determine whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or neutral state. This provides a foundation for understanding the general market direction.
Volatility Assessment: It uses the VIX to gauge market volatility, which is crucial for risk management. The script calculates thresholds based on the 20-day SMA of the VIX to categorize the market volatility into low, medium, or high.
Market Breadth: The advance/decline ratio (A/D ratio) from the USI:ADVQ and USI:DECLQ indices gives an indication of market participation, helping to understand if the market movement is broad-based or led by a few stocks.
Scoring System: Three scores are calculated:
Trend Score: Evaluates the market trend in conjunction with volume, market breadth, and VIX to assign a grade from 'A' to 'D'.
Breakout Score: Assesses potential breakout conditions by looking at price action relative to dynamic support/resistance levels, short-term momentum, and volume.
Mean Reversion Score: Identifies conditions where mean reversion might occur, based on price movement, volume, and high VIX levels, indicating potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Risk Management: Position sizing recommendations are provided based on VIX levels and the calculated scores, aiming to adjust exposure according to market conditions.
How to Use the Script:
Application: Apply this indicator on any stock or index chart in TradingView. Since it uses data from SPX and VIX, the scores will reflect the macro environment regardless of the underlying chart.
Interpreting Scores:
Trend Score: Use this to gauge the overall market direction. An 'A' score might suggest a strong uptrend, making it a good time for bullish trades, while a 'D' could indicate a bearish environment.
Breakout Score: Look for 'A' scores when considering trades that aim to capitalize on breakouts. A 'B' might suggest a less certain breakout, requiring more caution.
Mean Reversion Score: A 'B' or 'A' here might be a signal to look for trades where you expect the price to revert to the mean after an extreme move.
Risk Management: Use the suggested position sizes ('Normal Size', '1/3 Size', '1/4 Size', '1/10 Size') to manage your risk exposure. Higher VIX levels or lower scores suggest reducing position sizes to mitigate risk.
Visual Cues: The script plots various SMAs, EMAs, and dynamic support/resistance levels, providing visual indicators of where the market might find support or resistance, aiding in entry and exit decisions.
How NOT to Use the Script:
Not for Intraday Trading: This indicator is designed for swing trading, focusing on daily or longer timeframes. Using it for intraday trading might not provide the intended insights due to its macro focus.
Avoid Over-reliance: While the script provides valuable insights, do not rely solely on it for trading decisions. Always consider additional analysis, news, and fundamental data.
Do Not Ignore Individual Stock Analysis: Although the script gives a macro view, individual stock analysis is crucial. The macro conditions might suggest a trend, but stock-specific factors could contradict this.
Not for High-Frequency Trading: The script's logic and the data it uses are not optimized for high-frequency trading strategies where microsecond decisions are made.
Misinterpretation of Scores: Do not misinterpret the scores as absolute signals. They are guidelines that should be part of a broader trading strategy.
Logic Explanation:
Moving Averages: The script uses different types of moving averages to smooth out price data, providing a clearer view of the trend over short to medium-term periods.
ATR for Volatility: The Average True Range (ATR) is used to calculate dynamic support and resistance levels, giving a sense of how much price movement can be expected, which helps in setting realistic expectations for price action.
VIX for Risk: By comparing current VIX levels to its 20-day SMA, the script assesses market fear or complacency, adjusting risk exposure accordingly.
Market Breadth: The A/D ratio helps to understand if the market movement is supported by a broad base of stocks or if it's narrow, which can influence the reliability of the trend.
This indicator should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, providing a macro overlay to your trading decisions, ensuring you're not fighting against the broader market trends or volatility conditions. Remember, while it can guide your trading, always integrate it with other forms of analysis for a well-rounded approach.
Best Range (Day Trading)The indicator is based on a formula very similar to that of the ATR. The average volatility of the last candles (a value adjustable via inputs) is calculated, and this value is then divided (a value adjustable via inputs), providing a specific value in terms of RANGE .
Its use is very straightforward. It was primarily designed for stock indices (Nasdaq & SPX). When used on the DAILY timeframe, it provides the recommended RANGE value for day trading with structural logic.
Its goal is to offer a guiding value for setting the chart to a range-based view that is optimal and as effective as possible in identifying breakouts of specific levels , helping traders avoid false breakouts or misleading structures.
We can also observe a division of levels into quartiles (25, 50, 75, 100, 125...). This helps provide reference ranges, allowing the range to be used with rounded numbers .
For example, on Nasdaq , if the indicator set on DAILY provides a value between 200 and 250, then it is advisable to visualize the chart at 200 RANGE for a more aggressive approach or at 250 RANGE for a more conservative approach.
On SPX , which is less volatile, we use increments of 25. If the indicator gives a value between 25 and 50 , then we use 25 for an aggressive approach and 50 for a conservative approach.
Obviously, this refers to FUTURES and the tick movements of MINI contracts.
Asset Correlation CheckThis indicator evaluates how your current chart symbol interacts with key markets such as stock indices NASDAQ:NDX SP:SPX AMEX:IWM XETR:DAX PEPPERSTONE:CN50 , commodities CAPITALCOM:GOLD CAPITALCOM:SILVER , bonds NASDAQ:TLT NASDAQ:SHY , and cryptocurrencies BINANCE:BTCUSD , and displays the results in a compact, interactive table. It allows you to adjust the analysis period and select one of three correlation calculation methods (Index, Relative, and Beta) to gain different perspectives on the relationships between assets.
Index Correlation
Advantages: Provides a classic statistical correlation value, making it easy to understand overall directional alignment.
Drawbacks: Less reliable for highly volatile or short-term conditions, as temporary spikes can distort the correlation.
When to use: Ideal if you want a clear overview of whether two markets generally move together, for example to assess diversification effects.
Relative Correlation
Advantages: Focuses on percentage changes rather than absolute prices, offering a more dynamic view of short-term shifts.
Drawbacks: More prone to noise due to emphasizing daily or intra-period fluctuations.
When to use: Useful for timing-sensitive strategies, helping you quickly identify if one asset consistently outpaces or lags another in the short run.
Beta Correlation
Advantages: Examines how strongly one asset responds to changes in another, factoring in volatility and sensitivity, helpful for risk profiling.
Drawbacks: More abstract since it does not convey simple directional similarity but how intensely an asset reacts to market movements.
When to use: Ideal if you need to understand how a security may amplify or dampen broader market-level shifts, aiding in portfolio risk management.
Additionally, a Bull-Market Filter narrows the analysis to upward-trending phases, potentially delivering more meaningful insights. The indicator also computes average correlation values over your selected period, so you are not misled by brief fluctuations. It shows the percentage of positive versus negative readings to reveal if markets generally move in tandem or counter to each other.
For stock pickers, this tool is particularly valuable. It helps determine whether individual equities follow broader market forces, move with specific sectors, or behave independently. With this knowledge, you can refine stock selection, balance sector exposures, and seek opportunities that complement existing positions.
The indicator also facilitates the detection of patterns and anomalies, enabling early recognition of shifts in sentiment or new trend impulses. By visualizing how benchmarks, commodities, bonds, and digital assets relate, you gain deeper insight into key drivers that influence your investments.
Regarding rapid changes in correlation, keep in mind that correlation can frequently flip between positive and negative. Such volatility can create confusion if you rely on single readings. One moment, two assets may seem perfectly aligned; the next, they diverge. This does not necessarily indicate a lack of an underlying pattern; short-term factors can distort the picture. By looking at averages and the frequency of positive and negative occurrences, you confirm whether a correlation trend is genuine or simply a result of temporary noise. In other words, these additional metrics ensure that short-lived swings do not overshadow the true, longer-term relationship between the assets.
In essence, this indicator condenses complex intermarket analysis into a practical resource. By leveraging its insights, you can make data-driven decisions, adapt strategies to evolving market conditions, and lay a stronger foundation for long-term trading success.
Hidden SMT Divergence ICT 01 [TradingFinder] HSMT SMC Technique🔵 Introduction
Hidden SMT Divergence, an advanced concept within the Smart Money Technique (SMT), identifies discrepancies between correlated assets by focusing on their closing prices.
Unlike the standard SMT Divergence, which uses high and low prices for analysis, Hidden SMT Divergence uncovers subtle signals by examining divergences based on the assets' closing values.
These divergences often highlight potential reversals or trend continuations, making this technique a valuable tool for traders aiming to anticipate market movements.
This approach applies across various markets and asset classes, including :
Commodities : CAPITALCOM:GOLD vs. CAPITALCOM:SILVER or BLACKBULL:BRENT vs. BLACKBULL:WTI .
Indices : NASDAQ:NDX vs. TVC:SPX vs. FX:US30 .
FOREX : FX:EURUSD vs. OANDA:GBPUSD vs. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index).
Cryptocurrencies : BITSTAMP:BTCUSD vs. COINBASE:ETHUSD vs. KUCOIN:SOLUSDT vs. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 .
Volatility Measures : FOREXCOM:XAUUSD vs. TVC:VIX (Volatility Index).
By identifying divergences within these asset groups, traders can gain actionable insights into potential market reversals or shifts in trend direction. Hidden SMT Divergence is particularly effective for pinpointing subtle market signals that traditional methods may overlook.
Bullish Hidden SMT Divergence : This divergence emerges when one asset forms a higher low, while the correlated asset creates a lower low in terms of their closing prices. It often signals weakening downward momentum and a potential reversal to the upside.
Bearish Hidden SMT Divergence : This occurs when one asset establishes a higher high, while the correlated asset forms a lower high based on their closing prices. It typically reflects declining upward momentum and a probable shift to the downside.
🔵 How to Use
The Hidden SMT Divergence indicator provides traders with a systematic approach to identify market reversals or trend continuations through divergences in closing prices between two correlated assets.
🟣 Bullish Hidden SMT Divergence
Bullish Hidden SMT Divergence occurs when the closing price of the primary asset forms a higher low, while the correlated asset creates a lower low. This pattern indicates weakening downward momentum and signals a potential reversal to the upside.
After identifying the divergence, confirm it using additional tools like support levels, volume trends, or indicators such as RSI and MACD. Enter a buy position as the price shows signs of reversal near support zones, ensuring proper risk management by placing a stop-loss below the support level.
Bearish Hidden SMT Divergence
Bearish Hidden SMT Divergence is identified when the closing price of the primary asset forms a higher high, while the correlated asset creates a lower high. This divergence suggests a weakening uptrend and a likely reversal to the downside.
Validate the signal by examining resistance levels, declining volume, or complementary indicators. Consider entering a sell position as the price starts declining from resistance levels, and set a stop-loss above the resistance zone to limit potential losses.
🔵 Setting
Second Symbol : Select the secondary asset to compare with the primary asset. By default, "XAUUSD" (Gold) is used, but it can be customized to any stock, cryptocurrency, or currency pair.
Divergence Fractal Periods : Defines the number of past candles considered for identifying divergences. The default value is 2, but traders can adjust it for greater precision.
Bullish Divergence Line : Displays a dashed line connecting the points of bullish divergence.
Bearish Divergence Line : Shows a similar line for bearish divergence points.
Bullish Divergence Label : Marks areas of bullish divergence with a "+SMT" label.
Bearish Divergence Label : Highlights bearish divergences with a "-SMT" label.
Chart Type : Choose between Line or Candle charts for enhanced visualization.
🔵 Conclusion
Hidden SMT Divergence offers traders a refined method for identifying market reversals by analyzing closing price discrepancies between correlated assets. Its ability to uncover subtle divergences makes it an essential tool for traders who aim to stay ahead of market trends.
By integrating this technique with other technical analysis tools and sound risk management, traders can enhance their decision-making process and capitalize on market opportunities with greater confidence.
Hidden SMT Divergence’s focus on closing prices ensures more precise signals, helping traders refine their strategies across various markets, including Forex, commodities, indices, and cryptocurrencies.
Its open-source nature allows for customization and verification, providing transparency and flexibility to suit diverse trading needs. Hidden SMT Divergence stands as a powerful addition to the arsenal of any trader seeking to unlock hidden opportunities in dynamic financial markets.
Murad Picks Target MCThe Murad Picks Target Market Cap Indicator is a custom TradingView tool designed for crypto traders and enthusiasts tracking tokens in the Murad Picks list. This indicator dynamically calculates and visualizes the price targets based on Murad Mahmudov's projected market capitalizations, allowing you to gauge each token's growth potential directly on your charts.
Indicator support tokens:
- SPX6900
- GIGA
- MOG
- POPCAT
- APU
- BITCOIN
- RETARDIO
- LOCKIN
Key Features :
Dynamic Target Price Lines:
- Displays horizontal lines representing the price when the token reaches its projected market cap.
- Automatically adjusts for the active chart symbol (e.g., SPX, MOG, APU, etc.).
X Multiplier Calculation:
- Shows how many times the current price must multiply to achieve the target price.
- Perfect for understanding relative growth potential.
Customizable Inputs:
- Easily update target market caps and circulating supply for each token.
- Adjust visuals such as line colors and styles.
Seamless Integration:
- Automatically adapts to the token you’re viewing (e.g., SPX, MOG, APU).
- Clean and visually intuitive, with labels marking targets.
COT Report Indicator with Speculator Net PositionsThe COT Report Indicator with Speculator Net Positions is designed to give traders insights into the behavior of large market participants, particularly speculators, based on the Commitment of Traders (COT) report data. This indicator visualizes the long and short positions of non-commercial traders, allowing users to gauge the sentiment and positioning of large speculators in key markets, such as Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, S&P 500, and currency pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD, and others.
The indicator provides three essential components:
Net Long Position (Green) - Displays the total long positions held by speculators.
Net Short Position (Purple) - Shows the total short positions held by speculators.
Net Difference (Long - Short) (Yellow) - Illustrates the difference between long and short positions, helping users identify whether speculators are more bullish or bearish on the asset.
Recommended Timeframes:
Best Timeframes: Weekly and Monthly
The COT report data is released on a weekly basis, making higher timeframes like the Weekly and Monthly charts ideal for this indicator. These timeframes provide a more accurate reflection of the underlying trends in speculator positioning, avoiding the noise present in lower timeframes.
How to Use:
Market Sentiment: Use this indicator to gauge the sentiment of large speculators, who often drive market trends. A strong net long position can indicate bullish sentiment, while a high net short position might suggest bearish sentiment.
Trend Reversal Signals: Sudden changes in the net difference between long and short positions may indicate potential trend reversals.
Confirmation Tool: Pair this indicator with your existing analysis to confirm the strength of a trend or identify overbought/oversold conditions based on speculator activity.
Supported Symbols:
This indicator currently supports a range of commodities and currency pairs, including:
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )
Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD )
Crude Oil ( TVC:USOIL )
Natural Gas ( NYMEX:NG1! )
S&P 500 ( SP:SPX )
Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY )
EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )
GBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD )
GBPJPY( FX:GBPJPY )
By providing clear insight into the positions of large speculators, this indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to align with institutional sentiment and enhance their trading strategy.
Advanced Economic Indicator by USCG_VetAdvanced Economic Indicator by USCG_Vet
tldr:
This comprehensive TradingView indicator combines multiple economic and financial metrics into a single, customizable composite index. By integrating key indicators such as the yield spread, commodity ratios, stock indices, and the Federal Reserve's QE/QT activities, it provides a holistic view of the economic landscape. Users can adjust the components and their weights to tailor the indicator to their analysis, aiding in forecasting economic conditions and market trends.
Detailed Description
Overview
The Advanced Economic Indicator is designed to provide traders and investors with a powerful tool to assess the overall economic environment. By aggregating a diverse set of economic indicators and financial market data into a single composite index, it helps identify potential turning points in the economy and financial markets.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Coverage: Includes 14 critical economic and financial indicators.
Customizable Components: Users can select which indicators to include.
Adjustable Weights: Assign weights to each component based on perceived significance.
Visual Signals: Clear plotting with threshold lines and background highlights.
Alerts: Set up alerts for when the composite index crosses user-defined thresholds.
Included Indicators
Yield Spread (10-Year Treasury Yield minus 3-Month Treasury Yield)
Copper/Gold Ratio
High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Stock Market Performance (S&P 500 Index - SPX)
Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Volatility Index (VIX)
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Housing Market Index (XHB)
Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
How to Use the Indicator
Configuring the Indicator:
Open Settings: Click on the gear icon (⚙️) next to the indicator's name.
Inputs Tab: You'll find a list of all components with checkboxes and weight inputs.
Including/Excluding Components
Checkboxes: Check or uncheck the box next to each component to include or exclude it from the composite index.
Default State: By default, all components are included.
Adjusting Component Weights:
Weight Inputs: Next to each component's checkbox is a weight input field.
Default Weights: Pre-assigned based on economic significance but fully adjustable.
Custom Weights: Enter your desired weight for each component to reflect your analysis.
Threshold Settings:
Bearish Threshold: Default is -1.0. Adjust to set the level below which the indicator signals potential economic downturns.
Bullish Threshold: Default is 1.0. Adjust to set the level above which the indicator signals potential economic upswings.
Setting the Timeframe:
Weekly Timeframe Recommended: Due to the inclusion of the Fed's balance sheet data (updated weekly), it's best to use this indicator on a weekly chart.
Changing Timeframe: Select 1W (weekly) from the timeframe options at the top of the chart.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Composite Index Line
Plot: The blue line represents the composite economic indicator.
Movement: Observe how the line moves relative to the threshold lines.
Threshold Lines
Zero Line (Gray Dotted): Indicates the neutral point.
Bearish Threshold (Red Dashed): Crossing below suggests potential economic weakness.
Bullish Threshold (Green Dashed): Crossing above suggests potential economic strength.
Background Highlights
Red Background: When the composite index is below the bearish threshold.
Green Background: When the composite index is above the bullish threshold.
No Color: When the composite index is between the thresholds.
Understanding the Components
1. Yield Spread
Description: The difference between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasury yields.
Economic Significance: An inverted yield curve (negative spread) has historically preceded recessions.
2. Copper/Gold Ratio
Description: The price ratio of copper to gold.
Economic Significance: Copper is tied to industrial demand; gold is a safe-haven asset. The ratio indicates risk sentiment.
3. High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Description: Ratio of high-yield corporate bonds (HYG) to intermediate-term Treasury bonds (IEF).
Economic Significance: Reflects investor appetite for risk; widening spreads can signal credit stress.
4. Stock Market Performance (SPX)
Description: S&P 500 Index levels.
Economic Significance: Broad measure of U.S. equity market performance.
5. Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Description: Bitcoin Liquid Index price.
Economic Significance: Represents risk appetite in speculative assets.
6. Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Description: Front-month crude oil futures price.
Economic Significance: Influences inflation and consumer spending.
7. Volatility Index (VIX)
Description: Market's expectation of volatility (fear gauge).
Economic Significance: High VIX indicates market uncertainty; inverted in the indicator to align directionally.
8. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Description: Value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
Economic Significance: Affects international trade and commodity prices; inverted in the indicator.
9. Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Description: iShares TIPS Bond ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Reflects market expectations of inflation.
10. Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Description: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for consumer confidence and spending.
11. Housing Market Index (XHB)
Description: SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Indicator of the housing market's health.
12. Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Description: Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for manufacturing activity.
13. Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Description: Inverse of the SPY ETF price.
Economic Significance: Represents unemployment trends; higher inverse SPY suggests higher unemployment.
14. Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
Description: Total assets held by the Federal Reserve.
Economic Significance: Indicates liquidity injections (QE) or withdrawals (QT); impacts interest rates and asset prices.
Customization and Advanced Usage
Adjusting Weights:
Purpose: Emphasize components you believe are more predictive or relevant.
Method: Increase or decrease the weight value next to each component.
Example: If you think the yield spread is particularly important, you might assign it a higher weight.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading and investing involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
US Sentiment Index [CryptoSea]The US Sentiment Index is an advanced analytical tool designed for traders seeking to uncover patterns, correlations, and potential leading signals across key market tickers. This indicator surpasses traditional sentiment measures, providing a data-driven approach that offers deeper insights compared to conventional indices like the Fear and Greed Index.
Key Features
Multi-Ticker Analysis: Integrates data from a diverse set of market indicators, including gold, S&P 500, U.S. Dollar Index, Volatility Index, and more, to create a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
Customisable Sensitivity Settings: Allows users to adjust the moving average period to fine-tune the sensitivity of sentiment calculations, adapting the tool to various market conditions and trading strategies.
Detailed Sentiment Scaling: Utilises a 0-100 scale to quantify sentiment strength, with colour gradients that visually represent bearish, neutral, and bullish conditions, aiding in quick decision-making.
Below is an example where the sentiment index can give leading signals. We see a first sign of wekaness in the index as it drops below its moving average. Shortly after we see it dip below our median 50 level, another sign of weakeness. We see the SPX price action to take a hit following the sentiment index decrease.
Tickers Used and Their Impact on Sentiment
The impact of each ticker on sentiment can be bullish or bearish, depending on their behaviour:
Gold (USGD): Typically seen as a safe-haven asset, rising gold prices often indicate increased market fear or bearish sentiment. Conversely, falling gold prices can signal reduced fear and a shift towards bullish sentiment in riskier assets.
S&P 500 (SPX): A rising S&P 500 is usually a sign of bullish sentiment, reflecting confidence in economic growth and market stability. A decline, however, suggests bearish sentiment and a potential move towards risk aversion.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A strengthening U.S. Dollar can be a sign of fear as investors seek safety in the dollar, which is bearish for risk assets. A weakening dollar, on the other hand, can signal bullish sentiment as capital flows into riskier assets.
Volatility Index (VIX): Known as the "fear gauge," a rising VIX indicates increased market fear and bearish sentiment. A falling VIX suggests a calm, bullish market environment.
Junk Bonds (JNK): Rising junk bond prices often reflect bullish sentiment as investors take on more risk for higher returns. Conversely, falling junk bond prices signal increased fear and bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Treasury Bonds (TLT): Higher prices for long-term treasuries usually indicate a flight to safety, reflecting bearish sentiment. Lower prices suggest a shift towards riskier assets, indicating bullish sentiment.
Financial Sector ETF (XLF): Strength in the financial sector is typically bullish, indicating confidence in economic conditions. Weakness in this sector can reflect bearish sentiment and concerns about financial stability.
Unemployment Rate (USUR): A rising unemployment rate is a bearish signal, indicating economic weakness. A declining unemployment rate is bullish, reflecting economic strength and job growth.
U.S. Interest Rates (USINTR, USIRYY): Higher interest rates can be bearish, as they increase borrowing costs and reduce spending. Lower rates are generally bullish, promoting economic growth and risk-taking.
How it Works
Sentiment Calculation: The US Sentiment Index combines data from multiple tickers, calculating sentiment by scaling the distance from their respective moving averages. Each asset's behaviour is interpreted within the context of market fear or greed, providing a refined sentiment reading that adjusts dynamically.
Market Strength Analysis: When the index is above 50 and also above its moving average, it indicates particularly strong or bullish market conditions, driven by greed. Conversely, when the index is below 50 and under its moving average, it signals bearish or weak market conditions, associated with fear.
Correlation and Pattern Detection: The indicator analyses correlations among the included assets to detect patterns that might signal potential market movements, giving traders a leading edge over simpler sentiment measures.
Adaptive Background Colouring: Utilises a colour gradient that dynamically adjusts based on sentiment values, highlighting extreme fear, neutral, and extreme greed levels directly on the chart.
Flexible Display Options: Offers settings to toggle the moving average plot and adjust its period, giving users the ability to tailor the indicator's sensitivity and display to their specific needs.
In this example below, we can see the Sentiment rise above the Moving Average (MA). Price action goes on to follow this, although there is an instance where it dips below the MA, it quickly rises back above again as a sign of strength.
Another way you can use this index is by simply using the MA, if its trending up, we know the macro sentiment is bullish.
Application
Data-Driven Insights: Offers traders a detailed, data-driven approach to sentiment analysis, incorporating a broad spectrum of market indicators to deliver actionable insights.
Pattern Recognition: Helps identify patterns and correlations that may lead to market reversals or continuations, providing a nuanced view that goes beyond simple sentiment gauges.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Equips traders with a robust tool to validate trading strategies and make informed decisions based on comprehensive sentiment analysis.
The US Sentiment Index by is an essential addition to the toolkit of any trader looking to navigate market complexities with precision and confidence. Its advanced features and data-driven approach offer unparalleled insights into market sentiment, setting it apart from conventional sentiment indicators.
VIX Composite MeterThe VIX Composite Meter is a custom trading indicator designed to help identify potential buy and sell signals based on market volatility, specifically through VIX options. The VIX, also known as the "fear gauge," measures market expectations of future volatility. This meter combines several factors — the VIX-to-SPX ratio, moving average deviation, Z-score, and momentum oscillators — to create a single, easy-to-read score that guides trading decisions.
How It Works
Composite Score: The meter calculates a composite score that ranges from 0 to 1 by weighing four metrics:
VIX/SPX Ratio: Indicates relative volatility compared to the S&P 500.
Moving Average Deviation: Shows how far the VIX is from its typical range.
Z-Score: Measures how extreme the current VIX value is relative to its historical average.
Momentum Oscillator (RSI): Helps identify overbought or oversold conditions in the VIX.
Color-Coded Signals:
Green Background: If the score drops below 0.3, the meter suggests buying VIX calls, indicating a low-volatility environment with potential for increase.
Red Background: If the score rises above 0.7, the meter suggests buying VIX puts, indicating a high-volatility environment likely to decrease.
Use Cases
Buy VIX Calls: When the meter turns green, signaling potential future volatility spikes.
Buy VIX Puts: When the meter turns red, suggesting current high volatility is expected to revert lower.
By using the VIX Composite Meter, traders can better time their entries and exits in VIX options, aligning with market conditions for potential profits in periods of changing volatility.
QQQ and SPY Price Levels [MW]Introduction:
Don’t let SPY and QQQ resistance levels hurt your futures trading anymore. The QQQ and SPY Price Levels indicator automagically provides easily accessible QQQ price levels for NASDAQ-related charts such as QQQ, /NQ and /MNQ futures, and leveraged ETFs such as TQQQ and SQQQ as well as for SPY price levels for S&P 500-related charts such as SPY, /ES and /MES futures, SPX, and leveraged ETFs such as UPRO and SPXU. If you’ve ever traded futures, or anything QQQ- or SPY-related and wanted to know at what price would the corresponding asset reach a key whole number level of QQQ or SPY, like 400, 440, 445, or even 447.50, this tool is for you. Key 10x, 5x, and even 2.5x multiples of QQQ and SPY can act as support or resistance for other related-assets. Until now, there hasn’t been an indicator that can serve as an easy visual cue to know exactly when that is about to happen across assets.
This indicator is a fork of the original SPY Price Levels indicator, which only considered SPY-related assets.
Settings:
QQQ/SPY 2.5x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 2.5 on QQQ
QQQ/SPY 5x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 5 on QQQ
QQQ/SPY 10x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 10 on QQQ
Show QQQ/SPY Price Label: Show the current QQQ/SPY price
Extend lines to the left: Extend label lines for each price level to the beginning of the chart
Calculations:
This indicator defines the ratio between the price of QQQ/SPY and another NASDAQ/S&P-related asset and uses that multiplier once the user-defined price increments are defined. For example, if /MNQ is at 19000 and QQQ is at 465, then the ratio would be 40.8.
The incremental QQQ levels that are above and below the QQQ price are calculated using the following equations:
qqqLevelUp = _multiplier * math.ceil(_qqqClose / _multiplier)
qqqLevelDown = _multiplier * math.floor(_qqqClose / _multiplier)
The conversion ratio is then multiplied by that amount to get the final estimated corresponding price using the calculation:
levelUp := _conversion * qqqLevelUp
levelDown := _conversion * qqqLevelDown
For leveraged assets, the conversion must be used on the difference between the current QQQ price and the incremental upper and lower levels.
For example, the calculation for the next level up looks like the following:
levelUpDelta := math.abs(_qqqClose - qqqLevelUp)
levelUp := close + _conversion * (levelUpDelta * _leverage)
This logic is identical for SPY-related assets.
How to Use:
The QQQ and SPY Price Levels indicator aims to be as unobtrusive as possible. The default view shows 3 labels and 2 lines that are all aligned to the right of the main chart, so that it interferes as little as possible with any other indicators. It can be added to any /NQ or /MNQ futures chart, SQQQ, TQQQ, and, of course, QQQ as well as any /ES /MES futures chart, SPXU, UPRO, SPX, and of course SPY. The most immediate price levels for each multiplier appears above and below the current price along with the price of QQQ/SPY.
For example, MNQU2024 is currently at 19594. By looking at the indicator the next QQQ increment below is at 475, or 19556 on the MNQU2024 chart. This potential support is marked with a green label that shows both prices. The next increment above is at QQQ 477.50, or 19659 on the MESU2024 chart. And the QQQ price itself, is also shown (and can be removed) at 475.92.
QQQ and SPY price increments of 2.5, 5, and 10 tend to consistently act at the very least as emotional support and resistance levels. Weak, or weakening volume and/or momentum when these levels are hit can trigger a strong rejection, and can sometimes precipitate lengthy consolidation periods at those levels. Watching an NASDAQ- and S&P 500-related asset come to a halt, fall off a cliff, or react in some other unintuitive way could very well be the result of a QQQ/SPY level being reached. Even though many of us know that this relationship exists, it’s easy to forget. So, this indicator helps to ensure that its users keep that relationship front and center.
By extending the lines into the past on QQQ/SPY and their related assets, you can see what reactions happened at these key levels.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations:
The calculations used only provide an estimated relationship or a close approximation, and are not exact.
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
US Market Real Value Adjusted for CPI and Dollar IndexUS Market Real Value Adjusted for CPI and Dollar Index
Provides quick access to this formula: (SP:SPX+NASDAQ_DLY:IXIC+TVC:DJI+CAPITALCOM:RTY)/4/(ECONOMICS:USCPI*TVC:DXY*100)
Overview:
This indicator provides a dynamic view of the US stock market's real value, adjusted for inflation and currency strength. It combines major stock indices including the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000, and adjusts the composite index using the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the US Dollar Index (DXY). This adjustment helps to reveal the true market performance, stripped of inflationary effects and currency valuation changes.
Key Features:
Composite Index Calculation: Averages the prices of SPX, IXIC, DJI, and RTY to create a broad market overview.
Inflation Adjustment: Uses the CPI to adjust for the effects of inflation, ensuring that the real value changes in the stock market are highlighted.
Currency Strength Adjustment: Applies the DXY to account for fluctuations in the strength of the US dollar, providing insights into how currency variations impact market valuation.
Dynamic Base Calculation: Utilizes a rolling window to dynamically update base values, allowing for continuous reassessment of the market’s adjusted value as new data becomes available.
This indicator provides:
Real Value Insights: By adjusting for both inflation and currency strength, this indicator offers a more accurate measure of the underlying market conditions.
Dynamic Updates: With a rolling window approach, the indicator continually adapts, providing up-to-date information.
Strategic Decisions: Helps in identifying true market growth or decline periods, aiding in strategic investment planning.
Usage:
To use this indicator, simply add it to your chart, and it will automatically display the adjusted composite index. This index can be particularly useful for investors looking to understand underlying market trends beyond nominal price movements, helping in making more informed investment decisions when comparing certain tickers to an average of the major US stock market indexes, adjusted for inflation and the strength of the US dollar.
Example Use Case:
A typical use case might involve comparing periods of high inflation to see how the overall US stock market performed in real terms, not just nominal terms. This can indicate whether the market growth was genuine or merely a reflection of inflation. By comparing this result to an average of these major indexes without adjusting for inflation or currency strength changes, you can see how significantly these forces can impact real gains or losses.
CVD with Moving Average (Trend Colors) [SYNC & TRADE]Yesterday I wrote a simple and easy code for the indicator "Cumulative Delta Volume with a moving average" using AI.
Introduction:
Delta is the difference between buys and sells. If there are more purchases, the delta is positive, if there are more sales, the delta is negative. We look at each candle separately on a particular time frame, which does not give us an overall picture over time.
Cumulative volume delta is in many ways an extension of volume delta, but it covers longer periods of time and provides different trading signals. Like the volume delta indicator, the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicator measures the relationship between buying and selling pressure, but does not focus on one specific candle (or other chart element), but rather gives a picture over time.
What did you want to get?
I have often seen that they tried to attach RSI and the Ichimoku cloud to the cumulative delta of volume, but I have never seen a cumulative delta of volume with a moving average. A moving average that takes data from the cumulative volume delta will be different from the moving average of the underlying asset. It has been noted that often at the intersection of the cumulative volume delta and the moving average, this is a more accurate signal to buy or sell than the same intersections for the underlying asset.
Initially, 5 moving averages were made with values of 21, 55, 89, 144 and 233, but I realized that this overloads the chart. It is easier to change the length of the moving average depending on the time frame you are using than to overload the chart. The final version with one moving SMA, EMA, RMA, WMA, HMA.
The logic for applying a moving average to a cumulative volume delta:
You choose a moving average, just like you would on your underlying asset. Use the moving average you like and the period you are used to working with. Each TF has its own settings.
What we see on the graph:
This is not an oscillator, but an adapted version for a candlestick chart (line only). Using it, you can clearly see where the market is moving based on the cumulative volume delta. The cool thing is that you can include your moving average applied to the cumulative volume delta. Thanks to this, you can see a trend movement, a return to the moving average to continue the trend.
Opportunities not lost:
The most interesting thing is that it remains possible to observe the divergence of the asset and the cumulative delta of the volume. This gives a great advantage. Those who have not worked with divergence do not rush into it right away. There may be 3 peaks in divergence (as with oversold/overbought), but it works many times more clearly than RSI and MACD.
Here's a good example on the daily chart. The moment we were all waiting for 75,000. The cumulative Delta Volume fell with each peak, while the price chart (tops) were approximately level.
Usually they throw (allow to buy) without volume for sales (delta down, price up) in order to merge at a more interesting price. And they also drain without the volume of purchases for a squeeze (price down / delta up) and again I buy back at a more interesting price. There are more complex estimation options; you can read about the divergence of the cumulative delta of the CVD volume. I just recommend doing a backtest.
Recommendations:
One more moment. Use the indicator on the stock exchange, where there is the most money, by turnover and by asset. Choose Binance, not Bybit. Those. choose the BTC asset, for example, but on the Binance exchange. Not futures, but spot.
The greater the turnover on the exchange for an asset, and the fewer opportunities to enter with leverage, the less volatile the price and the more beautiful and accurate the chart.
Works on all assets. There is a subscription limit (the number of calculated bars) that has little effect on anything. Can be applied to any asset where there is volume (not SPX, but ES1, not MOEX, but MX1!).
Перевод на русский.
Вчера написал с помощью AI простой и легкий код индикатора "Кумулятивная Дельта Объема со скользящей средней".
Введение:
Дельта (Delta) — это разница между покупками и продажами. Если покупок больше — дельта положительная, если больше продаж — дельта отрицательная. Мы смотрим на каждую свечу отдельно на том или ином таймфрейме, что не дает нам общей картины во времени.
Кумулятивная дельта объема — во многом продолжение дельты объёмов, но она включает более длительные периоды времени и дает другие торговые сигналы. Как и индикатор дельты объёма, индикатор кумулятивной дельты объема (Cumulative Volume Delta, CVD) измеряет связь между давлением покупателей и продавцов, но при этом не фокусируется на одной конкретной свече (или другом элементе графика), а дает картину во времени.
Что хотел получить?
Часто видел, что к кумулятивной детьте объема пытались прикрепить RSI и облако ишимоку, но никогда не видел кумулятивную дельту объема со скользящей средней. Скользящая средняя которая берет данные от кумулятивной дельты объема будет отличатся от скользящей средней основного актива. Было замечено, что часто в местах пересечения кумулятивной дельты объема и скользящей средней - это более точный сигнал к покупке или продаже, чем такие же пересечения по основному активу.
Изначально было сделанно 5 скользящих со значениями 21, 55, 89, 144 и 233, но я понял, что это перегружает график. Проще менять длину скользящей средней от используемого таймфрейма, чем перегружать график. Финальный вариант с одной скользящей SMA, EMA, RMA, WMA, HMA.
Логика применения скользящей средней к кумулятивной дельте объема:
Вы выбираете скользящую среднюю, так же как и на основном активе. Применяйте ту скользящую среднюю, которая вам нравится и период, с которым привыкли работать. На каждом TF свои настройки.
Что мы видим на графике:
Это не осциллятор, а адаптированная версия к свечному графику (только линия). С помощью него вы можете наглядно посмотреть куда движется рынок по кумулятивной дельте объема. Самое интересное, что вы можете включить свою скользящую среднюю, применимую к кумулятивной дельте объема. Благодаря этому вы можете видеть трендовое движение, возврат к средней скользящей для продолжения тренда.
Не потерянные возможности:
Самое интересное, что осталась возможность наблюдать за дивергенцией актива и кумулятивной дельтой объема. Это дает большое преимущество. Те кто не работал с дивергенцией не бросайтесь на нее сразу. Может быть и 3 пика в дивергенции (как с перепроданностью / перекупленностью), но работает в разы четче чем RSI и MACD.
Вот хороший пример на дневном графике. Момент когда мы все ждали 75000. Кумулятивная Дельта Объема падала с каждым пиком, в то время как ценовой график (вершины) были примерно на уровне.
Обычно закидывают (разрешают покупать) без объема на продажи (дельта вниз цена вверх), чтобы слить по более интересной цене. И также сливают без объема покупок для сквиза (цена вниз / дельта вверх) и опять откупаю по более интересной цене. Существуют более сложные варианты оценки, можете почитать про дивергенцию кумулятивной дельты объема CVD. Только рекомендую сделать бэктест.
Рекомендации:
Еще момент. Используйте индикатор, на бирже, там где больше всего денег, по обороту и по активу. Выбирайте не Bybit, а Binance. Т.е. выбираете актив BTC, к примеру, но на бирже Binance. Не фьючерс, а спот.
Чем более большие обороты на бирже, по активу, и меньше возможностей заходить с плечами, тем менее волатильная цена и более красивый и точный график.
Работает на всех активах. Есть ограничение по подписке (количество рассчитываемых баров) мало влияет на что. Можно применить к любому активу где есть объем (не SPX, а ES1, не MOEX, а MX1!).
Overbought / Oversold Screener## Introduction
**The Versatile RSI and Stochastic Multi-Symbol Screener**
**Unlock a wealth of trading opportunities with this customizable screener, designed to pinpoint potential overbought and oversold conditions across 17 symbols, with alert support!**
## Description
This screener is suitable for tracking multiple instruments continuously.
With the screener, you can see the instant RSI or Stochastic values of the instruments you are tracking, and easily catch the moments when they are overbought / oversold according to your settings.
The purpose of the screener is to facilitate the continuous tracking of multiple instruments. The user can track up to 17 different instruments in different time intervals. If they wish, they can set an alarm and learn overbought oversold according to the values they set for the time interval of the instruments they are tracking.**
Key Features:
Comprehensive Analysis:
Monitors RSI and Stochastic values for 17 symbols simultaneously.
Automatically includes the current chart's symbol for seamless integration.
Supports multiple timeframes to uncover trends across different time horizons.
Personalized Insights:
Adjust overbought and oversold thresholds to align with your trading strategy.
Sort results by symbol, RSI, or Stochastic values to prioritize your analysis.
Choose between Automatic, Dark, or Light mode for optimal viewing comfort.
Dynamic Visual Cues:
Instantly highlights oversold and overbought symbols based on threshold levels.
Timely Alerts:
Stay informed of potential trading opportunities with alerts for multiple oversold or overbought symbols.
## Settings
### Display
**Timeframe**
The screener displays the values according to the selected timeframe. The default timeframe is "Chart". For example, if the timeframe is set to "15m" here, the screener will show the RSI and stochastic values for the 15-minute chart.
** Theme **
This setting is for changing the theme of the screener. You can set the theme to "Automatic", "Dark", or "Light", with "Automatic" being the default value. When the "Automatic" theme is selected, the screener appearance will also be automatically updated when you enable or disable dark mode from the TradingView settings.
** Position **
This option is for setting the position of the table on the chart. The default setting is "middle right". The available options are (top, middle, bottom)-(left, center, right).
** Sort By **
This option is for changing the sorting order of the table. The default setting is "RSI Descending". The available options are (Symbol, RSI, Stoch)-(Ascending, Descending).
It is important to note that the overbought and oversold coloring of the symbols may also change when the sorting order is changed. If RSI is selected as the sorting order, the symbols will be colored according to the overbought and oversold threshold values specified for RSI. Similarly, if Stoch is selected as the sorting order, the symbols will be colored according to the overbought and oversold threshold values specified for Stoch.
From this perspective, you can also think of the sorting order as a change in the main indicator.
### RSI / Stochastic
This area is for selecting the parameters of the RSI and stochastic indicators. You can adjust the values for "length", "overbought", and "oversold" for both indicators according to your needs. The screener will perform all RSI and stochastic calculations according to these settings. All coloring in the table will also be according to the overbought and oversold values in these settings.
### Symbols
The symbols to be tracked in the table are selected from here. Up to 16 symbols can be selected from here. Since the symbol in the chart is automatically added to the table, there will always be at least 1 symbol in the table. Note that the symbol in the chart is shown in the table with "(C)". For example, if SPX is open in the chart, it is shown as SPX(C) in the table.
## Alerts
The screener is capable of notifying you with an alarm if multiple symbols are overbought or oversold according to the values you specify along with the desired timeframe. This way, you can instantly learn if multiple symbols are overbought or oversold with one alarm, saving you time.
Index Top Holdings Advance DeclineThis indicator measures advance vs decline for the top 10 holdings of either SPX or NDX, or both together.
There's overlap within the top holdings for the two major indexes so by default SPX is only shown.
Adjustments to top holdings can be done at any time should they be updated before I adjust the script, also the threshold of when advancement or decline should be considered strong is defaulted to six holdings but adjust to preference.
The idea came out of a discord conversation and the results are compelling, and it's usage should be similar to the market internal ADD, which measures amount of stocks in broad market over or under previous session range.
If this indicator receives enough traction I'll look into creating a volume (VOLD), price (TICK) and perhaps some other versions - perhaps even one that combines it all together like my MIT indicator for market internals.
Quadratic & Linear Time Series Regression [SS]Hey everyone,
Releasing the Quadratic/Linear Time Series regression indicator.
About the indicator:
Most of you will be familiar with the conventional linear regression trend boxes (see below):
This is an awesome feature in Tradingview and there are quite a few indicators that follow this same principle.
However, because of the exponential and cyclical nature of stocks, linear regression tends to not be the best fit for stock time series data. From my experience, stocks tend to fit better with quadratic (or curvlinear) regression, which there really isn't a lot of resources for.
To put it into perspective, let's take SPX on the 1 month timeframe and plot a linear regression trend from 1930 till now:
You can see that its not really a great fit because of the exponential growth that SPX has endured since the 1930s. However, if we take a quadratic approach to the time series data, this is what we get:
This is a quadratic time series version, extended by up to 3 standard deviations. You can see that it is a bit more fitting.
Quadratic regression can also be helpful for looking at cycle patterns. For example, if we wanted to plot out how the S&P has performed from its COVID crash till now, this is how it would look using a linear regression approach:
But this is how it would look using the quadratic approach:
So which is better?
Both linear regression and quadratic regression are pivotal and important tools for traders. Sometimes, linear regression is more appropriate and others quadratic regression is more appropriate.
In general, if you are long dating your analysis and you want to see the trajectory of a ticker further back (over the course of say, 10 or 15 years), quadratic regression is likely going to be better for most stocks.
If you are looking for short term trades and short term trend assessments, linear regression is going to be the most appropriate.
The indicator will do both and it will fit the linear regression model to the data, which is different from other linreg indicators. Most will only find the start of the strongest trend and draw from there, this will fit the model to whatever period of time you wish, it just may not be that significant.
But, to keep it easy, the indicator will actually tell you which model will work better for the data you are selecting. You can see it in the example in the main chart, and here:
Here we see that the indicator indicates a better fit on the quadratic model.
And SPY during its recent uptrend:
For that, let's take a look at the Quadratic Vs the Linear, to see how they compare:
Quadratic:
Linear:
Functions:
You will see that you have 2 optional tables. The statistics table which shows you:
The R Squared to assess for Variance.
The Correlation to assess for the strength of the trend.
The Confidence interval which is set at a default of 1.96 but can be toggled to adjust for the confidence reading in the settings menu. (The confidence interval gives us a range of values that is likely to contain the true value of the coefficient with a certain level of confidence).
The strongest relationship (quadratic or linear).
Then there is the range table, which shows you the anticipated price ranges based on the distance in standard deviations from the mean.
The range table will also display to you how often a ticker has spent in each corresponding range, whether that be within the anticipated range, within 1 SD, 2 SD or 3 SD.
You can select up to 3 additional standard deviations to plot on the chart and you can manually select the 3 standard deviations you want to plot. Whether that be 1, 2, 3, or 1.5, 2.5 or 3.5, or any combination, you just enter the standard deviations in the settings menu and the indicator will adjust the price targets and plotted bands according to your preferences. It will also count the amount of time the ticker spent in that range based on your own selected standard deviation inputs.
Tips on Use:
This works best on the larger timeframes (1 hour and up), with RTH enabled.
The max lookback is 5,000 candles.
If you want to ascertain a longer term trend (over years to months), its best to adjust your chart timeframe to the weekly and/or monthly perspective.
And that's the indicator! Hopefully you all find it helpful.
Let me know your questions and suggestions below!
Safe trades to all!
[TTI] Reversion Alert on Nasdaq📜 ––––HISTORY & CREDITS 🏦
This script, titled " Reversion Alert", was developed by TinTinTrading with the intention of creating an easy visual tool based on the relationship between the price and different Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). It is something TinTinTrading has learned over the years from studying the Investor's Business Daily courses and materials, especially seminars held by William O'Neil.
🎯 ––––WHAT IT DOES 💡
The " Reversion Alert" script monitors the distance between the closing price and the 9-period EMA as well as the distance between the 9-period and 20-period EMAs. It generates an alert when the closing price is far enough away from the 9-period EMA relative to the distance between the two EMAs. The sensitivity of this alert can be adjusted by the user. The script also plots the 9-period and 20-period EMAs on the chart for visual reference. When the distance between the closing price and the 9-period EMA is more than the distance between the 9 and 20 period EMAs (and meets several other coded conditions), the price is likely extended and we can anticipate a pullback within next 1-3 days on the chart.
IMPORTANT - I only use this indicator on the NASDAQ Composite ( NASDAQ:IXIC ) and S&P500 ( SP:SPX ) and Dow Jones Composite ( TVC:DJI ). If you decide to use it for individual assets (equities, crypto or forex) make sure you toggle the sensitivity input so that it makes sense for the asset you are trading.
🛠️ ––––HOW TO USE IT 🔧
After adding the script to your chart, you will see two lines representing the 9-period and 20-period EMAs. You can adjust the sensitivity of the alert using the 'Sensitivity (%)' input in the settings panel. The default sensitivity is set at 18.5%. When an alert condition is met, a downward pointing red triangle with an exclamation mark will appear above the bar. This indicates a potential reversion scenario based on the relative positioning of the closing price and the two EMAs.
If the indicator shows an exclamation mark above the chart we can anticipate a pullback. Some techniques that yuo could apply could be:
👉 Tighten stops
👉 Reduce position size
👉 Harvest profits (or scale down)
👉 Be cautious to add new positions
Remember that this tool is meant to aid in your analysis and not to dictate trades. Always use in conjunction with other tools and your own analysis.
